PriorBench — Research Questions & Evaluation Set
================================================

100 research questions, each with a set of binary evaluation statements graded
true/false as of the evaluation date (December 1, 2025), with source citations.

Source: PriorBench (honest_prior_eval) · https://talarion.com/evals
Generated from gold/questionnaires.jsonl

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# 1. Are Chatbots leading to increasing mental health issues for adolescents?
#    (id: chatbots_adolescent_mental_health · 18 evaluation statements)
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  1. After August 31, 2025, the U.S. Federal Trade Commission issued orders to several major AI-chatbot and social-media companies seeking information about how their companion chatbots affect children and teenagers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2025/09/ftc-launches-inquiry-ai-chatbots-acting-companions
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/11/alphabet-meta-openai-x-ai-chatbot-ftc.html
  2. The FTC’s post-August 2025 inquiry into AI companion chatbots was prompted in part by concerns that minors may form emotionally dependent relationships with chatbots or receive unsafe mental-health-related responses from them.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2025/09/ftc-launches-inquiry-ai-chatbots-acting-companions
        https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/ftc_gov/pdf/GenerativeAI6%28b%29resolution.pdf
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c74933vzx2yo
  3. After August 31, 2025, California enacted a law specifically regulating AI companion chatbots and requiring safeguards for users who express suicidal ideation or self-harm intent.
     -> TRUE
        https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/codes_displayText.xhtml?chapter=22.6&division=8.&lawCode=BPC&part=&title=
        https://sd18.senate.ca.gov/news/first-nation-ai-chatbot-safeguards-signed-law
        https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2025/10/new-california-companion-chatbot-law
  4. California’s post-August 2025 AI companion chatbot law requires covered chatbot operators to disclose to users that they are interacting with an AI system rather than a human being.
     -> TRUE
        https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/codes_displayText.xhtml?chapter=22.6&division=8.&lawCode=BPC&part=&title=
        https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=202520260SB243
        https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2025/10/new-california-companion-chatbot-law
  5. California’s post-August 2025 AI companion chatbot law bans all chatbot use by minors under 18.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/tech/california-governor-vetoes-bill-restrict-kids-access-ai-chatbots/3963417/
        https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/codes_displayText.xhtml?chapter=22.6&division=8.&lawCode=BPC&part=&title=
  6. After August 31, 2025, OpenAI announced additional teen-safety measures for ChatGPT, including parental controls and stronger handling of conversations involving self-harm or suicide risk.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/building-more-helpful-chatgpt-experiences-for-everyone/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/29/openai-rolls-out-safety-routing-system-parental-controls-on-chatgpt/
        https://openai.com/index/updating-model-spec-with-teen-protections/
  7. OpenAI’s post-August 2025 teen-safety announcements were partly a response to public concern and litigation alleging that ChatGPT contributed to a teenager’s suicide.
     -> TRUE
        https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/09/openai-announces-parental-controls-for-chatgpt-after-teen-suicide-lawsuit/
        https://www.news4jax.com/business/2025/09/02/openai-and-meta-say-theyre-fixing-ai-chatbots-to-better-respond-to-teens-in-distress/
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/openai-changes-will-be-made-chatgpt-after-teen-suicide-lawsuit/
  8. After August 31, 2025, OpenAI stated that it would try to route some emotionally sensitive or self-harm-related conversations to models designed to follow safety instructions more reliably.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/building-more-helpful-chatgpt-experiences-for-everyone/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/29/openai-rolls-out-safety-routing-system-parental-controls-on-chatgpt/
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/openai-route-sensitive-conversations-gpt-150902612.html
  9. After August 31, 2025, OpenAI announced a plan to notify parents in some situations when a teen user appears to be in acute distress.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/building-more-helpful-chatgpt-experiences-for-everyone/
        https://openai.com/index/building-towards-age-prediction/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/29/openai-rolls-out-safety-routing-system-parental-controls-on-chatgpt/
  10. After August 31, 2025, Meta announced additional restrictions on how teen users can interact with its AI chatbots, including limits on romantic, sexual, or self-harm-related conversations.
     -> TRUE
        https://about.fb.com/news/2025/10/teen-ai-safety-approach/
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2kzl79jv15o
        https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/social-media/meta-adds-parental-controls-ai-teen-interactions-rcna238193
  11. After August 31, 2025, Meta publicly stated that it would remove or restrict some user-created AI characters that were inappropriate for teen users.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.digit.fyi/meta-ai-safeguards/
        https://the-decoder.com/meta-updates-its-ai-chatbots-to-block-conversations-with-teens-about-self-harm-and-romantic-content/
        https://about.fb.com/news/2025/10/teen-ai-safety-approach/
  12. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, public officials in the United States increased scrutiny of AI companion chatbots as a youth mental-health and child-safety issue.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2025/09/ftc-launches-inquiry-ai-chatbots-acting-companions
        https://www.judiciary.senate.gov/press/dem/releases/durbin-exposes-harms-of-unregulated-ai-chatbots-during-senate-judiciary-committee-hearing
        https://time.com/7328967/ai-josh-hawley-richard-blumenthal-minors-chatbots/
        https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2025/10/new-california-companion-chatbot-law
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, high-profile lawsuits and complaints continued to allege that AI companion chatbots encouraged or failed to prevent adolescent self-harm.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.financialcontent.com/article/bizwire-2025-9-16-social-media-victims-law-center-files-three-new-lawsuits-on-behalf-of-children-who-died-of-suicide-or-suffered-sex-abuse-by-characterai
        https://www.cbsnews.com/colorado/news/lawsuit-characterai-chatbot-colorado-suicide/
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251106541129/en/Social-Media-Victims-Law-Center-and-Tech-Justice-Law-Project-Lawsuits-Accuse-ChatGPT-of-Emotional-Manipulation-Supercharging-AI-Delusions-and-Acting-as-a-Suicide-Coach
        https://time.com/7327946/chatgpt-openai-suicide-adam-raine-lawsuit/
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the public evidence base still did not include a definitive large-scale longitudinal study proving that chatbot use is causing a population-wide increase in adolescent mental-health disorders.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.kqed.org/mindshift/65897/should-ai-chatbots-help-students-with-their-mental-health
        https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.17473v2
        https://arxiv.org/pdf/2509.19515
        https://www.sciencedirect.com/org/science/article/pii/S2368795925001350
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the strongest new evidence about chatbot-related adolescent mental-health risk consisted largely of regulatory actions, company safety changes, lawsuits, incident reports, and observational or survey evidence rather than settled causal proof.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2025/09/ftc-launches-inquiry-ai-chatbots-acting-companions
        https://openai.com/index/building-more-helpful-chatgpt-experiences-for-everyone/
        https://about.fb.com/news/2025/10/teen-ai-safety-approach/
        https://www.financialcontent.com/article/bizwire-2025-9-16-social-media-victims-law-center-files-three-new-lawsuits-on-behalf-of-children-who-died-of-suicide-or-suffered-sex-abuse-by-characterai
        https://www.kqed.org/mindshift/65897/should-ai-chatbots-help-students-with-their-mental-health
        https://www-s1.npr.org/2025/10/01/nx-s1-5527041/as-more-teens-use-ai-chatbots-parents-and-lawmakers-sound-the-alarm-about-dangers
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no major AI company announced that it would completely prohibit teenagers from using general-purpose chatbots.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/16/openai-will-apply-new-restrictions-to-chatgpt-users-under-18/
        https://about.fb.com/news/2025/10/teen-ai-safety-approach/
        https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/808081/character-ai-under-18-chat-ban
  17. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the main policy concern shifted toward AI companion chatbots that simulate friendship, romance, or therapy-like support, rather than ordinary search-style chatbot use alone.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2025/09/ftc-launches-inquiry-ai-chatbots-acting-companions
        https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/09/16/1123614/the-looming-crackdown-on-ai-companionship/
        https://www.kqed.org/news/12054490/child-safety-groups-demand-mental-health-guardrails-after-california-teens-suicide-using-chatgpt
        https://local12.com/news/nation-world/youth-mental-health-org-asks-ai-developers-to-slow-down-weigh-safety-risks-for-teens-artificial-intelligence-social-companions-chatbots-technology-companies-the-jed-foundation-suicide-prevention
  18. By December 1, 2025, regulators and child-safety advocates were treating chatbot design features such as persistent memory, emotional affirmation, anthropomorphic personas, and prolonged engagement loops as potential contributors to adolescent mental-health risk.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/ftc_gov/pdf/AICompanionChatbot6%28b%29Order.pdf
        https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/26303894/matthew-raine-and-maria-raine-vs-openai.pdf
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251106541129/en/Social-Media-Victims-Law-Center-and-Tech-Justice-Law-Project-Lawsuits-Accuse-ChatGPT-of-Emotional-Manipulation-Supercharging-AI-Delusions-and-Acting-as-a-Suicide-Coach
        https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2025/09/i-exist-solely-for-you-remember/

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# 2. Are civil liberties being reduced for Hong Kong residents?
#    (id: hong_kong_civil_liberties · 13 evaluation statements)
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  1. After the late-November 2025 Wang Fuk Court fire in Tai Po, Hong Kong police arrested at least one person on suspicion of sedition for fire-related online speech or public advocacy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/politics/article/3334640/hong-kongs-national-security-police-question-man-over-fire-response-petition
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/1/china-quashes-calls-for-accountability-over-deadly-hong-kong-blaze
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/12/01/tai-po-fire-ex-local-councillor-and-volunteer-arrested-for-allegedly-inciting-hatred-of-govt-reports/
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the Hong Kong government had not established a judge-led statutory commission of inquiry into the Wang Fuk Court fire.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.rthk.hk/rthk/en/component/k2/1834217-20251202.htm
        https://www.info.gov.hk/gia/general/202512/12/P2025121200786.htm
        https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202512/05/WS69323fd4a310d6866eb2d09d.html
  3. Following the late-November 2025 Wang Fuk Court fire, Hong Kong authorities suspended Legislative Council election campaigning during a mourning period.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.rthk.hk/rthk/en/component/k2/1833473-20251127.htm
        https://www.cnbctv18.com/world/hong-kong-halts-all-election-campaigning-after-deadly-tai-po-fire-ws-l-19774203.htm
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/11/30/hong-kong-legislative-council-elections-likely-to-go-on-despite-fatal-fire-reports/
  4. In September 2025, Hong Kong’s Legislative Council rejected the government’s Registration of Same-sex Partnerships Bill.
     -> TRUE
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/09/10/breaking-hong-kongs-legislative-council-votes-down-same-sex-partnerships-bill/
        https://www.info.gov.hk/gia/general/202509/10/P2025091000834.htm
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yqeggvwgpo
  5. As of December 1, 2025, Hong Kong had not enacted the same-sex partnership registration framework ordered by the Court of Final Appeal in 2023.
     -> TRUE
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/10/30/likely-no-consequences-for-hong-kong-authorities-for-not-enacting-same-sex-partners-framework-govt-adviser-says/
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/09/10/breaking-hong-kongs-legislative-council-votes-down-same-sex-partnerships-bill/
        https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2025/09/rejection-of-hong-kong-same-sex-partnerships-bill-blow-for-lgbti-rights/
  6. The candidate nomination process for the next Hong Kong Legislative Council election continued to require national-security or patriotism vetting by the Candidate Eligibility Review Committee.
     -> TRUE
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/11/11/all-161-candidates-pass-national-security-vetting-to-enter-hong-kongs-all-patriots-legislative-race/
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/10/06/nomination-period-for-hong-kongs-patriots-only-legislative-elections-to-kick-off-on-october-24/
        https://news.rthk.hk/rthk/en/component/k2/1830981-20251110.htm
  7. As of December 1, 2025, Hong Kong’s Democratic Party had no approved candidates for the next Legislative Council election.
     -> TRUE
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/04/13/breaking-hong-kongs-democratic-party-moves-closer-to-disband-after-alleged-warning-from-chinese-officials/
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Hong_Kong_legislative_election
        https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250412-end-of-the-line-for-hong-kong-s-democratic-party
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Hong Kong restored the pre-2021 system for Legislative Council elections.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.elections.gov.hk/legco2025/eng/brief.html
        https://www.elections.gov.hk/legco2025/eng/overview.html
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/11/11/all-161-candidates-pass-national-security-vetting-to-enter-hong-kongs-all-patriots-legislative-race/
  9. As of December 1, 2025, Jimmy Lai remained in custody while awaiting a verdict in his national-security trial.
     -> TRUE
        https://dominotheory.com/jimmy-lai-still-awaiting-verdict-in-hong-kong-trial/
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/08/28/hong-kong-court-to-hand-down-jimmy-lais-national-security-case-verdict-in-good-time/
        https://rsf.org/en/1800-days-behind-bars-democracies-cannot-let-jimmy-lai-die-prison
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Hong Kong prosecutors withdrew all national-security charges against Jimmy Lai.
     -> FALSE
        https://dominotheory.com/jimmy-lai-still-awaiting-verdict-in-hong-kong-trial/
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/08/28/hong-kong-court-to-hand-down-jimmy-lais-national-security-case-verdict-in-good-time/
        https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202512/15/WS693f7688a310d6866eb2ea66.html
  11. As of December 1, 2025, the convictions in the Hong Kong 47 primary-election subversion case remained in force.
     -> TRUE
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/07/17/hong-kong-court-to-rule-on-appeals-in-citys-largest-national-security-case-within-9-months/
        https://www.info.gov.hk/gia/general/202411/19/P2024111900609.htm
        https://asianews.network/hong-kong-court-dismisses-appeals-of-12-convicted-in-primary-election-case/
  12. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Hong Kong repealed the 2020 National Security Law.
     -> FALSE
        http://eng.mod.gov.cn/2025xb/M/L_251592/16415113.html
        https://hongkongfp.com/2025/08/28/hong-kong-court-to-hand-down-jimmy-lais-national-security-case-verdict-in-good-time/
        https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202512/15/WS693f7688a310d6866eb2ea66.html
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Hong Kong repealed the 2024 Safeguarding National Security Ordinance.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.brandhk.gov.hk/docs/default-source/factsheets-library/hong-kong-themes/2024-11-05/bl23-fact-sheet_en_nov-2024.pdf
        https://www.jurist.org/news/2025/11/hong-kong-to-ban-2-organizations-for-alleged-subversive-activities/
        https://www.info.gov.hk/gia/general/202512/02/P2025120200269p.htm

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# 3. Are Japanese fisheries having a good year?
#    (id: japan_fisheries_2025 · 16 evaluation statements)
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  1. As of December 1, 2025, Japan's 2025 Pacific saury season was widely reported as a notable recovery from recent poor years, with larger landings and lower retail prices than in the preceding few seasons.
     -> TRUE
        https://fujii-amino.com/news-english-pre/25102saury/
        https://suiken-jp.com/news/%e3%80%9012%e6%9c%88%e5%8f%b7%e3%80%91%e6%b0%b4%e7%94%a3%e3%83%9e%e3%83%b3%e3%82%b9%e3%83%aa%e3%83%bc%e3%83%ac%e3%83%9d%e3%83%bc%e3%83%88-3/
        https://www.sakigake.jp/news/article/20260106CO0181/
  2. By December 1, 2025, Japanese consumers were paying record-high autumn prices for Pacific saury because 2025 landings had fallen below 2024 levels.
     -> FALSE
        https://suiken-jp.com/news/%e3%80%9012%e6%9c%88%e5%8f%b7%e3%80%91%e6%b0%b4%e7%94%a3%e3%83%9e%e3%83%b3%e3%82%b9%e3%83%aa%e3%83%bc%e3%83%ac%e3%83%9d%e3%83%bc%e3%83%88-3/
        https://www.sakigake.jp/news/article/20260106CO0181/
  3. By December 1, 2025, the strong 2025 Pacific saury catch was concentrated mainly in Hokkaido and northeastern Pacific ports such as Nemuro, Kushiro, Hanasaki, and Ofunato.
     -> TRUE
        https://fujii-amino.com/news-english-pre/25102saury/
        http://www.fis-net.com/fis/worldnews/worldnews.asp?day=11&id=131777&l=e&monthyear=&ndb=1+target%3D&special=
        http://www.fis-net.com/fis/worldnews/worldnews.asp?country=0&df=0&id=135527&l=e
  4. As of December 1, 2025, Japan's autumn chum salmon runs and landings were still being reported as historically weak in major producing areas such as Hokkaido and northeastern Honshu.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.undercurrentnews.com/2025/12/01/japans-hokkaido-chum-season-ends-at-another-historic-low-ahead-of-weaker-2026-outlook/
        https://www.undercurrentnews.com/2025/10/19/japans-hokkaido-chum-catch-to-hit-record-low-again-with-ikura-prices-seen-doubling/
        https://www2.suigi.pref.iwate.jp/research/20251126ketacycle
  5. By December 1, 2025, Japan's 2025 autumn salmon season had clearly rebounded to pre-2010s levels, making salmon one of the year's strongest bright spots for Japanese capture fisheries.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.undercurrentnews.com/2025/12/01/japans-hokkaido-chum-season-ends-at-another-historic-low-ahead-of-weaker-2026-outlook/
        https://www.undercurrentnews.com/2025/10/19/japans-hokkaido-chum-catch-to-hit-record-low-again-with-ikura-prices-seen-doubling/
        https://www2.suigi.pref.iwate.jp/research/20251126ketacycle
  6. As of December 1, 2025, Japan's common squid catches remained poor in 2025, continuing the long-running decline linked to warming waters and shifting squid distribution.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.undercurrentnews.com/2025/02/14/japan-cuts-flying-squid-quota-by-76-to-record-low-amid-stock-decline/
        https://seafood.media/fis/worldnews/worldnews.asp?monthyear=1-2025&day=15&id=133265&l=e&country=0&special=&ndb=1&df=0.
        https://www.nippon.com/en/japan-data/h02449/
  7. By December 1, 2025, Japan's 2025 common squid season was being described as a broad-based recovery comparable to the Pacific saury rebound.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/11/06/japan/squid-catch-quota-increase/
        https://www.undercurrentnews.com/2025/02/14/japan-cuts-flying-squid-quota-by-76-to-record-low-amid-stock-decline/
        https://seafood.media/FIS/Worldnews/search_brief.asp?country=107&day=&df=1&id=135796&l=e&monthyear=&ndb=1
  8. As of December 1, 2025, unusually warm seas around Japan during autumn 2025 were still being cited as a factor disrupting fish distributions and hurting some coastal fisheries.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/lifestyle/japan-oysters-dying-en-masse-likely-due-warmer-sea-officials
        https://newsonjapan.com/article/147127.php
        https://hotspot3.aori.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/topics/2509osc/
  9. By December 1, 2025, China had not fully restored normal, unrestricted imports of all Japanese seafood to the pre-Fukushima-water-release regime.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/202507/content_7031581.htm
        https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/15873891
        https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/japan-resumes-seafood-exports-to-china-after-beijing-eases-2023-ban
  10. As of December 1, 2025, China had begun allowing some Japanese seafood imports again in 2025, but the reopening remained partial and subject to registration, inspection, and geographic restrictions.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/202507/content_7031581.htm
        https://www.fao.org/in-action/globefish/news-events/news/news-detail/china-partially-lifts-import-ban-on-japanese-aquatic-products/en
        https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/japan-resumes-seafood-exports-to-china-after-beijing-eases-2023-ban
        https://www.irishnews.com/news/world/confrontation-deals-blow-to-japans-hopes-for-seafood-exports-I64LOSSMIFC5BGPZSH3NBFNA2E/
  11. As of December 1, 2025, Japanese seafood exports to mainland China had already returned to their pre-2023-ban levels.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/japan-resumes-seafood-exports-to-china-after-beijing-eases-2023-ban
        https://www.irishnews.com/news/world/confrontation-deals-blow-to-japans-hopes-for-seafood-exports-I64LOSSMIFC5BGPZSH3NBFNA2E/
        https://www.fao.org/in-action/globefish/news-events/news/news-detail/major-changes-in-trade-flows-following-chinese-ban-on-japanese-seafood-imports/en
  12. As of December 1, 2025, Hokkaido scallop producers were still affected by the incomplete recovery of the Chinese market, even though Japan had diversified more shipments toward the United States, Southeast Asia, and domestic processing.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irishnews.com/news/world/confrontation-deals-blow-to-japans-hopes-for-seafood-exports-I64LOSSMIFC5BGPZSH3NBFNA2E/
        https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/08/18/japan/jetro-scallop-supply-us/
        https://www.seafoodsource.com/news/supply-trade/japanese-seafood-industry-getting-creative-as-chinese-import-ban-carries-on
        https://novaist.jp/articles/hokkaido-scallop-exports/
  13. As of December 1, 2025, Japan's scallop sector had fully resolved the labor, processing, and market disruptions caused by the Chinese import ban.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/08/18/japan/jetro-scallop-supply-us/
        https://www.seafoodsource.com/news/supply-trade/japanese-seafood-industry-getting-creative-as-chinese-import-ban-carries-on
        https://www.nippon.com/en/japan-topics/g02429/
  14. By December 1, 2025, the weaker yen and high overseas seafood prices were still supportive for some Japanese seafood exporters, but did not offset weak catches across all species.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.minato-yamaguchi.co.jp/minato/e-minato/articles/158474
        https://www.nippon.com/en/japan-data/h02449/
        https://m.efeedlink.com/contents/07-15-2025/f85a446d-bb09-4569-a60a-163563495ce5-1201.html
  15. As of December 1, 2025, the 2025 recovery in Pacific saury was not enough by itself to justify saying that all Japanese fisheries were having a uniformly good year.
     -> TRUE
        https://suiken-jp.com/news/%e3%80%9012%e6%9c%88%e5%8f%b7%e3%80%91%e6%b0%b4%e7%94%a3%e3%83%9e%e3%83%b3%e3%82%b9%e3%83%aa%e3%83%bc%e3%83%ac%e3%83%9d%e3%83%bc%e3%83%88-3/
        https://www.undercurrentnews.com/2025/12/01/japans-hokkaido-chum-season-ends-at-another-historic-low-ahead-of-weaker-2026-outlook/
        https://www.undercurrentnews.com/2025/02/14/japan-cuts-flying-squid-quota-by-76-to-record-low-amid-stock-decline/
        https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/japan-resumes-seafood-exports-to-china-after-beijing-eases-2023-ban
  16. As of December 1, 2025, the best-supported assessment was that 2025 was a mixed year for Japanese fisheries, with a major saury rebound but continuing weakness in salmon, squid, and China-exposed export sectors.
     -> TRUE
        https://suiken-jp.com/news/%e3%80%9012%e6%9c%88%e5%8f%b7%e3%80%91%e6%b0%b4%e7%94%a3%e3%83%9e%e3%83%b3%e3%82%b9%e3%83%AA%e3%83%BC%e3%83%ac%e3%83%9d%e3%83%BC%e3%83%88-3/
        https://www.undercurrentnews.com/2025/12/01/japans-hokkaido-chum-season-ends-at-another-historic-low-ahead-of-weaker-2026-outlook/
        https://www.undercurrentnews.com/2025/02/14/japan-cuts-flying-squid-quota-by-76-to-record-low-amid-stock-decline/
        https://www.irishnews.com/news/world/confrontation-deals-blow-to-japans-hopes-for-seafood-exports-I64LOSSMIFC5BGPZSH3NBFNA2E/
        https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/08/18/japan/jetro-scallop-supply-us/

###############################################################################
# 4. Are new college graduates really facing an exceptionally tough job market?
#    (id: new_grad_job_market · 25 evaluation statements)
###############################################################################

  1. The BLS Employment Situation report released on September 5, 2025 showed that nonfarm payroll employment increased by 22,000 in August 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_09052025.htm
  2. The BLS Employment Situation report released on September 5, 2025 showed that the U.S. unemployment rate was 4.3% in August 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_09052025.htm
  3. The BLS preliminary annual benchmark revision released on September 9, 2025 revised estimated March 2025 payroll employment downward by about 911,000 jobs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/prebmk.htm
  4. The BLS preliminary annual benchmark revision released on September 9, 2025 revised estimated March 2025 payroll employment upward.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/prebmk.htm
  5. The Federal Reserve cut the target range for the federal funds rate at its September 2025 meeting.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20250917a.htm
  6. The Federal Reserve cut the target range for the federal funds rate again at its October 2025 meeting.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20251029a1.htm
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20251029.pdf
  7. The 2025 federal government shutdown delayed scheduled BLS labor-market releases in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://text.npr.org/2025/10/03/nx-s1-5561750/shutdown-jobs-labor-economy-wall-street
  8. As of December 1, 2025, BLS had published an October 2025 unemployment rate from the household survey.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/cps/methods/2025-federal-government-shutdown-impact-cps.htm
  9. The BLS Employment Situation report for September 2025 was released after a delay caused by the federal government shutdown.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.ideastream.org/npr-news/2025-11-20/overdue-jobs-report-shows-employers-added-119-000-jobs-in-september
  10. The delayed BLS Employment Situation report for September 2025 showed that nonfarm payroll employment increased by 119,000.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_11202025.htm?utm=
        https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2025/total-nonfarm-payroll-employment-edged-up-119000-in-september-2025.htm
  11. The delayed BLS Employment Situation report for September 2025 showed that the U.S. unemployment rate rose to 4.4%.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_11202025.htm?utm=
        https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2025/nov/flash-report-unemployment-payroll-rise-september
  12. The delayed September 2025 BLS jobs report revised August 2025 payroll employment below zero.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.haver.com/articles/u-s-payroll-employment-is-unexpectedly-firm-in-september-earnings-rise-steadily-but-jobless-rate-edges-up
        https://epicforamerica.org/the-economy/the-long-awaited-but-shaky-september-2025-jobs-report/
  13. No BLS Employment Situation report released between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 showed the U.S. unemployment rate below 4.0%.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_09052025.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_11202025.htm?utm=
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
  14. The latest available BLS data as of December 1, 2025 showed that unemployment among all workers with a bachelor’s degree or higher was lower than the overall unemployment rate.
     -> TRUE
        https://fred.stlouisfed.org/data/LNS14027662
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_11202025.htm?utm=
  15. The latest available NY Fed recent-college-graduate labor-market indicators as of December 1, 2025 showed recent college graduates had a higher unemployment rate than the overall U.S. labor force.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market
        https://findingequilibriumfuturehighered.substack.com/p/an-employment-crisis-for-new-college
        https://www.statista.com/statistics/633660/unemployment-rate-of-recent-graduates-in-the-us/
  16. The latest available NY Fed recent-college-graduate labor-market indicators as of December 1, 2025 showed recent college graduates had a lower unemployment rate than older college graduates.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market
        https://findingequilibriumfuturehighered.substack.com/p/an-employment-crisis-for-new-college
  17. The latest available NY Fed recent-college-graduate labor-market indicators as of December 1, 2025 showed recent college graduate underemployment below 30%.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market
        https://www.makerstations.io/us-workforce-and-job-market-statistics/
  18. The latest available NY Fed recent-college-graduate labor-market indicators as of December 1, 2025 showed recent college graduate unemployment below its 2020 pandemic peak.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market
        https://www.statista.com/statistics/633660/unemployment-rate-of-recent-graduates-in-the-us/
  19. NACE’s fall 2025 Job Outlook 2026 survey projected a positive increase of less than 5% in employers’ hiring of the Class of 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.naceweb.org/research/reports/job-outlook/2026
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/students/careers/2025/11/17/jobs-report-hiring-flat-2026-grads
  20. NACE’s fall 2025 Job Outlook 2026 survey projected a double-digit increase in employers’ hiring of the Class of 2026.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.naceweb.org/research/reports/job-outlook/2026
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/students/careers/2025/11/17/jobs-report-hiring-flat-2026-grads
  21. Handshake’s fall 2025 campus-recruiting data indicated higher application intensity among students seeking entry-level jobs than in the prior recruiting cycle.
     -> TRUE
        https://joinhandshake.com/network-trends/class-of-2025-graduation/
        https://joinhandshake.com/themes/handshake/dist/assets/downloads/network-trends/class-of-2025.pdf
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/student-success/life-after-college/2025/04/24/market-downturn-hurts-college-seniors-career
  22. Handshake’s fall 2025 campus-recruiting data indicated that entry-level job-search competition had returned to the unusually favorable conditions seen in 2021 and 2022.
     -> FALSE
        https://joinhandshake.com/network-trends/class-of-2025-graduation/
        https://joinhandshake.com/themes/handshake/dist/assets/downloads/network-trends/class-of-2025.pdf
        https://joinhandshake.com/network-trends/gen-z-hiring-trends/2025/
  23. Amazon announced in October 2025 that it would cut about 14,000 corporate jobs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-workforce-reduction
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/28/amazon-to-cut-14000-corporate-jobs/
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1m3zm9jnl1o
  24. The major post-August 2025 labor-market releases strengthened the case that overall labor demand had cooled relative to the 2021-2022 hiring boom.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_09052025.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/prebmk.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_11202025.htm?utm=
        https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/blog/sf-fed-blog/2025/11/06/labor-supply-and-demand-are-slowing-in-tandem/
  25. The major post-August 2025 labor-market releases showed a broad reacceleration in white-collar hiring for new college graduates.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.naceweb.org/research/reports/job-outlook/2026
        https://joinhandshake.com/network-trends/class-of-2025-graduation/
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/students/careers/2025/11/17/jobs-report-hiring-flat-2026-grads

############################################################
# 5. Are Saudi Arabia and the UAE on good terms?
#    (id: saudi_uae_relations · 13 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, neither Saudi Arabia nor the UAE announced an ambassador recall, embassy closure, or suspension of bilateral relations with the other.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mohamedbinzayed.ae/en/latest-news-listing/2025/09/UAE-President-Saudi-Crown-Prince-discuss-fraternal-ties-regional-developments
        https://www.middleeastnews.net/news/278594965/uae-saudi-arabia-share-deep-rooted-fraternal-ties-saudi-ambassador
        https://www.mofa.gov.ae/en/mediahub/news/2025/10/23/23-10-2025-uae-uae
  2. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Saudi and UAE official media reported direct leader-level contact between Mohammed bin Salman and Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mohamedbinzayed.ae/en/latest-news-listing/2025/09/UAE-President-Saudi-Crown-Prince-discuss-fraternal-ties-regional-developments
        https://www.saudiarabiapr.com/pr.asp?pr=11048871
  3. During September-November 2025, Saudi Arabia and the UAE both participated in the eight-country OPEC+ voluntary-cut group that issued joint output decisions.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574579-02-november-2025.html
        https://www.moenergy.gov.sa/en/media-center/news/opec-members-reaffirm-commitment-to-maintaining-oil-market-stability
        https://www.kuwaitnews.net/news/278618899/opec-to-implement-production-adjustment-of-137000-bpd-effective-november
  4. The OPEC+ decision announced in early November 2025 by the group including Saudi Arabia and the UAE included a pause in further output increases for the first quarter of 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574579-02-november-2025.html
        https://www.moenergy.gov.sa/en/media-center/news/opec-members-reaffirm-commitment-to-maintaining-oil-market-stability
        https://www.rigzone.com/news/opec_8_decide_to_implement_output_adjustment-03-nov-2025-182221-article/
  5. During September-November 2025, the UAE publicly rejected Saudi-led OPEC+ oil policy and announced it would leave the OPEC+ voluntary-cut framework.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574579-02-november-2025.html
        https://www.arabianbusiness.com/business/energy/opec-nations-led-by-saudi-arabia-and-uae-to-increase-oil-production-by-137000-barrels-per-day-in-december
  6. After Israel's September 2025 strike in Doha, Saudi Arabia and the UAE both publicly condemned the strike.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/9/9/israeli-attack-in-doha-sparks-regional-and-international-condemnation
        https://una-oic.org/en/ALL/2025/09/10/The-world-condemns-the-Israeli-aggression-on/
        https://gulfnews.com/world/gulf/qatar/uae-condemns-qatar-blasts-stands-in-full-solidarity-with-doha-1.500262864
  7. The UAE publicly supported Israel's September 2025 strike in Doha while Saudi Arabia condemned it.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/9/9/israeli-attack-in-doha-sparks-regional-and-international-condemnation
        https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2025/09/12/uae-summons-israeli-envoy-doha-attack/
        https://gulfnews.com/world/gulf/qatar/uae-condemns-qatar-blasts-stands-in-full-solidarity-with-doha-1.500262864
  8. Saudi Arabia and the UAE both participated after August 31, 2025 in the Sudan diplomatic Quad involving the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.state.gov/releases/2025/09/joint-statement-on-restoring-peace-and-security-in-sudan/
        https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2025/09/us-saudi-arabia-uae-egypt-propose-roadmap-sudan-peace
        https://www.geeska.com/en/us-leads-high-level-quad-meeting-push-peace-sudan
  9. By December 1, 2025, Saudi Arabia had withdrawn from the Sudan Quad process because of the UAE's alleged role in Sudan.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1dz36ep673o
        https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2025/11/saudi-prince-press-trump-intervene-end-sudan-war-sources-say
  10. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Saudi Arabia announced sanctions against UAE officials or UAE entities over Sudan, Yemen, or another regional file.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1dz36ep673o
        https://www.arabnews.jp/en/saudi-arabia/article_161895/
  11. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Saudi Arabia and the UAE announced a bilateral trade embargo, land-border closure, or air-travel ban against each other.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.middleeastnews.net/news/278594965/uae-saudi-arabia-share-deep-rooted-fraternal-ties-saudi-ambassador
        https://www.mofa.gov.ae/en/mediahub/news/2025/10/23/23-10-2025-uae-uae
  12. During September-November 2025, Yemen-related disagreements involving UAE-aligned southern separatists resulted in a public Saudi-UAE diplomatic rupture.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.intelligenceonline.com/middle-east-and-africa/2025/11/28/hadramaut-edges-towards-war-as-riyadh--and-abu-dhabi-backed-factions-mobilise,110567096-art
        https://www.newarab.com/news/brothers-rivals-key-moments-saudi-uae-relations
        https://dayan.org/content/united-arab-emirates-tension-saudi-arabia-going-its-own-way-and-doubling-down-existing
  13. During September-November 2025, Saudi and UAE officials continued to appear together in GCC and Arab-Islamic multilateral meetings.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mofa.gov.ae/en/MediaHub/News/2025/9/24/24-9-2025-UAE-USA
        https://www.mofa.gov.ae/en/MediaHub/News/2025/9/24/24-9-2025-uae-New-York
        https://www.syrianews.net/news/278692657/saif-bin-zayed-leads-uae-delegation-to-42nd-gcc-interior-ministers-meeting
        https://english.aawsat.com/node/5212918

############################################################################
# 6. Are there any imminent changes to US tax law that I should be aware of?
#    (id: us_tax_law_changes · 21 evaluation statements)
############################################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, Congress had not enacted an extension of the enhanced Affordable Care Act premium tax credits that are scheduled to expire after 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.npr.org/2025/12/01/nx-s1-5620909/the-debate-to-extend-affordable-care-act-subsidies-continues-as-deadline-looms
        https://cbsaustin.com/news/nation-world/congress-enters-crunch-time-to-figure-out-how-to-deal-with-aca-subsidies-affordable-care-act-obamacare-health-insurance-premiums
        https://chir.georgetown.edu/the-clock-is-ticking-can-congress-prevent-an-imminent-spike-in-marketplace-premiums-on-january-1/
  2. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Congress enacted a new federal law that changed the ordinary individual income tax rate brackets for tax year 2026.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1
        https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/irs-releases-tax-inflation-adjustments-for-tax-year-2026-including-amendments-from-the-one-big-beautiful-bill
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the IRS released the official inflation-adjusted federal income tax brackets and standard deduction amounts for tax year 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/irs-releases-tax-inflation-adjustments-for-tax-year-2026-including-amendments-from-the-one-big-beautiful-bill
        https://www.journalofaccountancy.com/news/2025/oct/annual-inflation-adjustments-announced-for-tax-year-2026/
  4. The IRS announced after August 31, 2025 that the standard deduction for tax year 2026 is $16,100 for single filers and $32,200 for married couples filing jointly.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/irs-releases-tax-inflation-adjustments-for-tax-year-2026-including-amendments-from-the-one-big-beautiful-bill
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USIRS/bulletins/3f65fe1
  5. As of December 1, 2025, the new federal clean vehicle credits for new and used electric vehicles were no longer available for vehicles acquired after September 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/clean-vehicle-tax-credits
        https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/credits-for-new-clean-vehicles-purchased-in-2023-or-after?intcmp=NoOff_irs_blog_body-blog-post_ext
        https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/used-clean-vehicle-credit?brid=ocRslvpcR_U_OzF2pFXKlA
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Treasury or the IRS issued post-enactment guidance identifying occupations treated as customarily and regularly receiving tips for purposes of the new federal tip-income deduction.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/treasury-irs-issue-guidance-listing-occupations-where-workers-customarily-and-regularly-receive-tips-under-the-one-big-beautiful-bill
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-09-22/html/2025-18278.htm
  7. As of December 1, 2025, Treasury and the IRS had issued final regulations for the new federal deductions for qualified tips and qualified overtime compensation.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-09-22/html/2025-18278.htm
        https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-25-69.pdf?inf_contact_key=dbf1fb7287a7fec1a2d3cff41fbfb0f6680f8914173f9191b1c0223e68310bb1
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2026-04-13/pdf/2026-07104.pdf
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the IRS announced transition relief for 2025 information reporting related to qualified tips and qualified overtime compensation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/treasury-irs-provide-penalty-relief-for-tax-year-2025-for-information-reporting-on-tips-and-overtime-under-the-one-big-beautiful-bill
        https://www.journalofaccountancy.com/news/2025/nov/employers-get-reporting-relief-on-tips-overtime-wont-face-penalties-for-tax-year-2025/
        https://kpmg.com/us/en/taxnewsflash/news/2025/11/notice-2025-62-penalty-relief-information-reporting-requirements-deductions-for-qualified-tips-overtime-eo.html
  9. The new federal overtime deduction applies to all overtime wages earned by an employee rather than only to the overtime premium portion treated as overtime compensation under the statute and guidance.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/questions-and-answers-about-the-new-deduction-for-qualified-overtime-compensation
        https://kpmg.com/us/en/taxnewsflash/news/2025/11/notice-2025-69-qualified-tips-overtime-deductions.html
        https://www.lcwlegal.com/news/overtime-unbundled-complying-with-the-one-big-beautiful-bill-acts-overtime-tracking-requirements/
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the IRS announced the 2026 contribution limits for 401(k), 403(b), governmental 457, and Thrift Savings Plan elective deferrals.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/401k-limit-increases-to-24500-for-2026-ira-limit-increases-to-7500
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USIRS/bulletins/3fb3d4b
        https://kpmg.com/us/en/taxnewsflash/news/2025/11/notice-2025-67-increased-retirement-plan-contribution-limits-2026.html
  11. The IRS announced after August 31, 2025 that the employee elective deferral limit for 401(k), 403(b), governmental 457, and Thrift Savings Plan accounts is $24,500 for 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/401k-limit-increases-to-24500-for-2026-ira-limit-increases-to-7500
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USIRS/bulletins/3fb3d4b
  12. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the IRS announced the 2026 IRA contribution limit.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/401k-limit-increases-to-24500-for-2026-ira-limit-increases-to-7500
        https://www.journalofaccountancy.com/news/2025/nov/inflation-adjustments-to-retirement-account-limits-issued-for-2026/
        https://kpmg.com/us/en/taxnewsflash/news/2025/11/notice-2025-67-increased-retirement-plan-contribution-limits-2026.html
  13. The IRS announced after August 31, 2025 that the basic federal estate tax exclusion amount for estates of decedents dying in 2026 is $15,000,000.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/businesses/small-businesses-self-employed/whats-new-estate-and-gift-tax
        https://www.wealth.com/resources/articles/2026-irs-inflation-adjusted-numbers-reference-guide-for-estate-planning/
        https://www.montgomerypurdue.com/blog/2026-update-on-federal-transfer-tax-exemption-and-annual-exclusion-for-gifts/
  14. The IRS announced after August 31, 2025 that the annual federal gift tax exclusion remains $19,000 for gifts made in 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/businesses/small-businesses-self-employed/whats-new-estate-and-gift-tax
        https://www.wealth.com/resources/articles/2026-irs-inflation-adjusted-numbers-reference-guide-for-estate-planning/
        https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2025/10/irs-announces-increased-gift-and-estate-tax-exemption-amounts-for-2026
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the Social Security Administration announced that the Social Security taxable wage base will increase for 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ssa.gov/news/en/press/releases/2025-10-24.html
        https://www.ssa.gov/news/en/cola/factsheets/2026.html
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-11-03/html/2025-19763.htm
  16. The Social Security taxable wage base for 2026 is $184,500.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ssa.gov/news/en/cola/factsheets/2026.html
        https://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/cbb.html
        https://www.ssa.gov/news/en/press/releases/2025-10-24.html
  17. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the IRS announced the 2026 health flexible spending arrangement salary-reduction limit.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.leavitt.com/employee-benefits-compliance/irs-releases-health-fsa-limits-for-2026/
        https://hylant.com/insights/blog/irs-releases-health-fsa-limits-for-2026
        https://www.risk-strategies.com/blog/irs-releases-health-care-fsa-commuter-and-adoption-assistance-benefit-limits-for-2026?hs_amp=true
  18. The IRS announced after August 31, 2025 that the health flexible spending arrangement salary-reduction limit is $3,400 for 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.leavitt.com/employee-benefits-compliance/irs-releases-health-fsa-limits-for-2026/
        https://hylant.com/insights/blog/irs-releases-health-fsa-limits-for-2026
        https://www.wexinc.com/resources/blog/2026-fsa-limits-commuter-limits/
  19. As of December 1, 2025, the federal residential clean energy credit and the federal energy-efficient home improvement credit were still scheduled to terminate for property placed in service after December 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/residential-clean-energy-credit?qls=QMM_12345678.0123456789
        https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/faqs-for-modification-of-sections-25c-25d-25e-30c-30d-45l-45w-and-179d-under-public-law-119-21-139-stat-72-july-4-2025-commonly-known-as-the-one-big-beautiful-bill-obbb
        https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/energy-efficient-home-improvement-credit?t=
  20. As of December 1, 2025, Congress had enacted a new nationwide federal sales tax or value-added tax scheduled to take effect in 2026.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/119/hr25
        https://desototribune.com/2025/12/01/could-a-national-sales-tax-replace-federal-income-taxes/
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/BILLS-119hr25ih/pdf/BILLS-119hr25ih.pdf
  21. As of December 1, 2025, the Supreme Court had not issued a final merits decision invalidating the challenged IEEPA-based tariffs that were under review in 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gtlaw.com/en/insights/2025/12/us-supreme-court-to-rule-on-iepa-authority-and-tariff-refunds
        https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/11/court-appears-dubious-of-trumps-tariffs/
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/international-trade-investment/1712220/tariff-and-refund-potential-refund-issues-after-supreme-court-hears-arguments-in-ieepa-cases

###############################################################
# 7. Are there any major AI companies on the verge of collapse?
#    (id: ai_companies_collapsing · 22 evaluation statements)
###############################################################

  1. OpenAI filed for bankruptcy protection between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://openai.com/index/built-to-benefit-everyone/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/28/open-ai-for-profit-microsoft.html
  2. OpenAI completed a corporate restructuring in late October 2025 that placed its operating business under a public-benefit-corporation structure.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/built-to-benefit-everyone/
        https://openai.com/our-structure/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/28/openai-completes-its-for-profit-recapitalization/
  3. Microsoft retained a large economic stake in OpenAI under the revised OpenAI-Microsoft agreement announced in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/789019/000119312525256310/msft-ex99_2.htm
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/28/open-ai-for-profit-microsoft.html
        https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2025/10/28/openai-restructures-into-public-benefit-firm-microsoft-takes-27-stake
  4. OpenAI announced in September 2025 a strategic partnership with Nvidia involving potential Nvidia investment of up to $100 billion tied to large-scale AI infrastructure buildout.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/openai-nvidia-systems-partnership/
        https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/openai-nvidia/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/22/nvidia-openai-data-center.html
  5. Oracle was reported in September 2025 to have a cloud-computing contract with OpenAI worth roughly $300 billion over several years.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/10/openai-and-oracle-reportedly-ink-historic-cloud-computing-deal/
        https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/776170/oracle-openai-300-billion-contract-project-stargate
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/09/10/openai-oracle-strike-300b-cloud-computing-deal-power-ai/
  6. OpenAI’s CFO Sarah Friar publicly suggested in November 2025 that a U.S. government backstop could help finance AI infrastructure.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/06/openai-cfo-sarah-friar-says-company-is-not-seeking-government-backstop.html
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/openai-walks-back-remarks-government-182421071.html
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/06/sam-altman-says-he-doesnt-want-the-government-to-bail-out-openai-if-it-fails/
  7. Sam Altman stated in November 2025 that OpenAI was not seeking federal loan guarantees for its data centers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/openais-sam-altman-backtracks-cfos-government-backstop-talk-rcna242447
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/06/sam-altman-says-he-doesnt-want-the-government-to-bail-out-openai-if-it-fails/
        https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-trends/article/3331851/sam-altman-says-openai-does-not-want-government-bailout-ai
  8. Anthropic filed for bankruptcy protection between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raises-series-f-at-usd183b-post-money-valuation?nis=8
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/expanding-our-use-of-google-cloud-tpus-and-services
  9. Anthropic announced in September 2025 that it had raised about $13 billion at a post-money valuation of about $183 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raises-series-f-at-usd183b-post-money-valuation?nis=8
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13-billion-at-18-billion-valuation.html
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13b-series-f-at-183b-valuation/
  10. Anthropic agreed in September 2025 to a roughly $1.5 billion settlement of a U.S. authors’ copyright class action over pirated books used in training data.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/05/anthropic-to-pay-1point5-billion-to-settle-authors-copyright-lawsuit-.html
        https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/anthropic-settlement-lawsuit-authors-rcna229422
        https://news.bloomberglaw.com/ip-law/anthropic-to-pay-1-5-billion-to-settle-author-copyright-claims
  11. The September 2025 Anthropic copyright settlement required Anthropic to shut down Claude.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.dandodiary.com/2025/10/articles/artificial-intelligence/guest-post-is-claude-the-next-napster/
        https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.434709/gov.uscourts.cand.434709.432.1.pdf
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/25/judge-anthropic-case-preliminary-ok-to-1point5b-settlement-with-authors.html
  12. Anthropic announced in October 2025 an expanded Google Cloud partnership giving it access to up to one million Google TPUs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/expanding-our-use-of-google-cloud-tpus-and-services
        https://www.googlecloudpresscorner.com/2025-10-23-Anthropic-to-Expand-Use-of-Google-Cloud-TPUs-and-Services
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/23/anthropic-google-cloud-deal-tpu.html
  13. Mistral AI filed for insolvency proceedings between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://mistral.ai/news/mistral-ai-raises-1-7-b-to-accelerate-technological-progress-with-ai/
  14. Mistral AI announced in September 2025 a funding round led by ASML that valued the company at roughly €11.7 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://mistral.ai/news/mistral-ai-raises-1-7-b-to-accelerate-technological-progress-with-ai/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/09/ai-firm-mistral-valued-at-14-billion-as-asml-takes-major-stake.html
        https://tech.eu/2025/09/09/mistral-bags-1-7bn-funding-round-as-asml-takes-significant-stake/
  15. xAI laid off hundreds of data-annotation workers in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/13/xai-reportedly-lays-off-500-workers-from-data-annotation-team/
        https://www.theverge.com/news/777773/xai-laid-off-over-500-people-responsible-for-training-grok
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/musks-xai-lays-hundreds-data-annotators-business-insider-reports-5347626
  16. xAI filed for bankruptcy protection between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
  17. Meta announced in October 2025 that it was cutting roughly 600 roles from its AI organization.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/22/meta-layoffs-ai.html
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/22/meta-cuts-600-ai-jobs-amid-ongoing-reorganization/
        https://www.theverge.com/news/804253/meta-ai-research-layoffs-fair-superintelligence
  18. Meta’s October 2025 AI layoffs were accompanied by an announcement that Meta was shutting down its AI model efforts entirely.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.theverge.com/news/804253/meta-ai-research-layoffs-fair-superintelligence
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/22/meta-layoffs-ai.html
        https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/technology/tech-news/after-hiring-ai-researchers-at-100-million-plus-pay-packages-mark-zuckerbergs-superintelligence-labs-unit-is-laying-off-600-employees-read-full-memo/articleshow/124747066.cms
  19. Perplexity AI was reported in September 2025 to have raised new capital at an approximately $20 billion valuation.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/10/perplexity-reportedly-raised-200m-at-20b-valuation/
        https://www.marketscreener.com/news/perplexity-finalizes-20-billion-valuation-round-the-information-reports-ce7d59dddc8bfe21
        https://techfundingnews.com/perplexity-raises-200m-at-20b-valuation-ai-search/
  20. Warner Bros. Discovery sued Midjourney in September 2025 alleging copyright infringement.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71271014/warner-bros-entertainment-inc-v-midjourney-inc/
        https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/warner-bros-discovery-sues-ai-company-copyright-infringement-1236361610/
        https://www.theverge.com/news/772101/midjourney-ai-generator-warner-bros-lawsuit
  21. Midjourney entered bankruptcy protection after the Warner Bros. Discovery lawsuit.
     -> FALSE
  22. Stability AI filed for administration or bankruptcy between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.companiesintheuk.co.uk/ltd/stability-ai
        https://www.cbinsights.com/company/stability-ai/financials
        https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/12295325/filing-history

######################################################################################
# 8. Are there any megaprojects in the Gulf that are likely to be completed this year?
#    (id: gulf_megaprojects_completion · 21 evaluation statements)
######################################################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, the Natural History Museum Abu Dhabi opened to the public.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mediaoffice.abudhabi/en/crown-prince-news/khaled-bin-mohamed-bin-zayed-attends-official-opening-ceremony-of-natural-history-museum-abu-dhabi/
        https://blooloop.com/natural-history-museum-abu-dhabi-open/
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the Natural History Museum Abu Dhabi was still awaiting its first public opening.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mediaoffice.abudhabi/en/crown-prince-news/khaled-bin-mohamed-bin-zayed-attends-official-opening-ceremony-of-natural-history-museum-abu-dhabi/
        https://blooloop.com/natural-history-museum-abu-dhabi-open/
  3. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Abu Dhabi authorities announced a December 2025 public opening for the Zayed National Museum.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mediaoffice.abudhabi/en/arts-culture/zayed-national-museum-to-open-on-3-december-2025-in-saadiyat-cultural-district/
        https://www.thenationalnews.com/arts-culture/2025/10/16/abu-dhabi-zayed-museum-opening-date/
  4. As of December 1, 2025, the Zayed National Museum had been delayed to 2026.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mediaoffice.abudhabi/en/arts-culture/zayed-national-museum-to-open-on-3-december-2025-in-saadiyat-cultural-district/
        https://www.khaleejtimes.com/uae/zayed-national-museum-opening-date-ticket-sales
  5. As of December 1, 2025, Guggenheim Abu Dhabi had opened to the public.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.thenationalnews.com/arts-culture/art-design/2025/11/21/first-details-of-guggenheim-abu-dhabis-collection-global-museum/
        https://www.artnews.com/art-news/news/guggenheim-abu-dhabi-basquiat-warhol-1234763670/
  6. As of December 1, 2025, Guggenheim Abu Dhabi was scheduled for a 2025 public opening.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.artnews.com/art-news/news/guggenheim-abu-dhabi-basquiat-warhol-1234763670/
        https://www.domusweb.it/en/architecture/2025/08/18/guggenheim-abu-dhabi-frank-gehry-news-opening.html
  7. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Ciel Dubai Marina opened to hotel guests.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.thenationalnews.com/travel/2025/11/15/ciel-dubai-marina-opens-as-worlds-talest-hotel-first-guests/
        https://www.ihgplc.com/en/news-and-media/news-releases/2025/ciel-dubai-marina-vignette-collection-debuts-as-the-worlds-tallest-hotel
  8. As of December 1, 2025, Wynn Al Marjan Island was scheduled to open in 2027.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.khaleejtimes.com/business/property/wynn-al-marjan-island-tower-nears-full-height-on-track-2027-opening
        https://marjan.ae/our-business/hospitality/wynn-al-marjan-island
  9. As of December 1, 2025, Wynn Al Marjan Island was open to guests.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.khaleejtimes.com/business/property/wynn-al-marjan-island-tower-nears-full-height-on-track-2027-opening
        https://www.newsroom.wynnresorts.com/en/wynnalmarjan/wynn-al-marjan-island-presents-the-first-look--at-its-resort-tower-guest-rooms/s/67d0d8d1-8307-4654-a3a0-411ede9b5fca
  10. As of December 1, 2025, the Dubai Metro Blue Line was scheduled for completion in 2029.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mediaoffice.ae/en/news/2025/november/09-11/rta
        https://www.khaleejtimes.com/uae/transport/dubai-metro-blue-line-reaches-10-completion-november-2025
  11. As of December 1, 2025, the Dubai Metro Blue Line was a plausible 2025 completion candidate.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mediaoffice.ae/en/news/2025/november/09-11/rta
        https://www.khaleejtimes.com/uae/transport/dubai-metro-blue-line-reaches-10-completion-november-2025
  12. As of December 1, 2025, Etihad Rail passenger service had begun commercial operations.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2025/10/01/etihad-rail-teams-up-with-french-company-to-operate-passenger-services/
        https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2025/09/30/top-notch-etihad-rail-passenger-service-on-track-for-2026-launch/
  13. As of December 1, 2025, The Red Sea destination’s full masterplan had been completed.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.agbi.com/saudi-giga-projects/the-red-sea/
        https://www.vision2030.gov.sa/en/explore/projects/red-sea-global
        https://www.bna.bh/en/HRHPremierissuesEdicts34and35/RedSeaprojectmasterplanwinssealofapproval.aspx?cms=q8FmFJgiscL2fwIzON1%2BDk1iPZVEH40llQZE1X%2F4H4I%3D
  14. As of December 1, 2025, The Red Sea destination’s first phase remained a 2025 completion or opening target in public project updates.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.sothebysrealty.sa/en/the-journal/a-coastline-of-dreams-red-sea-project
        https://guest.meed.com/amaala-first-phase-to-complete-by-2027/
  15. As of December 1, 2025, AMAALA Triple Bay’s first phase had fully opened to guests.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.pif.gov.sa/en/news-and-insights/newswire/2025/red-sea-global-announces-the-opening-of-amaala/
        https://www.redseaglobal.com/en/media-center/news/red-sea-global-announces-the-opening-of-amaala-the-world-s-new-coastal-lifestyle-destination/
  16. As of December 1, 2025, Six Flags Qiddiya City was open to visitors.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.zawya.com/en/press-release/companies-news/qiddiya-city-announces-the-opening-of-its-first-major-asset-six-flags-qiddiya-city-on-december-31-2025-epqwu5x9
        https://saudigazette.com.sa/article/656570/SAUDI-ARABIA/Six-Flags-Qiddiya-City-to-open-on-New-Years-eve-2025
  17. As of December 1, 2025, Aquarabia Qiddiya was open to visitors.
     -> FALSE
        https://indiaoutbound.info/events/six-flags-qiddiya-city-saudi-arabia-to-open-on-december-31/
        https://qiddiya.com/en/qiddiya-city/aquarabia/
  18. As of December 1, 2025, NEOM Trojena was scheduled for completion in 2029.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.neom.com/en-us/newsroom/hrh-prince-announces-trojena
        https://gulfconstructiononline.com/Article/386314/Sculpting_a_ski_resort_in_KSA
  19. As of December 1, 2025, NEOM Trojena was a plausible 2025 completion candidate.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.neom.com/en-us/newsroom/hrh-prince-announces-trojena
        https://www.indianexpress.com/article/world/neoms-trojena-ski-resort-for-completion-before-2029-asian-winter-games-10199151/
  20. As of December 1, 2025, Qatar’s North Field East LNG expansion had begun LNG exports.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.zawya.com/en/business/energy/lng-output-from-qatarenergys-north-field-expansion-to-start-in-second-half-2026-ceo-says-jjsyhstu
        https://thepeninsulaqatar.com/article/11/08/2025/qatar-reinforces-lng-leadership-reshapes-global-energy-landscape
  21. As of December 1, 2025, Qatar’s North Field East LNG expansion was scheduled to deliver first LNG in 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.zawya.com/en/business/energy/lng-output-from-qatarenergys-north-field-expansion-to-start-in-second-half-2026-ceo-says-jjsyhstu
        https://thepeninsulaqatar.com/article/11/08/2025/qatar-reinforces-lng-leadership-reshapes-global-energy-landscape

#################################################################################
# 9. Are there any practical applications for quantum computing in the near term?
#    (id: quantum_computing_applications · 17 evaluation statements)
#################################################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no publicly verified quantum computer demonstrated a fault-tolerant commercial application with validated economic advantage over classical computing.
     -> TRUE
        https://thequantuminsider.com/2025/11/01/nisq-to-fasq-quantum-computing-still-faces-a-climb-from-promise-to-practicality/
        https://www.bain.com/insights/quantum-computing-moves-from-theoretical-to-inevitable-technology-report-2025/
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/quantum-echoes-willow-verifiable-quantum-advantage/
        https://newsroom.ibm.com/2025-11-12-ibm-delivers-new-quantum-processors,-software,-and-algorithm-breakthroughs-on-path-to-advantage-and-fault-tolerance
  2. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no publicly reported quantum-computing result broke RSA-2048 or another widely deployed public-key cryptosystem.
     -> TRUE
        https://forklog.com/en/quantum-computer-cracks-tiny-cryptographic-key/
        https://infleqtion.com/infleqtion-unveils-new-architecture-to-accelerate-its-quantum-computing-roadmap-to-achieve-1000-logical-qubits-by-2030/
        https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15330
        https://blog.google/security/tracking-cost-of-quantum-factori/
        https://www.tcg.com/blog/q-day-when-will-quantum-computers-break-encryption/
  3. In October 2025, Google Quantum AI announced a Quantum Echoes algorithm run on its Willow superconducting quantum processor.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/quantum-echoes-willow-verifiable-quantum-advantage/
        https://spectrum.ieee.org/quantum-echoes
        https://quantumcomputingreport.com/google-quantum-ai-achieves-verifiable-quantum-advantage-on-willow-chip-with-quantum-echoes-algorithm/
  4. Google’s 2025 Quantum Echoes result was presented as a verifiable quantum-advantage experiment.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/quantum-echoes-willow-verifiable-quantum-advantage/
        https://research.google/blog/a-verifiable-quantum-advantage/
        https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09526-6
  5. Google’s 2025 Quantum Echoes result was presented as a fully fault-tolerant quantum computation.
     -> FALSE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/quantum-hardware-verifiable-advantage/
        https://pmrc.berkeley.edu/news/our-quantum-echoes-algorithm-big-step-toward-real-world-applications-quantum-computing
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/quantum-echoes-willow-verifiable-quantum-advantage/
  6. Google’s 2025 Quantum Echoes announcement identified scientific simulation as a prospective near-term application area for quantum computing.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/quantum-echoes-willow-verifiable-quantum-advantage/
        https://pmrc.berkeley.edu/news/our-quantum-echoes-algorithm-big-step-toward-real-world-applications-quantum-computing
        https://quantumcomputingreport.com/google-quantum-ai-achieves-verifiable-quantum-advantage-on-willow-chip-with-quantum-echoes-algorithm/
  7. Google’s 2025 Quantum Echoes announcement established a routine commercial quantum-computing service for industrial chemistry customers.
     -> FALSE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/quantum-echoes-willow-verifiable-quantum-advantage/
        https://pmrc.berkeley.edu/news/our-quantum-echoes-algorithm-big-step-toward-real-world-applications-quantum-computing
        https://www.sciencenews.org/article/quantum-echoes-google-computer
  8. In November 2025, IBM announced a new quantum processor called IBM Quantum Nighthawk.
     -> TRUE
        https://newsroom.ibm.com/2025-11-12-ibm-delivers-new-quantum-processors,-software,-and-algorithm-breakthroughs-on-path-to-advantage-and-fault-tolerance
        https://indianexpress.com/article/technology/tech-news-technology/ibm-new-nighthawk-quantum-processor-10365047/
        https://quantumcomputingreport.com/ibm-advances-quantum-roadmap-with-nighthawk-processor-and-300mm-wafer-fabrication-shift/
  9. IBM’s November 2025 Nighthawk announcement positioned the processor as a step toward demonstrating quantum advantage before full fault tolerance.
     -> TRUE
        https://newsroom.ibm.com/2025-11-12-ibm-delivers-new-quantum-processors,-software,-and-algorithm-breakthroughs-on-path-to-advantage-and-fault-tolerance
        https://www.helpnetsecurity.com/2025/11/12/ibm-quantum-nighthawk-processor/
        https://www.hpcwire.com/off-the-wire/ibm-expands-quantum-roadmap-with-new-processors-error-corrected-architecture-and-hpc-integrated-qiskit/
  10. IBM announced before December 1, 2025 that Nighthawk had delivered a production customer application with a validated classical cost advantage.
     -> FALSE
        https://newsroom.ibm.com/2025-11-12-ibm-delivers-new-quantum-processors,-software,-and-algorithm-breakthroughs-on-path-to-advantage-and-fault-tolerance
        https://www.hpcwire.com/off-the-wire/ibm-expands-quantum-roadmap-with-new-processors-error-corrected-architecture-and-hpc-integrated-qiskit/
        https://quantumcomputingreport.com/ibm-advances-quantum-roadmap-with-nighthawk-processor-and-300mm-wafer-fabrication-shift/
  11. In late 2025, IBM announced an experimental processor called Loon for testing technologies relevant to fault-tolerant quantum computing.
     -> TRUE
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/11/12/ibm-unveils-loon-nighthawk-next-generation-processors-scalable-fault-tolerant-quantum-computing/
        https://quantumcomputingreport.com/ibm-advances-quantum-roadmap-with-nighthawk-processor-and-300mm-wafer-fabrication-shift/
        https://postquantum.com/industry-news/ibm-loon-nighthawk/
  12. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no public announcement demonstrated enough error-corrected logical qubits for industrial-scale chemistry or materials algorithms.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.foley.com/insights/publications/2025/10/pivotal-push-from-lab-to-leverage-why-now-is-the-window-to-secure-foundational-quantum-patents/
        https://infleqtion.com/infleqtion-unveils-new-architecture-to-accelerate-its-quantum-computing-roadmap-to-achieve-1000-logical-qubits-by-2030/
        https://www.ibm.com/quantum/blog/large-scale-ftqc?previewToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJpZCI6Mjk2LCJpYXQiOjE3NDkyMzI4MDYsImV4cCI6MTc0OTQ5MjAwNiwic3ViIjoiNDE0MCJ9.O_MfyiHt70Z2jPXlB2qO2ISg0zq_K2I3qBZo_Upwze0
        https://thequantuminsider.com/2025/05/22/quantum-chemistry-gets-error-corrected-boost-from-quantinuums-trapped-ion-computer/
  13. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no gate-model quantum computer publicly demonstrated a validated practical speedup for a live financial optimization task.
     -> TRUE
        https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=9170
        https://quantumcomputingreport.com/ibm-and-vanguard-explore-quantum-optimization-for-portfolio-construction/
        https://www.ibm.com/think/news/quantum-computing-shows-potential-in-finance
  14. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no quantum computer was publicly credited with discovering a drug that had reached regulatory approval.
     -> TRUE
        https://stjude.org/research/progress/2025/quantum-computing-makes-waves-in-drug-discovery.html
        https://www.nature.com/articles/s41587-024-02526-3
        https://www.axios.com/2025/01/02/quantum-computing-biotech-pharma-drug-development
  15. After August 31, 2025, D-Wave continued to offer quantum-annealing and hybrid quantum-classical optimization services through the cloud.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dwavequantum.com/solutions-and-products/cloud-platform
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1907982/000190798225000242/qbts-20251103.htm
        https://content.edgar-online.com/ExternalLink/EDGAR/0001907982-25-000101.html?hash=bcf4018580dd30943d731657bcec21ff65277548c1cd2556a4bd04b3239e4832&dest=qbts-20250520_htm
  16. After August 31, 2025, D-Wave announced that its annealing machines had become universal fault-tolerant quantum computers.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.dwavequantum.com/solutions-and-products/cloud-platform
        https://postquantum.com/quantum-computing-companies/d-wave/
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1907982/000190798225000248/q32025investordeck.htm
  17. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, post-cutoff quantum-computing application claims remained concentrated in benchmarking, simulation, and hybrid optimization rather than broad replacement of classical computing.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bain.com/insights/quantum-computing-moves-from-theoretical-to-inevitable-technology-report-2025/
        https://thequantuminsider.com/2025/11/01/nisq-to-fasq-quantum-computing-still-faces-a-climb-from-promise-to-practicality/
        https://arxiv.org/html/2511.09124v3
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/quantum-echoes-willow-verifiable-quantum-advantage/
        https://quantumcomputingreport.com/ibm-and-vanguard-explore-quantum-optimization-for-portfolio-construction/

################################################################################
# 10. Are there any promising elder care technology startups I should look into?
#    (id: elder_care_tech_startups · 20 evaluation statements)
################################################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, at least one elder-care-focused technology startup announced a new equity financing round of $20 million or more.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/inspiren-raises-100m-series-b-to-lead-senior-livings-ai-driven-future-302566946.html
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250909663168/en/Teton.ai-Raises-%2420-Million-to-Reinvent-Elderly-Care
        https://www.sensi.ai/blog/sensi-ai-raises-45m-series-c-extending-its-dominance-of-care-intelligence-in-vertical-ai/
        https://www.mobihealthnews.com/news/duos-raises-130m-senior-focused-platform
  2. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no elder-care-focused technology startup completed a U.S. IPO or direct listing.
     -> TRUE
        https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/2025/
        https://tracxn.com/d/sectors/age-tech/__YFluP31FHG583F9ULS4tLP6CfdThmzVC3lK__QRkCP0
        https://tracxn.com/d/sectors/geriatrics/__aaosGDMV0nKYihakyYMVf9UB8WoWmVwX-0HtG1tOv-s
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Sensi.AI announced a new funding round or strategic financing event.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sensi.ai/blog/sensi-ai-raises-45m-series-c-extending-its-dominance-of-care-intelligence-in-vertical-ai/
        https://www.finsmes.com/2025/10/sensi-ai-raises-45m-in-series-c-funding.html
        https://www.sidley.com/en/newslanding/newsannouncements/2025/10/sidley-advises-sensi-ai-in-its-us$45-million-series-c-financing
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, SafelyYou announced a new funding round, acquisition, or major senior-living enterprise deployment.
     -> TRUE
        https://investorshangout.com/maplewood-senior-living-enhances-care-with-safelyyou-technology-37375-/
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Intuition Robotics announced a material new funding round, acquisition, shutdown, or sale affecting ElliQ.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.kanematsu.co.jp/en/press/release/20250909_release
        https://www.therobotreport.com/intuition-robotics-partners-with-kanematsu-bring-elliq-to-japan/
        https://www.healthcareittoday.com/2025/10/06/kanematsu-invests-in-intuition-robotics-to-collaborate-on-japanese-expansion-of-ai-companion-robot-elliq/
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Teton.ai announced a new funding round, U.S. expansion milestone, or major care-home customer deployment.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250909663168/en/Teton.ai-Raises-%2420-Million-to-Reinvent-Elderly-Care
        https://www.mobihealthnews.com/news/tetonai-raises-20m-us-launch
        https://www.prweb.com/releases/aquinas-senior-living-inc-launches-first-pa-deployment-of-ai-driven-teton-one-care-platform-302614205.html
  7. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Birdie announced a new funding round, acquisition, or material expansion outside its existing home-care software market.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.birdie.care/blog/homecare-cashflow-birdie-triver
        https://techcrunch.com/2022/06/28/birdie-series-b/
        https://www.prnewswire.co.uk/news-releases/birdie-raises-30m-series-b-to-transform-elderly-care-at-home-864971599.html
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Rippl Care announced new financing, a major payer contract, or a material geographic expansion of its dementia-care model.
     -> TRUE
        https://harborhealth.com/press/harbor-health-acquires-rippl-care
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, DUOS announced a new financing round or a material Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, or payer partnership.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251009440316/en/DUOS-Secures-%24130M-Strategic-Growth-Investment-Led-by-FTV-Capital
        https://medcitynews.com/2025/10/duos-raise-ai-payers/
        https://ftvcapital.com/insights/transforming-the-way-seniors-navigate-healthcare-why-we-invested-in-duos/
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, CareYaya announced a new institutional funding round or a material expansion of its AI-enabled caregiver marketplace.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.highergov.com/grant/R43AG094339/
        https://thegerontechnologist.com/from-hed-funds-to-home-care-how-careyaya-is-redefining-the-future-of-caregiving-the-agetech-podcast-s5e9-with-neal-k-shah/
        https://www.pr.com/press-release/951148
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Lilli announced a new funding round or a material contract with a public-sector or large home-care customer.
     -> FALSE
        https://intelligentlilli.com/news/royal-college-of-occupational-therapists-announces-partnership-with-lilli-to-help-get-occupational-therapy-ready-for-the-future
        https://www.eu-startups.com/2024/02/uk-based-lilli-secures-over-e9-5-million-to-help-people-to-live-safely-and-independently-in-their-homes-for-longer/
        https://thiis.co.uk/care-technology-supports-hundreds-of-people-in-kent-to-live-safely-and-independently-at-home/
  12. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, August Health announced a new funding round, acquisition, or major product expansion for senior-living operators.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250807042114/en/August-Health-Secures-%2429M-to-Advance-Its-Vision-for-AI-Enabled-Caregiving
        https://seniorhousingnews.com/2025/08/07/august-health-raises-29m-in-series-b-funding-to-expand-launch-new-ai-platform/
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251007291180/en/Belmont-Village-Senior-Living-Enhances-Resident-and-Family-Experience-with-August-Health-Partnership
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Aline announced a new acquisition, financing event, or major consolidation move in senior-living software.
     -> FALSE
        https://alineops.com/press-releases/expands-leadership-launches-advisory-services/
        https://alineops.com/press-releases/aline-acquires-grove-menus/
        https://alineops.com/press-releases/aline-acquires-roobrik/
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Papa announced a material financing, sale, shutdown, or business-model change relevant to its senior-companionship business.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news/papa-inc./
        https://smallbizroom.com/is-papa-pal-going-out-of-business/
        https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/nearly-3-dozen-payers-drop-senior-companionship-company/
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, any major U.S. Medicare or CMS rule change materially expanded reimbursement for nonclinical elder-care companion robots.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.chartspan.com/blog/medicare-physician-fee-schedule-final-rule-2026-significant-changes-are-here/
        https://www.ehealthvirginia.org/november-2025-updates-to-medicare-telehealth-policy/
        https://cms.gov/priorities/innovation/innovation-models/guide
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, U.S. Medicare telehealth flexibilities changed in a way that materially affected virtual-care startups serving older adults.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mcdermottlaw.com/insights/medicare-telehealth-flexibilities-expire-immediate-impacts-and-next-steps/
        https://www.techtarget.com/virtualhealthcare/feature/Telehealth-flexibilities-have-expired-Heres-what-you-need-to-know
        https://caltrc.org/legislation-regulation/medicare-telehealth-update/
        https://telehealth.org/news/shutdown-ends-medicare-telehealth-flexibilities-extended-through-january-30-2026/
  17. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, CMS announced a new dementia-care payment model that replaced the GUIDE Model.
     -> FALSE
        https://cms.gov/priorities/innovation/innovation-models/guide
        https://www.chcs.org/resource/guide-ing-efforts-to-support-comprehensive-dementia-care-programs/
        https://www.cms.gov/priorities/innovation/guide/faqs
  18. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, at least one elder-care technology startup announced a partnership explicitly tied to Medicare Advantage supplemental benefits or value-based care for seniors.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250924413627/en/PocketRN-and-Comfort-Keepers-Announce-National-Strategic-Partnership-to-Deliver-CMS-GUIDE-Dementia-Care-Model
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251001259720/en/Cosn-and-Harmonic-Health-Announce-Strategic-Partnership-to-Strengthen-Dementia-Care-Through-CMMI-GUIDE-Model
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250923636145/en/TailorCare-Expands-Value-Based-Musculoskeletal-Care-for-Humana-Medicare-Advantage-Members-in-Dallas-and-Denver
  19. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, at least one elder-care technology startup announced a significant regulatory, privacy, or patient-safety setback involving AI monitoring in homes or senior-living facilities.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.fda.gov/inspections-compliance-enforcement-and-criminal-investigations/warning-letters/seniorlife-technologies-inc-707021-08212025
        https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=b04eb635-11ad-42db-b33f-8d02c9d5dfcb
        https://incidentdatabase.ai/cite/1109/
  20. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, there was a material acquisition of an elder-care technology startup by a large healthcare, insurance, or senior-living incumbent.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251031453151/en/CareScout-Completes-Acquisition-of-Seniorly
        https://investor.genworth.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1047/carescout-announces-plan-to-acquire-seniorly
        https://www.medtechmatters.com/carescout-acquires-seniorly/

#####################################################################
# 11. Are there any verticals in which Blue Origin is leading SpaceX?
#    (id: blue_origin_vs_spacex · 24 evaluation statements)
#####################################################################

  1. Blue Origin's second New Glenn mission launched between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-launches-nasa-escapade-lands-fully-reusable-booster
        https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2025/11/ng-2-escapade-launch/
  2. Blue Origin's second New Glenn mission carried NASA's ESCAPADE Mars mission.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-launches-nasa-escapade-lands-fully-reusable-booster
        https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-blue-origin-launch-two-spacecraft-to-study-mars-solar-wind/
        https://spacenews.com/new-glenn-launches-nasas-escapade-mars-mission-lands-booster/
  3. Blue Origin recovered a New Glenn first stage intact after an orbital launch between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-launches-nasa-escapade-lands-fully-reusable-booster
        https://phys.org/news/2025-11-blue-1st-recovered-glenn-booster.html
        https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/blue-origin-lands-huge-new-glenn-rocket-booster-for-1st-time-after-acing-mars-escapade-launch-for-nasa
  4. Blue Origin re-flew a recovered New Glenn first stage between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://phys.org/news/2025-11-blue-1st-recovered-glenn-booster.html
        https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/10/blue-origin-aims-to-land-next-new-glenn-booster-then-reuse-it-for-moon-mission/
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_New_Glenn_launches
  5. Blue Origin became the second company to vertically land an orbital-class booster after an orbital launch by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://arstechnica.com/science/2025/11/blue-origin-caps-second-heavy-lift-launch-with-first-offshore-landing/
        https://web.archive.org/web/20251214113702/https:/aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org/blue-origin-nails-booster-landing-on-second-new-glenn-launch/
  6. SpaceX completed at least one Starship integrated flight test between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/starship-successfully-completes-11th-flight-test/
        https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2025/10/starship-flight-11-the-end-beginning-new/
        https://spaceflightnow.com/2025/10/14/spacex-launches-final-version-2-starship-super-heavy-rocket/
  7. A SpaceX Starship upper stage completed a controlled atmospheric reentry between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.friendsofnasa.org/2025/10/spacex-starship-splashdown-11th-flight.html
        https://uk.pcmag.com/news/160711/starships-version-2-flies-for-the-last-time-splashes-down-in-one-piece
        https://spaceflightnow.com/2025/10/14/spacex-launches-final-version-2-starship-super-heavy-rocket/
  8. SpaceX re-flew a Starship upper stage between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.teslarati.com/starship-spacex-eyes-tower-catch-after-flawless-flight-11/
        https://orbitaltoday.com/2025/09/01/starship-could-attempt-upper-stage-catch-as-early-as-flight-13-musk-says/
        https://spaceflightnow.com/2025/10/14/spacex-launches-final-version-2-starship-super-heavy-rocket/
  9. SpaceX completed an in-space propellant-transfer demonstration between two Starship vehicles by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://gizmodo.com/can-spacex-deliver-starship-on-time-for-nasas-2027-moon-landing-2000680092
        https://therelaymag.com/starships-2025-pivot-orbital-refueling-will-decide-the-moon
        https://www.app.com/story/news/local/2025/11/04/spacex-starship-launch-texas/87081543007/
        https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20250004625
  10. SpaceX conducted more orbital launches than Blue Origin between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://en-wp.org/wiki/2025_in_spaceflight_(October%E2%80%93December)
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_New_Glenn_launches
        https://spacestatsonline.com/launches/year/2025/
  11. Blue Origin conducted more successful orbital booster landings than SpaceX between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-launches-nasa-escapade-lands-fully-reusable-booster
        https://en-wp.org/wiki/2025_in_spaceflight_(October%E2%80%93December)
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Falcon_9_launches
  12. Blue Origin flew a crewed New Shepard mission between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blueorigin.com/new-shepard/astronauts
        https://tech.yahoo.com/science/articles/blue-origin-launches-6-space-144004352.html
        https://www.spacelaunchschedule.com/launch/new-shepard-ns-36/
  13. SpaceX flew a crewed suborbital tourism mission between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://ts2.tech/en/battle-for-the-final-frontier-space-tourism-face-off-blue-origin-vs-spacex-vs-virgin-galactic/
        https://spacenews.com/starship-successfully-completes-11th-flight-test/
        https://volswire.usatoday.com/story/news/local/2025/10/14/spacex-starbase-texas-starship-launch/86619664007/
  14. Blue Origin flew a crewed orbital mission between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://tech.yahoo.com/science/articles/blue-origin-launches-6-space-144004352.html
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-launches-nasa-escapade-lands-fully-reusable-booster
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Origin_NS-36
  15. Blue Origin launched a Blue Moon lunar lander between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://spaceflightnow.com/2025/10/28/blue-origin-details-lunar-exploration-progress-amid-artemis-3-contract-shakeup/
        https://www.wsfa.com/2025/11/13/blue-origin-launches-huge-rocket-carrying-nasa-spacecraft-mars/
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-launches-nasa-escapade-lands-fully-reusable-booster
  16. NASA transferred the Artemis III human lunar landing mission from SpaceX to Blue Origin between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://spacenews.com/duffy-says-nasa-will-open-artemis-3-lander-contract-to-competition/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/30/spacex-and-blue-origin-both-submitted-plans-to-get-astronauts-back-to-the-moon-sooner.html
        https://localnews8.com/cnn-other/2025/10/20/were-not-going-to-wait-for-one-company-nasa-chief-suggests-spacex-may-be-booted-from-moon-mission/
  17. SpaceX launched an uncrewed Starship lunar-lander demonstration by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://registerguard.com/story/news/local/2025/10/22/spacex-starbase-texas-starship-moon-landing/86819657007
        https://www.autoevolution.com/news/spacex-shares-starship-hls-development-details-test-flights-planned-for-2026-260215.html
        https://gizmodo.com/can-spacex-deliver-starship-on-time-for-nasas-2027-moon-landing-2000680092
  18. The U.S. Space Force certified New Glenn for National Security Space Launch missions by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ssc.spaceforce.mil/Newsroom/Article/4331168/space-systems-command-continues-new-glenns-certification-process-for-national-s
        https://breakingdefense.com/2025/11/blue-origin-on-track-for-nssl-certification-after-second-successful-new-glenn-launch/
        https://www.airandspaceforces.com/new-glenn-rocket-launch-landing-space-force/
  19. New Glenn launched a U.S. national-security payload by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://spacenews.com/spacex-lands-majority-of-u-s-national-security-launches-awarded-for-fiscal-year-2026/
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-ng-1-mission
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-launches-nasa-escapade-lands-fully-reusable-booster
  20. A United Launch Alliance Vulcan mission powered by Blue Origin BE-4 engines launched between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/11/ula-aimed-to-launch-up-to-10-vulcan-rockets-this-year-it-will-fly-just-once/
        https://www.ulalaunch.com/missions/missions-details/2025/08/13/vulcan-rocket-ushers-in-new-era-of-national-security-space-launch
        https://spacenews.com/ulas-vulcan-centaur-launches-first-national-security-mission/
  21. A third-party orbital launch vehicle used SpaceX Raptor engines by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Raptor_(rocket_engine)
        https://spacenews.com/ulas-vulcan-centaur-launches-first-national-security-mission/
        https://www.landspace.com/news-detail.html?itemid=66
  22. New Glenn launched an Amazon Project Kuiper satellite between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-launches-nasa-escapade-lands-fully-reusable-booster
        https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/6931/
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/innovation-at-amazon/project-kuiper-satellite-rocket-launch-progress-updates
  23. Blue Origin launched an Orbital Reef module by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orbital_Reef
        https://spacenews.com/nasa-releases-details-on-revised-next-phase-of-commercial-space-station-development/
        https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-selects-companies-to-develop-commercial-destinations-in-space/
  24. NASA selected Blue Origin's Orbital Reef as the sole ISS successor between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-selects-companies-to-develop-commercial-destinations-in-space/
        https://spacenews.com/nasa-releases-details-on-revised-next-phase-of-commercial-space-station-development/
        https://spacenews.com/on-the-eve-of-the-isss-25th-anniversary-humanity-stares-down-a-gap-in-its-presence-in-space/

#############################################################
# 12. Are Turkey and Israel on good terms and why?
#    (id: turkey_israel_relations · 16 evaluation statements)
#############################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Turkey and Israel did not announce a normalization agreement restoring good bilateral relations.
     -> TRUE
        https://dayan.org/content/delegitimization-action-turkeys-diplomatic-judicial-and-public-diplomacy-campaign-against
        https://www.jns.org/analysis/turkey-escalates-rift-with-israel-amid-gaza-war-and-regional-rivalry
        https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20251107-turkey-issues-genocide-arrest-warrant-against-netanyahu
  2. Turkey publicly condemned Israel’s September 2025 strike on Hamas officials in Doha as a violation of Qatar’s sovereignty.
     -> TRUE
        https://constanta-cg.mfa.gov.tr/Mission/ShowAnnouncement/414688
        https://www.turkiyetoday.com/region/turkiye-condemns-israeli-strike-in-qatar-calls-it-proof-of-expansionist-policies-3206661
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/world/oic-calls-on-un-security-council-to-take-firm-measures-against-israel-after-attack-on-qatar/3685390
  3. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan attended the September 2025 emergency Arab-Islamic summit in Doha convened after Israel’s strike in Qatar.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gulf-times.com/article/710768/qatar/turkish-president-arrives-in-doha
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/arab-islamic-summit-in-doha-shows-islamic-world-s-unwavering-support-for-qatar-turkish-president/3688299
        https://www.al-monitor.com/index%2ephp/originals/2025/09/arab-islamic-leaders-urge-review-israel-ties-emergency-summit-after-doha-strikes
  4. Turkey was one of the outside actors involved in mediating the October 2025 Gaza ceasefire and hostage-release framework.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdjzvlxp8mjo
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/israel-hamas-trump-peace-deal-gaza-striptimeline/
        https://www.timesofisrael.com/from-doha-strike-to-sharm-el-sheikh-breakthrough-how-us-brokered-elusive-gaza-deal/
  5. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan signed the October 2025 Sharm el-Sheikh Gaza declaration alongside the leaders of the United States, Egypt and Qatar.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/10/the-trump-declaration-for-enduring-peace-and-prosperity/
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/turkish-president-attends-sharm-el-sheikh-peace-summit-on-gaza-ceasefire-agreement/3716318
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c709jxxrrvlo
  6. Turkey’s role in the October 2025 Gaza diplomacy produced a bilateral rapprochement with Israel by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20251107-turkey-issues-genocide-arrest-warrant-against-netanyahu
        https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/whether-it-puts-boots-on-the-ground-or-not-turkey-matters-for-gazas-stabilization/
        https://www.theweek.in/news/middle-east/2025/11/09/why-erdogan-wants-to-punish-netanyahu-expert-analyses-turkey-s-arrest-warrants.html
  7. Israel publicly opposed the deployment of Turkish troops in a postwar Gaza stabilization force in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-871412
        https://www.israelhayom.com/2025/10/21/netanyahu-draws-red-line-no-turkish-troops-in-gaza/
        https://turkishminute.com/2025/10/22/us-israel-at-odds-over-possible-deployment-of-turkish-troops-in-gaza/
        https://www.irishexaminer.com/world/arid-41731860.html
  8. Turkey publicly condemned Israel’s October 2025 interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla bound for Gaza.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mfa.gov.tr/no_-196_-israil-in-kuresel-sumud-filosu-na-mudahalesi-hk.en.mfa
        https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/turkey-accuses-israel-of-act-of-terrorism-with-gaza-flotilla-interception-1.500291321
        https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/israels-true-face-revealed-once-again-with-attack-on-sumud-erdogan/news
  9. Israeli authorities detained Turkish citizens after intercepting the Global Sumud Flotilla in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/turkiye/global-sumud-flotilla-48-turkish-activists-detained-by-israel/3705902
        https://www.turkiyetoday.com/region/sumud-delegation-confirms-48-turkish-activists-detained-after-israeli-raid-3207889
        https://www.trtworld.com/article/001d226a4686
  10. Turkey treated the detention of Turkish flotilla participants by Israel as a consular and political dispute in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mfa.gov.tr/no_-196_-israil-in-kuresel-sumud-filosu-na-mudahalesi-hk.en.mfa
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/turkiye/global-sumud-flotilla-48-turkish-activists-detained-by-israel/3705902
        https://www.trtworld.com/article/9e9cb7da60e2
        https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkiye-curses-israeli-operation-on-sumud-flotilla-launches-probe-214246
  11. In November 2025, Istanbul prosecutors issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and other senior Israeli officials over alleged crimes related to Gaza.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20251107-turkey-issues-genocide-arrest-warrant-against-netanyahu
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/7/turkiye-issues-arrest-warrant-for-israels-netanyahu-over-gaza-genocide
        https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/diplomacy/türkiye-issues-arrest-warrants-for-netanyahu-36-others-over-genocide
  12. Israel welcomed Turkey’s November 2025 arrest warrants for Israeli officials as a constructive legal step.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/7/turkiye-issues-arrest-warrant-for-israels-netanyahu-over-gaza-genocide
        https://indianexpress.com/article/world/turkey-arrest-warrants-netanyahu-israel-gaza-war-10352891/
        https://www.cnbctv18.com/world/turkey-issues-arrest-warrants-against-netanyahu-and-other-israeli-officials-ws-l-19750047.htm
  13. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Turkey and Israel announced the resumption of normal bilateral trade.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.globaltrademag.com/turkey-cuts-all-trade-and-port-access-to-israel-amid-gaza-war-tensions/
        https://turkishminute.com/2025/10/07/turkish-ports-sent-456-ships-to-israel-in-first-nine-months-of-2025-despite-trade-ban/
        https://shafaq.com/en/Middle-East/Israeli-business-official-Turkiye-looking-to-renew-commercial-ties
  14. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Turkey and Israel exchanged ambassadors as part of a renewed normalization process.
     -> FALSE
        https://embassies.gov.il/istanbul/en/the-consulate/bilateral-relations
        https://www.jns.org/analysis/turkey-escalates-rift-with-israel-amid-gaza-war-and-regional-rivalry
        https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-and-turkey-to-restore-ambassadors-in-full-renewal-of-diplomatic-ties/
  15. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Turkish and Israeli forces engaged in a direct military clash.
     -> FALSE
        https://gssr.georgetown.edu/the-forum/regions/mena/are-turkey-and-israel-on-a-collision-course/
        https://www.turkiyetoday.com/opinion/türkiye-and-israel-an-emerging-modus-vivendi-3204822
        https://turkishminute.com/2025/05/08/turkey-israel-to-hold-second-round-of-talks-in-baku-to-prevent-clashes-in-syria/
  16. By December 1, 2025, the main post-August 2025 developments pointed to continued hostility between Turkey and Israel despite Turkey’s participation in Gaza ceasefire diplomacy.
     -> TRUE
        https://dayan.org/content/delegitimization-action-turkeys-diplomatic-judicial-and-public-diplomacy-campaign-against
        https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20251107-turkey-issues-genocide-arrest-warrant-against-netanyahu
        https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/whether-it-puts-boots-on-the-ground-or-not-turkey-matters-for-gazas-stabilization/
        https://www.1lurer.am/en/2025/12/01/Iranian-Turkish-FMs-urge-regional-solidarity-against-Israeli-aggressions/1425034

############################################################
# 13. Are undergraduate CS degrees still a good choice?
#    (id: cs_degree_value · 20 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. In September 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released 2024–2034 employment projections that still projected computer and mathematical occupations to grow faster than the average for all occupations.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ecopro.nr0.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ecopro.pdf
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ecopro_08282025.htm
  2. The BLS 2024–2034 projections released in September 2025 projected negative employment growth for software developers.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/OOH/computer-and-information-technology/software-developers.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/fastest-growing-occupations.htm
  3. The BLS 2024–2034 projections released in September 2025 projected data scientist employment to grow much faster than average.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/ooh/math/data-scientists.htm?mod=article_inline
        https://data.bls.gov/projections/nationalMatrix?ioType=o&queryParams=15-2051
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ecopro_08282025.htm
  4. As of December 1, 2025, the BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook no longer listed a bachelor’s degree as the typical entry-level education for software developers, quality assurance analysts, and testers.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/
        https://www.bls.gov/OOH/computer-and-information-technology/software-developers.htm
  5. As of December 1, 2025, the BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook still listed a bachelor’s degree as the typical entry-level education for computer and information research scientists.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/
        https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/computer-and-information-research-scientists.htm?pg=5
  6. NACE’s fall 2025 Job Outlook 2026 materials continued to identify computer science as one of the bachelor’s degree fields most sought by U.S. employers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.naceweb.org/research/reports/job-outlook/2026
        https://www.naceweb.org/docs/default-source/default-document-library/2026/publication/executive-summary/nace-winter-2026-salary-survey-executive-summary.pdf?sfvrsn=841b6e8_3
  7. NACE’s fall 2025 Job Outlook 2026 materials reported that employers had stopped recruiting computer science majors for the Class of 2026.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.naceweb.org/docs/default-source/default-document-library/2026/publication/executive-summary/nace-winter-2026-salary-survey-executive-summary.pdf?sfvrsn=841b6e8_3
        https://www.naceweb.org/research/reports/job-outlook/2026
  8. In October 2025, Amazon announced roughly 14,000 corporate job cuts.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-workforce-reduction
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1m3zm9jnl1o
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/28/amazon-to-cut-14000-corporate-jobs/
  9. The October 2025 Amazon job cuts affected only warehouse roles and not corporate roles.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-workforce-reduction
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1m3zm9jnl1o
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/amazon-to-lay-off-14000-corporate-employees-as-spending-on-artificial-intelligence-accelerates
  10. In September 2025, the White House announced a $100,000 payment requirement for many new H-1B visa petitions.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2025/09/summary-of-white-house-announcements-impacting-the-h1b-program-what-we-know-now
        https://knowledge.dlapiper.com/dlapiperknowledge/globalemploymentlatestdevelopments/2025/White-House-proclamation-introduces-USD100000-H-1B-visa-fee-Key-considerations
        https://www.visaverge.com/h1b/white-house-announces-100000-h-1b-fee-for-overseas-petitions/
  11. As of December 1, 2025, U.S. government guidance treated the new $100,000 H-1B payment as retroactive to already approved H-1B petitions.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/blog/uscis-implements-h1b-100000-fee/
        https://knowledge.dlapiper.com/dlapiperknowledge/globalemploymentlatestdevelopments/2025/White-House-proclamation-introduces-USD100000-H-1B-visa-fee-Key-considerations
        https://www.csglaw.com/newsroom/csg-law-alert-u-s-citizenship-and-immigration-services-uscis-issues-guidance-on-100000-h-1b-fee/
  12. As of December 1, 2025, DHS had ended the STEM OPT extension for F-1 students in computer science and related fields.
     -> FALSE
        https://studyinthestates.dhs.gov/stem-opt-hub/additional-resources/stem-opt-extension-overview
        https://www.ice.gov/doclib/sevis/pdf/stemList2024.pdf
        https://global.upenn.edu/isss/news-articles/dhs-to-end-automatic-ead-extensions-for-most-categories-no-impact-on-f-1-opt-or-stem-opt-students/
  13. As of December 1, 2025, no U.S. federal rule had eliminated Optional Practical Training for F-1 international students graduating with CS degrees.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.uscis.gov/working-in-the-united-states/students-and-exchange-visitors/optional-practical-training-opt-for-f-1-students
        https://studyinthestates.dhs.gov/sevis-help-hub/student-records/fm-student-employment/f-1-optional-practical-training-opt
        https://www.banks.senate.gov/news/press-releases/sen-banks-demands-action-to-end-unlawful-opt-program-protect-american-workers/
  14. Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 4.5 in September 2025 and marketed it as a leading model for coding and agentic computer-use tasks.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/29/anthropic-claude-ai-sonnet-4-5.html
        https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/09/anthropic-says-its-new-ai-model-maintained-focus-for-30-hours-on-multistep-tasks/
  15. By December 1, 2025, leading AI labs had stopped releasing improved coding-oriented AI models after August 31, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/developers-tools/gemini-3-developers/
  16. OpenAI released GPT-5.1 in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/
        https://community.openai.com/t/announcing-gpt-5-1-in-the-api/1366207
        https://github.blog/changelog/2025-11-13-openais-gpt-5-1-gpt-5-1-codex-and-gpt-5-1-codex-mini-are-now-in-public-preview-for-github-copilot/
  17. Google released Gemini 3 in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3/
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/developers-tools/gemini-3-developers/
        https://cloud.google.com/blog/products/ai-machine-learning/gemini-3-is-available-for-enterprise
  18. As of December 1, 2025, post-August 2025 AI model releases had removed the need for human review of production software changes in mainstream professional software engineering practice.
     -> FALSE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/introducing-codemender-an-ai-agent-for-code-security/
        https://alignment.openai.com/scaling-code-verification/
        https://fazm.ai/blog/129k-commits-vibe-coding-is-just-coding
  19. As of December 1, 2025, fall 2025 labor-market reporting still described the entry-level tech market as more competitive than the 2021–2022 hiring boom.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.signalfire.com/blog/signalfire-state-of-talent-report-2025
        https://www.tovima.com/wsj/companies-predict-2026-will-be-the-worst-college-grad-job-market-in-five-years/
        https://hakia.com/news/entry-level-tech-hiring-crisis-2026/
  20. As of December 1, 2025, there had been no post-August 2025 U.S. federal announcement making undergraduate CS degrees ineligible for STEM-designated status.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ice.gov/doclib/sevis/pdf/stemList2024.pdf
        https://studyinthestates.dhs.gov/stem-opt-hub/additional-resources/stem-opt-extension-overview
        https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/cipcode/Files/stem-cip-codes2021.pdf

###################################################################
# 14. Are US companies moving their manufacturing plants to Mexico?
#    (id: us_manufacturing_mexico · 20 evaluation statements)
###################################################################

  1. The United States Trade Representative initiated the public-comment process in September 2025 for the 2026 USMCA joint review.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/09/17/2025-18010/request-for-public-comments-and-notice-of-public-hearing-relating-to-the-operation-of-the-agreement?utm=
        https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2025/september/ustr-seeks-public-comment-joint-review-usmca
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the 2026 USMCA joint review had not been completed.
     -> TRUE
        https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2025/december/public-hearing-first-joint-review-usmca
        https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/09/17/2025-18010/request-for-public-comments-and-notice-of-public-hearing-relating-to-the-operation-of-the-agreement?utm=
  3. As of December 1, 2025, USMCA-qualifying Mexican manufactured goods had not lost duty-free treatment across the board.
     -> TRUE
        https://webiis10.mondaq.com/mexico/international-trade-investment/1665146/update-on-us-tariffs-on-all-imports-of-mexican-products
        https://www.cbp.gov/sites/default/files/2025-03/vol_59_no_13_complete.pdf
        https://www.mondaq.com/mexico/international-trade-investment/1672144/mexicos-progress-in-the-temporary-tariff-suspension-agreement-with-the-united-states
  4. As of December 1, 2025, USMCA-qualifying Mexican goods were generally exempt from the Trump administration’s broad fentanyl-related IEEPA tariffs on Mexico.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbp.gov/sites/default/files/2025-03/vol_59_no_13_complete.pdf
        https://www.thompsonhinesmartrade.com/2025/03/the-united-states-delays-implementation-of-ieepa-tariffs-against-canada-and-mexico-for-usmca-qualifying-goods-until-april-2-2025/
        https://www.wilmerhale.com/en/insights/client-alerts/20250605-what-you-need-to-know-about-the-federal-court-decisions-threatening-the-trump-administrations-tariff-agenda
  5. Mexico’s government proposed in September 2025 to raise tariffs on many imports from countries that do not have a free-trade agreement with Mexico.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitecase.com/insight-alert/mexico-proposes-significant-customs-and-tariff-reforms-part-2026-economic-package
        https://mexiconewsdaily.com/business/sheinbaum-proposes-tariffs-1371-product-categories/
        https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2025/09/16/mexico-tariff-increases-2026/1231757983078/
  6. Mexico’s September 2025 tariff proposal targeted U.S.-origin goods that qualify for USMCA treatment.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.whitecase.com/insight-alert/mexico-proposes-significant-customs-and-tariff-reforms-part-2026-economic-package
        https://mexiconewsdaily.com/business/sheinbaum-proposes-tariffs-1371-product-categories/
        https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2025/09/16/mexico-tariff-increases-2026/1231757983078/
  7. The United States imposed new Section 232 tariffs on medium- and heavy-duty trucks effective in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/10/adjusting-imports-of-medium-and-heavy-duty-vehicles-medium-and-heavy-duty-vehicle-parts-and-buses-into-the-united-states/
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDHSCBP/bulletins/3f93b75
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/10/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-addresses-the-threat-to-national-security-from-imports-of-medium-and-heavy-duty-vehicles-parts-and-buses/
  8. The November 2025 U.S. medium- and heavy-duty truck tariff action made all truck imports from Mexico tariff-free regardless of USMCA content.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/10/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-addresses-the-threat-to-national-security-from-imports-of-medium-and-heavy-duty-vehicles-parts-and-buses/
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDHSCBP/bulletins/3f93b75
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/international-trade-investment/1695664/new-national-security-tariffs-on-trucks-truck-parts-and-buses-take-effect-nov-1
  9. The U.S. Supreme Court heard arguments in November 2025 about the legality of the Trump administration’s IEEPA tariff actions.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/11/court-appears-dubious-of-trumps-tariffs/
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/supreme-court-hears-trump-tariffs-case-staggering-importance/story?id=126950904
        https://www.hklaw.com/en/insights/publications/2025/11/supreme-court-oral-arguments-signal-skepticism
  10. As of December 1, 2025, the U.S. Supreme Court had issued a final decision upholding the Trump administration’s IEEPA tariff actions.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.law.cornell.edu/supremecourt/text/24-1287
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/LSB11398
        https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/11/court-appears-dubious-of-trumps-tariffs/
  11. Mexico’s official foreign direct investment data released after August 31, 2025 showed that the United States remained the largest source country of FDI into Mexico.
     -> TRUE
        https://elceo.com/economia/mexico-atrae-mas-inversion-extranjera-pero-solo-el-16-es-nueva/
        https://t21.us/foreign-direct-investment-in-mexico-reaches-new-record-in-q3-2025/
        https://reportacero.com/acumula-ied-41-mil-mdd-a-septiembre-y-marca-record/
  12. Mexico’s official January–September 2025 FDI data showed that new investment accounted for a majority of Mexico’s FDI inflows.
     -> FALSE
        https://elceo.com/economia/mexico-atrae-mas-inversion-extranjera-pero-solo-el-16-es-nueva/
        https://reportacero.com/acumula-ied-41-mil-mdd-a-septiembre-y-marca-record/
  13. Mexico’s official January–September 2025 FDI data showed that manufacturing received the largest sectoral share of Mexico’s FDI inflows.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.americanindustriesgroup.com/news/mexico-sets-new-fdi-record-in-3q-2025-driven-by-fresh-nearshoring-investment/
        https://nmrk.imgix.net/uploads/fields/pdf-market-reports/NMRK-2025-4Q-MEXICO-Industrial_SF_ENG.pdf
  14. Mexico’s third-quarter 2025 GDP data released after August 31, 2025 showed a quarter-on-quarter contraction in the Mexican economy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.inegi.org.mx/contenidos/saladeprensa/boletines/2025/pibt/pib_Pconst2025_11.pdf
        https://tradingeconomics.com/mexico/gdp-growth/news/504148
        https://mexiconewsdaily.com/news/mexico-economy-shrinks-first-time-since-2021/
  15. Tesla announced between September 1 and December 1, 2025 that construction had resumed at its planned Nuevo León Gigafactory.
     -> FALSE
        https://mvsnoticias.com/nuevo-leon/2025/1/1/que-pasara-con-la-gigafactory-de-tesla-en-2025-671922.html
        https://elheraldodesaltillo.mx/2025/03/01/cumple-dos-anos-anuncio-de-tesla-planta-se-esfuma-de-nuevo-leon/
  16. Tesla began vehicle production at its planned Nuevo León Gigafactory before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://mvsnoticias.com/nuevo-leon/2025/1/1/que-pasara-con-la-gigafactory-de-tesla-en-2025-671922.html
        https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gigafactory_Mexico
        https://electrek.co/2024/02/19/mexico-pushes-tesla-to-start-gigafactory-construction-soon/
  17. Stellantis announced in October 2025 a $13 billion manufacturing investment plan for the United States.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stellantis.com/en/news/press-releases/2025/october/stellantis-to-invest-13-billion-to-grow-in-the-united-states
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/14/stellantis-investment-turnaround.html
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/stellantis-to-invest-13-billion-to-grow-in-the-united-states-302584026.html
  18. A major Detroit automaker announced between September 1 and December 1, 2025 that it was moving final assembly of an additional U.S.-built vehicle model to Mexico.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.stellantis.com/en/news/press-releases/2025/october/stellantis-to-invest-13-billion-to-grow-in-the-united-states
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/14/stellantis-investment-turnaround.html
        https://www.media.stellantis.com/me-en/corporate/press/stellantis-to-invest-13-billion-to-grow-in-the-united-states
  19. Official data released between September 1 and December 1, 2025 established that a majority of U.S. manufacturing companies were relocating U.S. plants to Mexico.
     -> FALSE
        https://kpmg.com/us/en/media/news/kpmg-survey-tariff-fallout.html
        https://www.morningstar.com/news/pr-newswire/20250430cg75063/kearneys-2025-reshoring-index-declines-by-a-massive-311-points-providing-a-reality-check-on-us-manufacturing-readiness
        https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/historical_data/pressreleases/prel/2025/sep25prel.pdf
  20. The late-2025 Mexican FDI data supported the claim that most nearshoring-related inflows were reinvested earnings rather than brand-new plant relocations.
     -> TRUE
        https://elceo.com/economia/mexico-atrae-mas-inversion-extranjera-pero-solo-el-16-es-nueva/
        https://reportacero.com/acumula-ied-41-mil-mdd-a-septiembre-y-marca-record/
        https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2024/1205
        https://www.dallasfed.org/research/pubs/25trade/a2

########################################################################
# 15. Are we really going to put data centers in space? And if so, when?
#    (id: space_data_centers · 17 evaluation statements)
########################################################################

  1. After August 31, 2025, Google publicly announced Project Suncatcher, a research effort focused on AI data centers in orbit.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/google-project-suncatcher/
        https://www.theverge.com/news/813894/google-project-suncatcher-ai-datacenter-satellites
  2. Google said the first Project Suncatcher in-space prototype satellites were targeted for launch in early 2027.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/google-project-suncatcher/
        https://www.planet.com/pulse/planet-to-build-and-operate-advanced-space-platform-for-google-s-project-suncatcher-moonshot/
  3. Google selected Planet Labs as the satellite partner for the initial Project Suncatcher prototype mission.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/google-project-suncatcher/
        https://www.planet.com/pulse/planet-to-build-and-operate-advanced-space-platform-for-google-s-project-suncatcher-moonshot/
  4. Google had launched Project Suncatcher prototype satellites by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/google-project-suncatcher/
        https://www.planet.com/pulse/planet-to-build-and-operate-advanced-space-platform-for-google-s-project-suncatcher-moonshot/
  5. Google’s Project Suncatcher prototype plan involved Google TPUs rather than Nvidia H100 GPUs.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/google-project-suncatcher/
        https://www.planet.com/pulse/planet-to-build-and-operate-advanced-space-platform-for-google-s-project-suncatcher-moonshot/
  6. Google’s Project Suncatcher analysis identified launch cost as a central economic bottleneck for orbital AI data centers.
     -> TRUE
        https://phys.org/news/2025-11-google-space-based.html
        https://eu.36kr.com/en/p/3539454902906759
  7. Google’s Project Suncatcher analysis said orbital AI data centers were already cost-competitive at 2025 launch prices.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.theverge.com/news/813894/google-project-suncatcher-ai-datacenter-satellites
        https://phys.org/news/2025-11-google-space-based.html
  8. After August 31, 2025, Starcloud announced a Starcloud-1 orbital data-center demonstrator carrying an Nvidia H100 GPU.
     -> TRUE
        https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/starcloud/
        https://www.space.com/technology/nvidia-gpu-heads-to-space-starcloud-1
        https://www.starcloud.com/starcloud-1
  9. Starcloud’s 2025 orbital demonstrator was associated with a SpaceX rideshare mission.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/spacex-launches-fourth-bandwagon-rideshare-mission/
        https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_sdat/starcloud-1.htm
  10. Starcloud’s 2025 orbital demonstrator was a commercial hyperscale data center.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.globaldatacenterhub.com/p/are-crusoe-and-starcloud-creating
        https://www.space.com/technology/nvidia-gpu-heads-to-space-starcloud-1
        https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/starcloud/
  11. The purpose of Starcloud’s 2025 orbital demonstrator was to prove in-space AI compute.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.space.com/technology/nvidia-gpu-heads-to-space-starcloud-1
        https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_sdat/starcloud-1.htm
        https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/starcloud/
  12. No commercial hyperscale orbital data center was in routine service by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.globaldatacenterhub.com/p/are-crusoe-and-starcloud-creating
        https://datacentremagazine.com/news/sci-fi-or-a-21st-century-reality-ceos-on-space-data-centres
        https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/10/22/3171162/0/en/Crusoe-to-Become-First-Cloud-Operator-in-Space-Through-Strategic-Partnership-with-Starcloud.html
  13. No megawatt-scale orbital data center was launched between August 31, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/spacex-launches-fourth-bandwagon-rideshare-mission/
        https://www.globaldatacenterhub.com/p/are-crusoe-and-starcloud-creating
        https://peraspera.us/realities-of-space-based-compute/
  14. In October 2025, Jeff Bezos publicly predicted that gigawatt-scale data centers would be built in space within 10 to 20 years.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.geekwire.com/2025/jeff-bezos-orbital-data-centers-next-step/
        https://www.theregister.com/offbeat/2025/10/03/bezos-dreams-of-orbital-datacenters-powered-by-the-sun/572036
  15. Jeff Bezos’s October 2025 space-data-center remarks cited continuous solar power as a key advantage of orbit.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.geekwire.com/2025/jeff-bezos-orbital-data-centers-next-step/
        https://www.theregister.com/offbeat/2025/10/03/bezos-dreams-of-orbital-datacenters-powered-by-the-sun/572036
  16. Amazon Web Services announced between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 that it would launch a commercial orbital data-center fleet before 2030.
     -> FALSE
        https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/article/marketminute-2025-10-3-bezoss-orbital-ambition-space-data-centers-poised-to-revolutionize-future-tech-and-markets
        https://spacenews.com/project-kuiper-plots-broadband-services-in-five-countries-by-end-of-march/
  17. The major post-August 2025 developments on space data centers were prototype announcements and demonstrations rather than commitments to near-term production-scale deployment.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/research/google-project-suncatcher/
        https://spacenews.com/spacex-launches-fourth-bandwagon-rideshare-mission/
        https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/10/22/3171162/0/en/Crusoe-to-Become-First-Cloud-Operator-in-Space-Through-Strategic-Partnership-with-Starcloud.html
        https://www.axiomspace.com/release/axiom-space-spacebilt-announce-orbital-data-center-node
        https://datacentremagazine.com/news/sci-fi-or-a-21st-century-reality-ceos-on-space-data-centres

#########################################################################################################
# 16. Does imitation learning still outperform learning in simulation for many industrial robotics tasks?
#    (id: imitation_vs_sim_robotics · 15 evaluation statements)
#########################################################################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no widely accepted public benchmark showed simulation-trained policies outperforming imitation-learned policies across a broad set of real industrial manipulation tasks.
     -> TRUE
        https://arxiv.org/html/2507.05331
        https://proceedings.mlr.press/v270/li25c.html
        https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11117
  2. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no major industrial robot vendor announced a production deployment in which end-to-end policies trained only in simulation replaced imitation-learned policies across multiple customer sites.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/agibot-achieves-first-real-world-deployment-of-reinforcement-learning-in-industrial-robotics-302601939.html
        https://tech.eu/2025/09/29/meet-cortex-sereact-s-foundation-model-that-lets-robots-think-on-their-feet/
        https://ai.ethz.ch/news-and-events/ai-center-news/2025/09/mimic_Robotics_Seed_Round_2025.html
  3. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, the strongest newly publicized general-purpose manipulation systems still relied substantially on human demonstrations, teleoperation data, or robot trajectory datasets.
     -> TRUE
        https://arxiv.org/html/2507.05331
        https://tech.eu/2025/09/29/meet-cortex-sereact-s-foundation-model-that-lets-robots-think-on-their-feet/
        https://ai.ethz.ch/news-and-events/ai-center-news/2025/09/mimic_Robotics_Seed_Round_2025.html
        https://arxiv.org/html/2511.10110
  4. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, newly publicized simulation-to-real manipulation results for contact-rich industrial tasks still commonly required real-world calibration, adaptation, or fine-tuning.
     -> TRUE
        https://proceedings.mlr.press/v305/dan25a.html
        https://arxiv.org/pdf/2509.18631
        https://arxiv.org/html/2509.13949v1
        https://proceedings.mlr.press/v305/lin25c.html
  5. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, synthetic data from simulation was mainly presented as a complement to real demonstration data rather than as a complete replacement for imitation learning in industrial manipulation.
     -> TRUE
        https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.24361
        https://arxiv.org/html/2503.22634v1
        https://arxiv.org/pdf/2509.18631
        https://simlauncher.github.io/
  6. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no post-cutoff paper or announcement established a new consensus that reinforcement learning in simulation is generally superior to imitation learning for industrial assembly, insertion, bin picking, and machine-tending tasks.
     -> TRUE
        https://arxiv.org/html/2510.20808v1
        https://arxiv.org/html/2509.13949v1
        https://proceedings.mlr.press/v305/sun25b.html
        https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/robotics-and-ai/articles/10.3389/frobt.2025.1660244/full
  7. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, reported successes of simulation-trained robotics policies remained more concentrated in locomotion, navigation, and constrained control than in diverse contact-rich industrial manipulation.
     -> TRUE
        https://arxiv.org/html/2510.20808v1
        https://proceedings.mlr.press/v305/hu25a.html
        https://proceedings.mlr.press/v305/schwarke25a.html
        https://proceedings.mlr.press/v305/lin25c.html
  8. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, high-profile humanoid or general-purpose robot demonstrations did not by themselves provide evidence that simulation-based learning outperformed imitation learning on deployed industrial tasks.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.figure.ai/news/production-at-bmw?utm=
        https://machinetoolnews.ai/humanoid-robots-in-manufacturing-2025/
        https://developers.googleblog.com/en/building-the-next-generation-of-physical-agents-with-gemini-robotics-er-15/
        https://proceedings.mlr.press/v270/fu25a.html
  9. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, industrial robotics companies continued to emphasize demonstrations, teach-by-demonstration interfaces, or real-world task data for learning new manipulation skills.
     -> TRUE
        https://tech.eu/2025/09/29/meet-cortex-sereact-s-foundation-model-that-lets-robots-think-on-their-feet/
        https://ai.ethz.ch/news-and-events/ai-center-news/2025/09/mimic_Robotics_Seed_Round_2025.html
        https://www.extendrobotics.com/post/extend-robotics-accelerates-robotic-learning-for-real-world-industrial-automation-in-collaboration
        https://skywork.ai/blog/sigmakit-factory-automation-2025/
        https://www.csail.mit.edu/news/new-tool-gives-anyone-ability-train-robot
  10. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no new safety certification or regulatory standard made simulation-only training sufficient for validating adaptive industrial robot policies in production.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.intertek.com/blog/2025/09-02-changes-to-robots-part-2/
        https://www.rockingrobots.com/ansi-and-a3-publish-revised-r15-06-industrial-robot-safety-standard/
        https://www.iso.org/standard/73933.html
        https://www.insidelogistics.ca/opinions/csa-update-what-you-need-to-know/
        https://www.automate.org/store/products/ansi-a3-r15-06-2025-american-national-standard-for-industrial-robots-and-robot-systems-safety-requirements-pdf-download
  11. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, newly released robot foundation-model work continued to use imitation-style objectives such as behavior cloning, action prediction, or video-conditioned policy learning.
     -> TRUE
        https://arxiv.org/html/2507.05331
        https://arxiv.org/html/2511.10110
        https://proceedings.mlr.press/v305/kim25d.html
        https://arxiv.org/html/2508.00795
        https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.16651v1
  12. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no major post-cutoff result showed that improved simulators had eliminated the sim-to-real gap for deformable-object handling in industrial settings.
     -> TRUE
        https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.04665
        https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11633-025-1566-0
        https://arxiv.org/html/2502.18615v1
        https://arxiv.org/html/2509.23075v3
  13. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no major post-cutoff result showed that improved simulators had eliminated the sim-to-real gap for force-controlled precision insertion in industrial settings.
     -> TRUE
        https://arxiv.org/html/2503.07479v1
        https://arxiv.org/html/2509.13949v1
        https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/robotics-and-ai/articles/10.3389/frobt.2025.1660244/full
        https://arxiv.org/html/2509.12151
        https://arxiv.org/html/2507.06519v1
  14. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, post-cutoff evidence supported the view that simulation is valuable for pretraining, testing, and data augmentation in industrial robotics.
     -> TRUE
        https://arxiv.org/html/2510.04354v1
        https://arxiv.org/pdf/2509.18631
        https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.16651v1
        https://www.extendrobotics.com/post/extend-robotics-accelerates-robotic-learning-for-real-world-industrial-automation-in-collaboration
        https://arxiv.org/html/2510.20808v1
  15. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, post-cutoff evidence did not support the view that simulation alone had become the dominant training method for many real-world industrial manipulation deployments.
     -> TRUE
        https://planet-a.medium.com/robots-in-the-real-world-mythbusting-physical-ai-f9eb1688ee35
        https://avala.ai/news/the-sim-to-real-gap
        https://sitsi.pacanalyst.com/analysis-report/expert-view-the-market-starts-to-overcome-the-sim-to-real-gap-in-simulation-based-robot-training-with-teleoperation/
        https://tech.eu/2025/09/29/meet-cortex-sereact-s-foundation-model-that-lets-robots-think-on-their-feet/
        https://ai.ethz.ch/news-and-events/ai-center-news/2025/09/mimic_Robotics_Seed_Round_2025.html

##############################################################
# 17. Give me a breakdown of global military spending.
#    (id: global_military_spending · 22 evaluation statements)
##############################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, SIPRI had not released a full-year 2025 global military-expenditure dataset or a 2025 world military-spending total.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2026/global-military-spending-rise-continues-european-and-asian-expenditures-surge
        https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2025/unprecedented-rise-global-military-expenditure-european-and-middle-east-spending-surges
        https://www.sipri.org/publications/2025/sipri-fact-sheets/trends-world-military-expenditure-2024
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the latest comprehensive SIPRI country-by-country military-expenditure dataset available for a global breakdown was still the dataset covering calendar year 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sipri.org/publications/2025/sipri-fact-sheets/trends-world-military-expenditure-2024
        https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2025/unprecedented-rise-global-military-expenditure-european-and-middle-east-spending-surges
        https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2026/global-military-spending-rise-continues-european-and-asian-expenditures-surge
  3. As of December 1, 2025, the IISS had not yet published The Military Balance 2026 with a new global defence-spending breakdown for 2025 or 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance/
        https://coles-books.co.uk/the-military-balance-2026-by-the-international-institute-for-strategic-studies
        https://www.defenceviewpoints.co.uk/articles-and-analysis/iiss-military-balance-2026-launch/pdf
  4. After August 31, 2025, there was no new internationally standardized source that replaced SIPRI’s 2024 actual-spending figures as the main basis for a full global military-spending breakdown.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sipri.org/publications/2025/sipri-fact-sheets/trends-world-military-expenditure-2024
        https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2026/global-military-spending-rise-continues-european-and-asian-expenditures-surge
        https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance/
  5. As of December 1, 2025, U.S. full-year FY2026 defense appropriations had not been enacted as final regular appropriations, so U.S. FY2026 defense numbers remained partly provisional rather than final outlays.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48765
        https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/119/hr5371/summary
        https://comptroller.war.gov/Portals/45/Documents/defbudget/FY2026/FY2026_Budget_Request.pdf
  6. As of December 1, 2025, the United States remained the world’s largest military spender by a large margin, and no post-August 2025 budget development changed that ranking.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2025/unprecedented-rise-global-military-expenditure-european-and-middle-east-spending-surges
        https://comptroller.war.gov/Portals/45/Documents/defbudget/FY2026/FY2026_Budget_Request.pdf
        https://www.visualcapitalist.com/worlds-most-militarized-economies-by-three-metrics/
  7. Russia’s 2026 federal budget process after August 31, 2025 planned explicit “National Defense” spending below the extraordinary 2025 peak while still leaving Russian defense spending historically very high.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.marketscreener.com/news/russian-defence-spending-set-to-fall-slightly-in-2026-draft-budget-shows-ce7d5bdbda8dff2c
        https://www.bofbulletin.fi/en/blogs/2025/russian-budget-framework-for-2026-2028-foresees-tax-hikes-and-lots-of-red-ink/
        https://iz.ru/en/node/1963711
  8. The post-August 2025 Russian 2026 budget plans did not mean that Russia’s actual 2025 military expenditure had already fallen below its 2024 level.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sipri.org/publications/2025/sipri-insights-peace-and-security/preparing-fourth-year-war-military-spending-russias-budget-2025
        https://www.marketscreener.com/news/russian-defence-spending-set-to-fall-slightly-in-2026-draft-budget-shows-ce7d5bdbda8dff2c
        https://www.bofbulletin.fi/en/blogs/2025/russian-budget-framework-for-2026-2028-foresees-tax-hikes-and-lots-of-red-ink/
  9. Ukraine’s 2026 state budget adopted after August 31, 2025 allocated a majority of central-government spending to security and defense functions.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.kmu.gov.ua/en/news/biudzhet-2026-100-dokhodiv-na-oboronu-krainy
        https://www.kmu.gov.ua/en/news/derzhavnyi-biudzhet-na-2026-rik-ukhvaleno-iuliia-svyrydenko
  10. After August 31, 2025, Ukraine’s military-spending outlook remained highly dependent on foreign military aid and in-kind transfers that are not fully captured by Ukraine’s domestic defense-budget line.
     -> TRUE
        https://kse.ua/about-the-school/news/draft-state-budget-2026-key-resources-allocated-to-defense-security-and-social-welfare-taking-into-account-that-the-war-may-continue-throughout-the-next-year-kse-institute-s-analysis/
        https://ces.org.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/2026-budget-review.pdf
        https://kse.ua/about-the-school/news/additional-financing-from-ukraine-s-partners-is-urgently-needed-to-safeguard-macroeconomic-stability-even-as-the-economy-demonstrates-remarkable-resilience-ukraine-macroeconomic-handbook-by-kse/
  11. Germany’s 2026 federal budget process after August 31, 2025 raised planned defense-related spending substantially, with regular defense appropriations supplemented by off-budget or special-fund financing.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.br.de/nachrichten/deutschland-welt/zweithoechste-neuverschuldung-bundestag-beschliesst-haushalt-2026,V3rPglK
        https://www.dw.com/en/german-government-agrees-on-record-debt-for-2026/a-74752542
        https://www.bundesfinanzministerium.de/Content/EN/Standardartikel/Press_Room/Publications/Brochures/german-draft-budgetary-plan-2026.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=3
  12. France’s draft 2026 budget presented after August 31, 2025 kept France on the path of rising defense appropriations under its 2024–2030 military programming law.
     -> TRUE
        http://www.defense.gouv.fr/ministere/politique-defense/loi-programmation-militaire-2024-2030/projet-loi-finances-armees-2026-lpm-annee-3
        https://www.budget.gouv.fr/documentation/file-download/30562
        https://www.assemblee-nationale.fr/dyn/opendata/CRCANR5L17S2026PO59047N010.html
  13. The United Kingdom’s post-August 2025 fiscal updates did not create a new final 2025 global military-spending dataset; they affected forward-looking UK defense-spending plans rather than completed global expenditure totals.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html
        https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spending-review-2025-document/spending-review-2025-html
        https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cdp-2025-0137/
        https://www.sipri.org/publications/2025/sipri-fact-sheets/trends-world-military-expenditure-2024
  14. Post-August 2025 European defense-budget announcements mainly changed 2026-and-later planned spending, not the already measured 2024 global military-expenditure breakdown.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sipri.org/publications/2025/sipri-fact-sheets/trends-world-military-expenditure-2024
        https://www.br.de/nachrichten/deutschland-welt/zweithoechste-neuverschuldung-bundestag-beschliesst-haushalt-2026,V3rPglK
        http://www.defense.gouv.fr/ministere/politique-defense/loi-programmation-militaire-2024-2030/projet-loi-finances-armees-2026-lpm-annee-3
        https://www.morh.hr/en/minister-anusic-presents-defence-budget-e1-6-billion-for-modernisation-and-improved-service-conditions/
  15. Taiwan announced after August 31, 2025 a large multi-year special defense budget in addition to its regular defense budget, materially raising its planned defense-spending path.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dw.com/en/taiwan-plans-extra-40-billion-defense-spending-to-deter-china/a-74899783
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/taiwian-budgets-40-billion-toward-u-s-weapons-and-building-air-defense-dome
        https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2025/11/27/2003847903
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/26/taiwan-president-lai-china-japan-xi-trump-defense.html
  16. South Korea’s post-August 2025 budget process proposed a notably higher 2026 defense budget than its 2025 level.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.asiae.co.kr/en/article/2025090309080078564
        https://www.koreajoongangdaily.joins.com/news/2025-09-03/national/defense/Defense-spending-to-hit-47-billion-as-sector-strives-for-35-of-GDP/2390380
        https://english.moef.go.kr/pc/selectTbPressCenterDtl.do?boardCd=N0001&seq=6240
  17. Japan had not finalized its FY2026 defense budget by December 1, 2025, so any Japanese FY2026 figure available then was still a request or proposal rather than a completed budget outcome.
     -> TRUE
        https://thediplomat.com/2025/08/japans-defense-ministry-requests-largest-ever-budget-for-fiscal-year-2026/
        https://www.defense-aerospace.com/tokyos-fy2026-defence-budget-request-prioritises-shield-littoral-drone-network-f-35a-b-procurement-and-kc-46-tankers/
        https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/16254003
        https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/budget/budget/fy2026/01.pdf
  18. China did not publish a new annual national defense budget after August 31, 2025 and before December 1, 2025 that superseded its previously announced 2025 defense-budget figure.
     -> TRUE
        https://en.people.cn/n3/2025/0305/c90000-20284956.html
        https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/china-to-spend-7-2-more-on-defence-in-2025
        https://chinapower.csis.org/military-spending/
  19. India did not publish a new Union Budget defense allocation after August 31, 2025 and before December 1, 2025 that superseded its FY2025–26 defense allocation.
     -> TRUE
        https://prsindia.org/files/budget/budget_parliament/2025/DFG_Analysis_2025-26_Defence.pdf
        https://www.financialexpress.com/budget/budget-2025-26-surge-in-defence-allocations-to-enhance-armed-forces-3734494/
        https://static.pib.gov.in/WriteReadData/specificdocs/documents/2026/feb/doc202623778301.pdf
  20. Saudi Arabia’s post-August 2025 fiscal documents were relevant to forward-looking 2026 defense spending, but they did not provide a finalized 2025 actual military-expenditure figure comparable to SIPRI’s annual outturn data.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mof.gov.sa/en/MediaCenter/news/Pages/News_3092025.aspx
        https://agsi.org/analysis/saudi-fiscal-policy-amid-global-oil-market-uncertainty/
        https://mof.gov.sa/en/MediaCenter/news/Pages/2024112611.aspx
  21. No post-August 2025 development made nominal defense-budget authority, cash appropriations, and SIPRI-style military-expenditure outturns interchangeable measures for a global spending breakdown.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex/sources-and-methods
        https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2onlineannex.pdf
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48765
  22. A correct December 1, 2025 breakdown of global military spending needed to distinguish final historical spending data from provisional 2025 estimates and 2026 budget plans.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex/sources-and-methods
        https://www.sipri.org/publications/2025/sipri-fact-sheets/trends-world-military-expenditure-2024
        https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance/
        https://comptroller.war.gov/Portals/45/Documents/defbudget/FY2026/FY2026_Budget_Request.pdf

############################################################
# 18. Give me a valuation estimate for Anthropic.
#    (id: anthropic_valuation · 19 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. In September 2025, Anthropic announced a $13 billion Series F financing round.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raises-series-f-at-usd183b-post-money-valuation?nis=8
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13b-series-f-at-183b-valuation/
  2. Anthropic’s September 2025 Series F financing was priced at a $183 billion post-money valuation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raises-series-f-at-usd183b-post-money-valuation?nis=8
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13-billion-at-18-billion-valuation.html
  3. Anthropic disclosed in September 2025 that its annualized revenue run rate had surpassed $5 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13-billion-at-18-billion-valuation.html
        https://www.storagenewsletter.com/2025/09/09/anthropic-raises-13-billion-series-f-at-183-billion-post-money-valuation/
  4. Anthropic disclosed in September 2025 that Claude Code had surpassed $500 million in annualized run-rate revenue.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.maginative.com/article/anthropic-says-claude-sonnet-4-5-is-the-worlds-best-coding-model/
        https://www.rasmal.com/anthropic-explosive-growth-claude-funding/
  5. Anthropic agreed in September 2025 to a $1.5 billion settlement of the Bartz v. Anthropic authors’ copyright class action.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.bloomberglaw.com/ip-law/anthropic-to-pay-1-5-billion-to-settle-author-copyright-claims
        https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/anthropic-settlement-lawsuit-authors-rcna229422
        https://www.lieffcabraser.com/2025/09/authors-secure-1-5-billion-settlement-in-landmark-ai-piracy-case/
  6. The Bartz v. Anthropic settlement had received final court approval by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69058235/432/bartz-v-anthropic-pbc/
        https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.434709/gov.uscourts.cand.434709.432.1.pdf
        https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69058235/453/bartz-v-anthropic-pbc/
  7. In October 2025, Google announced an expanded cloud-compute agreement with Anthropic.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.googlecloudpresscorner.com/2025-10-23-Anthropic-to-Expand-Use-of-Google-Cloud-TPUs-and-Services
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/23/anthropic-google-cloud-deal-tpu.html
  8. Google’s October 2025 Anthropic agreement included access to up to one million Google TPUs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.googlecloudpresscorner.com/2025-10-23-Anthropic-to-Expand-Use-of-Google-Cloud-TPUs-and-Services
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/anthropic-to-expand-use-of-google-cloud-tpus-and-services-302593275.html
  9. Google’s October 2025 Anthropic agreement made Google Anthropic’s exclusive cloud-compute provider.
     -> FALSE
        https://gwern.net/doc/www/www.anthropic.com/1f80aad57c78b80958c182c0bdcdb0d3b3cdc59b.html
        https://news.futunn.com/en/post/63750119/google-deepens-collaboration-with-anthropic-tpu-becomes-core-of-ai
  10. In November 2025, Microsoft announced plans to invest up to $5 billion in Anthropic.
     -> TRUE
        https://blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2025/11/18/microsoft-nvidia-and-anthropic-announce-strategic-partnerships/
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/microsoft-nvidia-anthropic-announce-strategic-partnerships?aff=XmGo5
  11. In November 2025, Nvidia announced plans to invest up to $10 billion in Anthropic.
     -> TRUE
        https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/microsoft-nvidia-anthropic-announce-partnership/
        https://blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2025/11/18/microsoft-nvidia-and-anthropic-announce-strategic-partnerships/
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/microsoft-nvidia-anthropic-announce-strategic-partnerships?aff=XmGo5
  12. In November 2025, Anthropic announced a $30 billion commitment to purchase Azure compute capacity.
     -> TRUE
        https://blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2025/11/18/microsoft-nvidia-and-anthropic-announce-strategic-partnerships/
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/microsoft-nvidia-anthropic-announce-strategic-partnerships?aff=XmGo5
        https://www.theverge.com/news/822988/microsoft-anthropic-partnership-claude-models-azure-investment-nvidia
  13. The November 2025 Microsoft-Nvidia-Anthropic announcement disclosed a fixed post-money valuation for the new Microsoft and Nvidia equity investments.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/18/anthropic-ai-azure-microsoft-nvidia.html
        https://blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2025/11/18/microsoft-nvidia-and-anthropic-announce-strategic-partnerships/
  14. Amazon announced a new equity investment in Anthropic between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/aws/amazon-invests-additional-4-billion-anthropic-ai/
        https://www.geekwire.com/2025/amazons-anthropic-investment-boosts-its-quarterly-profits-by-9-5b/
  15. Anthropic had completed an initial public offering by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/artificial-intelligence/anthropic-plans-an-ipo-as-early-as-2026/articleshow/125731426.cms
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/confidential-draft-s1-sec
  16. Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 4.5 after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/29/anthropic-launches-claude-sonnet-4-5-its-best-ai-model-for-coding/
  17. Anthropic released Claude Haiku 4.5 after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        http://anthropic.com/news/claude-haiku-4-5
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/15/anthropic-launches-new-version-of-scaled-down-haiku-model/
  18. Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.5 before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-5?=
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/24/anthropic-releases-opus-4-5-with-new-chrome-and-excel-integrations/
  19. OpenAI completed a secondary share sale in October 2025 valuing OpenAI at about $500 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/openai-share-sale-500-billion-valuation.html
        https://www.inc.com/reuters/openai-500-billion-valuation-sale-shares-softbank-chatgpt/91247140
        https://news.crunchbase.com/ai/openai-valuation-secondary-share-sale-biggest-unicorn-spacex/

####################################################################
# 19. Has Canadian agriculture been damaged by the Trump presidency?
#    (id: canada_agriculture_trump · 17 evaluation statements)
####################################################################

  1. Canada's September 1, 2025 tariff rollback removed Canadian counter-tariffs from U.S. goods that qualify under CUSMA/USMCA.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.canada.ca/unitedstatestariffs
        https://www.torys.com/our-latest-thinking/publications/2025/09/canada-rolls-back-retaliatory-tariffs
        https://www.pwc.com/ca/en/services/tax/publications/tax-insights/potential-us-tariffs-canadian-countermeasures-2025.html
  2. As of December 1, 2025, Canadian goods claiming CUSMA/USMCA preferential treatment remained exempt from Trump's country-specific tariff on Canada.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/2025-12-05_IF12595_1f354ce3cecd196b31fad7a066a588ba2842374b.html
        https://financialpost.com/news/trump-raise-canada-tariff-10-reagan-ad?taid=68ff63717add8a0001c59764
  3. As of December 1, 2025, Canadian agricultural shipments lacking CUSMA/USMCA qualification could still face Trump's country-specific tariff on Canadian imports.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mondaq.com/canada/international-trade-investment/1627732/navigating-cusma-what-grain-and-pulse-exporters-need-to-know
        https://www.cpma.ca/industry/trade-and-commerce/canada-us-produce-trade/fresh-produce-items-subject-to-25-tariffs-for-certain-u.s.-products-coming-into-canada
        https://financialpost.com/news/economy/trump-hiked-canada-tariff-rate-35-whos-paying-mystery
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the Trump administration imposed a new tariff aimed specifically at Canadian agricultural products.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/2025-12-05_IF12595_1f354ce3cecd196b31fad7a066a588ba2842374b.html
        https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/trump-tariff-lumber-cabinets-furniture-1.7647134
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/trump-raises-tariffs-canada-10-after-reagan-ad/story?id=126866712
  5. In late October 2025, President Trump announced that he was terminating trade negotiations with Canada over Ontario's anti-tariff advertisement.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/trump-canada-trade-ronald-reagan-rcna239508
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/trump-ends-trade-negotiations-with-canada-in-a-social-media-post-after-tv-ads-with-ronald-reagan
        https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/trump-trade-negotiations-tariffs-ontario-ad-9.6951469
  6. In late October 2025, President Trump publicly announced an additional 10 percent tariff on Canadian imports in response to Ontario's anti-tariff advertisement.
     -> TRUE
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/trump-raises-tariffs-canada-10-after-reagan-ad/story?id=126866712
        https://bbc.com/news/articles/cx2ljgrm78zo
        https://www.npr.org/2025/10/25/g-s1-95116/trump-canada-anti-tariffs-ad-import-tax
  7. By December 1, 2025, the United States and Canada had signed a new trade agreement eliminating Trump's 2025 tariffs on Canadian imports.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cbc.ca/lite/story/9.7015600
        https://globalnews.ca/news/11369356/canada-counter-tariffs-ended/
  8. The U.S. Supreme Court heard arguments in November 2025 over the legality of Trump's IEEPA-based tariffs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/11/court-appears-dubious-of-trumps-tariffs/
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/05/nx-s1-5599537/supreme-court-trump-tariffs
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/supreme-court-hears-trump-tariffs-case-staggering-importance/story?id=126950904
  9. As of December 1, 2025, the U.S. Supreme Court had issued a final decision invalidating Trump's IEEPA-based tariffs.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.anderinger.com/supremecourt-tariff-authority/
        https://www.gtlaw.com/en/insights/2025/12/pending-us-supreme-court-opinion-and-potential-ieepa-refunds
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/05/supreme-court-trump-trade-tarrifs-vos.html
  10. As of December 1, 2025, the federal appeals court ruling against many IEEPA-based tariffs had not stopped collection of those tariffs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.adamsandreese.com/insights/trump-tariff-update-importers-should-preserve-refund-rights
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/international-trade-investment/1675246/client-alert-federal-circuit-affirms-invalidation-of-trumps-iepa-tariffstariffs-remain-in-effect-pending-supreme-court-review
        https://www.anderinger.com/supremecourt-tariff-authority/
  11. The formal U.S. public-consultation process for the 2026 USMCA/CUSMA review was active during November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2025/september/ustr-seeks-public-comment-joint-review-usmca
        https://www.hklaw.com/en/insights/publications/2025/09/do-you-want-to-have-your-say-in-the-usmca
        https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2025/december/public-hearing-first-joint-review-usmca
  12. As of December 1, 2025, the 2026 USMCA/CUSMA review had already been completed.
     -> FALSE
        https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2025/december/public-hearing-first-joint-review-usmca
        https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-us-has-formally-started-joint-review-of-usmca/
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48787
  13. U.S. dairy industry submissions in the fall 2025 USMCA/CUSMA review sought greater access to Canada's dairy market.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nmpf.org/nmpf-preps-for-usmca-review-process/
        https://infonews.ca/news/7435348/dairy-whiskey-wine-and-steel-american-industries-weigh-in-on-trade-pact-review/
  14. By December 1, 2025, Canada had agreed through the USMCA/CUSMA review process to dismantle its dairy supply-management system.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/economy/article-ottawa-weighs-granting-us-greater-access-to-dairy-market/
        https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/trump-tariffs-trade-dairy-supply-management-1.7592135
  15. China's 75.8 percent provisional anti-dumping duties on Canadian canola seed remained in effect as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.canolacouncil.org/china-update/
        https://www.canada.ca/en/global-affairs/news/2025/08/statement-by-ministers-sidhu-and-macdonald-on-chinas-preliminary-anti-dumping-measures-on-imports-of-canola-seed-from-canada.html
  16. China lifted its 2025 canola-related duties on Canadian agricultural products before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.canolacouncil.org/china-update/
        https://www.manitobacooperator.ca/daily/canada-agriculture-minister-says-canola-trade-prospects-are-improving-after-china-visit/
  17. China's 2025 canola-related duties on Canadian agricultural products were U.S. tariffs enacted by President Trump.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.canada.ca/en/agriculture-agri-food/news/2025/03/government-of-canada-announces-support-for-agricultural-sector-following-the-imposition-of-tariffs-by-china.html
        https://www.canolacouncil.org/china-update/
        https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250320-chinese-tariffs-on-canadian-agricultural-products-kick-in

#############################################################
# 20. Has the Chinese real estate market crashed recently?
#    (id: china_real_estate_crash · 17 evaluation statements)
#############################################################

  1. By December 1, 2025, the latest official NBS national real-estate investment and sales data covered October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961853.html
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202512/t20251215_1962072.html
  2. The NBS October 2025 70-city home-price release showed most tracked cities recording month-on-month declines in new-home prices.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961850.html
        https://www.nxny.com/report/view_6152183.html
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/zwfwck/sjfb/202511/t20251114_1961849.html
  3. The NBS October 2025 70-city home-price release showed most tracked cities recording month-on-month declines in resale-home prices.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961850.html
        https://www.caixinglobal.com/2025-11-15/china-secondhand-home-prices-fall-in-all-major-cities-for-second-month-102383245.html?Sfrom=twitter&cxg=web&rkey=4jojc%2BU9DvvtuaHc2n7nI%2FFL%2FE7ci4pKnp4B2%2Fw7VeoZhurr6NzluA%3D%3D
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/zwfwck/sjfb/202511/t20251114_1961849.html
  4. The NBS September 2025 70-city home-price release showed most tracked cities recording month-on-month declines in resale-home prices.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202510/t20251020_1961597.html
        https://www.caixinglobal.com/2025-10-21/chinas-home-prices-slump-as-stock-market-rally-leaves-property-behind-102373822.html
        https://www.gov.cn/lianbo/bumen/202510/content_7045046.htm
  5. The NBS October 2025 70-city home-price release did not report a double-digit month-on-month fall in new-home prices in any tracked city.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961850.html
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/zwfwck/sjfb/202511/t20251114_1961849.html
  6. The NBS data released in November 2025 showed January-October 2025 national real-estate development investment below its January-October 2024 level.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961853.html
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202511/t20251117_1961878.html
  7. The NBS data released in November 2025 showed January-October 2025 residential real-estate investment below its January-October 2024 level.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961853.html
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202511/t20251117_1961878.html
  8. The NBS data released in November 2025 showed January-October 2025 commercial-housing sales by floor area below their January-October 2024 level.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961853.html
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202511/t20251117_1961878.html
  9. The NBS data released in November 2025 showed January-October 2025 commercial-housing sales by value below their January-October 2024 level.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961853.html
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202511/t20251117_1961878.html
  10. The NBS data released in November 2025 showed January-October 2025 new construction starts by floor area below their January-October 2024 level.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961853.html
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202511/t20251117_1961878.html
  11. The NBS data released in November 2025 showed January-October 2025 completed housing floor area below its January-October 2024 level.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961853.html
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202511/t20251117_1961878.html
  12. The NBS data released in November 2025 showed end-October 2025 commercial housing floor space for sale above its year-earlier level.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961853.html
  13. The NBS data released in November 2025 showed January-October 2025 funds available to real-estate development enterprises below their January-October 2024 level.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961853.html
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202511/t20251117_1961878.html
  14. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Chinese authorities did not announce a blanket central-government guarantee of all real-estate developers' public bonds.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/property/china-vanke-asks-12-months-pay-bond-under-extension-plan
        https://fixedincome.fidelity.com/ftgw/fi/FINewsArticle?id=202511270133RTRSNEWSCOMBINED_L1N3X302S_1
        https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/property/china-asks-state-owned-developers-avoid-public-debt-defaults
  15. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Chinese authorities did not announce a central-government purchase of all unsold commercial housing inventory.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/property/china-mulls-asking-firms-run-central-government-buy-homes-sources
        https://www.shcn.gov.cn/col5943/20250901/1298066.html
        https://news.cnr.cn/native/gd/kx/20250201/t20250201_527058784.shtml
  16. By December 1, 2025, official NBS national property data for November 2025 had not yet been released.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202512/t20251215_1962072.html
        https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/international/china-tells-stats-providers-halt-home-sales-data-publication
  17. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, China's official housing data supported the interpretation of a prolonged downturn rather than a sudden new nationwide price crash.
     -> TRUE
        https://english.news.cn/20251020/a04367611d1f412ba5f72b5d6ddc8888/c.html
        https://www.gov.cn/lianbo/bumen/202511/content_7048508.htm
        https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202511/t20251114_1961853.html
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/china-property-prices-fall-fastest-pace-11-months-5414286

###############################################################################
# 21. Has the recent success of LLMs increased interest in linguistics degrees?
#    (id: linguistics_degree_interest · 14 evaluation statements)
###############################################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no newly released sector-wide higher-education dataset measured 2025-26 enrollment in linguistics degree programs.
     -> TRUE
        https://nscresearchcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/PrelimFall2025-MethodNotes.pdf
        https://nces.ed.gov/IPEDS/survey-components/data-release-schedule
        https://www.data.gov.uk/dataset/6f8368d3-c020-4020-9447-665b45874a9a/higher-education-student-statistics-uk-2024-25
  2. IPEDS had not published 2025-26 U.S. enrollment counts by linguistics CIP code by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://nces.ed.gov/IPEDS/survey-components/data-release-schedule
        https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/datacenter/DataFiles.aspx?surveyNumber=2&year=2024&gotoReportId=7
        https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/use-the-data/download-survey-material/2024/fall%20enrollment/package_6_74.pdf
        https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/cipcode/cipdetail.aspx?cipid=90593&y=56
  3. HESA had not published 2024-25 UK student-enrolment counts by linguistics subject by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.data.gov.uk/dataset/6f8368d3-c020-4020-9447-665b45874a9a/higher-education-student-statistics-uk-2024-25
        https://ckan.publishing.service.gov.uk/dataset/higher-education-student-statistics-uk-2024-25/resource/8f6c3654-5696-46b1-8195-a59e8f038f67?inner_span=True
        https://englishassociation.ac.uk/english-studies-in-numbers-data-on-student-enrolment-and-trends/
  4. UCAS had not published full 2025 end-of-cycle UK acceptances by linguistics subject by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ucas.com/data-and-analysis/undergraduate-statistics-and-reports/statistical-releases-daily-clearing-analysis-2025
        https://www.advance-he.ac.uk/knowledge-hub/governance-news-alert-universities-and-colleges-admissions-service-ucas-day-28-data
  5. Common App fall 2025 application-trends releases did not report linguistics as a standalone intended-major category.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-takes/2025/11/14/underrepresented-applicants-grow-foreign-applicants-drop
        https://www.commonapp.org/files/DAR/deadline-updates/2025-26/Common-App-Deadline-Update-2025.12.11.pdf
  6. No national admissions report released between September 1 and December 1, 2025 showed that applications to linguistics degrees rose because of LLMs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ucas.com/corporate/news-and-key-documents/news/record-demand-for-early-deadline-university-courses
        https://www.advance-he.ac.uk/knowledge-hub/governance-news-alert-universities-and-colleges-admissions-service-ucas-day-28-data
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-takes/2025/11/14/underrepresented-applicants-grow-foreign-applicants-drop
        https://cgsnet.org/data-infographics/fall-2025-graduate-applications-and-enrollment-preliminary-data
  7. No peer-reviewed study published between September 1 and December 1, 2025 established a causal effect of LLM popularity on applications to linguistics degree programs.
     -> TRUE
        https://aclanthology.org/2025.findings-acl.987.pdf
        https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/scient/v130y2025i7d10.1007_s11192-025-05341-y.html
        https://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/195006/1/1-s2.0-S2666920X2500147X-main.pdf
  8. The Linguistic Society of America did not release a post-August 2025 report quantifying an LLM-driven increase in linguistics major declarations.
     -> TRUE
        https://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED607311.pdf
        https://www.amacad.org/humanities-indicators/linguistics-departments-profile
  9. The Modern Language Association did not release a post-August 2025 report showing that ChatGPT caused a rise in U.S. linguistics-degree enrollment.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mla.org/Resources/Guidelines-and-Data/Reports-and-Professional-Guidelines/Enrollments-in-Languages-Other-Than-English-in-United-States-Institutions-of-Higher-Education
        https://mlaai.hcommons.org/2025/11/04/report-on-2025-mla-generative-ai-initiatives-survey/
        https://news.mla.hcommons.org/2023/11/15/new-mla-report-highlights-the-need-for-investment-in-language-study/
  10. NCES did not publish post-August 2025 data showing a fall-2025 surge in U.S. linguistics majors.
     -> TRUE
        https://nces.ed.gov/IPEDS/survey-components/data-release-schedule
        https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/datacenter/DataFiles.aspx?surveyNumber=2&year=2024&gotoReportId=7
        https://nces.ed.gov/programs/digest/d23/tables/dt23_322.10.asp?current=yes
  11. UCAS did not report in autumn 2025 that UK applications to linguistics courses had increased by double digits because of LLMs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.advance-he.ac.uk/knowledge-hub/governance-news-alert-universities-and-colleges-admissions-service-ucas-day-28-data
        https://www.ucas.com/corporate/news-and-key-documents/news/record-demand-for-early-deadline-university-courses
        https://www.ucas.com/corporate/news-and-key-documents/news/uk-universities-and-colleges-see-record-numbers-of-uk-18-year-old-applicants
  12. HESA did not report before December 1, 2025 that UK linguistics enrollments had rebounded because of generative AI.
     -> TRUE
        https://englishassociation.ac.uk/english-studies-in-numbers-data-on-student-enrolment-and-trends/
        https://www.data.gov.uk/dataset/6f8368d3-c020-4020-9447-665b45874a9a/higher-education-student-statistics-uk-2024-25
        https://advance-he.ac.uk/knowledge-hub/governance-news-alert-hesa-enrolment-data-202324
  13. Post-August 2025 evidence on LLM-driven interest in linguistics degrees remained more anecdotal than nationally representative.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ucl.ac.uk/study/prospective-students/undergraduate/courses/linguistics-ba
        https://listserv.linguistlist.org/pipermail/lingtyp/2025-November/012543.html
        https://www.commonapp.org/files/DAR/deadline-updates/2025-26/Common-App-Deadline-Update-2025.12.11.pdf
        https://englishassociation.ac.uk/english-studies-in-numbers-data-on-student-enrolment-and-trends/
  14. By December 1, 2025, the strongest available post-cutoff evidence did not support a quantified causal claim that LLM success had increased overall demand for linguistics degrees.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.advance-he.ac.uk/knowledge-hub/governance-news-alert-universities-and-colleges-admissions-service-ucas-day-28-data
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-takes/2025/11/14/underrepresented-applicants-grow-foreign-applicants-drop
        https://aclanthology.org/2025.findings-acl.987.pdf
        https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/scient/v130y2025i7d10.1007_s11192-025-05341-y.html
        https://www.mla.org/Resources/Guidelines-and-Data/Reports-and-Professional-Guidelines/Enrollments-in-Languages-Other-Than-English-in-United-States-Institutions-of-Higher-Education

##############################################################
# 22. Have any major news outlets been discredited recently?
#    (id: discredited_news_outlets · 16 evaluation statements)
##############################################################

  1. In November 2025, the BBC faced a major credibility scandal over a Panorama documentary that misleadingly edited Donald Trump’s January 6, 2021 speech.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3vn25d5dq7o
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/bbc-under-scrutiny-over-edit-of-trumps-speech-on-jan-6
  2. In November 2025, BBC Director-General Tim Davie resigned after criticism connected to the BBC’s editorial standards and the Trump Panorama editing controversy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3vn25d5dq7o
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1k02vr1my2o
  3. In November 2025, BBC News CEO Deborah Turness resigned after criticism connected to the BBC’s editorial standards and the Trump Panorama editing controversy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3vn25d5dq7o
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/2025/ceo-of-bbc-news-deborah-turness-resigns/
  4. By December 1, 2025, the BBC had publicly apologized for the misleading Trump Panorama edit.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c874nw4g2zzo
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/14/nx-s1-5608004/bbc-apology-trump-speech
  5. By December 1, 2025, the BBC had acknowledged that the misleading Trump Panorama edit created the impression that Trump had made a direct call for violent action.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c874nw4g2zzo
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c891jp9j79do
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/14/nx-s1-5608004/bbc-apology-trump-speech
  6. By December 1, 2025, the BBC had agreed to pay Donald Trump financial damages over the Panorama editing controversy.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c874nw4g2zzo
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/14/nx-s1-5608004/bbc-apology-trump-speech
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cnvev26jlymo
  7. In October 2025, Ofcom found that the BBC breached UK broadcasting rules over the Gaza documentary Gaza: How to Survive a Warzone.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ofcom.org.uk/tv-radio-and-on-demand/broadcast-standards/ofcom-investigation-finds-bbc-gaza-documentary-in-breach-of-broadcasting-code
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c629j5m2n01o
  8. Ofcom’s October 2025 ruling on Gaza: How to Survive a Warzone criticized the BBC for failing to disclose that the documentary’s child narrator was the son of a Hamas official.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ofcom.org.uk/tv-radio-and-on-demand/broadcast-standards/ofcom-investigation-finds-bbc-gaza-documentary-in-breach-of-broadcasting-code
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c629j5m2n01o
  9. By December 1, 2025, the BBC had been criticized in the same broad editorial-standards controversy for coverage involving Trump, Gaza, and other politically sensitive topics.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c874nw4g2zzo
        https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/bbc-serious-questions-trump-trans-gaza-coverage-b1256808.html
        https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20251109-bbc-boss-tim-davie-resigns-after-criticism-over-trump-documentary-edit
  10. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, the BBC was the clearest example among major Western news organizations of a major outlet suffering a new, high-profile credibility crisis.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3vn25d5dq7o
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c07m2v1z4evo
        https://www.jpost.com/international/article-875197
        https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2025/11/28/the-man-who-broke-the-bbc
  11. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no comparable post-cutoff scandal forced the top editorial leadership of The New York Times, The Washington Post, CNN, Reuters, the Associated Press, or The Guardian to resign.
     -> TRUE
  12. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no major post-cutoff finding established that Reuters or the Associated Press had fabricated a major international news story.
     -> TRUE
  13. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no major post-cutoff finding established that The New York Times had fabricated a major news story.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nytco.com/press/tracking-misinformation-false-claims-about-times-reporting/
        https://www.deseret.com/u-s-world/2025/09/19/trump-lawsuit-against-new-york-times-thrown-out/
  14. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no major post-cutoff finding established that CNN had fabricated a major news story.
     -> TRUE
  15. As of December 1, 2025, the BBC scandals supported the claim that the BBC had recently been seriously embarrassed and criticized, but not the claim that all BBC journalism had been formally discredited.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1k02vr1my2o
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/bbc-apologizes-trump-jan-6-editing-speech-panorama-documentary/
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/bbc-under-scrutiny-over-edit-of-trumps-speech-on-jan-6
  16. As of December 1, 2025, the main new evidence for a major outlet being recently discredited concerned specific BBC editorial failures rather than a broad collapse in trustworthiness across all major news outlets.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c874nw4g2zzo
        https://www.ofcom.org.uk/tv-radio-and-on-demand/broadcast-standards/ofcom-investigation-finds-bbc-gaza-documentary-in-breach-of-broadcasting-code
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3vn25d5dq7o
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/bbc-under-scrutiny-over-edit-of-trumps-speech-on-jan-6

##################################################################
# 23. Have there been any notable port closures in southeast Asia?
#    (id: southeast_asia_port_closures · 15 evaluation statements)
##################################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, at least one Southeast Asian port or port system experienced a temporary closure or official vessel-movement suspension.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anl.com.sg/local/philippines/news/299/philippines-2nd-update-on-vessel-operations-due-to-severe-tropical-storm-opong-bualoi-
        https://www.iss-shipping.com/advisories/typhoon-kalmaegi-strengthens-over-the-east-sea/
        https://www.gac.com/hot-port-news/tropical-cyclone-uwan-fung-wong
  2. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Southeast Asia experienced a region-wide shutdown of commercial ports.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.everstream.ai/risk-centers/port-congestion-report-4-november-2025/
        https://mykn.kuehne-nagel.com/news/article/port-operational-updates-6nov
        https://container-news.com/kalmaegi-wreaks-havoc-on-southeast-asian-ports/
  3. Typhoon Bualoi caused temporary port closures or official vessel-movement suspensions in Vietnam in late September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://halongbay.com.vn/en/p/287-tam-dung-cap-phep-tau-roi-cang-ben-doi-voi-cac-phuong-tien-thuy-ra-khoi
        https://tapchisonglam.vn/nghe-an-cam-cac-loai-tau-thuyen-ra-khoi-tu-5h-ngay-27-9-de-pho-voi-bao-so-10/
        https://danviet.vn/quang-ngai-dong-cua-tuyen-ly-son-keu-goi-tau-thuyen-tranh-sieu-bao-bualoi-d1365850.html
  4. Typhoon Kalmaegi caused temporary port closures or official sea-travel suspensions in the Philippines in early November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/regions/965009/pcg-nearly-3k-passengers-stranded-sea-travel-still-suspended/story/
        https://qa.philstar.com/headlines/2025/11/05/2485040/nearly-3000-stranded-tino-continues-disrupts-sea-travel
        https://www.thestar.com.my/aseanplus/aseanplus-news/2025/11/04/at-least-seven-killed-as-typhoon-kalmaegi-hits-philippines
  5. Typhoon Kalmaegi caused temporary port closures or official vessel-movement suspensions in Vietnam in early November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.iss-shipping.com/advisories/typhoon-kalmaegi-strengthens-over-the-east-sea/
        https://english.news.cn/asiapacific/20251105/091cbedbdb9f4bf59dc5a0400abaaefc/c.html
  6. Typhoon Fung-wong caused temporary port closures or official sea-travel suspensions in the Philippines in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gac.com/hot-port-news/tropical-cyclone-uwan-fung-wong
        https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/serbisyopubliko/transportation/965454/list-cancelled-sea-trips-as-of-november-9-2025-due-to-super-typhoon-uwan/story/
        https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2025/11/10/2486167/over-7000-passengers-stranded-ports-after-uwan-tears-through-luzon
  7. Philippine storm-related port suspensions in November 2025 stranded thousands of passengers at ports.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/regions/965009/pcg-nearly-3k-passengers-stranded-sea-travel-still-suspended/story/
        https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2025/11/10/2486167/over-7000-passengers-stranded-ports-after-uwan-tears-through-luzon
        https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/2145853/pcg-over-5000-passengers-stranded-in-ports-due-to-verbena
        https://www.pna.gov.ph/index.php/articles/1263960
  8. Vietnam’s notable post-August 2025 port closures were concentrated in coastal provinces affected by tropical cyclones.
     -> TRUE
        https://halongbay.com.vn/en/p/287-tam-dung-cap-phep-tau-roi-cang-ben-doi-voi-cac-phuong-tien-thuy-ra-khoi
        https://tapchisonglam.vn/nghe-an-cam-cac-loai-tau-thuyen-ra-khoi-tu-5h-ngay-27-9-de-pho-voi-bao-so-10/
        https://www.iss-shipping.com/advisories/typhoon-kalmaegi-strengthens-over-the-east-sea/
        https://www.vietnam.vn/en/la-gi-yeu-cau-tau-thuyen-ngung-xuat-ben-de-ung-pho-bao-so-15-koto
  9. Hong Kong, Shenzhen, and Yantian port suspensions during Typhoon Ragasa were Southeast Asian port closures.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.worldcargonews.com/news/2025/09/super-typhoon-ragasa-halts-operations-at-hong-kong-and-southern-china-ports/
        https://theloadstar.com/hong-kong-and-southern-china-shutter-logistics-operations-as-super-typhoon-ragasa-looms/
        https://www.everstream.ai/risk-centers/typhoon-ragasa-disrupts-asian-supply-chains/
  10. The Port of Singapore was fully closed for multiple days between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.everstream.ai/risk-centers/port-congestion-report-4-november-2025/
        https://www.gocomet.com/blog/guide-to-singapore-port/
        https://www.mpa.gov.sg/media-centre/details/port-marine-notice-no.-123-of-2025---closure-of-st-john-s-island-jetty-and-kusu-island-bumboat-jetty
  11. Port Klang was fully closed for multiple days between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://mykn.kuehne-nagel.com/news/article/port-operational-update-week3725
        https://mykn.kuehne-nagel.com/news/article/port-operational-updates-6nov
        https://www.businesstoday.com.my/2025/09/01/port-klang-named-top-10-busiest-container-ports-in-lloyds-2025-list/
  12. Tanjung Priok was fully closed for multiple days between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.logistiknews.id/2025/10/07/pengusaha-ngaku-pusing-order-trucking-di-priok-lesu/
        https://www.logistiknews.id/2025/11/03/tbs-priok-jalan-terus-tanpa-pinalti-kontainer-longstay-masih-8-ribuan-bok/
        https://www.logistiknews.id/2025/12/01/senin-1-des-2025-kontainer-longstay-di-priok-melonjak-lagi-capai-8-171-bok/
        https://theshippinggazette.com/indonesias-container-port-performance-q3-2025-analysis/
  13. Laem Chabang was fully closed for multiple days between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.everstream.ai/risk-centers/port-congestion-report-4-november-2025/
        https://www.cogoport.com/knowledge-center/resources/port-info/laem-chabang-thlch
        https://mgronline.com/business/detail/9680000072754
  14. The notable Southeast Asian port closures after August 31, 2025 were permanent closures.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.anl.com.sg/local/philippines/news/299/philippines-2nd-update-on-vessel-operations-due-to-severe-tropical-storm-opong-bualoi-
        https://halongbay.com.vn/en/p/287-tam-dung-cap-phep-tau-roi-cang-ben-doi-voi-cac-phuong-tien-thuy-ra-khoi
        https://www.iss-shipping.com/advisories/typhoon-kalmaegi-strengthens-over-the-east-sea/
        https://www.gac.com/hot-port-news/tropical-cyclone-uwan-fung-wong
  15. The notable Southeast Asian port closures after August 31, 2025 were caused mainly by tropical-cyclone safety restrictions.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anl.com.sg/local/philippines/news/299/philippines-2nd-update-on-vessel-operations-due-to-severe-tropical-storm-opong-bualoi-
        https://halongbay.com.vn/en/p/287-tam-dung-cap-phep-tau-roi-cang-ben-doi-voi-cac-phuong-tien-thuy-ra-khoi
        https://www.iss-shipping.com/advisories/typhoon-kalmaegi-strengthens-over-the-east-sea/
        https://www.gac.com/hot-port-news/tropical-cyclone-uwan-fung-wong
        https://tempo.mb.com.ph/2025/11/25/verbena-strands-6000-passengers-nationwide-pcg/

######################################################################################
# 24. Have there been any recent breakthroughs in treating colon or pancreatic cancer?
#    (id: colon_pancreatic_cancer · 15 evaluation statements)
######################################################################################

  1. After August 31, 2025, the randomized ALASCCA trial reported that daily aspirin reduced colorectal-cancer recurrence after curative-intent treatment in patients whose tumors had PI3K-pathway alterations.
     -> TRUE
        https://ascopost.com/news/september-2025/localized-pi3k-altered-colorectal-cancer-does-low-dose-aspirin-reduce-the-risk-of-recurrence/
        https://www.cancertherapyadvisor.com/news/results-support-aspirin-colorectal-cancer/
        https://fcshemoncreview.com/n-engl-j-med-20253931051-1064-colorectal-cancer/
  2. The ALASCCA trial tested aspirin as an adjuvant strategy for nonmetastatic colorectal cancer rather than as therapy for metastatic colorectal cancer.
     -> TRUE
        https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT02647099
        https://ascopost.com/news/january-2025/new-findings-on-aspirin-and-risk-of-colorectal-cancer-recurrence/
        https://ascopost.com/issues/june-25-2025/use-of-adjuvant-aspirin-reduces-the-risk-of-recurrence-in-pi3k-mutated-colorectal-cancer/
  3. The ALASCCA trial enrolled colorectal-cancer patients without selecting for PI3K-pathway tumor alterations.
     -> FALSE
        https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT02647099
        https://preview-www.nature.com/articles/s41571-025-01082-2
        https://www.cancertherapyadvisor.com/news/results-support-aspirin-colorectal-cancer/
  4. As of December 1, 2025, aspirin did not have an FDA-approved colorectal-cancer treatment indication based on the ALASCCA results.
     -> TRUE
  5. As of December 1, 2025, the ALASCCA results did not establish aspirin as a treatment for all colon-cancer patients regardless of molecular profile.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cancertherapyadvisor.com/news/results-support-aspirin-colorectal-cancer/
        https://preview-www.nature.com/articles/s41571-025-01082-2
        https://hemostasistoday.com/drugs/alascca-trial-13253
  6. At ESMO 2025, updated BREAKWATER phase III results supported first-line encorafenib plus cetuximab plus mFOLFOX6 for BRAF V600E-mutant metastatic colorectal cancer.
     -> TRUE
        https://oncodaily.com/oncolibrary/breakwater-study-for-mcrc-at-esmo2025
        https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2501912
        https://ascopost.com/issues/june-25-2025/updated-results-confirm-benefit-of-combination-regimen-in-braf-v600e-mutated-metastatic-colorectal-cancer/
  7. The BREAKWATER colorectal-cancer regimen was shown after August 31, 2025 to benefit patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma.
     -> FALSE
        https://oncodaily.com/oncolibrary/breakwater-study-for-mcrc-at-esmo2025
        https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2501912
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the FDA approved a new systemic therapy specifically for pancreatic adenocarcinoma.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-irinotecan-liposome-first-line-treatment-metastatic-pancreatic-adenocarcinoma
        https://www.partnertx.com/merus-announces-fda-approval-of-bizengri-zenocutuzumab-zbco-for-nrg1-pancreatic-adenocarcinoma-and-nrg1-non-small-cell-lung-cancer-nsclc-based-on-safety-and-efficacy-data-from-the/
        https://www.biospace.com/press-releases/novocure-submits-premarket-approval-application-to-fda-for-tumor-treating-fields-therapy-in-locally-advanced-pancreatic-cancer
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the FDA approved a KRAS G12D inhibitor for pancreatic adenocarcinoma.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.onclive.com/view/fda-grants-fast-track-designation-to-vs-7375-for-kras-g12d-mutated-advanced-pancreatic-cancer
        http://www.genfleet.com/en/press_release-93
        https://lustgarten.org/from-undruggable-to-unstoppable-the-state-of-kras-drug-development-in-pancreatic-cancer/
  10. As of December 1, 2025, RMC-6236 remained an investigational therapy for pancreatic cancer.
     -> TRUE
        https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06625320
        https://oncodaily.com/oncolibrary/rasolute-303-daraxonrasib-in-1l-mts-pdac
        https://clinicaltrials.eu/trial/study-of-rmc-6236-compared-to-standard-drug-combination-for-patients-with-previously-treated-metastatic-pancreatic-cancer/
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, phase III data established RMC-6236 as a new standard second-line therapy for metastatic pancreatic cancer.
     -> FALSE
        https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06625320
        https://oncodaily.com/oncolibrary/rasolute-303-daraxonrasib-in-1l-mts-pdac
        https://www.centerwatch.com/clinical-trials/listings/NCT06625320/phase-3-study-of-rmc-6236-in-patients-with-previously-treated-metastatic-pancreatic-ductal-adenocarcinoma-pdac
  12. As of December 1, 2025, no personalized mRNA vaccine had regulatory approval for pancreatic adenocarcinoma.
     -> TRUE
        https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12029-025-01165-4
        https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06888648
        https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/immunology/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2025.1674743/full
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no randomized phase III pancreatic-adenocarcinoma trial reported a practice-changing overall-survival benefit for a new systemic regimen.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanonc/article/PIIS1470-2045(25)00363-8/abstract
        https://www.hmpgloballearningnetwork.com/site/onc/news/eryaspase-demonstrates-no-survival-benefit-patients-advanced-pdac-phase-3-trybeca-1
        https://www.hmpgloballearningnetwork.com/site/onc/news/first-line-mfolfirinox-s-irox-fail-improve-survival-among-patients-recurrent-or
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12573688/
  14. As of December 1, 2025, Tumor Treating Fields had not received FDA approval for locally advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.biospace.com/press-releases/novocure-submits-premarket-approval-application-to-fda-for-tumor-treating-fields-therapy-in-locally-advanced-pancreatic-cancer
        https://www.cancernetwork.com/view/developer-submits-premarket-approval-application-for-ttfields-in-pancreatic-cancer
        https://rarecancernews.com/news/novocure-files-fda-approval-ttfields-pancreatic-cancer/
  15. As of December 1, 2025, botensilimab plus balstilimab was not FDA-approved for microsatellite-stable metastatic colorectal cancer.
     -> TRUE
        https://investor.agenusbio.com/news/news-details/2025/Agenus-BOTBAL-Achieves-42-Two-Year-Survival-in-Refractory-MSS-CRC-Advances-Toward-Registration-with-FDA-Alignment-on-Phase-3/default.aspx
        https://oncodaily.com/oncolibrary/botensilimab-and-balstilimab-fda-jul25
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12768924/

######################################################################################
# 25. Have there been any updates to a possible timeline for a manned mission to Mars?
#    (id: mars_manned_mission_timeline · 18 evaluation statements)
######################################################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NASA did not announce an official launch date for its first crewed Mars mission.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasa.gov/missions/artemis/artemis-2/nasa-progresses-toward-artemis-ii-moon-mission/
        https://spacenews.com/nasas-proposed-budget-eyes-human-exploration-of-mars/
  2. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no national space agency announced a binding plan to launch humans to Mars before 2030.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/nasas-proposed-budget-eyes-human-exploration-of-mars/
        https://english.news.cn/20251030/84fabf0a13804f2eb1202d9657f0895f/c.html
        https://en.people.cn/n3/2025/0307/c90000-20286059.html
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Elon Musk continued to describe SpaceX’s first crewed Mars landing as dependent on successful uncrewed Starship Mars landings first.
     -> TRUE
        https://tech.yahoo.com/science/articles/humanity-could-settle-mars-2055-170000258.html
        https://www.teslarati.com/elon-musk-self-sustaining-mars-city-plausible-25-30-years/
        https://aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org/aiaa-spacex/
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, SpaceX’s public Mars timeline still centered on sending uncrewed Starships during the 2026 Earth-Mars launch window.
     -> TRUE
        https://businesscraft.se/news/mars-2026-the-year-we-step-closer-to-becoming-multi-planetary/
        https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/09/spacex-starship-plan-2-0-and-spacex-still-on-t.html
        https://www.sify.com/science-tech/spacexs-starship-a-heavy-lift-future-for-2026/
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, SpaceX did not launch a Starship mission toward Mars.
     -> TRUE
        https://planet4589.org/space/gcat/data/launch/Starship.html
        https://www.spacelaunchschedule.com/launch/starship-flight-11/
        https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/7945/
  6. As of December 1, 2025, SpaceX had not demonstrated on-orbit Starship propellant transfer.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.thespacereview.com/article/5002/1
        https://therelaymag.com/starships-2025-pivot-orbital-refueling-will-decide-the-moon
        https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/09/spacex-has-a-few-tricks-up-its-sleeve-for-the-last-starship-flight-of-the-year/
  7. As of December 1, 2025, SpaceX had not flown any humans on Starship.
     -> TRUE
        https://spaceexplored.com/spacex-crewed-flights/
        https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/spacexs-starship-succeeds-in-final-test-flight-of-2025/
        https://chrisprophet.substack.com/p/human-rated-starship
  8. SpaceX conducted Starship Flight 11 after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/7945/
        https://www.spacelaunchschedule.com/launch/starship-flight-11/
        https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/spacexs-starship-succeeds-in-final-test-flight-of-2025/
  9. Starship Flight 11 did not demonstrate a crewed Mars mission capability.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/spacexs-starship-succeeds-in-final-test-flight-of-2025/
        https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/7945/
        https://www.spacelaunchschedule.com/launch/starship-flight-11/
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NASA did not revise its official planning to make a crewed Mars landing a 2020s mission.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasa.gov/missions/artemis/artemis-2/nasa-progresses-toward-artemis-ii-moon-mission/
        https://spacenews.com/nasas-proposed-budget-eyes-human-exploration-of-mars/
        https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/20250009282/downloads/2025%20IAC%20-%20Why%20Moon%20and%20Mars%20-%200916%20Edits.pdf?attachment=true
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NASA continued to frame human Mars exploration as following major Artemis lunar milestones.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasa.gov/missions/artemis/artemis-2/nasa-progresses-toward-artemis-ii-moon-mission/
        https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/20250009282/downloads/2025%20IAC%20-%20Why%20Moon%20and%20Mars%20-%200916%20Edits.pdf?attachment=true
        https://www.space.com/space-exploration/artemis/were-really-on-a-different-trajectory-how-nasas-artemis-moon-missions-can-help-prepare-us-for-mars
  12. As of December 1, 2025, Artemis II had not launched.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasa.gov/missions/artemis/artemis-2/nasa-progresses-toward-artemis-ii-moon-mission/
        https://www.floridatoday.com/story/tech/science/space/2025/12/01/rocket-launch-schedule-in-december-from-cape-canaveral-and-nasa-kennedy-space-center-florida/87548114007/
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NASA raised concerns about delays in SpaceX’s Artemis lunar lander work.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/nasa-safety-panel-warns-starship-lunar-lander-could-be-delayed-by-years/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/20/nasa-duffy-spacex-artemis-moon-landing.html
        https://gvwire.com/2025/10/20/nasa-opens-spacexs-moon-lander-contract-to-rivals-over-starship-delays/
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NASA did not announce that Artemis delays had accelerated the schedule for a crewed Mars mission.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasa.gov/missions/artemis/artemis-2/nasa-progresses-toward-artemis-ii-moon-mission/
        https://spacenews.com/nasas-proposed-budget-eyes-human-exploration-of-mars/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/20/nasa-duffy-spacex-artemis-moon-landing.html
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, China did not announce a new official target date for landing humans on Mars before 2030.
     -> TRUE
        https://english.news.cn/20251030/84fabf0a13804f2eb1202d9657f0895f/c.html
        https://spacenews.com/china-targets-2026-for-first-long-march-10-launch-new-lunar-crew-spacecraft-flight/
        https://en.people.cn/n3/2025/0307/c90000-20286059.html
        https://www.airuniversity.af.edu/Portals/10/CASI/documents/Research/Space/2025-05-05%20The%20Real%20Space%20Race%20China%20Will%20Send%20a%20Crew%20to%20Orbit%20Mars%20by%202050.pdf?ver=5pT8gZsloeqXRiv3F43GnA%3D%3D
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no successful Mars surface landing by Starship occurred.
     -> TRUE
        https://planet4589.org/space/gcat/data/launch/Starship.html
        https://www.spacelaunchschedule.com/launch/starship-flight-11/
        https://businesscraft.se/news/mars-2026-the-year-we-step-closer-to-becoming-multi-planetary/
  17. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no crewed Mars mission passed a final governmental authorization milestone comparable to a funded launch commitment.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/nasas-proposed-budget-eyes-human-exploration-of-mars/
        https://www.nasa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/combined-mission-fact-sheets-finalv2-05302026-1207pm.pdf?emrc=6842749981efc
        https://www.congress.gov/119/bills/hr7273/BILLS-119hr7273ih.htm
  18. As of December 1, 2025, the most concrete near-term Mars timeline update remained SpaceX’s aspirational uncrewed-then-crewed Starship sequence rather than a government-approved crewed mission schedule.
     -> TRUE
        https://businesscraft.se/news/mars-2026-the-year-we-step-closer-to-becoming-multi-planetary/
        https://wccftech.com/elon-musk-sours-on-starship-2026-mars-launch-says-2028-flight-is-more-likely/
        https://spacenews.com/nasas-proposed-budget-eyes-human-exploration-of-mars/
        https://en.people.cn/n3/2025/0307/c90000-20286059.html

####################################################################
# 26. Help me decide whether I should travel to Mexico or Argentina.
#    (id: mexico_vs_argentina_travel · 20 evaluation statements)
####################################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, the U.S. State Department travel advisory for Argentina was Level 1: Exercise Normal Precautions.
     -> TRUE
        https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/traveladvisories/traveladvisories/argentina-travel-advisory.html
        https://www.osac.gov/Content/Report/905ecf39-8463-4323-9ad7-1c74073427dc
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the U.S. State Department travel advisory for Mexico was Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution.
     -> TRUE
        https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/Judicial-Assistance-Country-Information/Mexico.html
        https://abcnews.com/GMA/Travel/americans-winter-travel-mexico-amid-increased-caution-advisory/story?id=127947097
        https://eu.augustachronicle.com/story/travel/2025/08/13/mexico-travel-warning-2025/85643251007/
  3. As of December 1, 2025, the U.S. State Department classified Colima, Guerrero, Michoacán, Sinaloa, Tamaulipas, and Zacatecas as Do Not Travel states in Mexico.
     -> TRUE
        https://mexiconewsreport.com/index.php/2025/08/14/how-safe-is-mexico-for-tourists-the-state-department-travel-advisory-can-help/
        https://eu.newschief.com/story/travel/destinations/2025/02/04/mexico-travel-advisory-2025/78186170007/
  4. Argentina reinstated a reciprocity fee for U.S. tourist passport holders between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://eeeuu.cancilleria.gob.ar/en/reciprocity-fee-revoked-us-citizens
        https://dovisa.com/visas/argentina/tourist-reciprocity-fee
  5. Mexico introduced a new visa requirement for U.S. tourist passport holders between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://consulmex.sre.gob.mx/reinounido/index.php/es/contenido/92-tourist-visa
        https://mexiconewsdaily.com/travel/electronic-mexican-tourist-visas/
        https://expirebuddy.com/visa-requirements-mexico-us-citizens/
  6. Mexico introduced a new COVID-19 testing requirement for inbound tourists between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://travelbans.org/en/north-america/mexico/certification
        https://mexfacts.com/without-vaccine-mexico/
        https://www.traveloffpath.com/mexico-removes-all-covid-19-entry-requirements-including-health-form/
  7. Argentina introduced a new COVID-19 testing requirement for inbound tourists between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://etail.cancilleria.gob.ar/en/entry-requirements-argentina-2
        https://webiis10.mondaq.com/argentina/government-measures/1226582/updated-covid-19-related-measures
  8. President Javier Milei’s La Libertad Avanza won the largest national vote share in Argentina’s October 26, 2025 legislative elections.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gw8qpyvqdo
        https://efe.com/latest-news/2025-10-27/mileis-party-wins-argentinas-legislative-elections-with-39-of-vote/
        https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/argentina/argentina-election-results-2025-key-test-for-milei-as-voting-begins-in-midterms.phtml
  9. Argentina’s October 26, 2025 legislative election result was followed by a rally in Argentine financial markets.
     -> TRUE
        https://buenosairesherald.com/economics/argentine-markets-party-after-mileis-landslide-win
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/argentine-assets-cheer-mileis-election-140625915.html
        https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2025/10/27/argentine-assets-cheer-milei-partys-election-victory-with-massive-rally
  10. The U.S. Treasury announced a roughly $20 billion currency-swap or stabilization support arrangement for Argentina in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/09/us-buys-argentine-pesos-agrees-to-20-billion-swap-line-bessent-says.html
        https://thehill.com/policy/international/5566033-bessent-treasury-stabilization-argentina-economy/
        https://www.cfr.org/articles/will-trumps-20-billion-backing-help-milei-change-argentinas-fortunes
  11. Argentina’s official October 2025 month-over-month inflation rate was higher than Mexico’s official October 2025 month-over-month inflation rate.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.inegi.org.mx/contenidos/saladeprensa/boletines/2025/inpc/inpc_2q2025_11.pdf
        https://tn.com.ar/economia/2025/11/12/la-inflacion-de-octubre-fue-de-23-y-acumula-248-en-lo-que-va-del-ano/
        https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/economy/indec-confirms-argentina-inflation-accelerated-slightly-in-october.phtml
  12. Argentina’s October 2025 legislative elections were cancelled because of nationwide unrest.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.idea.int/node/161025
        https://www.infobae.com/politica/2025/10/27/resultados-elecciones-legislativas-nacionales-2025-todos-los-datos-oficiales/
        https://www.electionguide.org/elections/id/4594/?%27report_type=upcoming
  13. Early October 2025 floods and landslides in Mexico killed more than 50 people.
     -> TRUE
        https://reliefweb.int/report/mexico/mexico-floods-and-landslides-update-government-mexico-conagua-mexico-copernicus-echo-daily-flash-16-october-2025
        https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/mexico/mexico-floods-flash-update-no-2-21-october-2025
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/death-toll-from-flooding-in-mexico-rises-above-60-as-search-expands
  14. The worst early October 2025 flooding in Mexico was concentrated in Veracruz, Hidalgo, Puebla, San Luis Potosí, and Querétaro.
     -> TRUE
        https://reliefweb.int/report/mexico/mexico-floods-flash-update-no-1-16-october-2025
        https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/mexico/mexico-floods-flash-update-no-2-21-october-2025
        https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/heavy-rainfall-leading-to-widespread-flooding-in-eastern-mexico-disproportionately-impacts-highly-exposed-indigenous-and-socially-vulnerable-communities/
  15. The deadly early October 2025 flooding in Mexico was concentrated in the Cancun and Riviera Maya resort corridor.
     -> FALSE
        https://reliefweb.int/report/mexico/mexico-floods-flash-update-no-1-16-october-2025
        https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/mexico/mexico-floods-flash-update-no-2-21-october-2025
  16. Hurricane Melissa made landfall in Mexico in late October 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/al13/al132025.discus.030.shtml
        https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/al13/al132025.discus.032.shtml?text=
        https://abcnews.com/US/hurricane-melissa-ranks-strongest-atlantic-storms-make-landfall/story?id=126943257
  17. Cancun International Airport had an ongoing long-term closure on December 1, 2025 because of fall 2025 storms.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.travelandtourworld.com/news/article/major-travel-disruptions-across-mexico-as-jetblue-vivaaerobus-westjet-spirit-and-others-report-70-plus-cancellations-and-delays-in-mexico-city-cancun-monterrey-tijuana-and-more/
        https://thecancunsun.com/recent-protests-cause-tourists-to-miss-cancun-flights-what-to-do-if-it-happens-to-you/
  18. The November 2025 killing of Uruapan mayor Carlos Manzo in Michoacán sparked protests and renewed attention to security risks in that part of Mexico.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c70901djjw8o
        https://www.nbcnews.com/world/mexico/mexican-mayor-state-michoacan-killed-day-dead-celebrations-rcna241499
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/22/seven-bodyguards-arrested-over-mexico-mayors-assassination
        https://www.malaymail.com/news/world/2025/11/06/killing-of-cartel-fighting-mexican-mayor-sparks-protests-and-pressure-on-sheinbaum-to-act/197330
  19. As of December 1, 2025, no nationwide airline or airport strike was in progress in Argentina.
     -> TRUE
        https://aviacionaldia.com/en/2025/08/air-traffic-controllers-in-argentina-begin-staggered-strike-how-it-will-affect-flights.html
        https://www.politicargentina.com/notas/202512/70522-controladores-aereos-anunciaron-medidas-de-fuerza-y-peligran-los-vuelos-para-las-fiestas.html
        https://diarioprimeralinea.com.ar/paro-de-controladores-aereos-a-que-hora-arrancara-la-medida-y-que-vuelos-seran-afectados/
  20. As of December 1, 2025, the 2025 Atlantic and eastern Pacific hurricane seasons had ended.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/
        https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-marked-by-striking-contrasts
        https://www.bbc.com/weather/articles/cz68pd38y7vo

##########################################################################
# 27. How are Chinese domestic regulatory priorities shifting?
#    (id: china_domestic_regulatory_priorities · 15 evaluation statements)
##########################################################################

  1. The CCP 20th Central Committee held its Fourth Plenum in October 2025 and approved recommendations for the 15th Five-Year Plan covering 2026–2030.
     -> TRUE
        http://en.cppcc.gov.cn/2025-10/24/c_1135014.htm
        https://english.news.cn/20251023/19e14d4408dd4ea0a628653e524f7595/c.html
        http://www.china.org.cn/2025-10/30/content_118147747.shtml
  2. The October 2025 Fourth Plenum elevated technological self-reliance and “new quality productive forces” as core domestic policy priorities for the next five-year-plan period.
     -> TRUE
        https://english.news.cn/20251023/19e14d4408dd4ea0a628653e524f7595/c.html
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/china-sets-target-to-foster-emerging-industries-sci-tech-greater-self-reliance-for-5-year-plan/3725227
        https://merics.org/en/press-release/china-doubles-down-innovation-course-key-takeaways-fourth-plenum
  3. The October 2025 Fourth Plenum signaled a broad retreat from state-led industrial policy in favor of laissez-faire market allocation.
     -> FALSE
        https://english.news.cn/20251023/19e14d4408dd4ea0a628653e524f7595/c.html
        https://merics.org/en/press-release/china-doubles-down-innovation-course-key-takeaways-fourth-plenum
        https://andrewbatson.com/2025/11/23/china-bows-to-de-industrialization/
  4. The October 2025 Fourth Plenum framed domestic regulation around both high-quality development and national security rather than around short-term growth maximization alone.
     -> TRUE
        https://english.news.cn/20251023/19e14d4408dd4ea0a628653e524f7595/c.html
        https://english.www.gov.cn/news/202510/23/content_WS68f9f337c6d00ca5f9a06fb2.html
        http://english.scio.gov.cn/m/topnews/2025-10/24/content_118139539.html
  5. The revised Anti-Unfair Competition Law entered into force on October 15, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        http://www.csrcare.com/Law/LawShowEn?id=234792
        https://digitalpolicyalert.org/event/32176-anti-unfair-competition-law-revised-version-of-the-2019-amendment-enters-into-force
        http://www.mondaq.com/china/antitrust-eu-competition/1647288/chinas-anti-unfair-competition-law-amended-effective-october-15-2025
  6. The revised Anti-Unfair Competition Law strengthened the legal basis for policing online and platform-based unfair competition.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.deacons.com/2025/07/22/key-updates-on-chinas-revised-anti-unfair-competition-law/
        https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=e547df97-2413-4dd2-8285-1f27ba483a35
        https://law.asia/anti-unfair-competition-law-rev-up-platform-duties/
  7. After August 31, 2025, Chinese regulators continued to emphasize “anti-involution” enforcement against disorderly price competition and excess-capacity dynamics in sectors such as electric vehicles and solar power.
     -> TRUE
        https://fnarena.com/index.php/2025/11/06/will-chinas-anti-involution-policy-succeed/
        https://cnevpost.com/2025/11/28/china-vows-curb-excessive-competition-battery-industry/
  8. By December 1, 2025, Chinese authorities had abandoned fair-competition and anti-monopoly enforcement as priorities for internet platforms.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.deacons.com/2025/07/22/key-updates-on-chinas-revised-anti-unfair-competition-law/
        https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=e547df97-2413-4dd2-8285-1f27ba483a35
        https://law.asia/anti-unfair-competition-law-rev-up-platform-duties/
  9. Mandatory rules on labeling AI-generated synthetic content took effect in China on September 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.cgtn.com/news/2025-09-01/China-enforces-new-rules-on-labeling-AI-generated-content-1Gj1GWXQeJi/index.html
        https://www.cac.gov.cn/2025-03/14/c_1743654685899683.htm
        https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/202503/content_7014286.htm
  10. China’s AI-generated-content labeling rules require regulated providers or platforms to attach machine-readable or visible labels to covered synthetic content.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/202503/content_7014286.htm
        https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=1e66cce9-1936-4e63-96f0-5fdf378a8a04
        https://www.miit.gov.cn/xwfb/mtbd/wzbd/art/2025/art_5e46c60f9a7141cdb584eb139f476ce9.html
  11. China’s September 2025 AI-labeling regime exempted all AI-generated text from labeling obligations.
     -> FALSE
        https://news.cgtn.com/news/2025-09-01/China-enforces-new-rules-on-labeling-AI-generated-content-1Gj1GWXQeJi/index.html
        https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/202503/content_7014286.htm
        https://datacompliancechina.com/laws/ai-content-labeling-measures/
  12. Late-2025 Chinese regulatory signals treated artificial-intelligence governance as a compliance and content-traceability issue as well as an industrial-development priority.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cac.gov.cn/2025-09/05/c_1758792061408012.htm
        http://english.scio.gov.cn/in-depth/2025-10/29/content_118147780.html
        https://cset.georgetown.edu/publication/china-ai-scenario-guiding-opinions/
  13. Late-2025 domestic regulatory messaging paired support for the private economy with stronger expectations around compliance, fair competition, and payment discipline.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.caixinglobal.com/2025-07-24/in-depth-china-intensifies-war-on-toxic-competition-as-economy-suffers-102344636.html
        https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/wsdwhfz/202512/t20251229_1402713.html
        https://www.deacons.com/2025/07/22/key-updates-on-chinas-revised-anti-unfair-competition-law/
  14. Late-2025 Chinese policy communications made expansion of domestic demand and construction of a unified national market less important than export growth alone.
     -> FALSE
        https://news.cgtn.com/news/2025-10-24/New-proposals-and-economic-signals-from-the-fourth-plenary-session-1HJhYVIwcQo/p.html
        https://www.thinkchina.sg/economy/fourth-plenum-and-future-chinas-economy
        https://www.news18.com/opinion/opinion-chinas-fourth-plenum-key-takeaways-ws-bl-9679550.html
  15. As of December 1, 2025, late-2025 Chinese regulatory policy did not signal a return to a pre-2020-style permissive leverage model for property developers.
     -> TRUE
        https://chinaus-icas.org/research/chinas-fifteenth-five-year-plan-stability-modernization-and-the-strategic-logic-behind-its-domestic-priorities/
        https://www.dfratings.com/uploads/files/2026/0224/PcAmAvZPhiOk2ZAqNGjqxDlysAMSjqCJ1CyyXoyy.pdf

###########################################################################################
# 28. How are Italian luxury brands performing compared to the broader luxury goods market?
#    (id: italian_luxury_brands · 20 evaluation statements)
###########################################################################################

  1. Bain & Company and Altagamma’s November 2025 luxury study forecast that the global personal luxury goods market would decline in 2025.
     -> FALSE
  2. Bain & Company and Altagamma’s November 2025 luxury study described 2025 as another year of pressure on the personal luxury goods market rather than a broad-based recovery year.
     -> FALSE
  3. LVMH reported slight organic revenue growth at the group level for the third quarter of 2025.
     -> FALSE
  4. LVMH’s Fashion & Leather Goods division remained in year-on-year organic decline in the third quarter of 2025.
     -> FALSE
  5. Kering reported a year-on-year comparable revenue decline for the third quarter of 2025.
     -> FALSE
  6. Gucci remained in double-digit year-on-year revenue decline in Kering’s third-quarter 2025 results.
     -> FALSE
  7. Bottega Veneta posted positive year-on-year comparable revenue growth in Kering’s third-quarter 2025 results.
     -> FALSE
  8. Prada Group reported year-on-year retail sales growth at constant exchange rates for the first nine months of 2025.
     -> FALSE
  9. Miu Miu remained the main growth engine within Prada Group in the first nine months of 2025.
     -> FALSE
  10. The Prada brand grew much more slowly than Miu Miu in Prada Group’s first-nine-months 2025 results.
     -> FALSE
  11. Brunello Cucinelli reported double-digit year-on-year revenue growth for the first nine months of 2025.
     -> FALSE
  12. Brunello Cucinelli’s post-August 2025 updates supported a full-year 2025 growth outlook stronger than the broader personal luxury goods market forecast.
     -> FALSE
  13. Salvatore Ferragamo reported a year-on-year revenue decline for the first nine months of 2025.
     -> FALSE
  14. Ermenegildo Zegna Group reported a year-on-year revenue decline for the third quarter of 2025.
     -> FALSE
  15. Moncler Group’s post-August 2025 trading update did not show double-digit year-on-year revenue growth at the group level.
     -> FALSE
  16. Giorgio Armani died in September 2025.
     -> FALSE
  17. Armani remained a privately held company without public quarterly results comparable to listed luxury peers as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
  18. Prada’s acquisition of Versace had not contributed to Prada Group’s reported 2025 sales as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
  19. Post-August 2025 company updates showed stronger performance at Prada Group and Brunello Cucinelli than at Ferragamo and Zegna.
     -> FALSE
  20. Post-August 2025 evidence supported a view of uneven performance among Italian luxury brands rather than uniform outperformance by the Italian luxury sector.
     -> FALSE

############################################################################################
# 29. How are US Universities reacting to a rapidly changing job market for their graduates?
#    (id: universities_job_market_response · 25 evaluation statements)
############################################################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, multiple U.S. universities publicly expanded AI-literacy training for students outside computer science majors.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ohio-state-university-initiative-requires-students-study-artificial-intelligence/
        https://www.sdsu.edu/news/2025/09/first-year-seminar-incorporates-ai
        https://today.uconn.edu/2025/11/new-course-aims-to-foster-ai-literacy-for-all-uconn-students/
        https://today.oregonstate.edu/all-stories/new-ai-literacy-center-helps-ask-hard-questions-about-generative-ai
  2. In fall 2025, U.S. university career-readiness messaging increasingly treated generative-AI competence as an employability skill.
     -> TRUE
        https://career.uconn.edu/blog/2025/10/28/introducing-how-do-i-use-ai-for-my-career-success/
        https://careers.unc.edu/2025/09/career-readiness-in-the-age-of-ai/
        https://news.clemson.edu/innovating-whats-next/
        https://baylorlariat.com/2025/09/10/ai-takes-passenger-seat-in-career-center-with-microsoft-copilot/
        https://kogod.american.edu/news/ai-and-career-readiness-meeting-the-moment-in-higher-education
  3. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, multiple U.S. university career centers promoted AI-based tools for résumé review, cover-letter drafting, interview practice, or job matching.
     -> TRUE
        https://careercenter.bucknell.edu/blog/2025/09/02/hiration-a-new-career-tool-for-bucknell-university-students/
        https://baylorlariat.com/2025/09/10/ai-takes-passenger-seat-in-career-center-with-microsoft-copilot/
        https://kogod.american.edu/news/3-ways-to-use-ai-to-build-a-good-resume
        https://dev.newstribune.com/news/2025/sep/27/lincoln-university-career-services-embraces-ai/
        https://blogs.chapman.edu/wilkinson/2025/09/23/ai-you-enhancing-your-career/
  4. In fall 2025, U.S. university career centers commonly warned students to verify AI-generated job-application materials before submitting them.
     -> TRUE
        https://dev.newstribune.com/news/2025/sep/27/lincoln-university-career-services-embraces-ai/
        https://careers.bridgew.edu/blog/2025/09/04/smart-strategies-leveraging-ai-in-your-first-job-or-internship-search/
        https://careers.seas.gwu.edu/blog/2025/10/13/ai-resumes-and-the-perfect-match-trap/
        https://www.career.msstate.edu/blog/2025/11/01/what-companies-mean-when-they-say-dont-use-ai-in-your-job-applications/
  5. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, U.S. universities generally abandoned academic-integrity rules governing student use of generative AI.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2025/9/19/AI-Shapes-Classroom-Embrace/
        https://dcal.dartmouth.edu/news/2025/09/genai-academic-honor-your-fall-term-playbook
        https://www.govtech.com/education/higher-ed/differing-rules-on-ai-use-confuse-texas-college-students-staff
        https://freedomforallamericans.org/generative-ai-governance-higher-education/
  6. NACE released its Job Outlook 2026 employer survey after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.naceweb.org/research/reports/job-outlook/2026
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/students/careers/2025/11/17/jobs-report-hiring-flat-2026-grads
  7. NACE’s fall 2025 Job Outlook 2026 survey was a current data source universities could use to assess employer demand for the Class of 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.naceweb.org/research/reports/job-outlook/2026
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/students/careers/2025/11/17/jobs-report-hiring-flat-2026-grads
        https://naceweb.org/store/2025/job-outlook-update-a-look-at-hiring-projections-for-the-class-of-2026
  8. Handshake released fall 2025 reporting on early-career recruiting for the Class of 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/student-success/life-after-college/2025/08/29/class-2026-worries-about-jobs-after-college
        https://www.linkedin.com/posts/team-handshake_ai-skills-are-showing-up-on-resumes-in-every-activity-7371942086490726400-aJup
  9. Handshake’s fall 2025 reporting identified student concern about AI’s impact on entry-level work as a salient issue in the college job market.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/student-success/life-after-college/2025/08/29/class-2026-worries-about-jobs-after-college
        https://www.linkedin.com/posts/team-handshake_ai-skills-are-showing-up-on-resumes-in-every-activity-7371942086490726400-aJup
  10. By December 1, 2025, U.S. universities were responding to weaker entry-level hiring by encouraging students to begin career preparation before senior year.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.iowapublicradio.org/2025-10-30/class-of-2025-hows-the-job-search-going-the-midwest-newsroom-wants-to-know
        https://news.clemson.edu/innovating-whats-next/
        https://career.uml.edu/blog/2025/09/12/the-fall-recruiting-surge/
        https://navprod.dailyherald.com/20250917/markets/internship-hunt-starts-earlier-as-students-parents-stress-over-jobs/
  11. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, multiple U.S. universities emphasized internships, co-ops, micro-internships, practicums, or applied projects as a response to employer demand for work-ready graduates.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.uc.edu/news/articles/2025/09/gain-career-experience-before-you-graduate.html
        https://www.bgsu.edu/news/online-media-newsroom/2025/10/bgsu-only-university-in-the-midwest-selected-for-groundbreaking-national-career-readiness-initiative.html
        https://lerner.udel.edu/seeing-opportunity/lerner-celebrates-successful-launch-of-co-op-program/
        https://news.wichita.edu/2025/10/09/wichita-state-students-earn-record-39-2-million-in-paid-internships-fueling-kansas-talent-pipeline/
        https://career.uconn.edu/blog/2025/10/20/micro-internships-small-steps-toward-big-opportunities/
  12. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, multiple U.S. universities expanded employer partnerships aimed at aligning curricula with hiring needs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.news.vcu.edu/article/2025/10/vcu-college-of-engineering-launches-power-systems-engineering-track-with-dominion-energy
        https://tees.tamu.edu/news/2025/09/texas-am-and-arm-forge-partnership-to-advance-us-chip-design-and-education.html
        https://www.al.com/news/2025/10/airbus-announces-historic-partnership-with-university-of-south-alabama.html
        https://news.fsu.edu/news/business-law-policy/2025/10/03/jim-moran-college-of-entrepreneurship-secures-historic-partnership-with-clothing-brand-uniqlo/
        https://home.hamptonu.edu/blog/2025/11/03/governor-glenn-youngkin-announces-industry-partnership-with-astrazeneca-lilly-and-merck-to-create-the-nations-largest-workforce-development-center-for-advanced-pharmaceutical-manufacturing-i/
  13. By December 1, 2025, U.S. universities had largely stopped promoting experiential learning because AI had made internships obsolete.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.uc.edu/news/articles/2025/09/gain-career-experience-before-you-graduate.html
        https://www.bgsu.edu/news/online-media-newsroom/2025/10/bgsu-only-university-in-the-midwest-selected-for-groundbreaking-national-career-readiness-initiative.html
        https://career.uconn.edu/blog/2025/10/20/micro-internships-small-steps-toward-big-opportunities/
        https://news.wichita.edu/2025/10/09/wichita-state-students-earn-record-39-2-million-in-paid-internships-fueling-kansas-talent-pipeline/
  14. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, multiple U.S. universities expanded short-form credentials, certificates, or microcredentials tied to labor-market skills.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.unh.edu/news/2025/09/unhs-business-school-launches-two-new-online-graduate-certificates
        https://www.unf.edu/newsroom/2025/09/AI-for-Work-and-Life-Certificate.html
        https://news.ohio.edu/news/2025/09/ohios-new-online-artificial-intelligence-graduate-certificate-supports-emerging
        https://www.presby.edu/news/coursera/
        https://www.usi.edu/news/releases/2025/11/usi-board-of-trustees-approves-five-new-certificates-and-microcredentials-conferral-of-degrees
        https://www.ziplines.com/press/uab-and-ziplines-education-to-launch-career-accelerating-certificate-programs-to-close-alabamas-digital-skills-gap
  15. By December 1, 2025, microcredentials had replaced bachelor’s degrees as the primary credential offered by most U.S. universities.
     -> FALSE
        https://higheredleaders.substack.com/p/the-quiet-credential-takeover
        https://www.economicsonline.co.uk/all/the-rebundling-of-higher-education-platforms-credentials-and-market-signaling.html/
        https://evolllution.com/microcredentials-revolutionizing-higher-education-or-creating-chaos
  16. In fall 2025, universities’ responses to graduate labor-market change extended beyond STEM fields.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/tech-innovation/teaching-learning/2025/09/17/brandeis-invests-25m-career-readiness-strategy
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/tech-innovation/teaching-learning/2025/09/24/how-one-university-reimagining-humanities-phd
        https://barefield.ua.edu/2025/09/16/co-op-and-pip-offer-barefield-students-professional-opportunities/
        https://news.fsu.edu/news/business-law-policy/2025/10/03/jim-moran-college-of-entrepreneurship-secures-historic-partnership-with-clothing-brand-uniqlo/
        https://www.usi.edu/news/releases/2025/11/usi-board-of-trustees-approves-five-new-certificates-and-microcredentials-conferral-of-degrees
  17. By December 1, 2025, most U.S. universities had eliminated liberal-arts majors as their main response to the changing job market.
     -> FALSE
        https://phys.org/news/2025-06-traditional-college-major-students-rapidly.html
        https://hechingerreport.org/college-uncovered-the-revenge-of-the-humanities/
        https://app.startribune.com/story/601467983/content.html
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/tech-innovation/teaching-learning/2025/09/17/brandeis-invests-25m-career-readiness-strategy
  18. The White House announced a $100,000 payment requirement tied to many new H-1B petitions in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2025/09/summary-of-white-house-announcements-impacting-the-h1b-program-what-we-know-now
        https://www.visaverge.com/h1b/white-house-announces-100000-h-1b-fee-for-overseas-petitions/
        https://knowledge.dlapiper.com/dlapiperknowledge/globalemploymentlatestdevelopments/2025/White-House-proclamation-introduces-USD100000-H-1B-visa-fee-Key-considerations
        https://www.employmentlawworldview.com/understanding-the-new-100000-h-1b-fee-and-its-effect-on-u-s-employers/
  19. The September 2025 H-1B announcement increased the need for universities to update career guidance for international students seeking U.S. employment.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.visaverge.com/news/u-s-h-1b-fee-exemption-for-in-country-students-boosts-campus-hiring/
        https://internationalservices.gwu.edu/updates-presidential-proclamation-affecting-new-h-1b-visa-applications
        https://www.usf.edu/world/international-services/employees/presidential-proclamation-h-1b.aspx
        https://issc.asu.edu/faculty-scholars/h-1b-proclamation
        https://www.visaverge.com/h1b/from-f-1-to-h-1b-a-practical-guide-for-u-s-employment/
  20. The September 2025 H-1B announcement had no relevance to U.S. universities’ advising of international students.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.visaverge.com/news/u-s-h-1b-fee-exemption-for-in-country-students-boosts-campus-hiring/
        https://internationalservices.gwu.edu/updates-presidential-proclamation-affecting-new-h-1b-visa-applications
        https://www.usf.edu/world/international-services/employees/presidential-proclamation-h-1b.aspx
        https://issc.asu.edu/faculty-scholars/h-1b-proclamation
        https://www.timeshighereducation.com/news/indian-students-look-elsewhere-after-h-1b-visa-price-shock
  21. OpenAI announced the OpenAI Jobs Platform and OpenAI Certifications in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/04/openai-announces-ai-powered-hiring-platform-to-take-on-linkedin/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/05/openai-is-building-an-ai-jobs-platform-that-could-rival-microsofts-linkedin.html
        https://www.reworked.co/talent-management/openai-eyes-job-market-with-ai-powered-talent-marketplace-and-ai-certifications/
        https://openaiglobalaffairs.substack.com/p/jobs-in-the-intelligence-age
  22. OpenAI’s September 2025 jobs-and-certifications announcement was part of the broader pressure on universities to explain how degrees relate to AI-era skills credentials.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/04/openai-announces-ai-powered-hiring-platform-to-take-on-linkedin/
        https://psychatwork.substack.com/p/the-openai-academy-challenge-a-wake
        https://stefanbauschard.substack.com/p/new-employer-tied-credentials-from
        https://campustechnology.com/articles/2025/09/10/openai-to-launch-ai-powered-jobs-platform-by-mid-2026.aspx
  23. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, there was no single federal mandate requiring all U.S. universities to redesign curricula around AI-era employment.
     -> TRUE
        https://wcet.wiche.edu/frontiers/2025/08/11/understanding-the-trump-administrations-educational-ai-policies/
        https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/full_text/html/2025/04/28/2025-07368.html
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-11-12/html/2025-19843.htm
        https://rarebird.tech/2025/11/faq-2025-fipse-grant-for-ai-in-higher-ed/
  24. In fall 2025, U.S. universities’ reactions to the changing graduate job market were institution-specific rather than a coordinated national policy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.govtech.com/education/higher-ed/differing-rules-on-ai-use-confuse-texas-college-students-staff
        https://www.thedp.com/article/2025/10/penn-graduate-admisisons-cuts-update
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/tech-innovation/teaching-learning/2025/09/17/brandeis-invests-25m-career-readiness-strategy
        https://www.bgsu.edu/news/online-media-newsroom/2025/10/bgsu-only-university-in-the-midwest-selected-for-groundbreaking-national-career-readiness-initiative.html
  25. By December 1, 2025, multiple U.S. universities were using outcomes, return-on-investment, or first-destination data more prominently in messaging to students or families.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gouconnect.com/case-studies/how-wentworth-institute-of-technology-uses-career-intelligence-data-to-scale-job-exploration-prove-roi-and-drive-record-enrollment/
        https://news.illinoisstate.edu/2025/12/faculty-and-staff-engagement-needed-support-the-graduating-student-survey-and-first-destination-data-collection/
        https://www.tamiu.edu/newsinfo/2025/12/tamiuroiranking12.shtml
        https://miamioh.edu/about/_files/documents/2026/2025-2026-miami-university-report-card_508.pdf
        https://lightcast.io/resources/blog/meeting-the-moment-aligning-education-with-economic-needs

##############################################################
# 30. How are US-China trade relations?
#    (id: us_china_trade_relations · 22 evaluation statements)
##############################################################

  1. The United States and China reached a new trade de-escalation understanding after the Trump-Xi meeting in South Korea in late October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2025/10/30/trump-says-xi-agreed-to-one-year-trade-deal-after-amazing-talks
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/11/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-strikes-deal-on-economic-and-trade-relations-with-china/
        https://bbc.com/news/articles/crl25xl1gjpo
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the late-2025 U.S.-China trade de-escalation was a temporary truce rather than a comprehensive permanent trade agreement.
     -> TRUE
        https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/30/trump-xi-meeting-summit-trade-truce-us-china/
        https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/30/trump-xi-deal-soybeans-tariffs-rare-earths-taiwan-trade/
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/01/nx-s1-5590205/a-temporary-calm-in-the-u-s-china-trade-war-after-trump-xi-meeting
  3. The additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods that President Trump threatened in October 2025 was in force on December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/heres-what-trump-says-he-and-xi-agreed-to-in-their-meeting/
        https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2025/10/30/trump-says-xi-agreed-to-one-year-trade-deal-after-amazing-talks
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/11/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-strikes-deal-on-economic-and-trade-relations-with-china/
  4. By December 1, 2025, the United States had reduced the fentanyl-related tariff on Chinese imports from 20% to 10%.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/11/modifying-duties-addressing-the-synthetic-opioid-supply-chain-in-the-peoples-republic-of-china/
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-11-07/html/2025-19825.htm
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDHSCBP/bulletins/3fa83c4
  5. China suspended the new rare-earth export-control measures it announced in October 2025 for one year after the late-October trade understanding.
     -> TRUE
        http://english.news.cn/20251107/7a75d5b66d544baab747f77d6b9f52f0/c.html
        https://www.politico.eu/article/china-suspension-rare-earths-export-controls-extends-to-eu/
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/11/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-strikes-deal-on-economic-and-trade-relations-with-china/
  6. The October 2025 Chinese rare-earth measures were a major trigger for the renewed U.S.-China trade escalation before the late-October truce.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/10/trump-trade-tariffs-china-software.html
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckg1jr18z4ko
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/30/trump-xi-south-korea-rare-earth-tariff-trade-war-nvidia.html
  7. China resumed purchases of U.S. soybeans in November 2025 after the late-October trade understanding.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ttnews.com/articles/china-purchases-us-soybeans
        https://air.certifiedagdealer.com/china-resumes-purchases-of-u.s.-soybean-after-trade-talks
        https://www.agriculture.com/partners-u-s-soybeans-set-for-first-shipment-to-china-since-may-11856430
  8. U.S. officials said the late-October 2025 understanding included Chinese commitments to buy large volumes of U.S. soybeans through 2026 and later years.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/heres-what-trump-says-he-and-xi-agreed-to-in-their-meeting/
        https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/23696-china-to-buy-25-million-tons-of-soybeans-annually-near-recent-average
        https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/trump-secures-china-agreement-buy-millions-tons-us-soybeans-bessent-says-after-xi-meeting
        https://www.agriculture.com/partners-china-to-buy-12-million-metric-tons-of-soybeans-this-season-bessent-says-11840123
  9. China had fully completed the soybean purchase volumes announced by U.S. officials by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ttnews.com/articles/china-purchases-us-soybeans
        https://www.click2houston.com/news/politics/2025/11/14/usda-data-casts-doubt-on-chinas-soybean-purchase-promises-touted-by-trump/
        https://www.thepoultrysite.com/news/2025/12/chinas-soybean-imports-hit-highest-november-since-2021
  10. The United States suspended implementation of its September 2025 Entity List affiliates rule for one year as part of the late-October trade understanding.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-11-12/html/2025-19846.htm
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/11/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-strikes-deal-on-economic-and-trade-relations-with-china/
        https://www.kharon.com/brief/bis-50-percent-rule-us-china-trade-deal-scott-bessent
  11. The late-October 2025 trade understanding removed all U.S. export controls on advanced semiconductors and AI chips to China.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/01/nx-s1-5590205/a-temporary-calm-in-the-u-s-china-trade-war-after-trump-xi-meeting
        https://sinocism.com/p/outcomes-of-trump-xi-meeting-no-deal
        https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2025/10/30/trump-says-xi-agreed-to-one-year-trade-deal-after-amazing-talks
  12. The United States and China imposed reciprocal port-fee measures on each other’s vessels in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/10/china-retaliates-against-us-port-fees-with-charges-on-american-ships.html
        https://gcaptain.com/us-china-reciprocal-port-fees-signal-new-era-in-trade-tensions/
        https://gard.no/en/insights/the-us-and-china-port-fees-a-comparison/
  13. The United States and China agreed after the late-October 2025 talks to suspend reciprocal port-fee measures for one year.
     -> TRUE
        https://asia.nikkei.com/economy/trade-war/china-and-us-simultaneously-suspend-port-fees-under-trade-war-truce
        https://gcaptain.com/white-house-confirms-one-year-suspension-of-ustr-port-fees-in-u-s-china-trade-deal/
        https://www.hklaw.com/en/insights/publications/2025/11/ustr-port-fee-suspension-what-you-need-to-know
  14. China suspended or reduced some retaliatory tariffs on U.S. agricultural goods in November 2025 after the late-October understanding.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/china-china-reduces-tariff-rates-us-agricultural-products
        https://en.people.cn/n3/2025/1105/c90000-20386715.html
        https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/business/2025/11/06/beijing-lifts-some-tariffs-on-us-farm-goods-but-soybeans-stay-costly
  15. The U.S.-China tariff truce that was due to expire in November 2025 was extended rather than allowed to lapse.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cg7jjkvzmkxo/
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/11/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-consistent-with-the-economic-and-trade-arrangement-between-the-united-states-and-the-peoples-republic-of-china/
        https://en.people.cn/n3/2025/1105/c90000-20386715.html
  16. As of December 1, 2025, U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods remained substantially higher than before the 2025 tariff escalation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/30/trump-cuts-fentanyl-tariffs-on-china-to-10percent-says-us-reached-rare-earths-deal-.html
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/30/trump-xi-south-korea-rare-earth-tariff-trade-war-nvidia.html
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4wkd7729po
  17. The late-October 2025 U.S.-China understanding restored normal pre-trade-war tariff treatment between the two countries.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2025/10/30/trump-says-xi-agreed-to-one-year-trade-deal-after-amazing-talks
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/01/nx-s1-5590205/a-temporary-calm-in-the-u-s-china-trade-war-after-trump-xi-meeting
        https://gulfnews.com/world/asia/3rd-ld-writethru-1024-1.500328049
  18. U.S. and Chinese negotiators reached a preliminary framework in Malaysia in late October 2025 before the Trump-Xi leaders’ meeting.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1lqj5lz4geo/
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/world/us-and-china-agree-trade-framework-ahead-leaders-meeting-5425546
        https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3330367/china-us-agree-preliminary-framework-deal-cool-down-trade-war
  19. U.S.-China talks in Madrid in September 2025 produced a framework for resolving the TikTok divestiture issue.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yj5xj78p5o
        https://www.npr.org/2025/09/15/nx-s1-5539868/tiktok-framework-bessent-trump
        https://english.news.cn/20250916/b0064a076e9149b1911b7a4160d6d1a6/c.html
  20. As of December 1, 2025, the TikTok divestiture framework had not eliminated broader U.S.-China technology and trade tensions.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/01/nx-s1-5590205/a-temporary-calm-in-the-u-s-china-trade-war-after-trump-xi-meeting
        https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/10/tiktok-transfer-raises-worrying-questions-allies-uk
        https://www.ainvest.com/news/china-tech-diplomacy-tiktok-truce-era-cross-border-investment-2509/
  21. China launched trade or regulatory actions targeting U.S. semiconductor firms in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.xinhuanet.com/english/20250913/5cd9bdb8260349c29165a7a769b5e78c/c.html
        https://asiatimes.com/2025/09/china-accuses-nvidia-other-us-chipmakers-of-monopoly-and-dumping/
        https://www.thestar.com.my/aseanplus/aseanplus-news/2025/09/14/china-starts-probes-targeting-us-semiconductor-sector
  22. As of December 1, 2025, the late-2025 U.S.-China trade relationship was best characterized as stabilized by a fragile truce rather than normalized.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.brookings.edu/articles/what-happened-when-trump-met-xi/
        https://stg-aws01pub.cnbc.com/2025/11/12/us-china-gestures-hint-at-calm-but-the-rivalry-still-runs-deep.html
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/01/nx-s1-5590205/a-temporary-calm-in-the-u-s-china-trade-war-after-trump-xi-meeting

###############################################################################
# 31. How do European wealth managers currently feel about the US stock market?
#    (id: european_wealth_managers_us_stocks · 18 evaluation statements)
###############################################################################

  1. Since September 1, 2025, major European wealth-manager outlooks have generally described the US equity market as expensive by historical valuation standards.
     -> TRUE
        https://mywealth.bnpparibas.lu/content/dam/wealth/web/pdf/topbanner/Investment_Strategy_Focus_Sep_25_EN-International_Markets.pdf
        https://www.mandg.com/investments/professional-investor/en-gb/insights/ampersand-magazine/edition-5/mac-na-na-why-investors-rethink-relationship-with-the-us
        https://www.candriam.com/en-us/professional/insight-overview/monthly-coffee-break/equities---monthly-coffee-break/resilient-third-quarter-corporate-earnings/
        https://www.ubs.com/be/en/assetmanagement/insights/market-updates/articles/2025-06-macro-monthly.html
  2. As of December 1, 2025, European wealth-manager commentary has generally not called for clients to exit US equities wholesale.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ubs.com/be/en/assetmanagement/insights/market-updates/articles/2025-06-macro-monthly.html
        https://www.mandg.com/investments/professional-investor/en-gb/insights/ampersand-magazine/edition-5/mac-na-na-why-investors-rethink-relationship-with-the-us
        https://www.lgt.com/li-en/market-assessments/market-view/december-2025-in-a-nutshell-316788
  3. Since September 1, 2025, European wealth managers have commonly framed their US equity stance as selective rather than indiscriminately bullish on the whole market.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.juliusbaer.com/en/insights/market-insights/markets-explained/market-leadership-why-the-us-and-europe-are-moving-in-different-directions/
        https://www.lgt.com/li-en/market-assessments/market-view/december-2025-in-a-nutshell-316788
        https://www.im.natixis.com/en-intl/insights/equities/2025/where-to-diversify-your-equity-portfolio-if-the-us-is-too-risky
  4. Since September 1, 2025, AI-related earnings growth has remained a central reason European wealth managers cite for retaining exposure to US equities.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ubs.com/be/en/assetmanagement/insights/market-updates/articles/2025-06-macro-monthly.html
        https://www.candriam.com/en/professional/insight-overview/monthly-coffee-break/equities---monthly-coffee-break/buoyant-month-for-equities/
        https://www.davy.ie/market-and-insights/insights/the-davy-wealth-view/2025/october/artificial-high.html
        https://www.candriam.com/en-us/professional/insight-overview/monthly-coffee-break/equities---monthly-coffee-break/resilient-third-quarter-corporate-earnings/
  5. Since September 1, 2025, concentration in a small group of US mega-cap technology stocks has been a prominent risk cited by European wealth managers.
     -> TRUE
        https://am.vontobel.com/en/insights/when-many-own-the-same-few
        https://www.janushenderson.com/en-gb/adviser/article/look-beyond-silicon-valley-international-markets-gain-from-us-concentration-concerns/
        https://www.mandg.com/investments/professional-investor/en-gb/insights/ampersand-magazine/edition-5/mac-na-na-why-investors-rethink-relationship-with-the-us
        https://www.columbiathreadneedle.com/en/cl/intermediary/insights/the-rise-of-the-magnificent-7-concentration-risk-versus-earnings-power/
  6. As of December 1, 2025, most major European wealth managers have viewed US equity valuations as a reason to temper return expectations.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mandg.com/investments/professional-investor/en-gb/insights/ampersand-magazine/edition-5/mac-na-na-why-investors-rethink-relationship-with-the-us
        https://mywealth.bnpparibas.lu/content/dam/wealth/web/pdf/topbanner/Investment_Strategy_Focus_Sep_25_EN-International_Markets.pdf
        https://www.rothschildandco.com/en/newsroom/insights/2025/09/wm-strategy-blog-the-fed-resumes-easing/
        https://www.candriam.com/en-us/professional/insight-overview/monthly-coffee-break/equities---monthly-coffee-break/resilient-third-quarter-corporate-earnings/
  7. Since September 1, 2025, European wealth-manager commentary has commonly treated prospective or actual Federal Reserve easing as supportive for US equities.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ubs.com/lu/en/assetmanagement/insights/market-updates/articles/2025-09-macro-monthly.html
        https://www.rothschildandco.com/en/newsroom/insights/2025/09/wm-strategy-blog-the-fed-resumes-easing/
        https://www.candriam.com/en-ca/professional/insight-overview/monthly-coffee-break/equities---monthly-coffee-break/the-us-market-still-at-the-forefront/
        https://www.wellington.com/en-lu/institutional/insights/fed-rate-cuts-resume-whats-next
  8. As of December 1, 2025, European wealth managers have generally not treated a near-term US recession as their base case.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.lgt.com/li-en/market-assessments/market-view/december-2025-in-a-nutshell-316788
        https://www.lombardodier.com/insights/2025/december/outlook-2026.html
        https://www.bnpparibas-am.com/en-se/institutional/front-of-mind/weekly-market-update-the-fed-likes-it-hot-the-ecb-cold/
  9. Since September 1, 2025, currency exposure to the US dollar has remained a material consideration for European clients investing in US equities.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ubs.com/global/en/wealthmanagement/insights/marketnews/article.2631191.html
        https://www.ubs.com/global/en/wealthmanagement/insights/marketnews/article.2700991.html
        https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/article-hedging-surge-reflects-crowded-trade-long-wall-street-short-us-dollar/
        https://harici.com.tr/en/foreign-investors-rush-to-hedge-dollar-risk-amid-concerns-over-trumps-agenda/
  10. Since September 1, 2025, some European wealth managers have recommended hedging at least part of US dollar exposure for euro, sterling, or Swiss-franc-based clients.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ubs.com/global/en/wealthmanagement/insights/marketnews/article.2631191.html
        https://www.ubs.com/global/en/wealthmanagement/insights/marketnews/article.2700991.html
        https://harici.com.tr/en/foreign-investors-rush-to-hedge-dollar-risk-amid-concerns-over-trumps-agenda/
        https://thepoundhub.com/dollar/hedge-america-threatens-1-trillion-drag-on-the-sinking-dollar/
  11. As of December 1, 2025, European wealth managers have generally preferred quality large-cap US companies over highly leveraged or low-quality US equities.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.juliusbaer.com/en/insights/market-insights/markets-explained/market-leadership-why-the-us-and-europe-are-moving-in-different-directions/
        https://www.columbiathreadneedle.com/en/cl/intermediary/insights/the-rise-of-the-magnificent-7-concentration-risk-versus-earnings-power/
        https://blog.wealthstonegroup.com/commentary/december-2025-market-commentary
        https://www.firsteagle.com/insights/overseas-fund-commentary-4q25
  12. Since September 1, 2025, several European wealth managers have encouraged geographic diversification away from relying solely on US equities.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mandg.com/investments/professional-investor/en-gb/insights/ampersand-magazine/edition-5/mac-na-na-why-investors-rethink-relationship-with-the-us
        https://www.janushenderson.com/en-gb/adviser/article/look-beyond-silicon-valley-international-markets-gain-from-us-concentration-concerns/
        https://www.pictet.com/is/en/media-relations/press-coverage/Pictet-sees-Europe-as-beneficiary-of-investment-diversification
        https://www.bnpparibas-am.com/en-lu/intermediaries/portfolio-perspectives/divergence-calls-for-diversification-asias-investors-look-to-europe/
        https://www.trustnet.com/news/13458754/the-experts-perfect-fund-pairing-to-diversify-away-from-the-us
  13. As of December 1, 2025, European wealth-manager commentary has generally not characterized the US stock market as cheap relative to Europe.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.allianzgi.com/en/insights/european-equities-outlook-q4-2025
        https://www.mandg.com/investments/professional-investor/en-gb/insights/ampersand-magazine/edition-5/mac-na-na-why-investors-rethink-relationship-with-the-us
        https://www.ubs.com/hk/en/assetmanagement/insights/investment-outlook/the-red-thread/trt-mid-year-2025/articles/finding-europes-elusive-alpha.html
        https://www.ubs.com/hk/en/assetmanagement/insights/investment-outlook/the-red-thread/trt-mid-year-2025/articles/europe-a-strategic-overweight.html
  14. Since September 1, 2025, concerns about an AI bubble have become a recurring caveat in European wealth-manager discussions of US stocks.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.davy.ie/market-and-insights/insights/the-davy-wealth-view/2025/october/artificial-high.html
        https://www.schroders.com/en-us/us/wealth-management/insights/are-we-in-an-ai-bubble/
        https://www.jupiteram.com/global/en/institutional/insights/what-the-ai-bubble--debate-may-mean-for-Europe/
        https://www.watsonfrench.co.uk/2025/12/01/asset-class-commentary-december-2025/
        https://www.euronews.com/business/2025/11/06/bubble-or-boom-what-to-watch-as-risks-grow-amid-record-market-rally
  15. As of December 1, 2025, most European wealth managers have not made US small-cap stocks their clear preferred segment over US mega-cap technology stocks.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bnpparibas-am.com/en-gb/portfolio-perspectives/us-small-cap-stocks-an-attractive-alternative-to-european-and-us-large-caps/
        https://www.bailliegifford.com/en/uk/individual-investors/insights/ic-article/2025-q4-us-perspectives-are-we-in-an-ai-bubble-10059067/
        https://www.aberdeeninvestments.com/en-lu/institutional/insights-and-research/euro-small-cap-vs-us-small-cap-the-golf-edition
  16. Since September 1, 2025, US political and trade-policy uncertainty has remained a risk factor cited in European wealth-manager assessments of US equities.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mandg.com/investments/professional-investor/en-gb/insights/ampersand-magazine/edition-5/mac-na-na-why-investors-rethink-relationship-with-the-us
        https://www.ubs.com/de/en/assetmanagement/insights/market-updates/articles/2025-06-macro-monthly.html
        https://www.moneymarketing.co.uk/opinion/james-klempster-dont-get-tariff-ied/
        https://www.janushenderson.com/en-gb/adviser/article/look-beyond-silicon-valley-international-markets-gain-from-us-concentration-concerns/
  17. As of December 1, 2025, the prevailing European wealth-manager view of US equities has been cautious or constructive-cautious rather than outright bearish.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.lgt.com/li-en/market-assessments/market-view/december-2025-in-a-nutshell-316788
        https://www.ubs.com/lu/en/assetmanagement/insights/market-updates/articles/2025-09-macro-monthly.html
        https://www.ubs.com/be/en/assetmanagement/insights/market-updates/articles/2025-06-macro-monthly.html
        https://www.mandg.com/investments/professional-investor/en-gb/insights/ampersand-magazine/edition-5/mac-na-na-why-investors-rethink-relationship-with-the-us
  18. Since September 1, 2025, European wealth-manager optimism toward US equities has depended more on earnings resilience than on multiple expansion alone.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.candriam.com/en-us/professional/insight-overview/monthly-coffee-break/equities---monthly-coffee-break/resilient-third-quarter-corporate-earnings/
        https://www.fundssociety.com/en/news/markets/u-s-and-european-equities-two-titans-in-the-portfolio/
        https://www.ubs.com/be/en/assetmanagement/insights/market-updates/articles/2025-06-macro-monthly.html
        https://www.mandg.com/investments/professional-investor/en-gb/insights/ampersand-magazine/edition-5/mac-na-na-why-investors-rethink-relationship-with-the-us

############################################################
# 32. How good is AI at math?
#    (id: ai_math_ability · 20 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. In September 2025, at least one frontier AI system was reported to reach gold-medal-level performance on the 2025 ICPC World Finals problems.
     -> TRUE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/gemini-achieves-gold-medal-level-at-the-international-collegiate-programming-contest-world-finals/
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/09/17/openai-google-reasoning-models-achieve-gold-level-scores-icpc-coding-contest/
  2. OpenAI announced after August 31, 2025 that one of its reasoning systems achieved gold-medal-level performance on the 2025 ICPC World Finals problems.
     -> TRUE
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/09/17/openai-google-reasoning-models-achieve-gold-level-scores-icpc-coding-contest/
        https://officechai.com/ai/openai-delivers-gold-medal-performance-at-icpc-coding-competition-places-ahead-of-all-human-teams/
        https://github.com/openai/openai-icpc-2025
  3. Google DeepMind announced after August 31, 2025 that Gemini 2.5 Deep Think achieved gold-medal-level performance on the 2025 ICPC World Finals problems.
     -> TRUE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/gemini-achieves-gold-medal-level-at-the-international-collegiate-programming-contest-world-finals/
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/google-deepmind/gemini-gold-icpc/
  4. The reported AI systems at the 2025 ICPC World Finals were official university teams in the ICPC standings.
     -> FALSE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/gemini-achieves-gold-medal-level-at-the-international-collegiate-programming-contest-world-finals/
        https://worldfinals.icpc.global/scoreboard/2025/finals/index_Asia%20Pacific.html
        https://cphof.org/standings/icpc/2025
  5. The 2025 ICPC AI results primarily measured algorithmic programming-contest performance.
     -> TRUE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/gemini-achieves-gold-medal-level-at-the-international-collegiate-programming-contest-world-finals/
        https://9to5google.com/2025/09/17/gemini-2-5-deep-think-coding-gold/
  6. The 2025 ICPC AI results primarily measured natural-language olympiad proof writing.
     -> FALSE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/gemini-achieves-gold-medal-level-at-the-international-collegiate-programming-contest-world-finals/
        https://9to5google.com/2025/09/17/gemini-2-5-deep-think-coding-gold/
  7. Google announced Gemini 3 Pro in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3/
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/developers-tools/gemini-3-developers/
  8. Google's November 2025 Gemini 3 Pro benchmark report listed an AIME 2025 score above 90 percent.
     -> TRUE
        http://deepmind.com/models/evals-methodology/gemini-3-pro
        https://llm-stats.com/blog/research/gemini-3-pro-launch
        https://www.marktechpost.com/2025/11/18/googles-gemini-3-pro-turns-sparse-moe-and-1m-token-context-into-a-practical-engine-for-multimodal-agentic-workloads/
  9. Google's November 2025 Gemini 3 Pro benchmark report listed a MathArena Apex score below 50 percent.
     -> TRUE
        http://deepmind.com/models/evals-methodology/gemini-3-pro
        https://llm-stats.com/blog/research/gemini-3-pro-launch
        https://www.marktechpost.com/2025/11/18/googles-gemini-3-pro-turns-sparse-moe-and-1m-token-context-into-a-practical-engine-for-multimodal-agentic-workloads/
  10. Google's November 2025 Gemini 3 Pro benchmark report listed a lower percentage score on MathArena Apex than on AIME 2025.
     -> TRUE
        http://deepmind.com/models/evals-methodology/gemini-3-pro
        https://llm-stats.com/blog/research/gemini-3-pro-launch
        https://www.marktechpost.com/2025/11/18/googles-gemini-3-pro-turns-sparse-moe-and-1m-token-context-into-a-practical-engine-for-multimodal-agentic-workloads/
  11. Google announced Gemini 3 Deep Think in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3/
        https://blog.google/intl/en-mena/product-updates/explore-get-answers/gemini-3-launches-in-mena/
  12. Gemini 3 Deep Think was generally available to all free Gemini users on December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3/
        https://www.cometapi.com/what-is-gemini-3-deep-think/
        https://epigra.com/en/blog/google-gemini-3-deep-think-a-new-era-of-multimodal-artificial-intelligence
  13. OpenAI released GPT-5.1 in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/
        https://community.openai.com/t/announcing-gpt-5-1-in-the-api/1366207
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-system-card-addendum-gpt-5-1/
  14. OpenAI's GPT-5.1 announcement presented a complete solution of the FrontierMath benchmark.
     -> FALSE
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/
        https://docsbot.ai/models/compare/gpt-5-1/gpt-5
        https://www.datalearner.com/en/ai-models/compare/gpt-5-1-reasoning/vs/gpt-5
  15. Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 4.5 after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/787524/anthropic-releases-claude-sonnet-4-5-in-latest-bid-for-ai-agents-and-coding-supremacy
        https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/09/anthropic-says-its-new-ai-model-maintained-focus-for-30-hours-on-multistep-tasks/
  16. Anthropic's Claude Sonnet 4.5 was marketed primarily as a specialized formal-mathematics prover.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet?e45d281a_page=1
        https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/787524/anthropic-releases-claude-sonnet-4-5-in-latest-bid-for-ai-agents-and-coding-supremacy
  17. Anthropic released Claude Haiku 4.5 after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        http://anthropic.com/news/claude-haiku-4-5
        https://www.anthropic.com/claude/haiku
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/15/anthropic-claude-haiku-4-5-ai.html
  18. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no public post-cutoff result established that a generally available model could solve most FrontierMath problems unaided.
     -> TRUE
        https://epochai.substack.com/p/gemini-25-deep-think-on-frontiermath
        https://epochai.substack.com/p/frontiermath-tier-4-battle-royale
        https://epoch.ai/publications/deep-think-math
  19. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no AI system received an official IMO medal at a newly held IMO competition.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.imo-official.org/year_country_r.aspx?column=rank&order=desc&year=2025
        https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/mathematicians-question-ai-performance-at-international-math-olympiad/
        https://en.bd-pratidin.com/tech/2025/07/22/42428
  20. Post-August 2025 results removed the need to distinguish informal mathematical answer generation from formally verified proof production when evaluating AI math ability.
     -> FALSE
        https://huggingface.co/papers/2510.01346
        https://epoch.ai/publications/deep-think-math
        https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/mathematicians-question-ai-performance-at-international-math-olympiad/

############################################################
# 33. How has the American antivax movement evolved?
#    (id: us_antivax_movement · 22 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. After August 31, 2025, Florida officials announced a plan to eliminate all state vaccine mandates, including school-entry vaccine mandates.
     -> TRUE
        https://abcnews.com/Health/florida-surgeon-general-state-moving-end-vaccine-mandates/story?id=125224527
        https://www.wlrn.org/health/2025-09-03/florida-will-work-to-eliminate-all-childhood-vaccine-mandates-in-the-state-officials-say
        https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/2025/09/03/florida-governor-desantis-surgeon-general-ladapo-end-all-vaccine-mandates/85959953007/
  2. By December 1, 2025, Florida had not fully repealed every statewide school-entry vaccine mandate.
     -> TRUE
        https://eu.timestelegram.com/story/news/local/state/2025/11/26/florida-sets-date-to-discuss-repeal-of-vaccine-mandates/87483733007/
        https://www.cltampa.com/news/florida-pediatricians-recall-pre-vaccine-suffering-as-ladapos-plan-to-strike-mandates-stalls/
        https://flsenate.gov/Laws/Statutes/2025/1003.22
  3. After August 31, 2025, California, Oregon, and Washington announced a West Coast public-health alliance to issue vaccine guidance independent of the CDC.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gov.ca.gov/2025/09/03/california-oregon-and-washington-to-launch-new-west-coast-health-alliance-to-uphold-scientific-integrity-in-public-health-as-trump-destroys-cdcs-credibility/
        https://www.oregonlive.com/health/2025/09/west-coast-governors-say-states-will-establish-their-own-vaccine-guidelines.html
        https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/wa-forms-vaccine-alliance-with-other-states-but-some-questions-remain/
  4. After August 31, 2025, multiple Democratic-led states began issuing their own vaccine recommendations because they no longer treated CDC guidance as sufficient on its own.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.healthbeat.org/2025/09/19/vaccine-states-rfk-jr-cdc-recommendations/
        https://www.healthbeat.org/2025/09/24/vaccine-confusion-states-acip/
        https://www.newsweek.com/west-coast-alliance-vaccines-guidance-rfk-cdc-trump-2131550
  5. After August 31, 2025, major U.S. medical organizations issued vaccine guidance that diverged from federal vaccine policy under HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.acponline.org/advocacy/acp-advocate/archive/november-21-2025/acp-guides-members-and-continues-to-speak-out-against-actions-by-hhs-secretary-kennedy
        https://kffhealthnews.org/public-health/cdc-acip-vaccine-recommendations-states-medical-societies-insurance-patchwork/
        https://www.healio.com/news/pediatrics/20251009/states-go-their-own-way-on-vaccine-guidance
  6. In September 2025, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. faced bipartisan criticism in a U.S. Senate hearing over his vaccine-policy changes and CDC leadership turmoil.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/kennedy-draws-bipartisan-pushback-senate-hearing-moves-limit-vaccines-rcna229131
        https://www.npr.org/sections/shots-health-news/2025/09/04/nx-s1-5528966/rfk-kennedy-hearing-covid-vaccines-cdc
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/4-takeaways-after-rfk-jrs-fiery-senate-hearing/story?id=125266167
  7. In September 2025, former CDC Director Susan Monarez testified that she was removed after refusing demands related to ACIP vaccine recommendations.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/what-ousted-cdc-director-monarez-revealed-about-rfk-jr-during-a-senate-hearing
        https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/senate-hearing-cdc-susan-monarez-warn-limit-childhood-vaccines-rcna231876
        https://www.npr.org/sections/shots-health-news/2025/09/17/nx-s1-5544143/cdc-director-susan-monarez-testimony-rfk
  8. After August 31, 2025, CDC vaccine-policy turmoil caused temporary confusion at pharmacies over access to updated COVID-19 vaccines.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.npr.org/sections/shots-health-news/2025/10/02/nx-s1-5559439/cdc-covid-vaccine-guidelines
        https://www.npr.org/sections/shots-health-news/2025/09/11/nx-s1-5538105/covid-vaccine-shots-pharmacy-fda
        https://abcnews.com/Health/covid-vaccine-complicated-after-new-fda-restrictions/story?id=125106993
  9. In September 2025, the reconstituted ACIP replaced broad routine COVID-19 vaccine recommendations with an individual-decision-making framework.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/acip-recommends-covid19-vaccination-individual-decision-making.html
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/19/rfk-jr-vaccine-panel-covid-shot-recommendations.html
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly080jx480o
  10. In fall 2025, the CDC adopted ACIP’s individual-decision-making framework for COVID-19 vaccination.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2025/cdc-immunization-schedule-adopts-individual-based-decision.html
        https://www.npr.org/2025/10/06/nx-s1-5563869/cdc-covid-vaccine-recommendation
        https://www.cdc.gov/covid/hcp/vaccine-considerations/overview.html
  11. In September 2025, ACIP recommended against using the combined MMRV vaccine as the first measles-mumps-rubella-varicella dose for young children.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/acip-recommends-chickenpox-vaccine-for-toddlers.html
        https://www.nbcnews.com/health/kids-health/cdc-panel-measles-chickenpox-vaccine-recommendation-rcna231986
        https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/childhood-vaccines/new-cdc-advisers-scale-back-recommendations-mmrv-vaccine-young-kids
  12. In September 2025, ACIP removed the recommendation that newborns receive a hepatitis B vaccine dose at birth.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/19/rfk-jrs-vaccine-panel-postpones-vote-on-hepatitis-b-shot-for-babies.html
        https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/childhood-vaccines/acip-tables-vote-delay-hepatitis-b-vaccine-birth-dose
        https://www.nbcnews.com/health/kids-health/rfk-jr-cdc-vaccine-panel-hep-b-babies-data-rcna232394
  13. By December 1, 2025, the federal childhood immunization schedule still included a hepatitis B birth-dose recommendation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/hcp/imz-schedules/downloads/child/0-18yrs-combined-schedule-bw.pdf
        https://www.cdc.gov/hepatitis-b/hcp/perinatal-provider-overview/vaccine-administration.html
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/19/rfk-jrs-vaccine-panel-postpones-vote-on-hepatitis-b-shot-for-babies.html
  14. After August 31, 2025, federal vaccine deliberations under Kennedy expanded beyond COVID-19 vaccines to longstanding childhood vaccines.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/09/18/1123844/meeting-vaccine-guidance-former-cdc-leaders-alarmed/
        https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/vaccines-are-at-risk-fired-cdc-director-warns-senators/
        https://www-s1.npr.org/sections/shots-health-news/2025/11/07/nx-s1-5576321/childhood-vaccine-schedule-rfk-cdc
  15. In November 2025, the CDC changed its public-facing language on vaccines and autism to retreat from the categorical statement that vaccines do not cause autism.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.factcheck.org/2025/11/revised-cdc-website-about-autism-and-vaccines-is-not-evidence-based/
        https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/cdc-autism-vaccines-webpage-studies-changes-language-rcna244936
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/health/cdc-vaccine-safety-webpage-changed-to-contradict-scientific-conclusion-that-vaccines-dont-cause-autism
  16. By December 1, 2025, the CDC website stated that the claim that vaccines do not cause autism was not evidence-based.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cdc.gov/vaccine-safety/about/autism.html
        https://abcnews.com/Health/cdc-webpage-link-autism-vaccines-despite-studies-finding/story?id=127708382
        https://www.factcheck.org/2025/11/revised-cdc-website-about-autism-and-vaccines-is-not-evidence-based/
  17. After August 31, 2025, the Trump administration promoted acetaminophen use during pregnancy as a possible autism-related concern.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2025/09/fact-evidence-suggests-link-between-acetaminophen-autism/
        https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/trump-acetaminophen-fda-pregnancy-autism-cause-rcna232909
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/22/trump-autism-tylenol-acetaminophen-pregnancy.html
  18. After August 31, 2025, federal health officials used autism policy to broaden the antivaccine-aligned “MAHA” agenda beyond vaccine mandates alone.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/rfk-jr-s-latest-make-america-healthy-again-report-calls-for-more-scrutiny-of-vaccines-and-autism/
        https://www.newsweek.com/rfk-jr-maha-report-trump-admin-autism-vaccines-2127190
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2025/09/fact-evidence-suggests-link-between-acetaminophen-autism/
  19. By December 1, 2025, the U.S. antivaccine movement had gained more direct influence over federal vaccine advisory and communications institutions than it had before September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.healio.com/news/infectious-disease/20251201/hhs-appoints-acip-chair-kulldorff-to-senior-role
        https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/vaccines-are-at-risk-fired-cdc-director-warns-senators/
        https://www.factcheck.org/2025/11/revised-cdc-website-about-autism-and-vaccines-is-not-evidence-based/
  20. By December 1, 2025, federal health agencies had restored the pre-2025 CDC vaccine-advisory structure and reversed Kennedy’s ACIP overhaul.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/hhs-restore-public-trust-vaccines-acip.html
        https://www.healio.com/news/infectious-disease/20251201/hhs-appoints-acip-chair-kulldorff-to-senior-role
        https://www.medicaleconomics.com/view/acip-leader-moves-to-hhs-in-house-think-tank-advising-rfk-on-health-policy
  21. By December 1, 2025, the United States had not lost its measles-elimination status.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sciencenews.org/article/canada-measles-elimination-us-vaccine
        https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/measles/who-measles-deaths-dropped-88-past-25-years-cases-now-surging
  22. After August 31, 2025, fall vaccine-policy disputes accelerated a split between federal vaccine guidance and guidance from states, pharmacies, and professional societies.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.inquirer.com/health/vaccine-policy-federal-state-government-pennsylvania-20251023.html
        https://www.healio.com/news/pediatrics/20251009/states-go-their-own-way-on-vaccine-guidance
        https://kffhealthnews.org/public-health/cdc-acip-vaccine-recommendations-states-medical-societies-insurance-patchwork/

############################################################
# 34. How is AI reshaping the logistics industry?
#    (id: ai_logistics · 12 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Amazon announced Blue Jay, an AI-enabled robotic system for warehouse picking and consolidation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/operations/new-robots-amazon-fulfillment-agentic-ai
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/22/amazon-debuts-blue-jay-robot-that-performs-multiple-tasks-at-once.html
        https://www.therobotreport.com/how-amazon-cut-development-time-of-new-blue-jay-robot/
  2. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Amazon announced Project Eluna as an agentic AI system intended to assist fulfillment-center operations managers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/operations/new-robots-amazon-fulfillment-agentic-ai
        https://www.digitalcommerce360.com/2025/10/28/amazon-ai-tools-agentic-project-luna-robotics/
        https://roboticsandautomationnews.com/2025/10/23/amazon-unveils-new-robotic-arms-and-agentic-ai-system-for-its-fulfillment-operations/95789/
  3. Amazon’s fall 2025 AI-robotics announcements showed that the company was still deploying AI primarily inside fulfillment centers rather than replacing its parcel-delivery network with fully autonomous delivery vehicles.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/operations/amazon-delivering-future-2025-online-shopping-speed-delivery
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/10/22/amazon-melds-ai-robotics-smart-glasses-streamline-deliveries/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/02/amazon-to-resume-drone-delivery-following-crash-in-arizona/
  4. By December 1, 2025, Amazon had not eliminated its large U.S. seasonal warehouse hiring program despite increased use of warehouse robotics and AI.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/workplace/amazon-seasonal-holiday-jobs-2025?tag=ibtgrp-20
        https://distributionstrategy.com/2025/10/amazon-deploys-ai-systems-blue-jay-and-project-eluna-to-reinvent-fulfillment/
  5. By December 1, 2025, Aurora’s driverless freight service remained limited to selected U.S. freight lanes rather than operating as a nationwide autonomous trucking network.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ttnews.com/articles/aurora-earnings-q3-2025
        https://ir.aurora.tech/news-events/press-releases/detail/128/aurora-expands-driverless-trucking-service-from-fort-worth-to-el-paso
        https://www.freightwaves.com/news/aurora-expands-driverless-routes-to-el-paso
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the U.S. Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration issued a final rule broadly authorizing fully driverless interstate commercial trucking without human drivers.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2019/07/31/2019-16331/safe-integration-of-automated-driving-systems-equipped-commercial-motor-vehicles
        https://reason.com/2025/10/29/the-trump-administration-waives-obscure-safety-rule-blocking-driverless-trucks/
        https://www.overdriveonline.com/business/article/15751593/dat-to-purchase-convoy-platform-autonomous-trucking-bill-introduced
  7. By December 1, 2025, U.S. autonomous trucking deployments were still concentrated in limited commercial pilots and lane-specific operations rather than broad replacement of human long-haul drivers.
     -> TRUE
        https://heavydutyjournal.com/autonomous-trucking-timeline-when-self-driving-technology-will-actually-impact-heavy-duty-jobs/
        https://www.trucknews.com/technology/autonomous-truck-adoption-is-expanding-though-more-slowly-than-first-expected/1003204848/
        https://www-s1.npr.org/2025/11/24/nx-s1-5615322/future-trucking-driverless-autonomous-trucks
  8. By December 1, 2025, the FAA had not finalized a nationwide beyond-visual-line-of-sight drone rule that would allow routine large-scale autonomous drone delivery without waivers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-08-07/html/2025-14992.htm
        https://www.dlapiper.com/en-us/insights/publications/2025/08/faa-proposes-comprehensive-bvlos-uas-regulatory-framework
        https://www.dlapiper.com/en-au/insights/publications/2025/10/faa-proposed-part-108-bvlos-rule
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, drone delivery in the United States remained more constrained by aviation regulation and local operational limits than by AI capability alone.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.commercialuavnews.com/part-108-nprm-bvlos-comment-period-107-waivers-tsa
        https://africa.businessinsider.com/retail/drone-delivery-is-finally-having-its-moment/n161q8g
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/02/amazon-to-resume-drone-delivery-following-crash-in-arizona/
        https://dronedj.com/2025/10/03/amazon-drone-crash-tolleson-ntsb/
  10. By December 1, 2025, major parcel and freight carriers were using AI mainly for routing, forecasting, network planning, warehouse automation, and customer-service workflows rather than for fully autonomous end-to-end logistics.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.1upcargo.com/post/how-ai-transformed-peak-season-performance-for-nearly-half-of-u-s-logistics-leaders
        https://1businessworld.com/2025/11/1artificialintelligence/ai-in-logistics-building-smarter-resilient-and-customer-centric-supply-chains/
        https://www.klover.ai/ups-ai-strategy-analysis-of-dominance-in-logistics-ai/
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, there was no major post-cutoff event showing that AI had made human logistics labor broadly obsolete across warehousing, trucking, and last-mile delivery.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/workplace/amazon-seasonal-holiday-jobs-2025?tag=ibtgrp-20
        https://www.trucknews.com/technology/autonomous-truck-adoption-is-expanding-though-more-slowly-than-first-expected/1003204848/
        https://www.dlapiper.com/en-au/insights/publications/2025/10/faa-proposed-part-108-bvlos-rule
        https://logisticsbusiness.com/it-in-logistics/ai/mit-finds-ai-embedded-in-60-of-warehouses/
  12. By December 1, 2025, the most up-to-date evidence supported a view of AI in logistics as an accelerant of automation and operational optimization rather than an immediate full substitute for logistics networks, drivers, and warehouse workers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.1upcargo.com/post/how-ai-transformed-peak-season-performance-for-nearly-half-of-u-s-logistics-leaders
        https://logisticsbusiness.com/it-in-logistics/ai/mit-finds-ai-embedded-in-60-of-warehouses/
        https://www.trucknews.com/technology/autonomous-truck-adoption-is-expanding-though-more-slowly-than-first-expected/1003204848/
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/workplace/amazon-seasonal-holiday-jobs-2025?tag=ibtgrp-20

##############################################################
# 35. How is Germany spending their enlarged defense budget?
#    (id: germany_defense_spending · 22 evaluation statements)
##############################################################

  1. The Bundestag adopted Germany's delayed 2025 federal budget in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.thelocal.de/20250918/germany-passes-long-delayed-budget-with-vast-new-borrowing
        https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2025-09-22/germanys-budget-increased-investment-and-debt
        https://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/2025-09/bundestag-haushalt-gesetz-2025-etat-abstimmung
  2. The 2025 budget adopted in September 2025 kept the regular defense-ministry budget at roughly €62 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/german-parliament-approves-2025-budget-with-major-defense-spending-boost/3691788
        https://www.bundestag.de/presse/hib/kurzmeldungen-1107332
        https://www.bundesfinanzministerium.de/Content/EN/Pressemitteilungen/2025/2025-06-24-2-government-draft-2025-federal-budget.html
  3. Germany's 2025 defense spending plan relied on the Bundeswehr special fund for more than €20 billion of additional military spending.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/german-parliament-approves-2025-budget-with-major-defense-spending-boost/3691788
        https://www.bundestag.de/presse/hib/kurzmeldungen-1107332
        https://www.bundesrat.de/SharedDocs/drucksachen/2025/0201-0300/277-25.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=1
  4. The autumn 2025 draft for Germany's 2026 federal budget raised the regular defense-ministry budget to more than €80 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bundesfinanzministerium.de/Content/EN/Pressemitteilungen/2025/2025-07-30-government-draft-2026-federal-budget.html
        https://xpert.digital/en/budget-discussions-and-defense-spending/
        https://www.dw.com/en/german-government-agrees-on-record-debt-for-2026/a-74752542
  5. Germany's autumn 2025 financial plan projected a regular defense budget of roughly €153 billion in 2029.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2025/08/01/defk-a01.html
        https://www.dw.com/en/german-cabinet-approves-high-borrowing-draft-budget/a-73016816
  6. Germany's autumn 2025 plans assumed the €100 billion Bundeswehr special fund would remain the main long-term source of defense growth after 2027.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-military-wish-list-defense-politics-budget-domestic-industry/
        https://www.helaba.de/blueprint/servlet/resource/blob/docs/672930/9359f8bfef156119e2e248865577db5f/fiscal-package-on-debt-and-sectors-20250704-data.pdf
        https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2025/08/01/defk-a01.html
        https://xpert.digital/en/tripling-of-defense-spending/
  7. Germany's post-August 2025 defense spending plan relied on borrowing made possible by the constitutional exemption for defense spending above one percent of GDP.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-military-wish-list-defense-politics-budget-domestic-industry/
        https://www.noerr.com/en/insights/bundestag-approves-exemption-from-the-debt-brake-for-defence-spending-and-special-funds-for-investments-in-infrastructure-and-climate-protection
        https://www.dbresearch.de/PROD/IE-PROD/PROD0000000000612795/Fiscal_outlook_2026%EF%BC%8B%3A_Unpacking_Germany%27s_big_spen.pdf
  8. The November 2025 budget process eliminated the defense-spending exemption from Germany's debt brake.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.dw.com/en/german-government-agrees-on-record-debt-for-2026/a-74752542
        https://www.politico.eu/article/german-coalition-ups-military-aid-ukraine/
  9. The November 2025 Bundestag budget process preserved multi-billion-euro military aid for Ukraine in the 2026 spending plan.
     -> TRUE
        https://kyivindependent.com/german-aid-ukraine/
        https://www.politico.eu/article/german-coalition-ups-military-aid-ukraine/
        https://unn.ua/en/news/germany-approves-2026-budget-with-record-aid-for-ukraine
  10. Autumn 2025 procurement plans included major ammunition purchases for the Bundeswehr.
     -> TRUE
        https://defence-industry.eu/germany-plans-nearly-e83-billion-in-defence-contracts-by-2026-most-to-european-industry/
        https://esut.de/2025/09/meldungen/63858/beschaffungsplanung-bis-ende-2026/
        https://militarnyi.com/en/news/germany-plans-over-e20b-in-long-term-ammunition-purchases/
  11. Autumn 2025 procurement plans included more ground-based air-defense equipment for the Bundeswehr.
     -> TRUE
        https://harici.com.tr/en/germanys-e83-billion-rearmament-plan-largely-excludes-us-companies/
        https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/army-news/2025/germany-approves-3-85b-defense-acquisition-including-new-iris-t-slm-air-defense-missile-systems
        https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/army-news/2025/germanys-377b-defense-blueprint-expands-nato-air-space-and-long-range-strike-power
  12. Autumn 2025 procurement plans included counter-drone systems as a named spending priority.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/army-news/2025/germanys-377b-defense-blueprint-expands-nato-air-space-and-long-range-strike-power
        https://www.twz.com/land/germany-to-bet-big-on-skyranger-gun-system-to-address-growing-drone-threat
        https://xpert.digital/en/bundeswehr-orders-600-skyrangers/
  13. In autumn 2025, the Bundestag Budget Committee approved funding for 20 additional Eurofighter combat aircraft.
     -> TRUE
        https://dpa-international.com/politics/urn:newsml:dpa.com:20090101:251008-99-271305/
        https://theaviationist.com/2025/10/08/germany-approves-eurofighter-tranche-5-deal/
        https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2025/10/08/german-lawmakers-back-new-eurofighters-under-8-billion-spending-spree/
  14. The autumn 2025 Eurofighter approval replaced Germany's existing order for 35 F-35A aircraft.
     -> FALSE
        https://defence-industry.eu/germany-approves-e5-3-billion-for-20-eurofighter-jets-and-sead-upgrade-to-replace-tornado-fleet/
        https://www.aerotime.aero/articles/germany-plans-to-order-15-more-f-35as-lifting-planned-fleet-to-50-jets
        https://www.janes.com/defence-intelligence-insights/defence-news/defence/build-begins-on-first-f-35-for-germany
  15. As of December 1, 2025, Germany had not signed a firm contract for additional F-35A aircraft beyond the 35 ordered in 2022.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.janes.com/defence-intelligence-insights/defence-news/defence/build-begins-on-first-f-35-for-germany
        https://www.aerotime.aero/articles/germany-plans-to-order-15-more-f-35as-lifting-planned-fleet-to-50-jets
        https://theaviationist.com/2025/10/21/germany-wants-15-more-f-35s/
  16. The enlarged autumn 2025 defense plans continued to fund the Arrow 3 missile-defense system.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/defense-news/article-876672
        https://raksha-anirveda.com/germany-plans-additional-procurement-of-arrow-3-systems-initial-negotiations-underway/
  17. The enlarged autumn 2025 defense plans continued to fund CH-47F heavy transport helicopters.
     -> TRUE
        https://thedefensepost.com/2025/11/14/us-chinook-deal-boeing/
        https://theaviationist.com/2025/10/29/us-army-contracts-more-ch-47f-block-ii/
  18. The enlarged autumn 2025 defense plans continued to fund F126 frigates.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bundestag.de/presse/hib/kurzmeldungen-1126850
        https://www.navaltoday.com/2025/11/17/damen-and-germany-in-ongoing-talks-over-future-of-f126-frigate-project/
        https://marineforum.online/en/decision-on-frigate-126-slowly-emerging/
  19. After August 31, 2025, Germany cancelled the F126 frigate program to redirect naval money to tanks.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20251002-germany-reviews-warship-order-after-delays
        https://www.navaltoday.com/2025/11/17/damen-and-germany-in-ongoing-talks-over-future-of-f126-frigate-project/
        https://www.bundestag.de/presse/hib/kurzmeldungen-1126850
  20. Germany's late-2025 defense plans included spending for equipping the new Bundeswehr brigade in Lithuania.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dw.com/en/germany-bundeswehr-defense-spending-weapons-drones-infrastructure-personnel/a-72048164
        https://ecfr.eu/article/blueprints-on-the-border-germanys-lithuania-deployment-may-be-europes-new-template/
        https://defensemirror.com/news/40660/Germany_Clears_New_Assault_Rifles__F_35_Missiles__Drones__Heavy_Transport_Procurement
  21. Germany's late-2025 spending plans excluded major land-forces procurement.
     -> FALSE
        https://esut.de/2025/09/meldungen/63858/beschaffungsplanung-bis-ende-2026/
        https://defence-industry.eu/germany-plans-nearly-e83-billion-in-defence-contracts-by-2026-most-to-european-industry/
        https://www.politico.eu/article/german-parliament-to-approve-2-point-6-billion-euro-fresh-military-kit/
  22. The autumn 2025 budget process treated personnel expansion as a funding requirement for the Bundeswehr buildup.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bundesfinanzministerium.de/Content/EN/Pressemitteilungen/2025/2025-07-30-government-draft-2026-federal-budget.html
        https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/army-news/2025/report-german-army-moves-toward-becoming-europes-largest-and-most-modern-force
        https://www.dw.com/en/nato-summit-germanys-military-faces-new-challenges/a-72987209

###############################################################
# 36. How is metro transport in NYC changing?
#    (id: nyc_metro_transit_changes · 14 evaluation statements)
###############################################################

  1. Zohran Mamdani won the November 2025 New York City mayoral election.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/new-york-city-mayor-election-winner-2025-race-rcna238909
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/04/nx-s1-5597788/election-results-zohran-mamdani-new-york-city-mayor
  2. Citywide fare-free MTA bus service was in effect in New York City by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mta.info/guides/riding-the-bus/fare-free-bus-pilot
        https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/zohran-mamdani-new-york-city-free-buses/
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Manhattan Central Business District congestion-pricing toll collection continued.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF12929
        https://portal.311.nyc.gov/article/?kanumber=KA-03612
        https://www.6sqft.com/17-6-million-fewer-vehicles-have-entered-manhattan-since-congestion-pricing-launched-this-year/
  4. After August 31, 2025, the federal government announced a hold or freeze affecting federal funding for Second Avenue Subway Phase 2.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/white-house-freezes-18-billion-new-york-city-infrastructure-funding-rcna234928
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/government-shutdown-new-york-infrastructure-funding-trump-schumer-jeffries/
        https://www.enr.com/articles/61456-feds-freeze-18b-for-nyc-subway-hudson-tunnel-projects
  5. After August 31, 2025, the MTA approved a fare-and-toll package that would raise the subway and local bus base fare to $3.00 in 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mta.info/press-release/mta-board-adopts-fare-and-toll-increases-take-effect-january-2026
        https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/mta-bus-subway-fare-hike-2026/
        https://ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/news/2025/09/30/mta-board-approves-subway-and-bus-fare-hike-for-2026
  6. The subway and local bus base fare had already risen to $3.00 by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mta.info/document/190086
        https://www.mta.info/press-release/mta-board-adopts-fare-and-toll-increases-take-effect-january-2026
        https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/mta-bus-subway-fare-hike-2026/
  7. MetroCard remained accepted for NYC subway and local bus rides on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mta.info/fares-tolls/subway-bus/metrocard
        https://www.mta.info/article/metrocard-farewell
        https://www.mta.info/press-release/mta-sunset-metrocard-sales-end-of-year
  8. The MTA Board approved a Brooklyn bus network redesign after August 31, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mta.info/project/brooklyn-bus-network-redesign
        https://cb14brooklyn.com/project/brooklyn-bus-network-redesign/
        https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/riders-urge-mta-to-release-another-draft-of-brooklyn-bus-network-redesign/
  9. The redesigned Brooklyn bus network was operating in regular service by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mta.info/project/brooklyn-bus-network-redesign
        https://cb14brooklyn.com/project/brooklyn-bus-network-redesign/
        https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/riders-urge-mta-to-release-another-draft-of-brooklyn-bus-network-redesign/
  10. NYC student transit benefits for the 2025–26 school year were provided through Student OMNY cards rather than legacy Student MetroCards.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mta.info/fares-tolls/subway-bus/student-omny
        https://www.schools.nyc.gov/about-us/news/morning-bell/contentdetails/morning-bell/2025/08/26/have-a-smooth-ride-back-to-school-with-your-student-omny-card
        https://www.nyc.gov/mayors-office/news/2024/07/mayor-adams-chancellor-banks-mta-chair-ceo-lieber-launch-expanded-student-omny-cards
  11. Second Avenue Subway Phase 2 opened for passenger service between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mta.info/project/second-avenue-subway-phase-2
        https://www.mta.info/press-release/icymi-governor-hochul-announces-second-avenue-subway-phase-2-moving-forward-award-of
        https://tunnellingjournal.com/mta-approves-second-avenue-subway-phase-2-tunnelling-contract/
  12. The Interborough Express opened for passenger service by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mta.info/project/interborough-express
        https://www.thecity.nyc/2025/10/15/interborough-express-hochul-environmental-review/
        https://www.trains.com/pro/passenger/light-rail/new-yorks-interborough-express-project-enters-design-phase/
  13. Metro-North Penn Station Access service to Penn Station opened for passenger service by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mta.info/project/penn-station-access
        https://www.enr.com/articles/61770-mta-exec-blames-amtrak-for-three-year-delay-on-29b-penn-station-access-project
        https://www.mta.info/document/190226
  14. No new NYC subway stations opened for passenger service between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mta.info/project/second-avenue-subway-phase-2
        https://www.mta.info/project/interborough-express
        https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/governor-hochul-announces-mta-has-completed-10-station-accessibility-projects-2025

#################################################################
# 37. How is the tech M&A market doing and which sectors are hot?
#    (id: tech_ma_market · 25 evaluation statements)
#################################################################

  1. Global technology M&A deal value in Q3 2025 was higher than in Q3 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bcg.com/publications/2025/the-brave-new-world-of-dealmaking-in-the-global-market
        https://www.datasite.com/en/resources/insights/global-deal-drivers-q3-2025-spotlight
  2. Global technology M&A deal count in Q3 2025 was higher than in Q3 2024.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.datasite.com/en/resources/insights/global-deal-drivers-q3-2025-spotlight
        https://www.pwc.de/en/deals/m-and-a-industry-trends.html
  3. Announced technology M&A value from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025 exceeded the value announced during the same period in 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nepc.com/quarterly-private-markets-report-q3-2025/
        https://solganick.com/ai-mergers-acquisitions-report-update-q3-ytd-2025/
        https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/european-ma-2025-resurgence-deals-challenges-ahead-vincent-dron-fcdbe
  4. The U.S. technology M&A market showed stronger deal-value growth than the European technology M&A market from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.datasite.com/en/resources/insights/global-deal-drivers-q3-2025-spotlight
        https://www.williamandwall.com/national/q3-2025-national-mampa-insights
        https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2025/11/europe-ma-by-the-numbers-q3-2025
  5. Mega-deals of at least $10 billion accounted for a larger share of announced technology M&A value from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025 than in the first eight months of 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/articles/2025/10/four-10b-m-a-deals-in-september-push-q3-to-2025-high-93605742
        https://www.nepc.com/quarterly-private-markets-report-q3-2025/
  6. Private-equity-backed technology acquisitions increased in announced value from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025 compared with the same period in 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nepc.com/quarterly-private-markets-report-q3-2025/
        https://www.bcg.com/publications/2025/the-brave-new-world-of-dealmaking-in-the-global-market
  7. Strategic acquirers remained the largest source of announced technology M&A value from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.williamandwall.com/national/q3-2025-national-mampa-insights
        https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w34178/w34178.pdf
  8. Artificial-intelligence-related companies were among the hottest technology M&A targets from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ropesgray.com/-/media/files/alerts/2025/11/artificial-intelligence-q3-2025.pdf
        https://solganick.com/ai-mergers-acquisitions-report-update-q3-ytd-2025/
        https://www.imap.com/en/insights/2025/Artificial-Intelligence-Impact-on-M-and-A-Activity~cv
  9. AI infrastructure assets were more actively targeted in technology M&A from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025 than consumer AI application companies.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ropesgray.com/-/media/files/alerts/2025/11/artificial-intelligence-q3-2025.pdf
        https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2025/11/competition-in-artificial-intelligence-infrastructure_69319aee/623d1874-en.pdf
  10. Data-center-related acquisitions were a major driver of technology M&A activity from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.financierworldwide.com/data-centre-ma-in-2025
        https://www.ropesgray.com/-/media/files/alerts/2025/11/artificial-intelligence-q3-2025.pdf
        https://www.datasite.com/en/resources/insights/global-deal-drivers-q3-2025-spotlight
  11. Cybersecurity was one of the most active technology M&A sectors from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.kroll.com/en/reports/m-and-a/cybersecurity-sector-ma-industry-insights-fall-2025
        https://www.capstonepartners.com/insights/report-cybersecurity-market-update/
        https://solganick.com/cybersecurity-mergers-acquisitions-report-q3-2025/
  12. Semiconductor and chip-design assets attracted elevated M&A interest from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://delmorganco.com/semiconductor-markets-in-2025/
        https://www.cfaw.com/blog/fall-2025-ma-report-in-the-semiconductors-advanced-materials-industry-sector
        https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/industries/tmt/articles/2025-global-semiconductor-industry-outlook.html
  13. Vertical SaaS remained a favored target category for technology acquirers from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.733park.com/6-saas-merger-acquisition-trends-in-2025
        https://maadvisor.com/maalerts/software-ma-dominates-2025-with-65-market-share/
  14. Horizontal enterprise SaaS consolidation accelerated from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025 compared with the first eight months of 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.733park.com/6-saas-merger-acquisition-trends-in-2025
        https://research.etr.ai/etr-data-drop/saas-growth-slows-as-ai-spend-rises-signal-or-head-fake
  15. Fintech M&A activity was stronger from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025 than during the same period in 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://windsordrake.com/fintech-ma-market-report-q4-2025/
        https://www2.hl.com/houlihan-lokey-fintech-market-update-q3-2025
  16. Digital health technology was one of the hottest technology M&A sectors from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.linkedin.com/posts/desalaberry_digital-health-q3-2025-global-investment-activity-7384143541863669760-z6Ke
  17. Public-to-private technology takeovers by private equity were a notable feature of the market from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nepc.com/quarterly-private-markets-report-q3-2025/
        https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/mergers-and-acquisitions-outlook-2025-trends
  18. Technology IPO-market conditions from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025 reduced pressure on late-stage private technology companies to pursue M&A exits.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.foley.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Foley-IPO-E-Book.pdf
        https://www.sampfordadvisors.com/blog/2025/10/31/the-state-of-the-tech-ipo-market-what-it-means-for-the-broader-mampa-landscape
        https://nvca.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Q3-2025-PitchBook-NVCA-Venture-Monitor.pdf
  19. Antitrust scrutiny materially delayed at least one major technology M&A transaction from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mcdermottlaw.com/insights/3-takeaways-us-antitrust-ma-activity-q3-2025/
        https://www.goodwinlaw.com/en/insights/publications/2025/06/insights-technology-antc-antitrust-and-competition-technology
  20. Regulatory concerns around AI, data privacy, or digital competition were a meaningful factor in technology M&A dealmaking from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2025/06/insights-june-2025/ma-in-the-ai-era
        https://www.insideglobaltech.com/2025/11/04/technology-industry-trends-and-ma-outlook-in-the-eu-and-uk-part-3-recommendations-for-tech-ma-and-strategic-transactions/
        https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2025/05/ma-considerations-across-the-technology-sector
  21. Technology M&A valuation multiples from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025 were generally higher than in 2023.
     -> TRUE
        https://oceantomo.com/insights/increasing-exit-multiples-ip-and-ai-asset-management-in-ma-transactions/
        https://saasrise.substack.com/p/the-saas-m-a-report-2025
        https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/services/deals/trends/2025/telecommunications-media-technology.html
  22. Rising debt-financing availability supported larger leveraged technology buyouts from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nepc.com/quarterly-private-markets-report-q3-2025/
        https://www.williamandwall.com/national/q3-2025-national-mampa-insights
  23. Distressed or down-round technology M&A remained common among venture-backed startups from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://nvca.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Q3-2025-PitchBook-NVCA-Venture-Monitor.pdf
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/startup-down-rounds-10-high-100930635.html
        https://www.stout.com/en/insights/industry-update/venture-capital-industry-update-q3-2025
  24. Cross-border technology M&A activity increased from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025 compared with the same period in 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.733park.com/insights/6-saas-merger-acquisition-trends-in-2025/
        https://www.imap.com/en/insights/2025/Artificial-Intelligence-Impact-on-M-and-A-Activity~cv
        https://www.dfinsolutions.com/knowledge-hub/thought-leadership/knowledge-resources/m-and-a-industry-trends
  25. Acquisitions motivated by AI talent were a recurring feature of technology M&A from September 1, 2025 through November 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2025/09/ai-deals-in-2025-key-trends-in-ma-private-equity-and-venture-capital
        https://solganick.com/ai-mergers-acquisitions-report-update-q3-ytd-2025/
        https://www.corumgroup.com/insights/surging-ai-ma-market

############################################################
# 38. How is the war in South Sudan evolving?
#    (id: south_sudan_war · 15 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. After August 31, 2025, South Sudanese authorities formally charged First Vice President Riek Machar with treason-related offenses connected to the March 2025 Nasir violence.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c07vkln2ezro
        https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20250911-south-sudan-charges-vice-president-riek-machar-with-murder-and-treason
        https://reliefweb.int/report/south-sudan/situation-south-sudan-report-secretary-general-s2025706-enarruzh
  2. The post-August 2025 charges against Riek Machar also named other senior SPLM-IO figures or alleged associates as co-defendants.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c07vkln2ezro
        https://www.sudanspost.com/breaking-kiir-suspends-machar-minister-of-petroleum-puot-kang/
        https://www.crisisgroup.org/alr/africa/south-sudan/criminal-charges-against-south-sudans-vice-president-threaten-new-twist-conflict
        http://www.hrw.org/node/392107/printable/print
  3. Riek Machar remained under state custody or house arrest through December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckg3088dqw5o
        https://www.radiotamazuj.org/en/news/article/court-allows-family-food-outdoor-time-for-machar-co-accused
        https://www.crisisgroup.org/qna/africa/south-sudan/trial-south-sudans-frail-peace
  4. The SPLM-IO rejected the September 2025 case against Riek Machar as politically motivated.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.radiotamazuj.org/en/news/article/splm-io-rejects-machars-suspension-and-planned-prosecution
        https://www.sudanspost.com/murder-treason-charges-against-machar-are-politically-motivated-splm-io/
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/10/27/why-riek-machars-trial-brings-existentially-high-stakes-for-south-sudan
  5. After the September 2025 charges against Riek Machar, the 2018 revitalized peace agreement was widely assessed as being in its most serious crisis since its signing.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2025-11/south-sudan-36.php
        https://www.dw.com/en/south-sudan-is-riek-machars-trial-threatening-stability/a-74120989
        https://www.dw.com/en/what-you-need-to-know-about-south-sudans-fragile-peace-deal/a-73999460
  6. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, South Sudan did not return to a fully nationwide conventional civil war on the scale of 2013–2018.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/10/1166086
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166333
        https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2025-11/south-sudan-36.php
  7. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, the most important active fighting remained concentrated in parts of Upper Nile and nearby areas rather than in Juba.
     -> TRUE
        https://reliefweb.int/report/south-sudan/south-sudan-situation-displacement-overview-02-nov-2025
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166333
        https://www.radiotamazuj.org/en/news/article/ayod-officials-warn-that-spla-io-white-army-moving-to-attack-upper-nile
  8. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, there were continued reports of clashes involving government forces, allied militias, SPLA-IO-linked forces, or White Army fighters.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sudanspost.com/spla-io-sspdf-suffer-casualties-as-clashes-escalate-in-central-equatoria-and-upper-nile/
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166333
        https://jmecsouthsudan.com/index.php/reports/rjmec-quarterly-reports/270-rjmec-quarterly-report-on-the-status-of-implementation-of-the-r-arcss-from-1st-july-to-30th-september-2025/file
  9. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, civilians continued to be displaced by fighting and insecurity in South Sudan.
     -> TRUE
        https://reliefweb.int/report/south-sudan/south-sudan-situation-displacement-overview-02-nov-2025
        https://www.icrc.org/en/news-release/south-sudan-over-445000-people-displaced-armed-conflict-funding-dries
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/10/1166086
  10. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, international actors including the UN, AU, IGAD, or Western governments warned that South Sudan risked sliding back into wider civil war.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/10/1166086
        https://unmiss.unmissions.org/en/news/peace-partners-sound-alarm-situation-south-sudan-and-urge-leaders-work-together-prevent
        https://amaniafrica-et.org/amani-africa-tells-the-unsc-to-deploy-preventive-measures-with-urgency-and-decisiveness-to-pull-south-sudan-from-the-brink/
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166333
  11. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, there was no final political settlement that restored full cooperation between President Salva Kiir’s camp and Riek Machar’s SPLM-IO.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.crisisgroup.org/qna/africa/south-sudan/trial-south-sudans-frail-peace
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166333
        https://jmecsouthsudan.com/index.php/reports/rjmec-quarterly-reports/270-rjmec-quarterly-report-on-the-status-of-implementation-of-the-r-arcss-from-1st-july-to-30th-september-2025/file
  12. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no South Sudanese national election was held that resolved the transition established under the 2018 peace deal.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166333
        https://unmiss.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/20250205_unsc_-_srsg_haysom_remarks_-_as_delivered.pdf
        https://www.radiotamazuj.org/en/news/article/rjmec-endorses-extension-of-transitional-period-as-troika-abstain-lambast-govt-for-failure
  13. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Juba did not fall to opposition forces.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/9/22/treason-trial-begins-for-south-sudan-vp-machar-as-unity-government-breaks
        https://www.crisisgroup.org/qna/africa/south-sudan/trial-south-sudans-frail-peace
        https://reliefweb.int/report/south-sudan/situation-south-sudan-report-secretary-general-s2025706-enarruzh
  14. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, President Salva Kiir was not removed from power by a coup or battlefield defeat.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.crisisgroup.org/qna/africa/south-sudan/trial-south-sudans-frail-peace
        https://reliefweb.int/report/south-sudan/situation-south-sudan-report-secretary-general-s2025706-enarruzh
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166333
  15. As of December 1, 2025, the war’s trajectory was one of escalating political-military fragmentation and localized conflict rather than a stable implementation of the 2018 peace process.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.crisisgroup.org/qna/africa/south-sudan/trial-south-sudans-frail-peace
        https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2025-11/south-sudan-36.php
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166333
        https://www.icrc.org/en/news-release/south-sudan-over-445000-people-displaced-armed-conflict-funding-dries

#####################################################################################################
# 39. How likely is it that the US white collar workforce declines by 20% or more by the end of 2030?
#    (id: white_collar_workforce_decline · 20 evaluation statements)
#####################################################################################################

  1. The BLS preliminary annual benchmark revision released in September 2025 lowered estimated March 2025 total nonfarm payroll employment by roughly 900,000 jobs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/prebmk.htm
  2. The federal government shutdown in October 2025 delayed publication of several official BLS labor-market data releases.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/cps/methods/2025-federal-government-shutdown-impact-cps.htm
        https://text.npr.org/2025/10/03/nx-s1-5561750/shutdown-jobs-labor-economy-wall-street
  3. The official U.S. unemployment rate reported for September 2025 was below 5%.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_11202025.htm
  4. By December 1, 2025, official post-August 2025 BLS data showed a double-digit percentage decline in U.S. professional and business services employment.
     -> FALSE
        https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES6000000001?amp%253bdata_tool=XGtable&include_graphs=true&output_view=data
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_11202025.htm
  5. Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported in November 2025 that U.S. employers had announced more than one million job cuts year-to-date in 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/06/job-cuts-in-october-hit-highest-level-for-the-month-in-22-years-challenger-says.html
        https://www.industryweek.com/talent/news/55329353/challenger-report-us-job-cuts-reach-highest-october-total-since-2003
  6. Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that AI was cited for more than 30,000 U.S. job-cut announcements in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/ai-wreaks-havoc-us-jobs-204024732.html
        https://news.futunn.com/en/post/64495162/full-text-of-the-us-challenger-corporate-layoff-report-for
        https://www.industryweek.com/talent/news/55329353/challenger-report-us-job-cuts-reach-highest-october-total-since-2003
  7. Amazon announced in October 2025 that it planned to eliminate about 14,000 corporate jobs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-workforce-reduction
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/28/amazon-to-cut-14000-corporate-jobs/
  8. Amazon stated that its October 2025 corporate layoffs were primarily the result of completed generative-AI automation of those jobs.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-workforce-reduction
        https://www.theverge.com/news/807825/amazon-job-layoffs-2025-ai
        https://www.geekwire.com/2025/its-culture-amazon-ceo-says-massive-corporate-layoffs-were-about-agility-not-ai-or-cost-cutting/
  9. Target announced in October 2025 that it would cut about 1,800 corporate positions including open roles.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/23/target-layoffs-corporate-jobs-sales-slump.html
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/target-is-eliminating-1800-corporate-jobs-as-it-looks-to-reclaim-its-lost-luster
  10. Accenture said in September 2025 that more than 11,000 employees had left under a restructuring connected to AI-related reskilling and efficiency efforts.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/accenture-to-exit-staff-who-cannot-be-retrained-for-age-of-ai-20250926-p5my78
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/26/accenture-plans-on-exiting-staff-who-cant-be-reskilled-on-ai.html
        https://www.aol.com/articles/accenture-cutting-staff-cant-retrain-063900040.html
  11. Salesforce said in September 2025 that it had reduced its customer-support workforce by roughly 4,000 roles after deploying AI agents.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/02/salesforce-ceo-confirms-4000-layoffs-because-i-need-less-heads-with-ai.html
        https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/salesforce-cuts-4000-jobs-due-ai-ceo-says
        https://www.theregister.com/software/2025/09/02/salesforce-sacrifices-4000-support-jobs-on-the-altar-of-ai/1106354
  12. Nvidia announced in September 2025 that it intended to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI as part of a 10-gigawatt data-center partnership.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/openai-nvidia-systems-partnership/
        https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/openai-nvidia/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/22/nvidia-openai-data-center.html
  13. OpenAI completed a secondary share sale in October 2025 that valued the company at about $500 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/openai-share-sale-500-billion-valuation.html
        https://www.inc.com/reuters/openai-500-billion-valuation-sale-shares-softbank-chatgpt/91247140
  14. OpenAI launched AgentKit in October 2025 to help developers build and deploy AI agents.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-agentkit/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/06/openai-launches-agentkit-to-help-developers-build-and-ship-ai-agents/
  15. OpenAI launched ChatGPT Atlas in October 2025 as a browser with ChatGPT integrated into browsing workflows.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-chatgpt-atlas/
        https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/803475/openais-ai-powered-browser-chatgpt-atlas-google-chrome-competition-agent
  16. Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 4.5 in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/29/anthropic-claude-ai-sonnet-4-5.html
  17. Google released Gemini 3 in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3/
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/developers-tools/gemini-3-developers/
  18. OpenAI released Sora 2 after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/sora-2-system-card/
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gzneGhpXwjU
  19. California enacted SB 53 in September 2025 to impose transparency and safety-reporting obligations on large frontier-AI developers.
     -> TRUE
        https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billStatusClient.xhtml?bill_id=202520260SB53
        https://www.gov.ca.gov/2025/09/29/governor-newsom-signs-sb-53-advancing-californias-world-leading-artificial-intelligence-industry/
        http://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=202520260SB53
  20. A major U.S. federal statute became law between September 1 and December 1, 2025 that broadly prohibited employers from using AI to automate white-collar work.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/119/s3108/text
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/BILLS-119s3108is/pdf/BILLS-119s3108is.pdf
        https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.htm

###################################################################
# 40. How much control do Republicans have over the US government?
#    (id: republican_government_control · 28 evaluation statements)
###################################################################

  1. No event between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 changed Republican control of the presidency.
     -> TRUE
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/119th_United_States_Congress
        https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/5371
  2. No event between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 changed Republican control of the Senate.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dailypress.senate.gov/on-the-floor/senate-facts/
        https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2025/Senate/Maps/Dec01.html
  3. No event between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 changed Republican control of the House.
     -> TRUE
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/119th_United_States_Congress
        https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee%27s_7th_Congressional_District_special_election,_2025
  4. No United States senator changed party caucus between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_senators_who_switched_parties
        https://www.dailypress.senate.gov/on-the-floor/senate-facts/
  5. As of December 1, 2025, Senate Republicans held 53 seats.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2025/Senate/Maps/Dec01.html
        https://www.dailypress.senate.gov/on-the-floor/senate-facts/
  6. As of December 1, 2025, Senate Republicans lacked the 60 votes normally needed to invoke cloture on legislation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2025/Senate/Maps/Dec01.html
        https://senateauthority.com/senate-cloture-rule
        https://uspollingdata.com/explainers/what-is-cloture/
  7. No Senate rule change abolished the legislative filibuster between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/senate-republicans-poke-holes-filibuster-vowing-protect-rcna231423
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/after-breakfast-trump-thune-reiterates-filibuster-happening-despite/story?id=127222696
        https://api.politifact.com/article/2025/nov/04/trump-government-shutdown-filibuster-senate/
  8. Democrat James Walkinshaw won the VA-11 special election on September 9, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/democrat-james-walkinshaw-wins-race-vacant-deep-blue-virginia-house-se-rcna228839
        https://rollcall.com/2025/09/09/james-walkinshaw-virginia-special-election-connolly/
  9. Democrat Adelita Grijalva won the AZ-07 special election on September 23, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/democrat-adelita-grijalva-wins-special-election-late-fathers-house-sea-rcna231968
        https://ktar.com/arizona-election-news/adelita-grijalva-wins-7/5753630/
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Arizona%27s_7th_congressional_district_special_election
  10. Adelita Grijalva was sworn into the House in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/arizona-democrat-adelita-grijalva-sworn-contentious-seven-week-delay-rcna243007
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/12/nx-s1-5606350/adelita-grijalva-swearing-in
        https://www.c-span.org/program/us-house-of-representatives/swearing-in-of-rep-adelita-grijalva/668993
  11. The TX-18 House seat remained vacant on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ksat.com/news/texas/2025/11/14/voters-in-texas-18th-district-waited-months-for-an-election-theyll-soon-have-two-more/
        https://abc13.com/post/like-pawn-game-13-months-representation-texass-18th-congressional-district/18230632/
        https://clerk.house.gov/Members/ViewVacancies
  12. The TN-07 House seat remained vacant on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2025/12/01/tennessee-special-election-aftyn-behn-matt-van-epps-congressional-race/87549400007/
        https://wpln.org/post/tennessees-special-congressional-race-could-be-tight-heres-whos-running/
        https://clerk.house.gov/Members/ViewVacancies
  13. As of December 1, 2025, Republicans held 219 voting seats in the House.
     -> TRUE
        https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee%27s_7th_Congressional_District_special_election,_2025
        https://us.onair.cc/us-house-119th-congress/
  14. As of December 1, 2025, Democrats held 214 voting seats in the House.
     -> FALSE
        https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee%27s_7th_Congressional_District_special_election,_2025
        https://us.onair.cc/us-house-119th-congress/
  15. As of December 1, 2025, the House had two vacancies.
     -> FALSE
        https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee%27s_7th_Congressional_District_special_election,_2025
        https://us.onair.cc/us-house-119th-congress/
        https://clerk.house.gov/Members/ViewVacancies
  16. As of December 1, 2025, House Republicans could lose at most two Republican votes on a party-line vote with all voting members participating.
     -> TRUE
        https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee%27s_7th_Congressional_District_special_election,_2025
        https://www.waaytv.com/news/social/a-pair-of-resignations-and-a-swearing-in-widen-johnson-s-narrow-house-majority-but/article_57619456-ee54-57a9-891e-2ea6b8f532bb.html
        https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5478022-house-gop-johnson-funding-slim-majority/
  17. Mike Johnson remained Speaker of the House on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=1513
        https://theconversation.com/speaker-johnsons-choice-to-lead-by-following-the-president-goes-against-200-years-of-house-speakers-building-up-the-offices-power-270440
  18. The federal government entered a shutdown on October 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/government-shutdown-begins-trump-congress-no-deal-rcna234678
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3dr2e83x4zo
        https://www.axios.com/2025/10/01/government-shutdown-starts-senate-house-trump
  19. The 2025 federal government shutdown became the longest shutdown in U.S. history.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/35-days-government-shutdown-record-longest-history-election-day-rcna241576
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy40qndep8yo
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/government-shutdown-longest-history/story?id=127179783
  20. The 2025 federal government shutdown ended on November 12, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/government-shutdown-latest-house-vote-senate-deal-trump/
        https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5602790-trump-signs-funding-bill/
        https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/5371
  21. The Senate vote to end the 2025 shutdown included support from Democratic-caucus senators.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/senate-passes-bill-reopen-government-sends-to-house-rcna243120
        https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5598031-senate-democrats-end-shutdown/
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/senate-democrats-vote-end-government-shutdown/
  22. The November 2025 federal funding law left the federal government open on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/5371
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48765
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/PLAW-119publ37/pdf/PLAW-119publ37.pdf
  23. A House discharge petition forced a November 2025 vote on the Epstein files bill.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/bipartisan-duo-expects-signatures-wednesday-force-vote-release-epstein-rcna231405
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/18/nx-s1-5611438/epstein-files-bill-house-vote
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/house-bill-force-release-epstein-files-bipartisan-vote-rcna244301
  24. President Trump signed the Epstein Files Transparency Act in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/11/congressional-bill-h-r-4405-signed-into-law/
        https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ38/PLAW-119publ38.htm
        https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/4405/text
  25. No Supreme Court justice was confirmed between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://ballotpedia.org/The_Federal_Judicial_Vacancy_Count_12/1/2025
  26. The November 2025 off-year elections did not change party control of either chamber of Congress before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ncsl.org/state-legislatures-news/details/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-2025-elections
        https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee%27s_7th_Congressional_District_special_election,_2025
        https://www.ksat.com/news/texas/2025/11/14/voters-in-texas-18th-district-waited-months-for-an-election-theyll-soon-have-two-more/
  27. California Proposition 50's approval in November 2025 did not alter the House's party composition before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/california-ballot-measure-election-act-redistricting-pass-rcna238907
        https://ballotpedia.org/California_Proposition_50,_Use_of_Legislative_Congressional_Redistricting_Map_Amendment_(2025)
        https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Proposition?number=50&year=2025
  28. Abigail Spanberger's November 2025 victory in Virginia did not make her governor before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/04/nx-s1-5589144/election-results-virginia-governor-spanberger
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj41l1qpv7ko
        https://abigailspanberger.com/full-remarks-governor-elect-abigail-spanberger-declares-victory-in-virginia-gubernatorial-election/

############################################################
# 41. How much water does AI really use?
#    (id: ai_water_usage · 20 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. OpenAI publicly released an audited liters-per-ChatGPT-query water-use metric between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://huggingface.co/blog/sasha/environmental-impact-disclosures
        https://waterlens.ai/
        https://towardsdatascience.com/lets-analyze-openais-claims-about-chatgpt-energy-use/
  2. Google publicly released an audited liters-per-Gemini-query water-use metric between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://cloud.google.com/blog/products/infrastructure/measuring-the-environmental-impact-of-ai-inference
        https://towardsdatascience.com/is-googles-reveal-of-geminis-impact-progress-or-greenwashing/
  3. Anthropic publicly released an audited liters-per-Claude-query water-use metric between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://waterlens.ai/data/
        https://blog.promptlayer.com/does-claude-use-a-lot-of-water/
  4. Microsoft publicly released an audited liters-per-Azure-OpenAI-query water-use metric between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12827721/
        https://datacenters.microsoft.com/sustainability/efficiency/
        https://blogs.microsoft.com/on-the-issues/2025/05/29/environmental-sustainability-report/
  5. No U.S. federal rule requiring data-center operators to report water consumption separately for AI workloads took effect between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/R48646.html
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/24092025/new-jersey-data-center-water-energy-consumption-bill/
        https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/10/24/what-we-know-about-energy-use-at-us-data-centers-amid-the-ai-boom/
  6. No European Union rule in force by December 1, 2025 required data-center operators to allocate reported water use to individual AI models.
     -> TRUE
        https://energy.ec.europa.eu/topics/energy-efficiency/energy-efficiency-targets-directive-and-rules/energy-efficiency-directive/energy-performance-data-centres_en
        https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=OJ%3AL_202401364
        https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=18652ddd-f8fb-4971-9018-f2ac060dbff8
  7. No international standards body finalized a mandatory liters-per-token accounting standard for generative AI water use between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://standards.ieee.org/ieee/7100/11671/
        https://oecd.ai/en/wonk/the-hidden-cost-of-ai-energy-and-water-footprint
        https://arxiv.org/html/2511.07090v1
  8. The widely cited estimate that a ChatGPT exchange can correspond to roughly half a liter of water remained an academic estimate rather than an audited OpenAI disclosure as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://archive.is/LJney
        https://wccftech.com/sam-altman-claims-chatgpt-uses-one-fifteenth-of-a-teaspoon-of-water-per-query-predicts-ais-cost-will-soon-match-electricity-but-offers-no-methodology/
        https://towardsdatascience.com/lets-analyze-openais-claims-about-chatgpt-energy-use/
  9. No peer-reviewed study published between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 established a single universal water-consumption value that applies to all AI prompts.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-025-01681-y
        https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/23/10473
        https://openpraxis.org/articles/10.55982/openpraxis.17.4.1058
  10. Publicly available AI water-use estimates as of December 1, 2025 still depended strongly on data-center location.
     -> TRUE
        https://archive.is/LJney
        https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-025-01681-y
        https://lrc.perdanauniversity.edu.my/sdi/how-hungry-is-ai-benchmarking-energy-water-and-carbon-footprint-of-llm-inference/
  11. Publicly available AI water-use estimates as of December 1, 2025 still depended strongly on cooling technology.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nixonpeabody.com/insights/articles/2025/09/05/water-use-in-us-data-centers-legal-and-regulatory-risks
        https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/688cb407dc6688ed50878367/Water_use_in_data_centre_and_AI_report.pdf
        https://www.supermicro.com/en/pressreleases/supermicros-dlc-2-next-generation-direct-liquid-cooling-solutions-aims-reduce-data
  12. Publicly available AI water-use estimates as of December 1, 2025 still depended strongly on the electricity generation mix.
     -> TRUE
        https://industrialapplications.lbl.gov/water-impact-tool
        https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/23/10473
        https://openpraxis.org/articles/10.55982/openpraxis.17.4.1058
  13. Direct liquid cooling was shown by a public post-August-2025 disclosure to make AI data centers consume zero water in all operating conditions.
     -> FALSE
        https://blog.zutacore.com/press-releases/zutacore-unveils-waterless-end-of-row-cdu-family
        https://www.nortekdatacenter.com/nortek-data-center-cooling-unveils-skidded-cdu-with-multi-megawatt-capacity-for-hyperscale-deployments/
        https://www.wpr.org/news/microsoft-data-centers-8-million-gallons-water-each-year
  14. OpenAI published a model-specific water-use estimate for GPT-5 training between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://cdn.openai.com/gpt-5-system-card.pdf
        https://apps.digitimes.com/news/a20250815PD238/openai-flagship-performance-cost-electricity.html
  15. Google published a water-per-request estimate for Gemini video generation between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://towardsdatascience.com/is-googles-reveal-of-geminis-impact-progress-or-greenwashing/
        https://cloud.google.com/blog/products/infrastructure/measuring-the-environmental-impact-of-ai-inference
        https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/gemini-3?hl=id
  16. OpenAI published a water-per-request estimate for Sora video generation between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/sora-2
        https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/guides/video-generation
        https://mappingignorance.org/2025/10/13/sora-2-and-the-environmental-impact-of-openai/
  17. As of December 1, 2025, public company sustainability reports still generally reported water use at corporate or data-center-fleet level rather than at individual AI-product level.
     -> TRUE
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12827721/
        https://sustainability.atmeta.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Meta_2025-Environmental-Data-Index.pdf
        https://datacenters.microsoft.com/sustainability/efficiency/
        https://www.downtoearth.org.in/science-technology/indias-digital-thirst-what-data-centre-giants-arent-saying-about-their-water-use
  18. As of December 1, 2025, the public evidence base still distinguished onsite cooling water from indirect water associated with electricity generation.
     -> TRUE
        https://openpraxis.org/articles/10.55982/openpraxis.17.4.1058
        https://www.cleanwisconsin.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/20251103_DateCenterOffsiteWaterUseAnalysis.pdf
        https://www.theregister.com/2025/08/22/googles_gemini_water/
        https://industrialapplications.lbl.gov/water-impact-tool
  19. At least one U.S. AI or hyperscale data-center project faced public water-availability scrutiny between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://kfor.com/news/local/payne-county-commissioner-raises-water-concerns-over-planned-google-data-center-complex-in-stillwater/
        https://abc7amarillo.com/news/local/protesters-raise-water-concerns-over-worlds-largest-ai-data-center-in-texas-fermi-america-texas-tech-potter-county-courthouse-madison-boyle-amarillo-minority-coalition-groundwater-ogallala-aquifer-ashlyn-major-mayor-cole-stanley
        https://bigbendsentinel.com/2025/10/01/in-arid-new-mexico-a-massive-data-center-campus-promises-jobs-but-residents-fear-it-will-drain-their-most-precious-resource-water/
  20. Operators of OpenAI-linked Stargate data-center campuses had not publicly released audited per-token water-intensity figures by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://waterlens.ai/
        https://epoch.ai/blog/openai-stargate-where-the-us-sites-stand
        https://www.amarillo.com/story/news/2025/10/14/water-electricity-concerns-addressed-by-stargate-data-center-leaders-in-abilene-texas/86585222007/
        https://www.nwaonline.com/news/2025/sep/28/openai-shows-off-stargate-data-center-in-texas/

############################################################
# 42. How strong is the Swiss tech sector?
#    (id: swiss_tech_sector · 16 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. WIPO's Global Innovation Index 2025 ranked Switzerland first overall for the 15th consecutive year.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.wipo.int/web-publications/global-innovation-index-2025/en/gii-2025-results.html
        https://www.wipo.int/pressroom/en/articles/2025/article_0009.html
  2. The 2025 Global Innovation Index displaced Switzerland from the top five most innovative economies.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.wipo.int/web-publications/global-innovation-index-2025/en/gii-2025-results.html
        https://www.wipo.int/pressroom/en/articles/2025/article_0009.html
  3. The IMD World Talent Ranking 2025 placed Switzerland in its global top three.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.imd.org/country-profile/talent-switzerland-2025/
        https://www.imd.org/news/competitiveness/imd-research-reveals-executives-are-deprioritizing-quality-of-life-and-cultural-fit-when-contemplating-overseas-offers/
  4. The IMD World Digital Competitiveness Ranking 2025 placed Switzerland in its global top five.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.imd.org/centers/wcc/world-competitiveness-center/rankings/world-digital-competitiveness-ranking/
        https://worldcompetitiveness.imd.org/countryprofile/CH/digital?internal=true
  5. In September 2025, ETH Zurich, EPFL, and the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre released the Apertus open large-language-model family.
     -> TRUE
        https://ethz.ch/en/news-and-events/eth-news/news/2025/09/press-release-apertus-a-fully-open-transparent-multilingual-language-model.html
        https://actu.epfl.ch/news/apertus-a-fully-open-transparent-multilingual-lang/
        https://www.cscs.ch/science/computer-science-hpc/2025/apertus-a-fully-open-transparent-multilingual-language-model
  6. Apertus was released as a closed commercial product controlled by a single U.S. hyperscaler.
     -> FALSE
        https://ethz.ch/en/news-and-events/eth-news/news/2025/09/press-release-apertus-a-fully-open-transparent-multilingual-language-model.html
        https://actu.epfl.ch/news/apertus-a-fully-open-transparent-multilingual-lang/
        https://www.swisscom.ch/en/about/news/2025/09/02-apertus.html
  7. Apertus was trained using Swiss public supercomputing infrastructure rather than only private cloud infrastructure.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cscs.ch/science/computer-science-hpc/2025/apertus-a-fully-open-transparent-multilingual-language-model
        https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/alps/switzerlands-open-source-apertus-llms-now-available-on-amazon-sagemaker-ai/
        https://cacm.acm.org/blogcacm/the-swiss-llm-apertus/
  8. In September 2025, Check Point announced an agreement to acquire Zurich-founded AI security startup Lakera.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.checkpoint.com/press-releases/check-point-acquires-lakera-to-deliver-end-to-end-ai-security-for-enterprises/
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1015922/000117891325003335/exhibit_99-1.htm
        https://www.calcalistech.com/ctechnews/article/rj5bc1vige
  9. The November 2025 TOP500 list ranked Germany's JUPITER supercomputer ahead of Switzerland's Alps supercomputer.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.top500.org/lists/top500/list/2025/11/
        https://www.top500.org/lists/top500/2025/11/
        https://www.top500.org/lists/top500/2025/11/highs/
  10. Switzerland's Alps supercomputer remained in the global TOP500 top ten in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.top500.org/lists/top500/list/2025/11/
        https://www.top500.org/lists/top500/2025/11/highs/
        https://www.top500.org/system/180259/
  11. In November 2025, the United States and Switzerland announced a framework to reduce the additional U.S. tariff rate on Swiss imports from 39% to 15%.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/11/joint-statement-on-a-framework-for-a-united-states-switzerland-liechtenstein-agreement-on-fair-balanced-and-reciprocal-trade/
        https://www.admin.ch/en/newnsb/EUhpFWGrZhLKPQaSusIrb
        https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/foreign-affairs/swiss-government-us-tariffs-will-be-cut-to-15/90335075
  12. By December 1, 2025, there had been no announced U.S.-Swiss framework to reduce the 39% U.S. tariff rate on Swiss imports.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/11/joint-statement-on-a-framework-for-a-united-states-switzerland-liechtenstein-agreement-on-fair-balanced-and-reciprocal-trade/
        https://www.admin.ch/en/newnsb/EUhpFWGrZhLKPQaSusIrb
        https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/foreign-affairs/swiss-government-us-tariffs-will-be-cut-to-15/90335075
  13. The November 2025 U.S.-Swiss tariff framework included a Swiss-side commitment to facilitate roughly $200 billion of investment in the United States by 2028.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.admin.ch/en/newnsb/EUhpFWGrZhLKPQaSusIrb
        https://www.seco.admin.ch/dam/seco/de/dokumente/Aussenwirtschaft/Wirtschaftsbeziehungen/usa/Swiss%20Liechtenstein%20Joint%20Statement%20111425%20WBF%20SECO.pdf.download.pdf/Swiss%20Liechtenstein%20Joint%20Statement%20111425%20WBF%20SECO.pdf
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/world/switzerland-wins-us-tariff-cut-15-pledges-us200b-in-investments-5468881
  14. The Swiss domestic consultation on the negotiated Switzerland-EU package closed at the end of October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.swissmint.ch/en/newnsb/gjJJsduojrsl43zOAsGVq
        https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/various/eu-treaties-mainly-meet-with-approval/90257962
        https://www.srf.ch/news/schweiz/vernehmlassung-abgeschlossen-eine-breite-allianz-sagt-ja-zum-europa-paket-mit-vielen-aber
  15. By December 1, 2025, Switzerland had not completed full ratification of the broader Switzerland-EU package.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.swissmint.ch/en/newnsb/gjJJsduojrsl43zOAsGVq
        https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/foreign-affairs/switzerland-stirs-brexit-ghosts-in-push-for-eu-access/89610442
        https://www.srf.ch/news/schweiz/vernehmlassung-abgeschlossen-eine-breite-allianz-sagt-ja-zum-europa-paket-mit-vielen-aber
  16. By December 1, 2025, Switzerland had fully ratified the broader Switzerland-EU package and ended the need for transitional Horizon Europe arrangements.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/foreign-affairs/switzerland-stirs-brexit-ghosts-in-push-for-eu-access/89610442
        https://www.srf.ch/news/schweiz/vernehmlassung-abgeschlossen-eine-breite-allianz-sagt-ja-zum-europa-paket-mit-vielen-aber
        https://www.sbfi.admin.ch/en/horizon-package-2021-2027

#######################################################################
# 43. How will European energy companies do this quarter?
#    (id: european_energy_companies_quarter · 24 evaluation statements)
#######################################################################

  1. By December 1, 2025, the major European integrated oil companies had reported their third-quarter 2025 results, giving investors fresh company-specific evidence on upstream earnings, refining margins, trading performance, buybacks, and leverage.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/news-and-insights/press-releases/third-quarter-2025-results.html
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/30/shell-earnings-q3-2025.html
        https://investingnews.com/shell-plc-publishes-third-quarter-2025-press-release/
  2. During September–November 2025, Brent crude prices were lower on average than they were during the same quarter of 2024, creating a year-over-year earnings headwind for European upstream oil producers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-september-2025
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/energy/oil/us-energy-agency-revises-down-brent-price-forecast-for-2025/47975
        https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=66264
  3. During September–November 2025, European benchmark natural-gas prices remained far below the extreme 2022 crisis levels, reducing the likelihood of windfall trading profits for European gas-exposed energy companies.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.iea.org/commentaries/european-gas-market-volatility-puts-continued-pressure-on-competitiveness-and-cost-of-living
        https://elenger.ee/en/gas-market-overview-q3-2025/
        https://think.ing.com/articles/european-utilities-in-2025-a-bittersweet-year-for-earnings/
  4. By December 1, 2025, EU underground gas storage levels were high enough to materially reduce near-term winter supply-risk concerns for European utilities and gas suppliers.
     -> TRUE
        https://energy.ec.europa.eu/news/eu-prepared-winter-and-beyond-confirms-latest-report-european-transmission-system-operators-gas-2025-10-09_en
        https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/europe-unlikely-face-gas-shortage-even-during-very-cold-winter-analysts-say
        https://elenger.ee/en/gas-market-overview-q3-2025/
  5. Between August 31, 2025 and December 1, 2025, there was no broad physical interruption of Russian pipeline gas transit to the EU comparable in market impact to the 2022 Nord Stream shock.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.oxfordenergy.org/publications/the-end-of-russian-gas-transit-via-ukraine-immediate-impact-and-implications-for-the-european-gas-market-in-2025/
        https://energy.ec.europa.eu/news/eu-prepared-winter-and-beyond-confirms-latest-report-european-transmission-system-operators-gas-2025-10-09_en
        https://www.acer.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/Publications/ACER-2025-Gas-Capacity-Use-Booking.pdf
        https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60131520
  6. During September–November 2025, refining margins were an important positive earnings driver for at least some European integrated oil companies and refiners relative to expectations earlier in 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=66264
        https://molgroup.info/en/media-centre/press-releases/mol-group-posted-strong-q3-results-however-in-the-light-of-the-new-challenges-the-2025-ebitda-guidance-has-been-reviewed
        https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Refining-Margins-Soar-as-Global-Oil-Product-Markets-Tighten.html
  7. In their Q3 2025 updates, Shell, BP, TotalEnergies, Eni, Equinor, and Repsol continued to emphasize shareholder distributions through dividends and/or buybacks as a central part of their equity story.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/news-and-insights/press-releases/third-quarter-2025-results.html
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/30/shell-earnings-q3-2025.html
        https://totalenergies.com/sites/g/files/nytnzq121/files/documents/totalenergies_strategy-and-outlook-presentation_2025.pdf
        https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/top-5-european-energy-stocks-for-2025-where-value-meets-yield-93CH-4294698
  8. By December 1, 2025, BP’s 2025 strategic reset and capital-allocation discipline remained a central issue for investors assessing BP relative to Shell and TotalEnergies.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/news-and-insights/press-releases/growing-shareholder-value-a-reset-bp.html
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c30d4ernzqjo
        https://www.seattletimes.com/business/bp-vows-fundamental-reset-as-profit-plunges/
  9. By December 1, 2025, Shell had maintained a large ongoing share-buyback program after its Q3 2025 results rather than announcing a suspension of buybacks.
     -> TRUE
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/shell-announces-commencement-share-buyback-070300859.html
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/30/shell-earnings-q3-2025.html
        https://investingnews.com/shell-plc-publishes-third-quarter-2025-press-release/
  10. By December 1, 2025, TotalEnergies had continued to frame its integrated power and LNG growth strategy as a key differentiator versus other European oil majors.
     -> TRUE
        https://totalenergies.com/newsroom/2025-strategy-and-outlook-presentation/?lang=eng
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/totalenergies-se-2025-strategy-outlook-125100759.html
        https://totalenergies.com/company/ambition/multi-energy-strategy/natural-gaz
  11. By December 1, 2025, Equinor’s near-term outlook remained particularly sensitive to European gas prices because of its large Norwegian gas production exposure.
     -> TRUE
        https://energynow.com/2025/10/equinor-expects-tighter-european-gas-market-this-winter/
        https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/db3d568d-b985-4cc2-bb1a-119517f118ac/Gas2025.pdf
  12. By December 1, 2025, European utilities’ outlook had improved relative to the 2022 energy-crisis period because power-price volatility, liquidity stress, and collateral pressures were much less severe.
     -> TRUE
        https://gabelli.com/research/european-utilities-playing-catch-up-in-2025/
        https://think.ing.com/articles/european-utilities-in-2025-a-bittersweet-year-for-earnings/
        https://www.acer.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/Publications/ACER-2025-Gas-Capacity-Use-Booking.pdf
  13. During September–November 2025, falling or stabilizing European interest-rate expectations supported the relative appeal of regulated utilities and renewables developers compared with a higher-rate scenario.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.lseg.com/content/dam/lseg/en_us/documents/2025-mid-year-outlook-final-002.pdf
        https://global.morningstar.com/en-eu/stocks/orsted-earnings-hit-by-low-wind-speeds-2025-guidance-maintained-shares-cheap
        https://www.bcg.com/publications/2025/offshore-wind-industry-update
  14. By December 1, 2025, offshore wind economics remained a material concern for European renewables-exposed companies because of project-cost inflation, supply-chain constraints, and contract repricing issues.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bcg.com/publications/2025/offshore-wind-industry-update
        https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/electric-power-and-natural-gas/our-insights/offshore-wind-strategies-for-uncertain-times
        https://www.juliusbaer.com/en/insights/future-insights/energy-transition/offshore-wind-growth-outlook-across-different-parts-of-the-world/
        https://op.europa.eu/webpub/mare/eu-blue-economy-report-2025/blue-economic-sectors/marine-renewable-energy.html
  15. By December 1, 2025, Ørsted’s equity performance and outlook remained heavily influenced by concerns over offshore wind impairments, U.S. project risk, and balance-sheet pressure.
     -> TRUE
        https://global.morningstar.com/en-eu/stocks/orsted-earnings-hit-by-low-wind-speeds-2025-guidance-maintained-shares-cheap
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/rsted-swings-loss-q3-2025-094155411.html
        https://orsted.com/en/company-announcement-list/2025/05/solid-operational-performance-and-reached-more-tha-143901901
  16. By December 1, 2025, Siemens Energy’s outlook continued to depend materially on progress in fixing quality and loss issues at Siemens Gamesa.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.windtech-international.com/company-news/siemens-energy-reports-growth-siemens-gamesa-remains-under-pressure
        https://renewablesnow.com/news/siemens-energy-raises-mid-term-outlook-wind-unit-narrows-annual-loss-1285051/
        https://balkangreenenergynews.com/wind-turbine-repairs-at-siemens-gamesa-amplify-siemens-energys-multibillion-loss/
  17. By December 1, 2025, European grid-investment and electrification themes were still supporting the medium-term outlook for companies with regulated networks and power-equipment exposure.
     -> TRUE
        https://energy.ec.europa.eu/news/eu-guidance-ensuring-electricity-grids-are-fit-future-2025-06-02_en
        https://www.bruegel.org/policy-brief/upgrading-europes-electricity-grid-about-more-just-money
        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-investment-2025/executive-summary
        https://www.artelys.com/app/uploads/2025/02/Artelys_investment-needs-of-european-energy-infrastructure.pdf
  18. During September–November 2025, there was no new EU-wide windfall-profits tax announced that applied uniformly to all European energy companies and materially changed sector earnings expectations for Q4 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://taxfoundation.org/data/all/eu/windfall-profits-taxes-europe/
        https://reglobal.org/windfall-profits-taxes-in-europe-2025/
        https://www.bbc.com/news/business-63089222
  19. By December 1, 2025, national tax and regulatory decisions remained an important company-specific risk for European energy firms, especially in markets such as the UK, Italy, Spain, and Norway.
     -> TRUE
        https://taxfoundation.org/data/all/eu/windfall-profits-taxes-europe/
        https://reglobal.org/windfall-profits-taxes-in-europe-2025/
        https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2025/774671/EPRS_STU(2025)774671_EN.pdf
        https://www.ceer.eu/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/GA191_05_2_IRB-Regulatory-Frameworks-Report-2024-Main-report-1-1.pdf
  20. During September–November 2025, OPEC+ supply-policy developments remained a material driver of oil-price expectations relevant to European oil-major earnings.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-september-2025
        https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9912e52f-d73e-4871-b3e2-a5c4779ba511/-11SEPT2025_OilMarketReport.pdf
        https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/economic-bulletin/focus/2025/html/ecb.ebbox202507_02~f7c9f12c15.en.html
  21. By December 1, 2025, the euro-dollar exchange rate remained relevant for European energy companies because oil, LNG, and many refined-product revenues are dollar-linked while many costs and dividends are euro- or sterling-linked.
     -> TRUE
  22. By December 1, 2025, the forward outlook for European energy equities depended at least as much on commodity-price assumptions and capital returns as on reported Q3 2025 earnings beats or misses.
     -> TRUE
        https://totalenergies.com/sites/g/files/nytnzq121/files/documents/totalenergies_strategy-and-outlook-presentation_2025.pdf
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/30/shell-earnings-q3-2025.html
        https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/top-5-european-energy-stocks-for-2025-where-value-meets-yield-93CH-4294698
  23. During September–November 2025, European energy-company share performance was not uniform across the sector; integrated oil majors, regulated utilities, renewables developers, and oilfield-service or power-equipment firms faced materially different drivers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.linkedin.com/posts/inves7_invest-oil-energy-activity-7386045612372180992-lesk
        https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/top-5-european-energy-stocks-for-2025-where-value-meets-yield-93CH-4294698
        https://gabelli.com/research/european-utilities-playing-catch-up-in-2025/
        https://global.morningstar.com/en-eu/stocks/orsted-earnings-hit-by-low-wind-speeds-2025-guidance-maintained-shares-cheap
        https://www.windtech-international.com/company-news/siemens-energy-reports-growth-siemens-gamesa-remains-under-pressure
  24. By December 1, 2025, a well-calibrated forecast for European energy companies for the current quarter needed to distinguish between earnings performance, share-price performance, and dividend or buyback returns rather than treating the sector as a single homogeneous trade.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/top-5-european-energy-stocks-for-2025-where-value-meets-yield-93CH-4294698
        https://www.linkedin.com/posts/inves7_invest-oil-energy-activity-7386045612372180992-lesk
        https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/news-and-insights/press-releases/third-quarter-2025-results.html
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/shell-announces-commencement-share-buyback-070300859.html

####################################################################
# 44. How would a Chinese invasion of Taiwan play out?
#    (id: china_taiwan_invasion_scenario · 20 evaluation statements)
####################################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the People's Republic of China did not begin a full-scale amphibious invasion of Taiwan.
     -> TRUE
        https://understandingwar.org/research/china-taiwan/china-taiwan-update-november-25-2025/
        http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/taiwan/2025/taiwan-251201-roc-mnd01.htm
        https://www.janes.com/defence-intelligence-insights/defence-and-national-security-analysis/china-likely-to-continue-to-prioritise-intimidation-against-taiwan-in-the-next-six-to-12-months
  2. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the People's Republic of China did not impose a publicly acknowledged full maritime-and-air blockade of Taiwan.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.csis.org/analysis/lights-out-wargaming-chinese-blockade-taiwan
        https://jamestown.org/drills-and-experts-suggest-beijing-favors-blockade-on-longer-timeline/
        http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/taiwan/2025/taiwan-251201-roc-mnd01.htm
  3. China held a major military parade in Beijing on September 3, 2025 that showcased new missiles and unmanned military systems relevant to a Taiwan contingency.
     -> TRUE
        https://thediplomat.com/2025/09/what-were-the-weapons-on-display-in-chinas-military-parade/
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/latest-china-weaponry-parade-focus-sovereign-defence-5331921
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjr1reyr059o
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/photos-chinas-military-parade-reveals-new-hypersonic-missiles-drone-submarines-and-icbms
  4. China commissioned its third aircraft carrier, the Fujian, in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        http://eng.mod.gov.cn/2025xb/D/V/16420460.html
        https://english.news.cn/20251107/e6a3c3c9a5eb4022b078a3952a85038f/c.html
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62e0yx39g5o
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/7/chinas-third-aircraft-carrier-the-fujian-enters-military-service
  5. By December 1, 2025, the Fujian had not been publicly confirmed as fully combat-ready for sustained carrier air operations around Taiwan.
     -> TRUE
        https://thediplomat.com/2025/09/chinas-newest-aircraft-carrier-is-on-the-move/
        https://www.fujian.gov.cn/english/news/202511/t20251110_7032193.htm
        https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202512/1350863.shtml
        https://nationalsecurityjournal.org/chinas-80000-ton-fujian-type-003-aircraft-carrier-falls-short/
  6. In October 2025, the Chinese Communist Party confirmed the expulsion of Central Military Commission vice chairman He Weidong from the party and the military.
     -> TRUE
        https://english.www.gov.cn/news/202510/17/content_WS68f244ddc6d00ca5f9a06dec.html
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwy7528ekzro
        http://www.xinhuanet.com/20251017/49f2d660e4f9431fb69592b0e23c52b3/c.html
  7. In October 2025, the Chinese Communist Party confirmed the expulsion of former Central Military Commission member Miao Hua from the party and the military.
     -> TRUE
        https://english.www.gov.cn/news/202510/17/content_WS68f244ddc6d00ca5f9a06dec.html
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwy7528ekzro
        http://www.xinhuanet.com/20251017/49f2d660e4f9431fb69592b0e23c52b3/c.html
  8. By December 1, 2025, China's October 2025 PLA purge had not removed every vice chairman from the Central Military Commission.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cna.org/our-media/indepth/2025/11/military-purges-at-chinas-fourth-plenum-have-implications-for-readiness
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/china-xi-jinping-central-military-commission-reshuffle-5422996
        https://www.visiontimes.com/2025/11/01/nearly-40-of-chinese-generals-under-investigation-as-xis-military-purge-deepens.html
  9. Taiwan announced in November 2025 a special defense budget of roughly NT$1.25 trillion, or about US$40 billion, for the coming years.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/informationservices/publication/85518
        https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202511260017
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/taiwian-budgets-40-billion-toward-u-s-weapons-and-building-air-defense-dome
        https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2025/11/27/2003847903
  10. Taiwan's November 2025 special defense budget was intended to accelerate air defense, missile, drone, and resilience capabilities relevant to resisting a Chinese attack.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/informationservices/publication/85518
        https://www.cna.com.tw/news/aipl/202511260136.aspx
        https://www.cmmedia.com.tw/home/articles/58249
        https://www.btimesonline.com/articles/176083/20251127/taiwan-unveils-40-billion-defense-surge-as-lai-warns-there-is-no-room-for-compromise-with-china.htm
  11. Taiwan President Lai Ching-te announced the planned T-Dome air defense system in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4gwnwep9qeo
        https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202510100005
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/taiwan-president-lai-ching-te-t-dome-air-defence-system-china-threat-5393641
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/taiwan-to-build-t-dome-air-defense-system-says-president-of-taiwan-lai/3713405
  12. The United States approved a roughly US$330 million sale of aircraft spare parts and related support for Taiwan in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dsca.mil/Press-Media/Major-Arms-Sales/Article-Display/Article/4330755/taipei-economic-and-cultural-representative-office-in-the-united-states-non-sta
        https://asia.nikkei.com/politics/international-relations/taiwan-tensions/us-greenlights-330m-sale-of-military-aircraft-parts-to-taiwan
        https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en/news/pressrelease/85111/436
        https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2025/11/14/2003847209
  13. The October 2025 Trump-Xi meeting in South Korea produced a public agreement resolving Taiwan's political status.
     -> FALSE
        https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/30/trump-xi-deal-soybeans-tariffs-rare-earths-taiwan-trade/
        https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-30/key-takeaways-from-october-trump-and-xi-meeting/105952166
        https://thediplomat.com/2025/10/trump-xi-tackle-trade-war-in-truly-great-meeting/
        https://bbc.com/news/articles/crl25xl1gjpo
  14. After the October 2025 Trump-Xi meeting, Donald Trump publicly said Taiwan had not been discussed in that meeting.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-30/key-takeaways-from-october-trump-and-xi-meeting/105952166
        https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2025/10/30/2003846372
        https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5580770-trump-xi-taiwan-russia-ukraine-nvidia-blackwell/
        https://globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/taiwan/2025/taiwan-251030-cna03.htm
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the United States did not issue an unconditional public commitment to send U.S. forces to defend Taiwan in any Chinese attack.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.wsls.com/news/world/2025/11/02/trump-says-chinas-xi-has-assured-him-that-he-wont-take-action-on-taiwan-during-republicans-term/
        https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2025/10/01/2003844708
        https://www.defensepriorities.org/explainers/target-taiwan-one-china-and-cross-strait-stability/
        https://www.chinatalk.media/p/strategic-ambiguity-vs-clarity
  16. In November 2025, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said a Taiwan contingency could constitute a survival-threatening situation for Japan.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/16145169
        https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/japans-sanae-takaichi-defends-taiwan-remarks-after-chinese-criticism
        https://thediplomat.com/2025/11/china-japan-relations-strain-as-takaichis-comments-on-taiwan-trigger-diplomatic-firestorm/
        https://www.rips.or.jp/en/newsletter/monthlycolumn/reflections-on-prime-minister-takaichis-remarks-on-existence-threatening-situations/
  17. China responded to Sanae Takaichi's November 2025 Taiwan remarks with a major diplomatic backlash against Japan.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crklvx2n7rzo
        https://www.nbcnews.com/world/asia/china-japan-feud-takaichi-taiwan-attack-ambassador-summoned-rcna243877
        https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/xw/wjbxw/202511/t20251125_11760024.html
        https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/11/19/world/china-punishes-japans-new-leader-with-harsh-words-economic-pain/
  18. Japan did not recognize Taiwan as an independent sovereign state between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesstoday.com.my/2025/11/06/china-criticises-new-japanese-pm-for-meeting-taiwan-officials/
        https://en.chinadiplomacy.org.cn/2025-11/27/content_118198852.shtml
        https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/china-quarterly/article/japan-taiwan-and-the-one-china-framework-after-50-years/14816CCA1B6E067452E15B2CED381165
  19. In November 2025, Japan announced plans to deploy a missile unit on Yonaguni Island, near Taiwan.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/japan-to-deploy-missiles-to-island-near-taiwan-defence-minister-says
        https://japannews.yomiuri.co.jp/politics/defense-security/20251124-294574/
        https://www.stripes.com/theaters/asia_pacific/2025-11-24/japan-missiles-yonaguni-taiwan-19868758.html
        https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2025/11/25/2003847777
  20. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Taiwan continued to report frequent Chinese military aircraft and naval activity around the island.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.business-standard.com/world-news/taiwan-observes-9-chinese-aircraft-11-naval-vessels-around-its-territory-125120100079_1.html
        http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/taiwan/2025/taiwan-251201-roc-mnd01.htm
        https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2025/10/06/2003845015
        https://www.taiwanplus.com/news/taiwan-news/military/251021002/why-does-china-intrude-into-taiwans-air-defense-identification-zone

###############################################################
# 45. Identify a compelling acquisition target for Google.
#    (id: google_acquisition_target · 20 evaluation statements)
###############################################################

  1. Alphabet's proposed acquisition of Wiz remained unclosed as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1652044/000165204425000027/goog-20250318.htm
        https://www.theregister.com/security/2025/11/05/google-wiz-32b-deal-cleared-by-doj/653479
        https://www.crn.com/news/ai/2025/google-confirms-wiz-acquisition-to-close-in-2026-3-2b-fee-on-the-line
  2. The September 2025 U.S. search-antitrust remedies order required Google to divest Chrome.
     -> FALSE
        https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.223205/gov.uscourts.dcd.223205.1436.0_2.pdf
        https://caselaw.findlaw.com/court/us-dis-crt-dis-col/117668348.html
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/02/google-avoids-breakup-but-has-to-give-up-exclusive-search-deals-in-antitrust-trial/
  3. The September 2025 U.S. search-antitrust remedies order barred Google from entering exclusive search distribution agreements.
     -> TRUE
        https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.223205/gov.uscourts.dcd.223205.1436.0_2.pdf
        https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/department-justice-wins-significant-remedies-against-google
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/02/google-avoids-breakup-but-has-to-give-up-exclusive-search-deals-in-antitrust-trial/
  4. The September 2025 U.S. search-antitrust remedies order allowed Google to keep making nonexclusive payments for default search placement.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/LSB11362.html
        https://www.cultofmac.com/news/apple-google-search-deal
        https://www.euronews.com/next/2025/09/03/google-will-not-be-forced-to-sell-chrome-but-will-have-to-give-up-exclusive-search-deals
  5. The September 2025 U.S. search-antitrust remedies order required Google to share certain search data with qualified competitors.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/department-justice-wins-significant-remedies-against-google
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/02/google-avoids-breakup-but-has-to-give-up-exclusive-search-deals-in-antitrust-trial/
        https://capstonedc.com/insights/google-search-remedy-data-sharing-creates-opportunities-for-rivals/
  6. The European Commission fined Google €2.95 billion in September 2025 in its adtech antitrust case.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1wgn3lre14o
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1652044/000165204425000074/goog-20250905.htm
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/05/google-slapped-by-eu-with-3point45-billion-antitrust-fine.html
  7. A final U.S. remedies order in the DOJ's Google adtech case had not been entered by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nortonrosefulbright.com/en/knowledge/publications/cb2c3ded/what-you-need-to-know-from-closing-arguments-in-us-v-google
        https://natlawreview.com/article/judge-leans-away-breakup-during-closing-arguments-google-ad-tech-case
        https://digiday.com/marketing/googles-ad-tech-antitrust-remedy-phase-explained-doj-wants-googles-offerings-and-where-the-judge-might-land/
  8. The DOJ continued seeking divestiture of Google adtech assets during the fall 2025 remedies phase of its adtech case.
     -> TRUE
        https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.533508/gov.uscourts.vaed.533508.1814.1.pdf
        https://www.adexchanger.com/antitrust/the-doj-and-google-sharpen-their-remedy-proposals-as-the-two-sides-prepare-for-closing-arguments/
        https://ppc.land/doj-and-google-file-final-remedies-proposals-in-ad-tech-antitrust-case/
  9. Alphabet reported quarterly revenue above $100 billion for Q3 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1652044/000165204425000087/googexhibit991q32025.htm
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/29/alphabet-google-q3-earnings.html
        https://9to5google.com/2025/10/29/alphabet-q3-2025-earnings/
  10. Alphabet raised its 2025 capital-expenditure outlook to roughly $91 billion to $93 billion in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://last10k.com/sec-filings/googl/0001652044-25-000087.htm
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/29/alphabet-google-q3-earnings.html
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/29/google-expects-significant-increase-in-capex-in-2026-execs-say.html
  11. Google launched Gemini 3 in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3/
        https://www.theverge.com/news/822977/gemini-3-google-ai-model-launch
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/18/google-launches-gemini-3-with-new-coding-app-and-record-benchmark-scores/
  12. Google introduced the Antigravity agentic coding platform in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://developers.googleblog.com/en/build-with-google-antigravity-our-new-agentic-development-platform/
        https://antigravity.google/blog/introducing-google-antigravity
        https://www.theverge.com/news/822833/google-antigravity-ide-coding-agent-gemini-3-pro
  13. OpenAI launched the ChatGPT Atlas browser in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-chatgpt-atlas/
        https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/803475/openais-ai-powered-browser-chatgpt-atlas-google-chrome-competition-agent
        https://www.engadget.com/ai/openais-ai-powered-browser-chatgpt-atlas-launches-on-macos-today-170735742.html
  14. Anthropic announced a $13 billion financing in September 2025 at about a $183 billion post-money valuation.
     -> TRUE
        http://anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raises-series-f-at-usd183b-post-money-valuation
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13b-series-f-at-183b-valuation/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13-billion-at-18-billion-valuation.html
  15. Mistral AI closed a €1.7 billion financing in September 2025 at about an €11.7 billion valuation.
     -> TRUE
        https://mistral.ai/news/mistral-ai-raises-1-7-b-to-accelerate-technological-progress-with-ai/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/09/ai-firm-mistral-valued-at-14-billion-as-asml-takes-major-stake.html
        https://www.marketscreener.com/news/mistral-ai-raises-1-7-billion-euros-as-asml-becomes-its-top-shareholder-ce7d59dfdb8df426
  16. Anysphere, the maker of Cursor, announced a funding round in November 2025 valuing it at about $29 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/13/cursor-ai-startup-funding-round-valuation.html
        https://observer.com/2025/11/vibe-coding-startup-cursor-hit-29b-valuation/
        https://www.forbes.com.au/news/innovation/four-cofounders-of-popular-ai-coding-tool-cursor-are-now-billionaires/
  17. Perplexity AI was reported in September 2025 to be raising new funding at roughly a $20 billion valuation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/perplexity-finalizes-20-billion-valuation-round
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/10/perplexity-reportedly-raised-200m-at-20b-valuation/
        https://www.marketscreener.com/news/perplexity-finalizes-20-billion-valuation-round-the-information-reports-ce7d59dddc8bfe21
  18. The U.S. Supreme Court declined in October 2025 to pause the Epic v. Google Play Store injunction.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/10/justices-side-against-google/
        https://www.scotusblog.com/cases/google-llc-v-epic-games-inc/
        https://www.theverge.com/news/793610/google-epic-android-supreme-court-stay-denied
  19. Google announced after August 31, 2025 that it had agreed to acquire Perplexity AI.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3dpr0kkyz4o
        https://www.theverge.com/news/758218/perplexity-google-chrome-bid-unsolicited-offer
        https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/artificial-intelligence/perplexity-acquires-visual-electric-to-rival-openais-sora-googles-nano-banana/articleshow/124265579.cms
  20. Google announced after August 31, 2025 that it had agreed to acquire Anthropic.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/23/anthropic-google-cloud-deal-tpu.html
        https://www.googlecloudpresscorner.com/2025-10-23-Anthropic-to-Expand-Use-of-Google-Cloud-TPUs-and-Services
        https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/676959bae6ff7c8a1fde9d33/Full_text_decision__.pdf

###################################################################
# 46. In which skilled trades is the labor deficit most pronounced?
#    (id: skilled_trades_labor_deficit · 20 evaluation statements)
###################################################################

  1. The BLS 2024–2034 Employment Projections released after August 31, 2025 identified wind turbine service technicians and solar photovoltaic installers as among the fastest-growing skilled-trade occupations.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ecopro_08282025.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/fastest-growing-occupations.htm
  2. The post-August 2025 BLS Employment Projections showed that electricians were projected to have substantially more annual openings than solar photovoltaic installers or wind turbine service technicians.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/ooh/construction-and-extraction/Electricians.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/OOH/installation-maintenance-and-repair/wind-turbine-technicians.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/top-skills-for-fastest-growing-occupations.htm
  3. The post-August 2025 BLS Employment Projections indicated that projected replacement needs, not just new job growth, remained a major driver of skilled-trade openings through 2034.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/careeroutlook/2025/article/education-level-and-openings-2024-34.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ooh/construction-and-extraction/Electricians.htm
        https://www.agc.org/sites/default/files/users/user21902/datadigest20250829.pdf
  4. A post-August 2025 Associated Builders and Contractors workforce estimate said the U.S. construction industry would need to attract hundreds of thousands of additional workers in 2026 to meet labor demand.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.abc.org/News-Media/News-Releases/abc-construction-industry-must-attract-439000-workers-in-2025
        https://ablemkr.com/state-of-u-s-construction-staffing-in-2025/
  5. A post-August 2025 Associated Builders and Contractors analysis identified construction craft labor as one of the clearest areas of skilled-trade labor shortage in the United States.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.abc.org/News-Media/News-Releases/abc-construction-employment-falls-for-third-straight-month-in-august
        https://www.abc.org/News-Media/News-Releases/abc-construction-industry-must-attract-439000-workers-in-2025
  6. A post-August 2025 Associated General Contractors survey reported that a majority of U.S. construction firms were still having difficulty filling hourly craft positions.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.agc.org/sites/default/files/users/user21902/2025%20Workforce%20Survey%20Analysis%20(3).pdf
        https://www.agc.org/news/2025/08/28/construction-workforce-shortages-are-leading-cause-project-delays-immigration-enforcement-affects
        https://www.nccer.org/research/2025-workforce-survey-agc-nccer/
  7. A post-August 2025 Associated General Contractors survey found that construction labor shortages had largely disappeared among U.S. contractors.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.agc.org/sites/default/files/users/user21902/2025%20Workforce%20Survey%20Analysis%20(3).pdf
        https://www.agc.org/news/2025/08/28/construction-workforce-shortages-are-leading-cause-project-delays-immigration-enforcement-affects
        https://www.nccer.org/research/2025-workforce-survey-agc-nccer/
  8. Post-August 2025 construction-industry survey data continued to identify electricians as one of the hardest skilled trades for contractors to hire.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.agc.org/sites/default/files/users/user21902/2025%20Workforce%20Survey%20Analysis%20(3).pdf
  9. Post-August 2025 construction-industry survey data continued to identify plumbers and pipefitters as among the harder skilled trades for contractors to hire.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.agc.org/sites/default/files/users/user21902/2025%20Workforce%20Survey%20Analysis%20(3).pdf
  10. Post-August 2025 construction-industry survey data continued to identify carpenters as among the harder skilled trades for contractors to hire.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.agc.org/sites/default/files/users/user21902/2025%20Workforce%20Survey%20Analysis%20(3).pdf
        https://www.agc.org/sites/default/files/users/user21902/2025_Workforce_Survey_Utility_V2.pdf
  11. Post-August 2025 data-center and grid-infrastructure reporting strengthened the case that electrical trades were experiencing especially acute demand relative to supply.
     -> TRUE
        https://spectrum.ieee.org/power-engineering-workforce-gap
        https://lightcast.io/resources/blog/new-lightcast-report-finds-workforce-shortages-could-limit-data-center-growth
        https://www.krgv.com/news/data-center-boom-strains-texas-homebuilders-need-for-electricians/
  12. Post-August 2025 clean-energy labor reporting indicated that shortages in electricians and other electrical workers were a bottleneck for grid, electrification, and renewable-energy deployment.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.utilitydive.com/news/energy-sector-hiring-interest-shrank-jobs-workforce-aee-survey/761480/
        https://assets.ctfassets.net/9crgcb5vlu43/7IlBXdDQmQ7igTHd0gQu8k/38604aaf5add9ec3d8e2c647dee345aa/EIxIberdrola-The_business_of_electrification.pdf
        https://rienergia.staffettaonline.com/articolo/35887/Skilled+labour+shortages+are+emerging+as+a+key+bottleneck+for+the+energy+sector/McGovern
  13. Post-August 2025 manufacturing labor reporting continued to identify machinists, CNC operators, welders, and industrial maintenance technicians as skilled trades with persistent shortages.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cargoson.com/en/blog/how-many-manufacturing-jobs-are-unfilled-in-the-us
        https://thedailyhire.com/news/manufacturing-supply-chain-recruiting-reshoring-boom
  14. Post-August 2025 manufacturing labor reporting showed that manufacturing skilled-trade shortages had become negligible compared with pre-2025 conditions.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cargoson.com/en/blog/how-many-manufacturing-jobs-are-unfilled-in-the-us
        https://thedailyhire.com/news/manufacturing-supply-chain-recruiting-reshoring-boom
  15. Post-August 2025 auto-service labor reporting continued to identify automotive service technicians, especially EV-capable technicians, as a shortage occupation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.autoserviceworld.com/the-race-to-fill-a-critical-skills-gap/
        https://www.wardsauto.com/news/untitled-15/798931/
        https://eepower.com/tech-insights/ev-workforce-crisis-tackling-the-shortage/
  16. Post-August 2025 aviation-maintenance labor reporting continued to identify aircraft mechanics and aviation maintenance technicians as occupations with meaningful labor shortfalls.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.atec-amt.org/pipeline-report
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/08/trump-jobs-aviation-airplanes-engines.html
  17. Post-August 2025 HVAC-industry reporting continued to identify HVAC technicians as a trade with strong unmet demand, driven by retirements, building activity, heat-pump adoption, and service needs.
     -> TRUE
        https://tradecolleges.org/blog/trade-programs/hvac-career-opportunities
        https://www.achrnews.com/articles/165243-hvacs-next-generation-is-choosing-their-employers-will-they-choose-you
        https://www.achrnews.com/articles/164170-solving-the-refrigeration-technician-shortage
  18. Post-August 2025 evidence indicated that the skilled-trade deficit was concentrated only in renewable-energy occupations and was no longer significant in conventional construction trades.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.agc.org/sites/default/files/users/user21902/2025%20Workforce%20Survey%20Analysis%20(3).pdf
        https://www.agc.org/news/2025/08/28/construction-workforce-shortages-are-leading-cause-project-delays-immigration-enforcement-affects
        https://www.nccer.org/research/2025-workforce-survey-agc-nccer/
  19. Post-August 2025 labor-market releases showed that broad cooling in the U.S. labor market did not eliminate shortages in several skilled trades.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.abc.org/News-Media/News-Releases/abc-construction-employment-falls-for-third-straight-month-in-august
        https://www.abc.org/News-Media/News-Releases/abc-construction-job-opening-rate-falls-to-lowest-level-in-over-a-decade
        https://www.agc.org/sites/default/files/users/user21902/2025%20Workforce%20Survey%20Analysis%20(3).pdf
        https://www.cargoson.com/en/blog/how-many-manufacturing-jobs-are-unfilled-in-the-us
  20. Post-August 2025 evidence suggested that the most pronounced skilled-trade deficits were better characterized by a cluster of construction/electrical/mechanical trades than by a single occupation alone.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.agc.org/sites/default/files/users/user21902/2025%20Workforce%20Survey%20Analysis%20(3).pdf
        https://www.cargoson.com/en/blog/how-many-manufacturing-jobs-are-unfilled-in-the-us
        https://tradecolleges.org/blog/trade-programs/hvac-career-opportunities
        https://www.wardsauto.com/news/untitled-15/798931/

#############################################################################################
# 47. In which US states will power prices rise most in response to data center construction?
#    (id: datacenter_power_prices · 23 evaluation statements)
#############################################################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, PJM had not released results for a newer Base Residual Auction than the 2026/2027 auction that cleared in 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/about-pjm/newsroom/2025-releases/20250722-pjm-auction-procures-134311-mw-of-generation-resources-supply-responds-to-price-signal.pdf
        https://www.nrg.com/assets/documents/insights/white-papers-and-webinars/webinars/pjm-bra-results-2025.pdf
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the PJM 2026/2027 capacity auction remained the most recent market-wide capacity-price signal relevant to data-center-driven retail price pressure in PJM states.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.utilitydive.com/news/data-centers-pjm-capacity-auction-market-monitor/801780/
        https://ieefa.org/resources/projected-data-center-growth-spurs-pjm-capacity-prices-factor-10
        https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/markets-ops/rpm/rpm-auction-info/2026-2027/2026-2027-bra-report.pdf
  3. As of December 1, 2025, FERC had not issued a final nationwide rule allowing co-located data centers to avoid all transmission charges by taking power directly from adjacent generators.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.orrick.com/en/Insights/2025/11/FERC-Grapples-With-Surging-Reliability-and-Interconnection-Demands-From-Data-Centers
        https://www.utilitydive.com/news/doe-large-load-interconnection-ferc-naruc/806278/
        https://www.gibsondunn.com/secretary-of-energy-directs-ferc-to-initiate-rulemaking-to-expedite-data-center-and-large-load-interconnection/
  4. As of December 1, 2025, FERC had not issued a final nationwide rule requiring every new data center in the United States to pay a uniform federal large-load surcharge.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.orrick.com/en/Insights/2025/11/FERC-Grapples-With-Surging-Reliability-and-Interconnection-Demands-From-Data-Centers
        https://www.utilitydive.com/news/doe-large-load-interconnection-ferc-naruc/806278/
        https://consumerenergyalliance.org/2025/11/utilities-states-cite-concerns-with-fercs-bid-to-expand-large-load-interconnection-authority/
  5. Texas Senate Bill 6 took effect on September 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.capitol.texas.gov/BillLookup/History.aspx?Bill=SB6&LegSess=89R
        https://www.billtrack50.com/billdetail/1830294
  6. Texas Senate Bill 6 created new requirements for very large loads seeking interconnection in ERCOT.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.foley.com/p/102krxf/senate-bill-6-positions-texas-to-better-manage-large-electrical-loads-and-strengt/
        https://www.butlersnow.com/news-and-events/texas-legislature-adopts-new-law-regarding-large-load-interconnection-and-operation
        https://www.mayerbrown.com/en/insights/publications/2025/07/important-texas-regulatory-updates-for-data-centers
  7. As of December 1, 2025, ERCOT still did not operate a forward capacity market comparable to PJM’s capacity market.
     -> TRUE
        https://cpowerenergy.com/why-doesnt-texas-have-a-capacity-market/
        https://tcaptx.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/TCAP-Webinar-An-Inside-look-at-ERCOT.pdf
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/2025-06-02_R48553_4c4c699cc68198b84233d5e427b749608aec2755.html
  8. As of December 1, 2025, Texas data-center-related price risk remained concentrated in energy-market, ancillary-service, transmission, and local infrastructure costs rather than PJM-style capacity charges.
     -> TRUE
        https://cpowerenergy.com/why-doesnt-texas-have-a-capacity-market/
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/10102025/texas-grid-operators-and-regulators-iron-out-new-rules-for-data-centers/
        https://www.potomaceconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-11_Nodal_Monthly_Report.pdf
  9. As of December 1, 2025, no post-August 31, 2025 Texas law had created a statewide retail electricity surcharge that applied only to data centers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.capitol.texas.gov/BillLookup/History.aspx?Bill=SB6&LegSess=89R
        https://legiscan.com/TX/bill/SB6/2025/X1
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/10102025/texas-grid-operators-and-regulators-iron-out-new-rules-for-data-centers/
  10. Dominion Energy Virginia’s fall 2025 planning materials continued to identify data centers as a major driver of forecast load growth in Virginia.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dominionenergy.com/-/media/content/about/our-company/irp/pdfs/2025-integrated-resource-plan-update.pdf
        https://virginiamercury.com/2025/10/22/dominion-long-range-projections-show-major-energy-growth-what-it-takes-to-fully-comply-with-vcea/
        https://www.princewilliamtimes.com/localnews/data-center-demand-doubles-in-new-power-forecast/article_a5904e8b-5dae-4bd0-b13e-98a02c122b74.html
  11. As of December 1, 2025, Virginia had not enacted a statewide data-center-specific retail tariff that fully insulated non-data-center customers from data-center-related utility costs.
     -> TRUE
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/30092025/virginia-data-center-growth-legislation/
        https://www.eenews.net/articles/virginia-to-treat-data-centers-differently-on-the-grid/
        https://www.scc.virginia.gov/about-the-scc/newsreleases/release/scc-issues-order-on-dev-biennial-review-2025/scc-rules-in-dev-biennial-review-case.html
  12. As of December 1, 2025, no post-August 31, 2025 Virginia regulatory order had eliminated Northern Virginia’s need for major new transmission investment related to data-center load growth.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.pecva.org/work/energy-work/push-back-against-more-transmission-lines-for-data-centers/
        https://protectpwc.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/PJM-Data-Center-Driven-Projects-2022-to-Present-Dec-2025.pdf
        https://www.scc.virginia.gov/docketsearch/DOCS/86qq01!.PDF
  13. As of December 1, 2025, no post-August 31, 2025 PUCO order had rescinded AEP Ohio’s data-center tariff requirements for large new loads.
     -> TRUE
        http://www.aepohio.com/company/about/rates/data-center-tariff
        https://ohiocapitaljournal.com/2025/09/11/ohio-regulators-turn-down-appeal-ok-utilitys-data-center-billing-plan/
        https://ohiocapitaljournal.com/2025/11/13/ohio-manufacturers-association-challenges-new-utility-billing-for-data-centers/
  14. As of December 1, 2025, Ohio remained one of the states where data-center growth was most relevant to retail power-price pressure in PJM’s western footprint.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.newsfromthestates.com/article/energy-market-watchers-see-ohio-electric-bills-rising-data-center-demand-continues
        https://www.newsfromthestates.com/article/watchdog-electric-grid-ohio-other-states-wants-pause-data-centers
        https://www.renewableenergyworld.com/news/data-centers-are-flocking-to-ohio-here-comes-the-transmission-to-support-them/
  15. As of December 1, 2025, Pennsylvania remained exposed to data-center-driven PJM capacity and transmission cost pressure through its participation in PJM.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/2025-06-02_R48553_4c4c699cc68198b84233d5e427b749608aec2755.html
        https://ieefa.org/resources/projected-data-center-growth-spurs-pjm-capacity-prices-factor-10
        https://www.utilitydive.com/news/pjm-data-center-transmission-costs-ratepayers/761579/
  16. As of December 1, 2025, FERC had not approved a rule that removed Pennsylvania data-center load from PJM regional transmission-cost allocation.
     -> TRUE
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/MDOPC/bulletins/415c9b6
        https://www.utilitydive.com/news/pjm-data-center-transmission-costs-ratepayers/761579/
        https://www.ferc.gov/news-events/news/commissioner-christies-concurrence-pjm-transmission-cost-allocations-er24-843
  17. As of December 1, 2025, Georgia Power’s 2025 planning record still treated large-load growth as a material driver of new generation and grid investment needs in Georgia.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.georgiapower.com/news-hub/press-releases/georgia-power-files-2025-irp-plan-to-meet-energy-needs.html
        https://www.georgiapower.com/news-hub/press-releases/georgia-public-service-commission-approves-plan-to-meet-the-energy-needs-of-a-growing-georgia.html
        https://www.gpb.org/news/2025/05/27/staff-for-state-regulators-say-they-doubt-georgia-powers-energy-demand-predictions
  18. As of December 1, 2025, Georgia had not adopted a statewide data-center tariff that guaranteed full recovery of all data-center-related generation and transmission costs solely from data-center customers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ajc.com/news/business/data-centers-use-lots-of-energy-georgia-lawmakers-might-make-them-pay-more/YW3BUT7ISVDTFGS2BVVIUCY3FM/
        https://georgiarecorder.com/2025/02/10/state-senator-pushes-bill-to-protect-georgia-power-customers-from-rate-hikes-fueled-by-data-centers/
        https://www.amestrib.com/story/business/energy-resource/2025/07/07/supporters-say-data-centers-are-boosting-tax-revenue-whdetractors-say-they-are-a-drain-on-resources/84477792007/
  19. As of December 1, 2025, Arizona utilities still faced substantial large-load interconnection interest from data centers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.azcentral.com/story/money/business/tech/2025/07/24/arizona-data-centers-could-triple-energy-demand/85343831007/
        https://inbusinessphx.com/growth-enterprise/aps-plans-2000-mw-plant-to-serve-data-centers-without-raising-existing-customer-costs
        https://vestis-group.com/phoenix-ranks-no-2-in-us-for-planned-data-center-development-living-in-phoenix-arizona/
  20. As of December 1, 2025, Arizona had not adopted a statewide data-center-specific retail tariff comparable to AEP Ohio’s large-load tariff.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.azcentral.com/story/money/business/tech/2025/07/24/arizona-data-centers-could-triple-energy-demand/85343831007/
        https://hutchnews.com/story/money/business/tech/2025/08/04/arizona-data-centers-could-threaten-environment/85477768007/
        https://www.renewableenergyworld.com/energy-business/policy-and-regulation/ohio-utility-regulators-approve-aeps-contested-data-center-tariff-proposal/
  21. As of December 1, 2025, California had overtaken Virginia as the U.S. state with the clearest near-term data-center-driven retail electricity price pressure.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.datacenterfrontier.com/energy/article/55333263/the-data-center-power-squeeze-mapping-the-real-limits-of-ai-scale-growth
        https://www.eenews.net/articles/data-center-boom-sparks-sticker-shock-for-pjm-ratepayers/
        https://energyanalytics.org/electric-rates/
  22. As of December 1, 2025, New York had overtaken PJM states as the main U.S. region where data-center construction was expected to raise power prices the most.
     -> FALSE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/01/data-center-energy-demand-forecasted-to-soar-nearly-300-through-2035/
        https://www.wamc.org/commentary-opinion/2025-12-01/data-centers-an-important-cause-of-rising-utility-bills
        https://about.bnef.com/insights/clean-energy/ai-and-the-power-grid-where-the-rubber-meets-the-road/
  23. As of December 1, 2025, the strongest evidence for near-term data-center-driven power-price increases still pointed to parts of PJM, the Southeast, Texas, and Arizona rather than to every U.S. state equally.
     -> TRUE
        https://gridstrategiesllc.com/wp-content/uploads/Grid-Strategies-National-Load-Growth-Report-2025.pdf?stream=top
        https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/articles/250410-power-sector-update-credit-notes-from-the-road-101619115
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/01/data-center-energy-demand-forecasted-to-soar-nearly-300-through-2035/
        https://www.azcentral.com/story/money/business/tech/2025/07/24/arizona-data-centers-could-triple-energy-demand/85343831007/
        https://www.georgiapower.com/news-hub/press-releases/georgia-power-files-2025-irp-plan-to-meet-energy-needs.html

######################################################################
# 48. Is Delaware or Wyoming a better state to start a crypto company?
#    (id: delaware_vs_wyoming_crypto · 22 evaluation statements)
######################################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Delaware enacted a new crypto-specific business-entity statute that materially changed the default analysis for incorporating a crypto startup in Delaware.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.saul.com/insights/alert/2025-amendments-delaware-general-corporation-law-and-alternative-entity-statutes
        https://www.dorsey.com/newsresources/publications/client-alerts/2025/8/2025-delaware-entity-statutory-amendments
  2. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Wyoming enacted a new crypto-specific business-entity statute that materially changed the default analysis for forming a crypto startup in Wyoming.
     -> FALSE
        https://wyoleg.gov/2024/Enroll/SF0050.pdf
        https://daotimes.com/wyoming-becomes-first-state-to-provide-legal-framework-for-blockchain-based-nonprofit-organizations/
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Delaware enacted a new money-transmission or virtual-currency licensing law aimed specifically at crypto businesses.
     -> FALSE
        https://faisalkhan.com/solutions/licensing/money-transmitter-license-mtl/us-cryptocurrency-regulation/
        https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/delaware-s-bid-for-digital-asset-9482902/
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Wyoming enacted a new money-transmission or virtual-currency licensing law aimed specifically at crypto businesses.
     -> FALSE
        https://moneytransmitterlaw.com/state-laws/wyoming-money-transmitter-license-bitcoin-law-blockchain-token/
        https://wyoclear.com/bills/2026/HB0075
  5. As of December 1, 2025, Wyoming’s state-backed stable token program had moved beyond authorization into an operational public launch.
     -> TRUE
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/WYGOV/bulletins/3eee1da
        https://www.globalgovernmentfinance.com/wyoming-stablecoin-frnt-launches/
        https://www.americanbanker.com/payments/news/wyoming-issues-its-own-frnt-stablecoin
  6. As of December 1, 2025, Delaware had launched a comparable state-backed stable token program.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/delaware-s-bid-for-digital-asset-9482902/
        https://www.newsfromthestates.com/article/delaware-proposes-regulate-crypto-licensing-stablecoins
  7. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Wyoming regulators announced a material expansion of crypto banking or special purpose depository institution activity in the state.
     -> FALSE
        https://wyomingbankingdivision.wyo.gov/banks-and-trust-companies/special-purpose-depository-institutions
        https://www.wyomingnews.com/news/local_news/crypto-rules-are-lifted-for-national-banks-creating-direct-competition-with-spdis/article_84c41067-f873-429a-8fc2-65c946d0b266.html
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Delaware regulators announced a material expansion of state-chartered crypto banking activity in Delaware.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/delaware-s-bid-for-digital-asset-9482902/
        https://longbridge.com/en/news/280291108.md
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a federal court issued a decision in the Custodia Bank master-account litigation that materially changed the practical attractiveness of Wyoming’s crypto banking framework.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/10/31/crypto-bank-custodia-suffers-another-court-rejection-in-fed-master-account-pursuit
        https://www.americanbanker.com/payments/news/appeals-court-sides-with-federal-reserve-in-custodia-bank-case
        https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca10.88322/gov.uscourts.ca10.88322.167.0.pdf
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Delaware created a new DAO-specific legal entity framework comparable to Wyoming’s DAO LLC or DUNA frameworks.
     -> FALSE
        https://astraea.law/insights/defi-protocol-legal-structure-llc-foundation-dao-2025
        https://www.capitolservices.com/delaware-statutory-changes-effective-august-1-2025/
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Wyoming repealed or substantially narrowed its DAO-specific legal entity frameworks.
     -> FALSE
        https://daotimes.com/wyoming-becomes-first-state-to-provide-legal-framework-for-blockchain-based-nonprofit-organizations/
        https://sos.wyo.gov/Business/Docs/DAOs_FAQs.pdf
        https://wyoleg.gov/2024/Enroll/SF0050.pdf
  12. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Delaware’s Court of Chancery issued a major crypto-specific corporate-law decision that materially changed fiduciary-duty or governance risk for crypto startups incorporated in Delaware.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.hklaw.com/en/insights/publications/2025/10/delaware-court-of-chancery-denies-in-rem-jurisdiction-over-ether
        https://courts.delaware.gov/Opinions/Download.aspx?id=391360
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Wyoming’s highest court issued a major crypto-specific business-law decision that materially changed governance risk for crypto startups formed in Wyoming.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.techbuzz.ai/articles/is-duna-dao-2-0-for-the-real-world-wyoming-s-legal-framework-faces-reality
        https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/10/31/crypto-bank-custodia-suffers-another-court-rejection-in-fed-master-account-pursuit
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Delaware changed its franchise tax rules in a way that materially altered the cost comparison for venture-backed startups choosing between Delaware and Wyoming.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.saul.com/insights/alert/2025-amendments-delaware-general-corporation-law-and-alternative-entity-statutes
        https://www.doola.com/blog/wyoming-vs-delaware-franchise-tax-what-happens-when-you-add-investors/
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Wyoming changed its annual report fees or business-license tax rules in a way that materially altered the cost comparison for startups choosing between Delaware and Wyoming.
     -> FALSE
        https://sos.wyo.gov/FAQS.aspx?root=BUS
        https://sos.wyo.gov/Business/docs/BusinessFees-Effective-07.01.2021.pdf
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, major U.S. venture-capital or startup-law guidance shifted away from Delaware incorporation as the default recommendation for venture-backed crypto startups.
     -> FALSE
        https://astraea.law/insights/crypto-startup-legal-checklist
        https://www.traverselegal.com/blog/jurisdiction-for-startup-formation/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/14/despite-coinbase-departure-only-28-companies-left-delaware-this-year.html
  17. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, major U.S. venture-capital or startup-law guidance newly treated Wyoming as generally equivalent to Delaware for venture-backed C-corporation fundraising.
     -> FALSE
        https://astraea.law/insights/crypto-startup-legal-checklist
        https://www.traverselegal.com/blog/jurisdiction-for-startup-formation/
        https://terms.law/2025/08/28/wyoming-vs-delaware-complete-comparison-guide/
  18. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a new federal crypto market-structure law took effect that expressly preempted state entity-law advantages specific to Wyoming or Delaware.
     -> FALSE
        https://rooseveltinstitute.org/blog/what-would-the-new-crypto-market-structure-bills-do/
        https://www.dwt.com/blogs/financial-services-law-advisor/2025/12/senate-crypto-market-discussion-draft-analysis
        https://www.congress.gov/119/bills/hr3633/BILLS-119hr3633eh.htm
  19. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a new federal stablecoin law took effect that materially reduced the importance of choosing Wyoming for a stablecoin issuer.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.wsgr.com/en/insights/the-genius-act-passes-next-steps-for-regulation-of-payment-stablecoins.html
        https://www.mayerbrown.com/en/insights/publications/2025/07/genius-act-signed-into-law-us-enacts-federal-stablecoin-legislation
  20. As of December 1, 2025, Delaware remained the dominant incorporation jurisdiction for venture-backed C-corporations despite Wyoming’s crypto-specific statutes.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/14/despite-coinbase-departure-only-28-companies-left-delaware-this-year.html
        https://www.traverselegal.com/blog/jurisdiction-for-startup-formation/
        https://astraea.law/insights/crypto-startup-legal-checklist
  21. As of December 1, 2025, Wyoming remained more crypto-specific than Delaware in statutory treatment of DAOs, digital assets, and state-level crypto infrastructure.
     -> TRUE
        https://sos.wyo.gov/Business/Docs/DAOs_FAQs.pdf
        https://wyoleg.gov/2024/Enroll/SF0050.pdf
        https://wyomingbankingdivision.wyo.gov/banks-and-trust-companies/special-purpose-depository-institutions
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/WYGOV/bulletins/3eee1da
        https://astraea.law/insights/defi-protocol-legal-structure-llc-foundation-dao-2025
  22. As of December 1, 2025, the main practical distinction remained that Delaware was generally stronger for venture-backed corporate governance while Wyoming was generally stronger for crypto-specific statutory experimentation.
     -> TRUE
        https://astraea.law/insights/crypto-startup-legal-checklist
        https://www.traverselegal.com/blog/jurisdiction-for-startup-formation/
        https://dressellaw.com/choosing-the-right-jurisdiction-for-your-blockchain-company/
        https://hodder.law/crypto-friendly-states-usa-hodderlaw/

#####################################################################
# 49. Is elder care an expanding source of employment for immigrants?
#    (id: elder_care_immigrant_employment · 15 evaluation statements)
#####################################################################

  1. The BLS Employment Projections released in September 2025 projected that U.S. health care and social assistance would add more jobs than any other major sector from 2024 to 2034.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ecopro_08282025.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ecopro.nr0.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/home.htm
  2. The BLS Employment Projections released in September 2025 projected that home health and personal care aides would add more jobs than any other U.S. occupation from 2024 to 2034.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/occupations-most-job-growth.htm
  3. The BLS Employment Projections released in September 2025 projected faster-than-average U.S. employment growth for home health and personal care aides from 2024 to 2034.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/fastest-growing-occupations.htm
        https://www.onetonline.org/link/localtrends/31-1121.00
  4. The Census Bureau released the 2024 ACS 1-year Public Use Microdata Sample before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/news/data-releases/2024/release.html
        https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/news/updates/2025.html
  5. The 2024 ACS 1-year microdata available before December 1, 2025 contained nativity information usable for estimating foreign-born shares in U.S. care occupations.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/news/data-releases/2024/release.html
  6. The newest ACS microdata available before December 1, 2025 showed that foreign-born workers were underrepresented among U.S. home health and personal care aides relative to their share of the overall U.S. workforce.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2024/in-2023-the-majority-of-home-health-aides-and-personal-care-aides-were-women.htm
        https://www.kff.org/medicaid/what-role-do-immigrants-play-in-the-direct-long-term-care-workforce/
        https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/immigrant-health-care-workers-united-states
  7. No U.S. federal statute enacted between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 created a dedicated immigrant visa category for elder-care aides or home-care aides.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/COMPS-1376/pdf/COMPS-1376.pdf
        https://www.congress.gov/119/bills/hr5283/BILLS-119hr5283ih.pdf
        https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1/all-info
  8. The October 2025 U.S. Visa Bulletin made EB-3 immigrant visas current for all countries of chargeability.
     -> FALSE
        https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Bulletins/visabulletin_October2025.pdf
        https://www.visaverge.com/uscis/october-2025-visa-bulletin-everything-you-need-to-know/
        https://www.fragomen.com/insights/united-states-october-2025-visa-bulletin-moderate-movement-in-final-action-dates-across-most-employment-based-categories-for-the-start-of-the-fiscal-year.html
  9. As of December 1, 2025, foreign-trained registered nurses seeking U.S. employment-based immigrant visas still faced EB-3 visa backlogs for at least some major source countries.
     -> TRUE
        https://adoptions.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-bulletin/2026/visa-bulletin-for-december-2025.html
        https://medliant.com/blog/decembervisa-bulletin-2025-ltpwk-rcdy3-h3zk5-gjelk-w5n6r-7fh5f-taj6f-459yt-z3b2d-43ej9-7tzr7-gxzzk-bnhb4-wm52s-6z8se-nd3nx-ye2sj-5cy39
        https://www.immigration.com/visa-bulletin/visa-bulletin-december-2025
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the United States created a broad temporary-worker visa route specifically for nonmedical home-care aides.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/5494/text
        https://leadingage.org/essential-worker-visa-bill-reintroduced/
        https://www.newsweek.com/h-2c-visa-explained-thousands-of-visas-to-be-offered-under-new-proposal-10696317
  11. UK Home Office immigration statistics published after August 31, 2025 showed a large year-on-year decline in Health and Care Worker visa grants to main applicants.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-statistics-year-ending-september-2025/why-do-people-come-to-the-uk-work
        https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-statistics-year-ending-september-2025/summary-of-latest-statistics
  12. As of December 1, 2025, new overseas recruitment of care workers and senior care workers into the UK Health and Care Worker visa route remained open on the same basis as before the 2025 immigration changes.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/applying-for-health-and-social-care-jobs-in-the-uk-from-abroad
        https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6878c4e00263c35f52e4dd26/Health-and-Care-Visa-Guidance+22+July+2025.pdf
        https://www.gov.uk/health-care-worker-visa/your-job
  13. UK immigration changes in force by December 1, 2025 made the United Kingdom a weaker near-term growth market for newly arriving migrant elder-care workers than it had been during the 2022–2023 surge.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-statistics-year-ending-september-2025/why-do-people-come-to-the-uk-work
        https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/applying-for-health-and-social-care-jobs-in-the-uk-from-abroad
        https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6878c4e00263c35f52e4dd26/Health-and-Care-Visa-Guidance+22+July+2025.pdf
  14. Canada abolished all federal permanent-residence pathways specifically branded for home-care workers between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://gazette.gc.ca/rp-pr/p1/2025/2025-03-22/html/notice-avis-eng.html
        https://immigration.ca/ircc-quietly-closes-stream-b-of-caregiver-immigration-pilot-what-it-means-for-foreign-applicants/
        https://uimmigrate.ca/canadas-home-care-worker-immigration-pilots-update-2025/
  15. Canada’s Home Care Worker Immigration Pilots remained in existence as federal caregiver immigration pathways on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://gazette.gc.ca/rp-pr/p1/2025/2025-03-22/html/notice-avis-eng.html
        https://www.cicnews.com/2025/01/canada-announces-launch-date-for-new-permanent-residence-pathways-for-home-care-workers-0150973.html
        https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/2024/06/canada-announces-new-pilot-programs-to-support-caregivers-and-canadian-families.html

#############################################################
# 50. Is Europe likely to have a particularly bad flu season?
#    (id: europe_flu_season · 22 evaluation statements)
#############################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, WHO/Europe and ECDC surveillance data for the 2025/26 season showed influenza activity in Europe rising earlier than is typical for recent pre-pandemic seasons.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.who.int/europe/news/item/25-11-2025-influenza-season-underway-across-the-who-european-region--who-calls-for-vigilance-and-vaccination
        https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2025-DON586
  2. As of December 1, 2025, multiple European countries had already crossed their national or regional epidemic thresholds for influenza-like illness or laboratory-confirmed influenza in the 2025/26 season.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2025.30.46.2500854?TRACK=RSS
        https://edoc.rki.de/bitstream/handle/176904/13121/ARE-Wochenbericht_KW51_2025_bis_KW01_2026.pdf?isAllowed=y&sequence=1
        https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/statistik-och-data/lagesrapporter/luftvagsvirus-lagesrapporter/arkiv-for-lagesrapporter-och-specialavsnitt-om-luftvagsvirus/lagesrapport-om-luftvagsvirus-vecka-49-2025/
  3. As of December 1, 2025, influenza test positivity in European sentinel primary-care surveillance had remained at low inter-seasonal levels throughout autumn 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.who.int/europe/news/item/25-11-2025-influenza-season-underway-across-the-who-european-region--who-calls-for-vigilance-and-vaccination
        https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2025-DON586
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
  4. As of December 1, 2025, influenza A was the dominant influenza type detected in Europe during the early 2025/26 season.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2025-DON586
  5. As of December 1, 2025, A(H3N2) viruses accounted for the majority of subtyped influenza A detections reported in European surveillance for the 2025/26 season to date.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2025-DON586
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12639273/
  6. As of December 1, 2025, A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses accounted for the majority of subtyped influenza A detections reported in European surveillance for the 2025/26 season to date.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2025-DON586
  7. As of December 1, 2025, influenza B viruses accounted for the majority of influenza detections reported in European surveillance for the 2025/26 season to date.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2025-DON586
  8. As of December 1, 2025, WHO/Europe or ECDC had reported that early-season influenza hospital admissions in Europe were above the levels seen at the same point in most recent seasons.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2025-DON586
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
  9. As of December 1, 2025, the United Kingdom had reported influenza activity or influenza-related hospital admissions high enough to trigger official concern about an unusually early or severe winter flu wave.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.england.nhs.uk/2025/12/nhs-ready-double-whammy-winter-fludemic-strikes/
        https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2025-to-2026-season/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-report-6-november-2025-week-45
        https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2025-to-2026-season/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-report-20-november-2025-week-47
  10. As of December 1, 2025, France, Germany, Spain, or Italy had reported sustained community influenza transmission for the 2025/26 season.
     -> TRUE
        https://edoc.rki.de/bitstream/handle/176904/13121/ARE-Wochenbericht_KW51_2025_bis_KW01_2026.pdf?isAllowed=y&sequence=1
        https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/statistik-och-data/lagesrapporter/luftvagsvirus-lagesrapporter/arkiv-for-lagesrapporter-och-specialavsnitt-om-luftvagsvirus/lagesrapport-om-luftvagsvirus-vecka-49-2025/
  11. As of December 1, 2025, European surveillance had identified a widespread antigenic mismatch between circulating influenza viruses and the strains included in the 2025/26 Northern Hemisphere influenza vaccines.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2025.30.46.2500854?TRACK=RSS
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12905531/
  12. As of December 1, 2025, WHO or ECDC had reported that most characterized circulating influenza viruses in Europe remained antigenically similar to the strains included in the 2025/26 Northern Hemisphere influenza vaccines.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2025.30.46.2500854?TRACK=RSS
  13. As of December 1, 2025, the 2025 Southern Hemisphere influenza season had ended with unusually high influenza activity in at least one major temperate country relevant for Northern Hemisphere risk assessment, such as Australia, New Zealand, Chile, Argentina, or South Africa.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/australia-recorded-more-flu-cases-than-ever-this-year-is-it-the-worst-year-on-record/me2opicyw
        https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/news/Pages/20251201_01.aspx
        https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/health/causes-death/deaths-due-acute-respiratory-infections-australia/nov-2025
  14. As of December 1, 2025, Australia’s 2025 influenza season had been described by national surveillance authorities as one of its larger or more severe recent seasons.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/health/causes-death/deaths-due-acute-respiratory-infections-australia/nov-2025
        https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/news/Pages/20251201_01.aspx
  15. As of December 1, 2025, there was evidence that the dominant Southern Hemisphere 2025 influenza viruses were a close match to the dominant viruses emerging in Europe in autumn 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/74/wr/mm7436a3.htm
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
  16. As of December 1, 2025, European public-health agencies had warned that low or delayed influenza vaccination uptake among older adults or clinical-risk groups could increase the risk of a severe 2025/26 flu season.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/news-events/ecdc-recommends-vaccinating-without-delay-due-early-flu-circulation
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.santepubliquefrance.fr/index.php/en/press/preventing-acute-respiratory-infections-a-collective-commitment-a-safe-winter
  17. As of December 1, 2025, influenza vaccine uptake data for autumn 2025 in major European countries showed coverage among older adults clearly exceeding the WHO target of 75%.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/survey-report-national-seasonal-influenza-vaccination-recommendations-and
        https://www.euronews.com/health/2025/11/21/where-are-europeans-most-and-least-likely-to-get-the-flu-vaccine
        https://www.who.int/europe/health-topics/influenza-seasonal/assisting-vaccination
  18. As of December 1, 2025, there were official reports of significant antiviral resistance among circulating seasonal influenza viruses in Europe that would be expected to materially limit oseltamivir or other neuraminidase-inhibitor effectiveness.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/seasonal-influenza/prevention-and-control/antivirals
        https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/30/7/24-0480_article
  19. As of December 1, 2025, European surveillance had detected a novel influenza virus with sustained human-to-human transmission that materially changed the risk assessment for the 2025/26 flu season.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/surveillance/2025-week-49.html
  20. As of December 1, 2025, ECDC or WHO/Europe had issued a formal risk assessment indicating that Europe faced an elevated risk of a severe or unusually early influenza season in 2025/26.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/news-events/ecdc-recommends-vaccinating-without-delay-due-early-flu-circulation
        https://www.who.int/europe/news/item/25-11-2025-influenza-season-underway-across-the-who-european-region--who-calls-for-vigilance-and-vaccination
  21. As of December 1, 2025, co-circulation of influenza with RSV or SARS-CoV-2 was already placing unusual pressure on hospitals in multiple European countries.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2025-DON586
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2025-to-2026-season/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-report-6-november-2025-week-45
  22. As of December 1, 2025, the available European surveillance evidence still supported the conclusion that it was too early to determine whether the 2025/26 influenza season would be particularly bad.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-brief-assessing-risk-influenza-november-2025
        https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/news-events/ecdc-recommends-vaccinating-without-delay-due-early-flu-circulation
        https://www.who.int/europe/news/item/25-11-2025-influenza-season-underway-across-the-who-european-region--who-calls-for-vigilance-and-vaccination

######################################################################
# 51. Is Florida making rapid progress combating any invasive species?
#    (id: florida_invasive_species · 14 evaluation statements)
######################################################################

  1. FDACS announced after August 31, 2025 that giant African land snail had been eradicated from Broward County.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.pestalerts.org/nappo/official-pest-reports/1002/
        https://www.cbsnews.com/miami/news/section-of-south-broward-under-quarantine-after-giant-african-land-snail-found-in-miramar/
  2. FDACS lifted the Broward County giant African land snail quarantine after August 31, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/miami/news/section-of-south-broward-under-quarantine-after-giant-african-land-snail-found-in-miramar/
        https://www.law.cornell.edu/regulations/florida/Fla-Admin-Code-Ann-R-5B-67-003
  3. As of December 1, 2025, FDACS still listed an active giant African land snail quarantine somewhere in Florida.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cityofnewportrichey.org/Departments/Public-Works/Public-Works-Programs/Giant-African-Land-Snail
        https://vvdailypress.com/story/graphics/2023/07/01/giant-african-land-snails-invade-florida/70362301007/
  4. Florida announced a statewide eradication of Burmese pythons before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://abcnews.com/US/florida-snake-hunters-deploy-robotic-rabbits-capture-invasive/story?id=124376519
        https://myfwc.com/news/all-news/gov-python-removal-1025/
  5. FWC announced the 2025 Florida Python Challenge results after August 31, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/FLFFWCC/bulletins/3edbeb6
        https://myfwc.com/news/all-news/python-challenge-winners-825/
  6. The 2025 Florida Python Challenge removed more than 200 Burmese pythons.
     -> TRUE
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/FLFFWCC/bulletins/3edbeb6
        https://myfwc.com/news/all-news/python-challenge-winners-825/
  7. The 2025 Florida Python Challenge removed more than 1,000 Burmese pythons.
     -> FALSE
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/FLFFWCC/bulletins/3edbeb6
        https://myfwc.com/news/all-news/python-challenge-winners-825/
  8. As of December 1, 2025, the 2025 Florida Python Challenge results were evidence of continued removals rather than population-level eradication of Burmese pythons.
     -> TRUE
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/FLFFWCC/bulletins/3edbeb6
        https://www.floridamuseum.ufl.edu/earth-systems/blog/florida-vs-the-burmese-python-how-an-invasive-giant-is-changing-the-sunshine-state/
  9. FWC announced the final 2025 Lionfish Challenge results after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/FLFFWCC/bulletins/3f3cc13
        https://www.wgcu.org/environment/2025-09-23/winners-announced-in-fwcs-annual-lionfish-challenge
  10. The 2025 Florida Lionfish Challenge reported more than 25,000 lionfish removals.
     -> TRUE
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/FLFFWCC/bulletins/3f3cc13
        https://www.wtvy.com/2025/09/22/winners-10th-annual-fwc-lionfish-challenge-celebrate-successful-summer/
  11. Florida declared lionfish eradicated from state waters before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://myfwc.com/fishing/saltwater/recreational/lionfish/
        https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/FLFFWCC/bulletins/3f3cc13
  12. Florida announced a statewide eradication of Argentine black and white tegus before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://myfwc.com/wildlifehabitats/profiles/reptiles/lizards/argentine-black-and-white-tegu/
        https://www.gainesville.com/story/news/nation/2025/04/09/argentine-tegu-lizards-georgia-florida/83012525007/
  13. Florida announced a statewide eradication of green iguanas before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://myfwc.com/wildlifehabitats/nonnatives/proposed-rule-change/
        https://myfwc.com/wildlifehabitats/profiles/reptiles/lizards/green-iguana/
  14. As of December 1, 2025, Florida’s clearest recent invasive-species eradication progress was against giant African land snail rather than Burmese python or lionfish.
     -> TRUE
        https://ask.ifas.ufl.edu/publication/UW392
        https://www.pestalerts.org/nappo/official-pest-reports/1002/
        https://www.floridamuseum.ufl.edu/earth-systems/blog/florida-vs-the-burmese-python-how-an-invasive-giant-is-changing-the-sunshine-state/
        https://myfwc.com/fishing/saltwater/recreational/lionfish/

############################################################
# 52. Is Moore’s Law really at an end?
#    (id: moores_law_end · 18 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. In October 2025, Intel announced that its first Intel 18A client processor family, Panther Lake, had entered production.
     -> TRUE
        https://newsroom.intel.com/client-computing/intel-unveils-panther-lake-architecture-first-ai-pc-platform-built-on-18a
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251009013156/en/Intel-Unveils-Panther-Lake-Architecture-First-AI-PC-Platform-Built-on-18A
  2. As of December 1, 2025, Intel had not announced that it was abandoning the Intel 18A process node.
     -> TRUE
        https://newsroom.intel.com/client-computing/intel-unveils-panther-lake-architecture-first-ai-pc-platform-built-on-18a
        https://www.techpowerup.com/338560/intel-considers-abandoning-18a-node-for-14a-chipmaking-process?amp=
        https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/foundry/library/intel-18a-platform-brief.html
  3. As of December 1, 2025, Intel had not yet made Intel 14A a high-volume manufacturing node for commercial products.
     -> TRUE
        https://bits-chips.com/article/intel-sees-go-no-go-moment-for-14a-node-in-2026/
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/intel-cfo-confirms-14a-more-161002260.html
        https://www.techspot.com/news/108809-intel-14a-chip-process-jeopardy-while-cutting-jobs.html
  4. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, TSMC continued to describe its 2 nm-class N2 process as on track for volume production in the second half of 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://longbridge.com/en/news/261673936
        https://www.trendforce.com/news/2025/10/16/news-tsmc-confirms-n2p-for-2h26-joins-a16-to-cement-2nm-class-as-major-long-lived-node/
        https://www.trendforce.com/news/2025/09/22/news-tsmc-2nm-customer-surge-15-clients-reportedly-secured-10-in-hpc/
  5. As of December 1, 2025, TSMC had not shipped a mass-market consumer smartphone processor fabricated on its N2 process.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.eetasia.com/counterpoint-smartphone-soc-node-transition-accelerates/
        https://www.macrumors.com/2025/09/09/iphone-17-a19-chip/
        https://www.gadgets360.com/mobiles/news/snapdragon-8-elite-gen-5-soc-specifications-features-launch-qualcomm-9339699
        https://www.mediatek.com/dimensity-9500
  6. Apple’s September 2025 iPhone 17-generation A19 chips were fabricated on a TSMC 3 nm-class process rather than a TSMC 2 nm-class process.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.macrumors.com/2025/09/09/iphone-17-a19-chip/
        https://www.iclarified.com/98595/apples-a19-chip-revealed-in-first-detailed-die-shot-images
        https://www.trendforce.com/news/2025/09/10/news-decoding-apples-latest-silicon-how-a19-a19-pro-c1x-and-n1-power-the-iphone-17-lineup/
  7. Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5, announced after August 31, 2025, was a 3 nm-class TSMC chip rather than a 2 nm-class chip.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gadgets360.com/mobiles/news/snapdragon-8-elite-gen-5-soc-specifications-features-launch-qualcomm-9339699
        https://www.androidauthority.com/qualcomm-snapdragon-8-elite-gen-5-3599341/
        https://moorinsightsstrategy.com/research-notes/qualcomm-reiterates-and-refines-snapdragons-market-leadership/
  8. MediaTek’s Dimensity 9500, announced after August 31, 2025, was a 3 nm-class TSMC chip rather than a 2 nm-class chip.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mediatek.com/press-room/mediatek-dimensity-9500-unleashes-best-in-class-performance-ai-experiences-and-power-efficiency-for-the-next-generation-of-mobile-devices
        https://www.mediatek.com/dimensity-9500
        https://www.fonearena.com/blog/464846/mediatek-dimensity-9500-specifications-features.html
  9. As of December 1, 2025, no leading foundry had announced high-volume commercial production on a 1 nm-class logic node.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.technetbooks.com/2025/12/tsmc-2nm-mass-production-on-track-as.html
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1_nm_process
        https://bits-chips.com/article/intel-sees-go-no-go-moment-for-14a-node-in-2026/
  10. As of December 1, 2025, high-NA EUV lithography had not become the standard production lithography tool for all leading-edge 2 nm-class logic manufacturing.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.financialcontent.com/article/marketminute-2025-9-30-asmls-high-na-euv-tools-powering-the-sub-2nm-era-and-reshaping-the-semiconductor-landscape
        https://tech.yahoo.com/computing/articles/intel-hedges-bet-high-na-131002838.html
        https://www.smbom.com/news/38220
  11. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no major semiconductor manufacturer announced a return to historical Dennard scaling for general-purpose logic chips.
     -> TRUE
        https://elecdesign.substack.com/p/how-ai-is-rewriting-semiconductor-design-moores-law
        https://uplatz.com/blog/the-angstrom-era-navigating-process-node-evolution-from-5nm-to-3nm-and-the-confrontation-with-fundamental-physical-limits/
  12. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, leading-edge chip announcements continued to emphasize advanced packaging, chiplets, and heterogeneous integration as important complements to transistor scaling.
     -> TRUE
        https://newsroom.intel.com/client-computing/intel-unveils-panther-lake-architecture-first-ai-pc-platform-built-on-18a
        https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2025/NVIDIA-and-Intel-to-Develop-AI-Infrastructure-and-Personal-Computing-Products/default.aspx
        https://www.eetimes.com/guc-launches-next-generation-2-5d-3d-apt-platform-leveraging-tsmcs-latest-3dfabric-and-advanced-process-technologies/
        https://awavesemi.com/press-release/alphawave-semi-delivers-cutting-edge-ucie-chiplet-ip-on-tsmc-3dfabric-platform/
        https://www.eu.socionext.com/nextnews/socionext-unveils-flexlets,-a-configurable-chiplet-ecosystem-to-accelerate-multi-die-silicon-innovation.html
  13. Nvidia announced in September 2025 that it would invest billions of dollars in Intel and collaborate with Intel on future data-center and PC chips.
     -> TRUE
        https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2025/NVIDIA-and-Intel-to-Develop-AI-Infrastructure-and-Personal-Computing-Products/default.aspx
        https://www.intc.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1750/nvidia-and-intel-to-develop-ai-infrastructure-and-personal
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/18/nvidia-buys-5-billion-stake-in-intel-planning-ai-chip-collaboration/
  14. The post-August 2025 Nvidia-Intel collaboration announcement did not by itself establish that Intel had regained process-technology leadership over TSMC.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/18/nvidias-huang-calls-5-billion-intel-stake-an-incredible-investment.html
        https://futurumgroup.com/press-release/how-intel-nvidia-partnership-could-reshape-the-semiconductor-supply-chain-with-ai/
        https://www.fxstreet.com/news/nvidia-intel-deal-what-it-means-for-the-ai-ecosystem-202509190339
  15. As of December 1, 2025, the newest mass-market smartphone SoCs announced after August 31, 2025 still supported the view that commercial leading-edge products were advancing by node shrinks, but not at the historical two-year doubling cadence implied by a strict version of Moore’s Law.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.macrumors.com/2025/09/09/iphone-17-a19-chip/
        https://www.gadgets360.com/mobiles/news/snapdragon-8-elite-gen-5-soc-specifications-features-launch-qualcomm-9339699
        https://www.mediatek.com/dimensity-9500
        https://www.eetasia.com/counterpoint-smartphone-soc-node-transition-accelerates/
        https://elecdesign.substack.com/p/how-ai-is-rewriting-semiconductor-design-moores-law
  16. As of December 1, 2025, none of the major post-August 2025 foundry or chip announcements showed that the cost per transistor had resumed a clear long-term exponential decline comparable to early Moore’s Law eras.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.eetimes.com/tsmc-price-hikes-end-the-era-of-cheap-transistors/
        https://www.mckinsey-electronics.com/post/is-moores-law-still-applicable
        https://www.xda-developers.com/waterfall-effect-chip-landscape-silicon-cost/
  17. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, there was no industry-wide announcement that Moore’s Law had officially ended in the sense that transistor counts would no longer increase in future leading-edge chips.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20250910VL207/taiwan-jim-keller-tsmc-ceo-transistor.html?dt_ref=tag
        https://www.eetimes.com/applied-materials-besi-push-die-to-wafer-hybrid-bonding-toward-high-volume-manufacturing/
        https://www.techinsights.com/blog/chip-insider-moores-law-dead-long-live-moores-law
  18. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, there was no industry-wide announcement that Moore’s Law had been fully restored in the sense of predictable two-year transistor-density doublings at falling cost per transistor.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.eetimes.com/tsmc-price-hikes-end-the-era-of-cheap-transistors/
        https://elecdesign.substack.com/p/how-ai-is-rewriting-semiconductor-design-moores-law
        https://cyberpulstech.com/end-of-moores-law/

################################################################
# 53. Is open source AI catching up to closed source models?
#    (id: open_source_ai_catching_up · 20 evaluation statements)
################################################################

  1. Google released Gemini 3 Pro as a closed proprietary model between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/developers-tools/gemini-3-developers/
        https://blog.google/intl/en-mena/product-updates/explore-get-answers/gemini-3-launches-in-mena/
        https://llmindex.net/models/gemini-3-pro
  2. Gemini 3 Pro was widely reported by late November 2025 to be at or near the top of major public model leaderboards, including LMArena, ahead of the strongest open-weight models.
     -> TRUE
        https://cloud.google.com/blog/products/ai-machine-learning/gemini-3-is-available-for-enterprise
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/googles-gemini-3-pro-and-nano-banana-pro-boast-best-in-class-multimodal-reasoning-and-image-generation
        https://officechai.com/ai/googles-gemini-3-becomes-top-ai-model-on-all-major-lmarena-leaderboards/
        https://artificialanalysis.ai/articles/gemini-3-pro-everything-you-need-to-know
  3. Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 4.5 after August 31, 2025 as a closed proprietary model focused especially on coding and agentic computer-use performance.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/29/anthropic-claude-ai-sonnet-4-5.html
        https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/09/anthropic-says-its-new-ai-model-maintained-focus-for-30-hours-on-multistep-tasks/
        https://llm-stats.com/models/claude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
  4. Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.5 before December 1, 2025 as a closed proprietary frontier model.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-5?=
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/24/anthropic-releases-opus-4-5-with-new-chrome-and-excel-integrations/
        https://llmindex.net/models/claude-opus-4-5
  5. OpenAI released GPT-5.1 after August 31, 2025 as a closed proprietary update rather than an open-weight model.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-system-card-addendum-gpt-5-1/
        https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/gpt-5.1
        https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/gpt-5-1
  6. OpenAI released a new open-weight successor to gpt-oss-120b between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-oss/
        http://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-oss-safeguard
        https://github.com/openai/gpt-oss-safeguard
        https://github.com/openai/gpt-oss
  7. Moonshot AI released Kimi K2 Thinking after August 31, 2025 as an open-weight reasoning model.
     -> TRUE
        https://medium.com/@kimi_moonshot/introducing-kimi-k2-thinking-a61c95f6e59a
        https://huggingface.co/moonshotai/Kimi-K2-Thinking
        https://www.marktechpost.com/2025/11/06/moonshot-ai-releases-kimi-k2-thinking-an-impressive-thinking-model-that-can-execute-up-to-200-300-sequential-tool-calls-without-human-interference/
  8. Kimi K2 Thinking materially improved the case that open-weight models were competitive with closed models on reasoning, coding, and agent-style benchmarks in late 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/kimi-k2-thinking-outperforms-proprietary-models-with-new-techniques-for-agentic-tool-use
        https://docs.api.nvidia.com/nim/reference/moonshotai-kimi-k2-thinking
        https://www.digitalapplied.com/blog/kimi-k2-thinking
        https://thezvi.substack.com/p/kimi-k2-thinking
  9. MiniMax released MiniMax-M2 after August 31, 2025 as an open-weight mixture-of-experts model with strong coding and agentic benchmark results.
     -> TRUE
        https://github.com/MiniMax-AI/MiniMax-M2?tab=readme-ov-file
        https://www.minimax.io/blog/minimax-m2-en-1748600000
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/minimax-m2s-lightweight-footprint-and-low-costs-belie-its-top-performance/
        https://huggingface.co/docs/transformers/v5.5.1/model_doc/minimax_m2
  10. Zhipu AI released GLM-4.6 after August 31, 2025 as an open-weight model positioned as an improvement over GLM-4.5.
     -> TRUE
        https://docs.z.ai/guides/llm/glm-4.6
        https://the-decoder.com/zhipu-ai-glm-4-6-open-source-model-challenges-deepseek-and-sonnet-4/
        https://www.marktechpost.com/2025/09/30/zhipu-ai-releases-glm-4-6-achieving-enhancements-in-real-world-coding-long-context-processing-reasoning-searching-and-agentic-ai/
        https://huggingface.co/zai-org/GLM-4.6-FP8
  11. Alibaba released new Qwen open-weight models after August 31, 2025, including models in the Qwen3-Next or Qwen3-VL/Qwen3-Omni families.
     -> TRUE
        https://github.com/QwenLM/Qwen3-Omni
        https://www.alibabacloud.com/blog/qwen3-next-towards-ultimate-training-%26-inference-efficiency_602580
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/alibaba-expands-qwen3-family-with-1-trillion-parameter-max-open-weights-qwen3-vl-and-qwen3-omni-voice-model
        https://the-decoder.com/alibaba-unveils-qwen3-omni-an-ai-model-that-processes-text-images-audio-and-video/
  12. DeepSeek publicly released a generally available DeepSeek-R2 model between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://beebom.com/what-is-deepseek-ai/
        https://pub.towardsai.net/deepseek-the-chinese-ai-startup-that-shook-silicon-valley-ebf670f74110
        https://www.toolkitly.com/blog/deepseek-r2-revolutionary-ai-arriving-earlier-than-expected
        https://the-decoder.com/deepseek-v3-2-rivals-gpt-5-and-gemini-3-pro-reaches-imo-gold-level-as-open-source/
  13. Meta released a new frontier Llama model after August 31, 2025 that clearly reset the open-weight state of the art by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://ai.meta.com/blog/Llama-4-multimodal-intelligence/
        https://mungomash.com/ai/llama/versions/
        https://fazm.ai/t/meta-llama-4-llama-5-release-date-roadmap-2026
  14. As of December 1, 2025, the highest-ranked models on the main public general-purpose leaderboards were still closed proprietary models rather than open-weight models.
     -> TRUE
        https://artificialanalysis.ai/articles/gemini-3-pro-everything-you-need-to-know
        https://officechai.com/ai/googles-gemini-3-becomes-top-ai-model-on-all-major-lmarena-leaderboards/
        https://theairankings.com/best-ai-models/
        https://whatllm.org/blog/gemini-3-pro-vs-gpt-5-1-vs-claude-opus-4-5
  15. As of December 1, 2025, at least one open-weight model released after August 31, 2025 was competitive with some older closed frontier models on coding and reasoning benchmarks.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/kimi-k2-thinking-outperforms-proprietary-models-with-new-techniques-for-agentic-tool-use
        https://docs.api.nvidia.com/nim/reference/moonshotai-kimi-k2-thinking
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/minimax-m2s-lightweight-footprint-and-low-costs-belie-its-top-performance/
        https://www.marktechpost.com/2025/09/30/zhipu-ai-releases-glm-4-6-achieving-enhancements-in-real-world-coding-long-context-processing-reasoning-searching-and-agentic-ai/
  16. As of December 1, 2025, no open-weight model released after August 31, 2025 had clearly surpassed the latest Gemini, Claude, and OpenAI frontier models across general reasoning, coding, multimodal, and agentic evaluations taken together.
     -> TRUE
        https://theairankings.com/best-ai-models/
        https://whatllm.org/blog/gemini-3-pro-vs-gpt-5-1-vs-claude-opus-4-5
        https://docs.api.nvidia.com/nim/reference/moonshotai-kimi-k2-thinking
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/minimax-m2s-lightweight-footprint-and-low-costs-belie-its-top-performance/
  17. Late-2025 open-weight releases narrowed the practical capability gap more in text reasoning and coding than in the full stack of multimodal, productized agent, and hosted-tool-use capabilities.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/minimax-m2s-lightweight-footprint-and-low-costs-belie-its-top-performance/
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/kimi-k2-thinking-outperforms-proprietary-models-with-new-techniques-for-agentic-tool-use
        https://simple.ai/p/openai-vs-google-vs-anthropic-this-week-in-ai
        https://deepinfra.com/blog/open-vs-closed-source-ai-models
  18. The strongest post-August-2025 open-weight model releases generally did not include all pretraining data and training code needed for independent reproduction of the base models.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/minimax-m2s-lightweight-footprint-and-low-costs-belie-its-top-performance/
        https://www.hackster.io/news/alibaba-cloud-releases-the-open-qwen3-omni-its-first-natively-end-to-end-omni-modal-ai-320a414212cc.amp
        https://github.com/VizuaraAILabs/truly-open-gpt-oss
        https://github.com/GAIR-NLP/daVinci-LLM/blob/main/README.md
  19. Several of the most important post-August-2025 open-weight releases came from Chinese AI labs rather than from Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/kimi-k2-thinking-outperforms-proprietary-models-with-new-techniques-for-agentic-tool-use
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/minimax-m2s-lightweight-footprint-and-low-costs-belie-its-top-performance/
        https://the-decoder.com/zhipu-ai-glm-4-6-open-source-model-challenges-deepseek-and-sonnet-4/
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/alibaba-expands-qwen3-family-with-1-trillion-parameter-max-open-weights-qwen3-vl-and-qwen3-omni-voice-model
  20. By December 1, 2025, the evidence supported a nuanced conclusion that open-weight AI was catching up in some benchmarked capabilities but had not unambiguously caught up to the newest closed frontier models overall.
     -> TRUE
        https://whatllm.org/blog/gemini-3-pro-vs-gpt-5-1-vs-claude-opus-4-5
        https://theairankings.com/best-ai-models/
        https://www.deeplearning.ai/the-batch/minimax-m2s-lightweight-footprint-and-low-costs-belie-its-top-performance/
        https://www.icsuniverse.com/insights/open-vs-closed-models-late-2025/

####################################################################
# 54. Is Princeton doing a good job managing their endowment?
#    (id: princeton_endowment_management · 17 evaluation statements)
####################################################################

  1. Princeton’s fall 2025 endowment disclosure reported a positive investment return for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dailyprincetonian.com/article/2025/10/princeton-news-endowment-returns-market-private-equity-tax-research-funding-alternative-assets
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/princeton-endowment-earns-11-return-reaches-364-billion
        https://finance.princeton.edu/report-treasurer
  2. Princeton’s fall 2025 endowment disclosure reported a double-digit investment return for fiscal year 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dailyprincetonian.com/article/2025/10/princeton-news-endowment-returns-market-private-equity-tax-research-funding-alternative-assets
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/princeton-endowment-earns-11-return-reaches-364-billion
        https://finance.princeton.edu/report-treasurer
  3. Princeton’s fall 2025 endowment disclosure reported that the endowment’s market value exceeded $35 billion as of June 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dailyprincetonian.com/article/2025/10/princeton-news-endowment-returns-market-private-equity-tax-research-funding-alternative-assets
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/princeton-endowment-earns-11-return-reaches-364-billion
        https://finance.princeton.edu/report-treasurer
  4. Princeton’s fall 2025 endowment disclosure reported that the endowment’s market value was lower on June 30, 2025 than on June 30, 2024.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.dailyprincetonian.com/article/2025/10/princeton-news-endowment-returns-market-private-equity-tax-research-funding-alternative-assets
        https://www.princeton.edu/news/2024/10/24/endowment-continues-provide-foundation-princetons-groundbreaking-research
        https://finance.princeton.edu/report-treasurer
  5. Princeton’s reported fiscal 2025 endowment return was below 20%.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dailyprincetonian.com/article/2025/10/princeton-news-endowment-returns-market-private-equity-tax-research-funding-alternative-assets
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/princeton-endowment-earns-11-return-reaches-364-billion
        https://finance.princeton.edu/report-treasurer
  6. Princeton’s reported fiscal 2025 endowment return was lower than the S&P 500 total return over the same fiscal year.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dailyprincetonian.com/article/2025/10/princeton-news-endowment-returns-market-private-equity-tax-research-funding-alternative-assets
        https://www.tiff.org/fy25-performer-drivers-insights-from-the-biggest-university-endowments/
        https://www.markovprocesses.com/blog/fy25-endowments-ai-and-crypto-to-the-moon/
  7. Several Ivy League peer institutions reported positive double-digit endowment returns for fiscal 2025 in fall 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ai-cio.com/news/comparing-ivy-league-endowment-returns/
        https://www.dailyprincetonian.com/article/2025/10/princeton-news-endowment-returns-market-private-equity-tax-research-funding-alternative-assets
        https://www.ai-cio.com/news/university-of-pennsylvania-endowment-returned-12-2-in-fiscal-2025/
  8. Peer university endowments generally reported losses for fiscal 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.highereddive.com/news/university-endowments-fy25-tiff/805067/
        https://www.ai-cio.com/news/university-endowments-returned-to-growth-in-2025/
        https://www.ai-cio.com/news/comparing-ivy-league-endowment-returns/
  9. Harvard, Yale, and Stanford each reported positive fiscal 2025 endowment investment returns in fall 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hmc.harvard.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/FY25_HMC_Annual_Report.pdf
        https://news.yale.edu/2025/10/24/yale-reports-investment-return-fiscal-2025
        https://www.markovprocesses.com/blog/fy25-endowments-ai-and-crypto-to-the-moon/
  10. Princeton’s reported ten-year annualized endowment return as of June 30, 2025 remained above 8%.
     -> TRUE
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/princeton-endowment-earns-11-return-reaches-364-billion
        https://www.princeton.edu/news/2024/10/24/endowment-continues-provide-foundation-princetons-groundbreaking-research
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/flat-year-despite-endowments-mediocre-return-princo-sees-relatively-strong-results
  11. Princeton reported that endowment distributions continued to finance more than half of the University’s operating budget in fiscal 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://profile.princeton.edu/finances
        https://finance.princeton.edu/report-treasurer
        https://www.princeton.edu/news/2025/04/02/budget-plan-underscores-princetons-commitment-access-affordability-and
  12. Princeton announced cuts to its undergraduate financial-aid program between September 1 and December 1, 2025 because of poor endowment performance.
     -> FALSE
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/princeton-departments-feel-squeeze-budget-cuts
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/princeton-expands-financial-aid-across-income-spectrum
        https://www.dailyprincetonian.com/article/2025/09/princeton-opinion-column-budget-cuts-wintersession-internal-division-academia-education
  13. Princeton disclosed an endowment liquidity crisis between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
  14. Princeton announced a PRINCO investment-misconduct investigation between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
  15. Princeton announced a replacement of PRINCO’s chief executive between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.princeton.edu/news/2023/11/06/vincent-tuohey-named-next-president-princo
        https://princo.princeton.edu/about/organizational-model/
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/princeton-investments-dip-new-princo-president-named
  16. Princeton announced between September 1 and December 1, 2025 that new gifts, rather than investment gains, were the sole reason the endowment’s market value increased in fiscal 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://finance.princeton.edu/report-treasurer
        https://www.dailyprincetonian.com/article/2025/10/princeton-news-endowment-returns-market-private-equity-tax-research-funding-alternative-assets
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/princeton-endowment-earns-11-return-reaches-364-billion
  17. Princeton announced between September 1 and December 1, 2025 that it was abandoning its long-term diversified endowment model in favor of holding the endowment mostly in cash.
     -> FALSE
        https://princo.princeton.edu/about/organizational-model/
        https://princo.princeton.edu/
        https://paw.princeton.edu/article/not-so-satisfying-year-endowments-62-investment-return-puts-princeton-ivies-lower-tier

#############################################################
# 55. Is Silicon Valley venture capital funding slowing down?
#    (id: sv_vc_funding_slowdown · 18 evaluation statements)
#############################################################

  1. Anthropic announced a $13 billion financing round in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        http://anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raises-series-f-at-usd183b-post-money-valuation
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13b-series-f-at-183b-valuation/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13-billion-at-18-billion-valuation.html
  2. Anthropic's September 2025 financing round valued the company at about $183 billion post-money.
     -> TRUE
        http://anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raises-series-f-at-usd183b-post-money-valuation
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13b-series-f-at-183b-valuation/
        https://www.axios.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-183-billion-iconiq
  3. Anthropic was headquartered in San Francisco when it announced its September 2025 financing round.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.thesaasnews.com/news/anthropic-secures-13b-series-f-at-183b-valuation
        https://sfstandard.com/2025/09/23/anthropic-san-francisco-office-lease/
        https://siliconcanals.com/anthropic-secures-e11-2b/
  4. Databricks announced in September 2025 that it was raising a Series K financing at a valuation above $100 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.databricks.com/company/newsroom/press-releases/databricks-surpasses-4b-revenue-run-rate-exceeding-1b-ai-revenue
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/08/databricks-confirms-new-100b-valuation-on-4b-arr/
        https://fintech.global/2025/09/08/databricks-secures-1bn-funding-at-100bn-valuation/
  5. Figure AI announced a funding round of at least $1 billion after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/figure-exceeds-1b-in-series-c-funding-at-39b-post-money-valuation-302556936.html
        https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/figure-raises-over-1b-in-series-c-funding-as-ai-fuels-more-robotics-interest
        https://www.intelcapital.com/figure-exceeds-1b-in-series-c-funding-at-39b-post-money-valuation/
  6. Anysphere announced a multibillion-dollar financing round in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.outlookbusiness.com/deeptech/artificial-intelligence/ai-coding-start-up-anysphere-raises-23-billion-soaring-to-293-billion-valuation
        https://ci.vc/rounds/anysphere-series-d-2025
        https://www.caproasia.com/2025/11/15/united-states-ai-coding-app-cursor-creator-anysphere-raised-2-3-billion-in-series-d-funding-at-29-3-billion-valuation-founded-in-2022-by-mit-graduates-sualeh-asif-arvid-lunnemark-aman-sanger-mi/
  7. Sierra announced a $350 million financing round after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://sierra.ai/blog/theres-an-agent-for-that-and-it-runs-on-sierra
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/04/bret-taylors-sierra-raises-350m-at-a-10b-valuation/
        https://www.salesforceben.com/bret-taylors-ai-company-sierra-raises-350m-capital-at-10b-valuation/
  8. PitchBook-NVCA's Q3 2025 Venture Monitor reported that U.S. VC deal value through the first three quarters of 2025 was higher than during the first three quarters of 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://nvca.org/document/q3-2025-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor-data-pack/
        https://www.junipersquare.com/blog/vc-q3-2025
        https://gfrfund.com/blog/q3-2025-vc-market
  9. PitchBook-NVCA's Q3 2025 Venture Monitor reported that U.S. VC deal count had returned to its 2021 peak.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.junipersquare.com/blog/vc-q3-2025
        https://gfrfund.com/blog/q3-2025-vc-market
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/10/03/ai-drives-record-share-venture-deal-value-third-quarter-fundraising-slump-continues/
  10. Q3 2025 venture data showed that AI megadeals were a major driver of elevated U.S. venture-capital dollar totals.
     -> TRUE
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/10/03/ai-drives-record-share-venture-deal-value-third-quarter-fundraising-slump-continues/
        https://www.junipersquare.com/blog/vc-q3-2025
        https://news.crunchbase.com/venture/n-america-vc-funding-big-deals-q3-2025-ai-exits-data/
        https://news.crunchbase.com/venture/global-vc-funding-biggest-deals-q3-2025-ai-ma-data/
  11. Q3 2025 venture data showed that the increase in venture dollars was matched by an equally strong recovery in the number of venture deals.
     -> FALSE
        https://kpmg.com/kpmg-us/content/dam/kpmg/pdf/2025/venture-pulse-q3-2025.pdf
        https://gfrfund.com/blog/q3-2025-vc-market
        https://carta.com/data/state-of-private-markets-q3-2025/
        https://www.stout.com/de-de/insights/industry-update/venture-capital-industry-update-q3-2025
  12. Bay Area companies accounted for an outsized share of U.S. venture-capital dollars in 2025 because of large AI financings.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sfexaminer.com/news/technology/sf-ai-startups-benefitting-from-2025-venture-capital-boom/article_dcdcd130-8c15-4709-8503-18f072e85a74.html
        https://news.crunchbase.com/venture/california-startup-funding-share-rising-unicorns-openai-spacex/
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/04/03/global-vc-funding-hits-113-billion-first-quarter-driven-outsized-ai-deals/
  13. No Bay Area AI company announced a venture financing of at least $1 billion after August 31, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        http://anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raises-series-f-at-usd183b-post-money-valuation
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/figure-exceeds-1b-in-series-c-funding-at-39b-post-money-valuation-302556936.html
        https://www.databricks.com/company/newsroom/press-releases/databricks-surpasses-4b-revenue-run-rate-exceeding-1b-ai-revenue
        https://www.cerebras.ai/press-release/series-g
        https://ci.vc/rounds/anysphere-series-d-2025
  14. U.S. VC fundraising by venture firms remained weak in Q3 2025 compared with the 2021-2022 boom period.
     -> TRUE
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/10/03/ai-drives-record-share-venture-deal-value-third-quarter-fundraising-slump-continues/
        https://gfrfund.com/blog/q3-2025-vc-market
        https://kpmg.com/kpmg-us/content/dam/kpmg/pdf/2025/venture-pulse-q3-2025.pdf
  15. Netskope completed its initial public offering in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.netskope.com/news-releases/news-release-details/netskope-announces-closing-initial-public-offering-and-full
        https://www.netskope.com/press-releases/netskope-announces-closing-of-initial-public-offering-and-full-exercise-of-over-allotment-option
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/18/netskope-ipo-stock-nasdaq-ntsk.html
  16. PitchBook-NVCA's Q3 2025 Venture Monitor reported that VC-backed exit activity had fully returned to 2021 levels.
     -> FALSE
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/10/03/ai-drives-record-share-venture-deal-value-third-quarter-fundraising-slump-continues/
        https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q3-2021-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor
        https://gamesbeat.com/u-s-vc-exits-return-to-high-values-in-q2-2025-nvca/
  17. By December 1, 2025, complete Q4 2025 Silicon Valley venture-funding data were not yet available.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stout.com/zh-cn/insights/industry-update/venture-capital-industry-update-q4-2025
        https://kpmg.com/kpmg-us/content/dam/kpmg/pdf/2026/venture-pulse-q4-2025.pdf
        https://carta.com/sg/en/data/state-of-private-markets-q4-2025/
  18. The post-August 2025 evidence supported a distinction between rising aggregate funding dollars and weaker funding breadth across startups.
     -> TRUE
        https://kpmg.com/kpmg-us/content/dam/kpmg/pdf/2025/venture-pulse-q3-2025.pdf
        https://carta.com/data/state-of-private-markets-q3-2025/
        https://gfrfund.com/blog/q3-2025-vc-market
        https://news.crunchbase.com/venture/state-of-startups-q3-2025-ai-megarounds-charts-data/
        https://www.junipersquare.com/blog/vc-q3-2025

############################################################
# 56. Is Tesla overvalued?
#    (id: tesla_overvalued · 28 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. Tesla's market capitalization at the close of trading on December 1, 2025 exceeded $1 trillion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tsla-historical-market-cap-2025
  2. Tesla's market capitalization at the close of trading on December 1, 2025 exceeded the combined market capitalization of Toyota, BYD, Volkswagen Group, Mercedes-Benz Group, and BMW.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tsla-historical-market-cap-2025
        https://cleantechnica.com/2025/10/23/shocking-differences-between-tesla-20-top-automakers-market-cap-vs-revenue-ebit/
  3. Tesla's forward price-to-earnings multiple based on calendar-2026 consensus EPS at the close of trading on December 1, 2025 exceeded 100.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-stock-price-in-januar-december-2025
        https://sharesgrow.com/valuation/TSLA/
        https://evxl.co/2025/12/01/tesla-stock-ridiculously-overvalued/
  4. Tesla reported Q3 2025 vehicle deliveries that were higher than its Q3 2024 vehicle deliveries.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/tesla-tsla-q3-2025-vehicle-delivery-production.html
        https://media.eulerpool.com/presentation/3169.pdf
  5. Tesla reported Q3 2025 vehicle deliveries that were above the sell-side consensus estimate immediately before the release.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/tesla-tsla-q3-2025-vehicle-delivery-production.html
        https://invezz.com/news/2025/10/02/tesla-shares-in-green-after-beating-q3-delivery-estimates/
  6. Tesla reported Q3 2025 automotive revenue that was higher than its Q3 2024 automotive revenue.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000162828025045968/R9.htm
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000162828025045861/exhibit991.htm
  7. Tesla reported Q3 2025 GAAP net income that was lower than its Q3 2024 GAAP net income.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000162828025045861/exhibit991.htm
        https://www.rttnews.com/3584673/tesla-inc-q3-profit-decreases-misses-estimates.aspx
  8. Tesla reported Q3 2025 automotive gross margin excluding regulatory credits below 15%.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2025/10/22/tesla-tsla-q3-2025-earnings-call-transcript/
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-inc-tsla-q3-2025-050044614.html
        https://www.cbtnews.com/tesla-posts-record-q3-revenue-profit-falls-short-of-expectations/
  9. Tesla reported Q3 2025 free cash flow that was positive.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000162828025045861/exhibit991.htm
        https://last10k.com/sec-filings/tsla/0001628280-25-045861.htm
  10. Tesla reported a new quarterly record for energy storage deployments in Q3 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000162828025043530/exhibit991111.htm
        https://www.energy-storage.news/tesla-reports-record-energy-storage-deployments-and-profit-ahead-of-vote-on-musks-monster-pay-proposal/
  11. Tesla's management raised its full-year 2025 vehicle-delivery guidance during its Q3 2025 earnings call.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2025/10/22/tesla-tsla-q3-2025-earnings-call-transcript/
        https://www.roic.ai/quote/TSLA/transcripts/2025-year/3-quarter
  12. The U.S. federal consumer EV tax credit for new Tesla vehicles was no longer available for purchases after September 30, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/credits-for-new-clean-vehicles-purchased-in-2023-or-after?intcmp=NoOff_irs_blog_body-blog-post_ext
        https://www.irs.gov/clean-vehicle-tax-credits
        https://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/tax2023.shtml
  13. Tesla's U.S. vehicle sales in October 2025 were lower than its U.S. vehicle sales in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.coxautoinc.com/insights/ev-market-monitor-october-2025/
        https://www.coxautoinc.com/insights/oct-2025-atp-report/
  14. Tesla's new-car registrations in Europe in September and October 2025 combined were lower than in September and October 2024 combined.
     -> TRUE
        https://eletric-vehicles.com/tesla/tesla-registrations-fall-10-5-in-europe-19-in-eu-in-september/
        https://www.cryptopolitan.com/tesla-europe-registrations-sink-by-48/
  15. Tesla's China-made vehicle wholesale shipments in September and October 2025 combined were lower than in September and October 2024 combined.
     -> TRUE
        https://cnevpost.com/2025/11/04/tesla-china-oct-2025-wholesale/
        https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-china-sells-68280-vehicles-wholesale-october-2024/
        https://www.autohelpers.net/tesla-china-comeback/
  16. BYD delivered more battery-electric vehicles than Tesla in Q3 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://cnevpost.com/2025/11/24/byd-leads-global-bev-market-q3-2025-followed-tesla/
        https://www.ciw.news/p/byd-tesla-q3-2025
        https://www.gizmochina.com/2025/10/06/byd-overtakes-tesla-in-global-ev-sales-through-q3-2025/
  17. Tesla announced a lower-cost Model Y variant between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/07/tesla-stock-roadster-budget-model-y.html
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/07/tesla-reveals-slightly-cheaper-standard-versions-of-the-model-3-and-model-y/
        https://teslanorth.com/2025/10/07/tesla-launches-cheaper-model-3-and-model-y-in-u-s-heres-pricing/
  18. Tesla began customer deliveries of a materially cheaper new mass-market vehicle distinct from the Model 3 and Model Y between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/07/tesla-reveals-slightly-cheaper-standard-versions-of-the-model-3-and-model-y/
        https://teslanorth.com/2025/10/21/tesla-model-y-standard-deliveries-begin-in-the-u-s/
        https://electrek.co/2025/10/07/tesla-releases-new-more-affordable-model-y-3-2k-more-than-last-week/
  19. Tesla expanded its paid robotaxi service to at least one additional U.S. metropolitan area between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.aol.com/articles/states-where-tesla-racing-hit-104602565.html
        https://www.automotiveworld.com/topics/autonomous-driving/musk-claims-tesla-to-double-its-austin-robotaxi-fleet/
        https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-confirms-robotaxi-heading-five-new-cities-u-s/
  20. Tesla had received California regulatory approval to operate a fully driverless commercial ride-hailing service for the general public by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/musks-robotaxi-plans-san-francisco-100623469.html
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/tesla-roll-out-human-driven-chauffeur-service-bay-area-california-regulator-says-5258736
        https://srnnews.com/tesla-gets-first-in-a-series-of-permits-it-needs-to-run-robotaxis-in-california/
  21. Tesla released a major FSD Version 14 software update to customers between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://electrek.co/2025/10/07/tesla-fsd-v14-release-notes/
        https://www.teslaoracle.com/2025/10/07/tesla-tsla-beings-the-rollout-of-fsd-v14-software-update-2025-32-8-5-release-notes/
        https://driveteslacanada.ca/news/tesla-fsd-v14-1-new-sloth-mode-automated-parking-smarter-navigation/
  22. U.S. federal safety regulators opened or expanded a defect investigation involving Tesla Full Self-Driving or robotaxi operations between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://static.nhtsa.gov/odi/inv/2025/INOA-PE25012-19171.pdf
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/09/tesla-auto-safety-probe-fsd-collisions.html
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/u-s-opens-tesla-probe-after-more-crashes-involving-its-so-called-full-self-driving-technology
  23. Tesla shareholders approved a new Elon Musk compensation package at the 2025 annual meeting.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000110465925108507/tm2530590d1_8k.htm
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/06/tesla-shareholders-musk-pay.html
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/06/tesla-shareholders-approve-elon-musks-1t-pay-package/
  24. Tesla shareholders approved a proposal related to Tesla investing in xAI at the 2025 annual meeting.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.business-standard.com/world-news/tesla-shareholders-didn-t-approve-of-investment-in-elon-musk-s-xai-125110800090_1.html
        https://techstory.in/shareholder-vote-falls-short-investment-in-xai-blocked/
        https://sherwood.news/tech/tesla-shareholders-support-musk-much-more-than-musks-xai/
  25. Elon Musk sold Tesla shares between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        http://www1.insider-monitor.com/trader/cik1494730.html
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1104659/000110465925089693/0001104659-25-089693-index.htm
        https://www.stocktitan.net/sec-filings/TSLA/form-4-tesla-inc-insider-trading-activity-f1556a600b2d.html
  26. Tesla issued new common equity between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000110465925108602/tm2530188d1_s8.htm
        https://www.stocktitan.net/sec-filings/TSLA/form-4-tesla-inc-insider-trading-activity-f1556a600b2d.html
        https://www.stocktitan.net/sec-filings/TSLA/s-8-tesla-inc-employee-benefit-plan-registration-0bf55c07c31d.html
  27. At least one major credit-rating agency downgraded Tesla's credit rating between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
  28. Tesla announced a new share repurchase authorization between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://tickerleague.com/companies/TSLA/buybacks

######################################################################################
# 57. Is Waymo displacing existing Uber and Taxi drivers, and how are they responding?
#    (id: waymo_displacing_drivers · 25 evaluation statements)
######################################################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Waymo announced additional future robotaxi markets beyond its pre-September 2025 operating footprint.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/02/waymo-starts-testing-in-denver-seattle-expands-us-robotaxi-service.html
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/03/waymos-robotaxi-expansion-accelerates-with-3-new-cities/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/18/waymo-texas-florida-2026.html
        https://www.therobotreport.com/waymo-starts-robotaxi-testing-three-more-cities/
  2. By December 1, 2025, several Waymo markets announced in fall 2025 were still in testing or pre-launch rather than offering paid public driverless rides.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/02/waymo-expands-to-denver-and-seattle-with-its-zeekr-made-vans/
        https://www.theverge.com/transportation/812440/waymo-san-diego-las-vegas-detroit-robotaxi-launch
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/18/waymo-texas-florida-2026.html
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/01/waymo-can-keep-testing-robotaxis-in-nyc-until-end-of-2025/
  3. By December 1, 2025, Waymo had not launched paid public robotaxi service in every city it announced during fall 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.theverge.com/transportation/812440/waymo-san-diego-las-vegas-detroit-robotaxi-launch
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/18/waymo-texas-florida-2026.html
        https://www.therobotreport.com/waymo-starts-robotaxi-testing-three-more-cities/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/01/waymo-can-keep-testing-robotaxis-in-nyc-until-end-of-2025/
  4. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Waymo continued to expand the geographic area or availability of paid driverless rides in at least one existing U.S. market.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/12/waymo-robotaxi-starts-freeway-highway-rides.html
        https://electrek.co/2025/11/12/waymo-expands-service-several-cities-adds-freeway-access/
        https://www.kqed.org/news/12063805/waymo-expands-service-bay-area-freeways-san-jose-airport
  5. By December 1, 2025, Waymo’s late-2025 expansion was still concentrated in a small number of metropolitan areas rather than being nationwide.
     -> TRUE
        https://insideevs.com/news/776837/china-us-robotaxi-fleet-comparison/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/18/waymo-texas-florida-2026.html
  6. By December 1, 2025, Waymo had become a meaningful competitor to human ride-hail drivers in San Francisco.
     -> TRUE
        https://underscoresf.com/in-san-francisco-waymo-has-now-bested-lyft-uber-is-next/
        https://www.spacewar.com/reports/Waymo_leads_autonomous_taxi_race_in_the_US_999.html
        https://sfstandard.com/2025/03/21/waymo-vs-uber-the-real-threat-to-rideshare-might-be-elon-musk/
  7. By December 1, 2025, public evidence showed Waymo had completely eliminated the need for Uber and Lyft drivers in San Francisco.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.spacewar.com/reports/Waymo_leads_autonomous_taxi_race_in_the_US_999.html
        https://underscoresf.com/in-san-francisco-waymo-has-now-bested-lyft-uber-is-next/
        https://sfstandard.com/2025/03/21/waymo-vs-uber-the-real-threat-to-rideshare-might-be-elon-musk/
  8. By December 1, 2025, public evidence showed Waymo had displaced some ride-hail demand without eliminating most human-driver ride-hail work in its operating cities.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.spacewar.com/reports/Waymo_leads_autonomous_taxi_race_in_the_US_999.html
        https://therideshareguy.com/new-data-shows-avs-are-cutting-into-rideshare-driver-pay/
        https://insideevs.com/news/776837/china-us-robotaxi-fleet-comparison/
  9. In fall 2025, third-party data or press analyses reported that Waymo had captured a double-digit share of app-based ride-hail demand in at least one mature market.
     -> TRUE
        https://michaelmcgrath.substack.com/p/autonomous-ride-hailing-has-arrived
        https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/12/49128866/ross-gerber-says-uber-is-cooked-amid-waymos-san-francisco-expansion-uber-drivers-better-start
  10. By December 1, 2025, Waymo’s driverless rides were still a small share of total U.S. taxi and ride-hail activity.
     -> TRUE
        https://telematicswire.net/when-will-robotaxi-trip-cost-come-down/
        https://insideevs.com/news/776837/china-us-robotaxi-fleet-comparison/
  11. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Uber continued to partner with Waymo in markets where Waymo rides were dispatched through the Uber app.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.uber.com/us/en/u/waymo-on-uber/
        https://www.semafor.com/article/10/17/2025/uber-predicts-more-human-drivers-with-autonomous-cars
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/17/lyft-and-waymo-are-partnering-to-bring-robotaxis-to-nashville/
  12. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, Uber publicly framed autonomous vehicles as supplemental marketplace supply rather than announcing a broad replacement of human drivers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.semafor.com/article/10/17/2025/uber-predicts-more-human-drivers-with-autonomous-cars
        https://dnyuz.com/2025/11/10/uber-and-lyft-see-more-demand-with-robotaxis-heres-what-their-ceos-say-about-a-driverless-future/
        https://podcasts.happyscribe.com/all-in-with-chamath-jason-sacks-friedberg/uber-ceo-dara-khosrowshahi-on-self-driving-s-future-changing-business-model-job-displacement
  13. By December 1, 2025, Uber had not announced mass deactivations of human drivers because of Waymo deployment.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.semafor.com/article/10/17/2025/uber-predicts-more-human-drivers-with-autonomous-cars
        https://dnyuz.com/2025/11/10/uber-and-lyft-see-more-demand-with-robotaxis-heres-what-their-ceos-say-about-a-driverless-future/
        https://news.futunn.com/en/post/64458363/uber-technologies-uberus-fy25q3-earnings-call-deliberate-slowdown-in-margin
  14. By December 1, 2025, there was no public evidence that Waymo’s Uber-platform deployments in Austin or Atlanta had caused large-scale local Uber driver layoffs.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.futunn.com/en/post/64458363/uber-technologies-uberus-fy25q3-earnings-call-deliberate-slowdown-in-margin
        https://www.semafor.com/article/10/17/2025/uber-predicts-more-human-drivers-with-autonomous-cars
        https://therideshareguy.com/new-data-shows-avs-are-cutting-into-rideshare-driver-pay/
  15. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, taxi drivers or taxi-industry representatives in at least one Waymo market publicly objected to robotaxi expansion on competition or livelihood grounds.
     -> TRUE
        https://columbianewsservice.com/2025/10/21/drivers-push-back-against-waymos-latest-expansion-efforts-in-new-york/
        https://www.blackcarnews.com/article/tlc-licensed-drivers-hold-protest-over-autonomous-vehicle-testing-on-nyc-streets
        https://timesofsandiego.com/business/2025/11/19/transit-panel-slams-brakes-waymo-local-input/
        https://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/local/community-reacts-to-waymo-rolling-out-driverless-car-service-in-san-diego/3935902/
  16. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, driver groups or labor advocates continued to call for regulation of autonomous vehicles because of job-displacement concerns.
     -> TRUE
        https://teamster.org/2025/10/teamsters-labor-united-against-waymo-demand-passage-of-robotaxi-ordinance-in-boston/
        https://reverejournal.com/2025/10/09/mass-teamsters-push-bill-to-require-human-control-in-driverless-cars/
        https://www.thestand.org/2025/10/robotaxis-a-needless-and-dangerous-corporate-experiment/
  17. By December 1, 2025, opposition from taxi or ride-hail drivers had not stopped Waymo from continuing its U.S. expansion plans.
     -> TRUE
        https://komonews.com/newsletter-daily/waymo-seattle-expansion-safety-concerns-driverless-cars-prepares-for-autonomous-operations
        https://www.therobotreport.com/waymo-starts-robotaxi-testing-three-more-cities/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/18/waymo-texas-florida-2026.html
  18. By December 1, 2025, Waymo had not agreed to a driver-union demand to hire displaced Uber or taxi drivers as a condition of operating robotaxis.
     -> TRUE
        https://teamster.org/2025/10/teamsters-labor-united-against-waymo-demand-passage-of-robotaxi-ordinance-in-boston/
        https://timesofsandiego.com/business/2025/11/19/transit-panel-slams-brakes-waymo-local-input/
        https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/east/2025/10/31/845569.htm
  19. By December 1, 2025, no major U.S. city had enacted a complete ban on Waymo solely to protect taxi or ride-hail driver jobs during fall 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/01/waymo-can-keep-testing-robotaxis-in-nyc-until-end-of-2025/
        https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/east/2025/10/31/845569.htm
        https://www.understandingai.org/p/unions-want-to-ban-driverless-taxiswill
  20. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, debates over airport access for Waymo remained important because airport trips are high-value work for taxi and ride-hail drivers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.theverge.com/news/779039/waymo-sfo-airport-permit-robotaxi
        https://underscoresf.com/waymo-gets-green-light-for-sfo-expansion-itll-financially-ruin-rideshare-drivers/
  21. By December 1, 2025, Waymo’s access to major airports remained uneven across markets rather than universal.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.theverge.com/news/779039/waymo-sfo-airport-permit-robotaxi
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/12/waymo-robotaxi-starts-freeway-highway-rides.html
        https://www.uber.com/us/en/u/waymo-on-uber/
        https://www.sfexaminer.com/news/transit/waymo-robotaxis-inch-closer-to-sfo-amid-bay-area-expansion/article_bd55e31f-2cba-41ab-a4a1-666fed1e9366.html
  22. By December 1, 2025, Waymo had not begun paid public autonomous pickup and drop-off service at every major airport in its California service areas.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sfexaminer.com/news/transit/waymo-robotaxis-inch-closer-to-sfo-amid-bay-area-expansion/article_bd55e31f-2cba-41ab-a4a1-666fed1e9366.html
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/16/waymo-approved-to-start-testing-autonomous-vehicles-at-san-francisco-international-airport/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/12/waymo-robotaxi-starts-freeway-highway-rides.html
  23. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, driver responses to Waymo included public criticism, lobbying, or protest rather than only individual switching to other driving apps.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blackcarnews.com/article/tlc-licensed-drivers-hold-protest-over-autonomous-vehicle-testing-on-nyc-streets
        https://komonews.com/newsletter-daily/waymo-seattle-expansion-safety-concerns-driverless-cars-prepares-for-autonomous-operations
        https://teamster.org/2025/10/teamsters-labor-united-against-waymo-demand-passage-of-robotaxi-ordinance-in-boston/
  24. By December 1, 2025, there was no public evidence of a coordinated nationwide strike by Uber and taxi drivers specifically against Waymo during fall 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blackcarnews.com/article/tlc-licensed-drivers-hold-protest-over-autonomous-vehicle-testing-on-nyc-streets
        https://komonews.com/newsletter-daily/waymo-seattle-expansion-safety-concerns-driverless-cars-prepares-for-autonomous-operations
        https://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/local/community-reacts-to-waymo-rolling-out-driverless-car-service-in-san-diego/3935902/
  25. By December 1, 2025, the most accurate characterization was partial and localized displacement pressure rather than immediate broad replacement of existing Uber and taxi drivers.
     -> TRUE
        https://insideevs.com/news/776837/china-us-robotaxi-fleet-comparison/
        https://therideshareguy.com/new-data-shows-avs-are-cutting-into-rideshare-driver-pay/
        https://eprnews.com/future-of-taxi-driver-jobs-in-the-usa-the-impact-of-ai-and-robotaxis-685414/
        https://telematicswire.net/when-will-robotaxi-trip-cost-come-down/

###############################################################
# 58. Outline the major risks to the US domestic corn industry.
#    (id: us_corn_industry_risks · 20 evaluation statements)
###############################################################

  1. USDA's post-August 2025 Crop Production reports projected the 2025 U.S. corn crop at a record-high production level.
     -> TRUE
        https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795644/crop1125.pdf
  2. USDA's post-August 2025 Crop Production reports projected a record-high national corn yield for 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795644/crop1125.pdf
  3. USDA's November 2025 WASDE projected 2025/26 U.S. corn ending stocks above 2 billion bushels.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.agriculture.com/november-usda-wasde-report-11848915
        https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/news/usda-cuts-2025-corn-production-outlook-but-still-sees-record-crop/
  4. USDA's November 2025 WASDE kept the projected 2025/26 U.S. corn season-average farm price below $4.50 per bushel.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/news/usda-cuts-2025-corn-production-outlook-but-still-sees-record-crop/
        https://blog.umd.edu/agronomynews/2025/11/26/november-2025-grain-market-report/
  5. The October 2025 federal government shutdown delayed USDA market-data releases during the U.S. corn harvest.
     -> TRUE
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/farmers-traders-flying-blind-us-223745837.html
        https://www.world-grain.com/articles/21995-us-government-shutdown-weighs-on-ag-markets
        https://www.agriculture.com/usda-crop-progress-report-october-27-2025-11838042
  6. USDA did not publish the October 2025 WASDE on its originally scheduled date because of the federal government shutdown.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.agweek.com/business/markets/government-shutdown-adds-to-grain-market-uncertainty
        https://southernagtoday.org/2025/10/15/potential-market-impacts-of-missing-a-wasde-report-during-government-shutdowns/
        https://www.nass.usda.gov/Newsroom/Notices/2025/10-31-2025.php
  7. USDA crop-progress reporting available by late November 2025 showed the 2025 U.S. corn harvest was largely complete.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.agriculture.com/usda-crop-progress-report-november-24-2025-11855841
        https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/AG/news/article/2025/11/24/final-2025-usda-crop-progress-corn
        https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/news/96-of-u-s-corn-harvested-soybean-harvest-officially-complete/
  8. U.S. export-sales data available by December 1, 2025 showed China had returned as a major buyer of 2025/26 U.S. corn.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/AG/news/article/2025/11/25/record-setting-corn-export-may-leave
        https://www.agweb.com/markets/market-analysis/soybeans-soar-china-deal-how-high-will-prices-rally-corn-wheat-correct
  9. Post-August 2025 U.S.-China trade announcements centered on soybeans rather than large new U.S. corn purchase commitments.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.agweb.com/markets/market-analysis/soybeans-soar-china-deal-how-high-will-prices-rally-corn-wheat-correct
        https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/23696-china-to-buy-25-million-tons-of-soybeans-annually-near-recent-average
        https://www.porkbusiness.com/ag-policy/setting-record-straight-what-china-actually-agreed-buy-and-when-those-ag-purchases-will
        https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/with-trade-agreement-the-corn-and-soybean-market-environment-on-the-cbot-tends-to-normalize/
  10. Mexico remained the largest reported destination for U.S. corn export commitments in the 2025/26 marketing year data available by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://hpj.com/2025/09/18/basis-sinking-faster-than-the-mississippi-at-memphis/
        https://www.breakwaveadvisors.com/insights/2025/5/21/us-corn-exports-in-2025-a-banner-year-amid-shifting-trade-dynamics
  11. No new Mexican restriction on U.S. yellow corn for feed use took effect between August 31, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=Biotechnology+and+Other+New+Production+Technologies+Annual_Mexico+City_Mexico_MX2025-0060.pdf
        https://www.deminimislaw.com/blog/posts/mexico-complies-with-usmca-panel-ruling-on-genetically-modified-corn-case
  12. Argentina temporarily suspended export taxes on corn and other grains in late September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://globaltradealert.org/state-act/94464-argentina-temporary-reduction-of-export-duties-on-soybeans-wheat-sunflowers-corn-barley-sorghum-biodiesel-and-its-derivatives
        https://datamarnews.com/noticias/argentina-suspends-grain-export-tax-until-october-31/
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/argentina-reapplies-export-taxes-grains-010605094.html
  13. USDA's fall 2025 WASDE updates continued to show Brazil as a major source of export competition for U.S. corn.
     -> TRUE
        https://ocj.com/2025/11/usda-says-comfortable-but-is-south-american-grain-supply-really-that-secure/
        https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=Grain+and+Feed+Annual_Brasilia_Brazil_BR2025-0009
  14. EPA did not create a new nationwide year-round E15 mandate between August 31, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.epa.gov/gasoline-standards/fuel-waivers
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/2025-02-27_IN10979_06dd6888a37640e9e1b8f689c9734f8ca18cb6bb.html
  15. No federal policy enacted between August 31, 2025 and December 1, 2025 guaranteed a step-change increase in U.S. corn-ethanol use during the 2025/26 marketing year.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-09-18/html/2025-18111.htm
        https://www.epa.gov/gasoline-standards/fuel-waivers
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/2025-02-27_IN10979_06dd6888a37640e9e1b8f689c9734f8ca18cb6bb.html
  16. NOAA issued or maintained a La Niña advisory during fall 2025 for the 2025-26 winter season.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CDB/CDB_Archive_html/bulletin_092025/Forecast/forecast.shtml
        https://snowbrains.com/national-weather-service-issuies-official-la-nina-advisory-for-2025-26-whttps-www-cpc-ncep-noaa-govintier144/
  17. U.S. Drought Monitor maps in late November 2025 showed drought or abnormal dryness in parts of the Corn Belt.
     -> TRUE
        https://mrcc.purdue.edu/climatesummaries/1704
        https://mrcc.purdue.edu/climatesummaries/1702
        https://www.agriculture.com/limited-precipitation-drives-drought-changes-11854226
        https://www.weather.gov/media/ilx/DGT/DGT_ILX_11202025.txt
  18. Fall 2025 low-water conditions on the Mississippi River created barge-transport constraints relevant to corn basis and export logistics.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/23534-low-miss-river-levels-to-disrupt-harvest-shipping-for-fourth-straight-year
        https://www.rfdtv.com/mississippi-river-decline-squeezes-grain-shipments-and-basis-levels
        https://hpj.com/2025/09/18/basis-sinking-faster-than-the-mississippi-at-memphis/
        https://www.fb.org/market-intel/low-mississippi-river-levels-again-jeopardize-farm-income
  19. Post-August 2025 USDA reports identified a national-scale corn disease outbreak that sharply reduced the 2025 U.S. corn production forecast.
     -> FALSE
        https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795644/crop1125.pdf
        https://www.agloan.com/november-wasde-not-the-bull-farmers-hoped-for/
  20. Retail fertilizer reporting in autumn 2025 showed nitrogen fertilizer costs remained a relevant margin risk for 2026 U.S. corn planting decisions.
     -> TRUE
        https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2025/08/fertilizer-decisions-for-the-2026-crop-year.html
        https://blog-crop-news.extension.umn.edu/2025/10/with-high-nitrogen-fertilizer-prices.html
        https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/23736-signs-of-delayed-fertilizer-purchases-for-2026-despite-bumper-crops
        https://www.agweb.com/news/crops/crop-production/fertilizer-decisions-balance-costs-yields-and-sustainability

#######################################################################
# 59. Should I invest in Vietnamese or Filipino telecom infrastructure?
#    (id: vietnam_vs_philippines_telecom · 22 evaluation statements)
#######################################################################

  1. The Philippines' Konektadong Pinoy Act was in force by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://lawphil.net/statutes/repacts/ra2025/ra_12234_2025.html
        https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/nation/964998/konektadong-pinoy-law-implementing-rules-signed-dict/story/
        https://ptvnews.ph/dict-konektadong-pinoy-act-to-speed-up-fiberization-efforts-in-ph-after-irr-signing/
  2. The Konektadong Pinoy Act allowed qualified data-transmission service providers in the Philippines to operate through National Telecommunications Commission registration rather than a congressional franchise.
     -> TRUE
        https://connectontech.bakermckenzie.com/philippines-konektadong-pinoy-act-which-removes-the-franchise-requirement-for-data-transmission-industry-participants-lapses-into-law/
        https://www.bworldonline.com/top-stories/2025/08/25/693439/konektadong-pinoy-bill-lapses-into-law/
        https://cruzmarcelo.com/the-konektadong-pinoy-act-business-implications/
  3. The Philippine National Telecommunications Commission had issued final implementing rules for the Konektadong Pinoy Act by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://elibrary.judiciary.gov.ph/thebookshelf/showdocs/2/100702
        https://newsbytes.ph/2025/11/05/with-irr-signed-dict-readies-implementation-of-konektadong-pinoy-act/
        https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/nation/964998/konektadong-pinoy-law-implementing-rules-signed-dict/story/
  4. No Philippine court had suspended implementation of the Konektadong Pinoy Act by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://newsbytes.ph/2025/11/05/with-irr-signed-dict-readies-implementation-of-konektadong-pinoy-act/
        https://tribune.net.ph/2025/11/05/konektadong-pinoy-irr-opens-telecom-sector-to-more-players-dict
        https://www.bworldonline.com/top-stories/2025/11/06/710293/wave-of-telco-investments-seen-as-konektadong-pinoy-irr-finally-released/
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Vietnam did not enact a law eliminating telecom-network licensing requirements for data-transmission providers.
     -> TRUE
        https://thuviennhadat.vn/van-ban-phap-luat-viet-nam/decree-163-2024-nd-cp-elaboration-of-some-articles-law-on-telecommunications-643958.html
        https://www.luatvietnam.net/en/-vbpl138236.html
        https://apolatlegal.com/license-for-providing-telecommunications-services-without-network-infrastructure/
  6. Vietnam granted SpaceX Starlink a commercial license to provide satellite broadband service in Vietnam before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.lightreading.com/satellite/starlink-gets-the-green-light-to-launch-a-five-year-pilot-service-in-vietnam
        https://vietnamnet.vn/en/starlink-may-launch-in-vietnam-by-late-2025-2421957.html
        https://dtinews.dantri.com.vn/vietnam-today/satellite-internet-service-starlink-might-be-operational-in-vietnam-20250716074144028.htm
  7. MobiFone commercially launched 5G mobile service in Vietnam between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://e.vnexpress.net/news/tech/tech-news/mobifone-launches-5g-service-with-vietnam-s-cheapest-plan-4866089.html
        https://developingtelecoms.com/telecom-business/operator-news/18268-mobifone-becomes-vietnam-s-third-5g-provider.html
        https://vietnamnet.vn/en/vietnam-s-mobifone-rolls-out-5g-network-joining-viettel-and-vnpt-2385186.html
  8. No national mobile spectrum auction in Vietnam or the Philippines closed between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://vietnamnet.vn/en/vnpt-wins-bid-for-700-mhz-spectrum-to-power-4g-and-5g-expansion-2442053.html
        https://mst.gov.vn/dau-gia-thanh-cong-bang-tan-b1-b1-tiep-tuc-mo-rong-ha-tang-so-quoc-gia-theo-nghi-quyet-57-nq-tw-197250916194858404.htm
  9. Vietnam's year-on-year real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 exceeded 8%.
     -> TRUE
        https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/gdp-growth-annual/news/490492
        https://www.xinhuanet.com/english/20251005/862be8c3f90d4bbc9c457d1a2ec95d75/c.html
        https://en.vietnamplus.vn/vietnam-exceeds-global-forecasts-with-823-gdp-growth-post330077.vnp
  10. The Philippines' year-on-year real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 exceeded 6%.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Lists/Quarterly%20Report/Attachments/27/LTP_3qtr2025.pdf
        https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/money/economy/965224/ph-economic-growth-slows-down-to-4-in-q3-2025/story/?amp=
        https://www.dof.gov.ph/dof-ph-slower-than-expected-growth-in-q3-2025-a-temporary-hiccup-2026-will-mark-a-strong-economic-comeback/
  11. The Philippine peso hit an all-time low against the U.S. dollar between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://qa.philstar.com/business/2025/11/03/2484393/peso-rebounds-record-low
        https://marketmonitor.com.ph/peso-recovers-slightly-after-hitting-record-low/
  12. The Vietnamese dong hit an all-time low against the U.S. dollar between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/currency
        https://www.exchange-rates.org/exchange-rate-history/vnd-usd-2025
        https://www.exchange-rates.org/exchange-rate-history/usd-vnd-2025
  13. Globe Telecom reported lower capital expenditures for the first nine months of 2025 than for the first nine months of 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://mb.com.ph/2025/11/07/globes-gcash-stake-soars-mitigating-overall-14-earnings-decline
        https://dailyguardian.com.ph/globe-trims-capex-expands-5g-and-gcash-footprint/
        https://www.developingtelecoms.com/telecom-business/operator-news/19373-globe-telecom-secures-to-support-capex-and-refinancing.html
  14. PLDT reported lower capital expenditures for the first nine months of 2025 than for the first nine months of 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.firstpacific.com/media/normal/17127_PLDT%209M25%20results.pdf
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/78150/000119312525275818/phi-ex99_1.htm
        https://www.philstar.com/business/2025/11/12/2486486/pldt-rings-positive-cash-flow-2018
  15. DITO Telecommunity remained net-loss-making in its reported results for the first nine months of 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://edge.pse.com.ph/companyPage/financial_reports_view.do?cmpy_id=36
        https://bilyonaryo.com/2025/11/17/the-bigger-they-grow-the-bigger-they-bleed-ditos-nine-month-loss-hits-p24-9b-as-higher-revenues-fail-to-stop-cash-bleed/business/
        https://insiderph.com/dito-cme-nine-month-earnings-show-narrower-loss-as-subscriber-base-climbs
  16. A magnitude 6.9 earthquake in Cebu on September 30, 2025 caused telecom service disruptions in the Philippines.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bworldonline.com/spotlight/2025/10/03/702798/globe-normalizes-services-in-typhoon-affected-areas-expands-relief-support-in-cebu-communities/
        https://www.sunstar.com.ph/cebu/cebu-quake-situation-report-as-of-8-am-october-2
        https://reliefweb.int/report/philippines/philippines-69m-cebu-earthquake-flash-update-no2-03-october-2025-800-pm-local-time
  17. Typhoons Kalmaegi and Fung-wong caused telecom service disruptions in the Philippines in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dzrh.com.ph/post/telco-networks-reach-80percent-restoration-following-typhoon-tino-and-super-typhoon-uwan
        https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/philippines/philippines-tropical-cyclones-kalmaegitino-and-fung-wonguwan-flash-update-no-2-11-november-11-pm-local-time
        https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/philippines/philippines-tropical-cyclones-kalmaegitino-and-fung-wonguwan-07-november-9-pm-local-time
  18. Typhoon Bualoi caused telecom service disruptions in Vietnam in late September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://en.vietnamplus.vn/vnpt-restores-80-of-infrastructure-damaged-by-typhoons-post330157.vnp
        https://en.nhandan.vn/typhoon-bualoi-leaves-29-dead-causes-extensive-damage-across-viet-nam-post153550.html
        https://en.vietnamplus.vn/typhoon-bualoi-leaves-194-casualties-over-87-trillion-vnd-in-damage-post329622.vnp
  19. No new international submarine cable system landing in Vietnam entered commercial service between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://vietnamnet.vn/en/vietnam-activates-its-largest-submarine-cable-with-50tbps-capacity-2391818.html
        https://www.submarinenetworks.com/en/stations/asia/vietnam
        https://www.lightreading.com/cable-technology/vietnam-reduces-reliance-on-subsea-cables-with-first-terrestrial-link-to-singapore
  20. No new international submarine cable system landing in the Philippines entered commercial service between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bworldonline.com/corporate/2025/10/07/703319/bifrost-cable-system-ready-to-go-live-converge-expects-boost/
        https://www.rappler.com/technology/bifrost-internet-cable-ready-service-status-october-2025/
        https://bworldonline.com/corporate/2025/10/21/706820/converge-targets-year-end-launch-for-international-cables/
  21. Vietnam's government approved a full privatization of VNPT or MobiFone between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.vietnam.vn/en/vnpt-trien-khai-mo-hinh-moi-tao-dong-luc-cho-doi-moi-sang-tao
        https://english.thesaigontimes.vn/telecom-firm-mobifone-to-be-transferred-to-ministry-of-public-security/
        https://caselaw.vn/van-ban-phap-luat/425656-cong-van-so-223-ttg-dmdn-ngay-27-02-2025-cua-thu-tuong-chinh-phu-ve-chuyen-giao-quyen-dai-dien-chu-so-huu-von-nha-nuoc-tai-tong-cong-ty-vien-thong-mobifone-tu-uy-ban-quan-ly-von-nha-nuoc-tai-doanh-nghiep-ve-bo-cong-an
  22. The Philippine government awarded a new fourth nationwide mobile network operator license between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2018/11/08/1866789/china-firm-dennis-uy-group-win-3rd-telco-license
        https://web.archive.org/web/20210116114212/https://www.bworldonline.com/mislatel-to-rebrand-as-dito-telecommunity-after-getting-license/
        https://www.bworldonline.com/top-stories/2025/11/06/710293/wave-of-telco-investments-seen-as-konektadong-pinoy-irr-finally-released/

##################################################################
# 60. Suggest an ideal location for a datacenter buildout.
#    (id: datacenter_buildout_location · 24 evaluation statements)
##################################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Virginia regulators approved a new Dominion Energy tariff that imposes special capacity-reservation or minimum-payment obligations on large data-center loads.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.scc.virginia.gov/about-the-scc/newsreleases/release/scc-issues-order-on-dev-biennial-review-2025/scc-rules-in-dev-biennial-review-case.html
        https://www.eenews.net/articles/virginia-to-treat-data-centers-differently-on-the-grid/
        https://virginiamercury.com/2025/11/25/scc-approves-chesterfield-gas-plant-and-dominion-rate-hike-creates-new-rate-class-for-data-centers/
        https://www.loudounnow.com/news/scc-approves-new-data-center-rate-class-for-dominion/article_02d5fa0c-1ed8-4771-b57d-c24765739854.html
  2. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, AEP Ohio received final regulatory approval for a tariff requiring new data-center customers to make long-term minimum payments for reserved electric capacity.
     -> TRUE
        https://ohiocapitaljournal.com/2025/09/11/ohio-regulators-turn-down-appeal-ok-utilitys-data-center-billing-plan/
        https://kjk.com/2025/11/14/regulating-surge-legal-analysis-aep-ohios-new-data-center-tariff-and-pucos-approval/
        http://www.aepohio.com/company/about/rates/data-center-tariff
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a major U.S. grid operator adopted new rules allowing utilities to curtail large data-center loads during grid emergencies.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.utilitydive.com/news/pjm-stakeholders-ncbl-data-center-fast-track/759096/
        https://modoenergy.com/research/en/pjm-data-center-demand-growth-non-capacity-backed-load-reliability
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/10102025/texas-grid-operators-and-regulators-iron-out-new-rules-for-data-centers/
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, PJM published materially higher near-term load forecasts driven primarily by data-center growth.
     -> TRUE
        https://insidelines.pjm.com/pjm-kicks-off-initiative-to-balance-reliability-with-large-load-growth/
        https://opc.maryland.gov/Portals/0/Files/Publications/Others/MPC%20letter%20to%20PJM%20and%20comments%20re%202026%20cycle%20Load%20Forecasting%20FINAL%2010142025.pdf?ver=dH4rBUdCK1fC9WK8QoE6vQ%3D%3D
        https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/planning/res-adeq/load-forecast/novec-documentation.pdf
        https://www.woodmac.com/press-releases/us-utility-large-load-commitments-reach-160-gw-amid-unprecedented-pjm-demand-surge/
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Northern Virginia utilities announced a new moratorium on electric service connections for data centers.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.loudoun.gov/m/faq?cat=242#question-1803
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/30092025/virginia-data-center-growth-legislation/
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Loudoun County enacted new zoning restrictions that materially limited additional data-center development.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.loudoun.gov/5990/Data-Center-Standards-Locations
        https://www.loudounnow.com/news/work-begins-on-next-phase-of-loudoun-county-data-center-regulations/article_d9a0c8fa-3ea6-4a13-814e-83a62820d06d.html
        https://www.loudounnow.com/news/by-right-data-centers-eliminated-in-loudoun-existing-applications-grandfathered/article_130515be-0478-11f0-ab4f-7771b6b47f71.html
  7. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, ERCOT adopted a binding large-load interconnection requirement specifically affecting data centers or AI computing campuses.
     -> FALSE
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/10102025/texas-grid-operators-and-regulators-iron-out-new-rules-for-data-centers/
        https://perkinscoie.com/insights/update/sb-6-implementation-shaping-data-center-future-texas
        https://www.expressnews.com/business/article/texas-grid-power-data-centers-sb6-rules-21094643.php
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Texas enacted a statewide data-center moratorium.
     -> FALSE
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/10102025/texas-grid-operators-and-regulators-iron-out-new-rules-for-data-centers/
        https://www.texastribune.org/2025/10/30/texas-ercot-power-grid-data-centers-puc/
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Georgia regulators approved new utility resource additions justified substantially by projected data-center electricity demand.
     -> FALSE
        https://southerncompany.mediaroom.com/2025-09-30-Georgia-Power-highlights-first-contracts-under-new-rules-regulations,-continued-economic-growth-and-updated-forecasts-in-latest-filings-with-Georgia-PSC
        https://www.ajc.com/business/2025/10/georgia-power-says-answer-to-states-data-center-surge-is-more-natural-gas/
        https://psc.ga.gov/site/assets/files/9176/media_advisory_dec_19_decision.pdf
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Georgia adopted a new statewide restriction on data-center water use.
     -> FALSE
        https://capitol-beat.org/2025/09/state-floating-new-rules-for-data-center-projects/
        https://www.ajc.com/business/2025/11/data-centers-to-get-regional-review-public-notice-on-key-georgia-website/
        https://www.gpb.org/news/2025/10/22/wave-of-data-center-ordinances-sweep-through-ga-counties-how-strict-are-they
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Ireland extended or tightened restrictions on new grid connections for data centers in the Dublin region.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.rte.ie/news/primetime/2025/0821/1529518-govt-warned-of-rising-household-bills-as-data-centres-strain-grid/
        https://www.mhc.ie/latest/insights/cru-sets-out-new-rules-for-data-centre-connections
        https://www.cru.ie/publications/28573/
  12. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the Netherlands adopted a new national ban on hyperscale data-center construction.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.rijksoverheid.nl/actueel/nieuws/2022/06/10/kabinet-beperkt-mogelijkheid-tot-vestiging-hyperscale-datacentra
        https://zoek.officielebekendmakingen.nl/stcrt-2023-35432.html
        https://cms.law/en/nld/legal-updates/Netherlands-prohibits-creating-hyperscale-data-centres-until-national-guidelines-are-passed
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Singapore announced an additional allocation of power capacity for new data-center projects.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.edb.gov.sg/content/dam/edb-en/about-edb/media-releases/news/launch-of-second-data-centre-call-for-application/Launch%20of%20second%20data-centre-call%20for-application.pdf
        https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/startups-tech/technology/edb-imda-launch-second-exercise-expand-data-centre-capacity
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Malaysia imposed a new national moratorium on data-center development in Johor.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/health-environment/article/3333109/data-centres-malaysias-johor-told-wait-water-until-mid-2027
        https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/telcos-media-tech/malaysias-data-centre-hub-tightens-approvals-water-worries
        https://www.edgeprop.my/content/1913218/johor-approved-42-data-centre-construction-projects-2q2025%E2%80%94exco
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Malaysia adopted new binding sustainability or efficiency requirements for data-center power or water use.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bernama.com/en/general/news.php?id=2500044
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the United States expanded export controls in a way that newly restricted shipment of advanced AI accelerators to at least one major Southeast Asian data-center hub.
     -> FALSE
        https://theindependent.sg/chinas-ai-champions-shift-training-to-southeast-asia-turning-the-region-into-a-geopolitical-workaround-for-u-s-chip-controls/
        https://thetechcapital.com/us-export-curbs-push-chinese-ai-training-into-southeast-asian-data-centres-report/
        https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/09/16/china-ai-smuggling-trump-southeast-asia/
  17. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the United States imposed new tariffs or trade restrictions that materially increased expected costs for imported transformers used in data-center projects.
     -> FALSE
        https://tedmag.com/trump-administration-increases-tariffs-on-certain-transformers/
        https://www.utilitydive.com/news/import-tariffs-transmission-development-utility-costs-morningstar/758601/
        https://www.woodmac.com/news/opinion/tariffs-and-supply-chain-dislocation-hamper-us-power-projects/
  18. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a major U.S. utility announced a dedicated nuclear-power or small-modular-reactor agreement for data-center supply.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.investor.nexteraenergy.com/news-and-events/news-releases/2025/10-27-2025-203948689
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/tva-and-entra1-energy-announce-collaborative-agreement-in-landmark-6-gigawatt-nuscale-smr-deployment-program--largest-in-us-history-302543877.html
  19. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a major hyperscaler announced a new U.S. data-center campus explicitly tied to on-site or dedicated natural-gas generation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.utilitydive.com/news/nisource-nipsco-amazon-data-centers-indiana/806396/
        https://www.powermag.com/google-backs-first-u-s-gas-fired-power-plant-with-integrated-ccs-for-data-centers/
        https://www.powermag.com/oracle-taps-voltagrid-for-2-3-gw-modular-gas-fleet-to-power-ai-data-centers-across-texas/
        https://www.constructionowners.com/news/oracle-and-openai-to-power-new-texas-data-center-off-the-grid
  20. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, at least one major U.S. municipality rejected a proposed hyperscale data-center project primarily because of water, noise, land-use, or grid concerns.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.kbtx.com/2025/09/12/college-station-city-council-unanimously-rejects-land-sale-ai-data-center/
        https://www.postcrescent.com/story/money/business/2025/10/08/microsoft-pulls-plans-for-data-center-in-caledonia-wisconsin/86580822007/
        https://www.courierpress.com/story/money/business/2025/10/09/microsoft-changed-its-data-center-plans-because-of-these-issues/86603358007/
  21. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a significant storm, flood, wildfire, or earthquake caused prolonged outage or physical damage at a major data-center cluster.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ajupress.com/view/20251005112215894
        https://azure.status.microsoft/en-us/status/history/?trackingId=2LGD-9VG
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/data-center-operator-cyrusone-bolsters-cooling-capacity-after-outage-hits-cme-group-5498636
  22. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, any U.S. state enacted a new tax incentive specifically targeted at attracting data-center or AI-compute investment.
     -> FALSE
        https://sos.ks.gov/publications/sessionlaws/2025/Chapter-124-SB-98.html
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/economic-analysis/1662146/kansas-enacts-data-center-incentive-program
        https://re-nj.com/coreweave-begins-1-8-billion-data-center-project-in-kenilworth-landing-first-award-under-new-eda-tax-credit-program/
  23. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, any U.S. state repealed or materially narrowed an existing sales-tax exemption for data-center equipment.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.gtlaw.com/en/insights/2025/6/florida-legislature-passes-bill-to-end-sales-tax-exemption-for-sub-100-mw-data-centers
        https://www.keatax.com/florida-ends-sales-tax-exemption-for-data-centers-under-100-mw/
  24. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a major cloud provider publicly selected a new geographic region for a hyperscale AI data-center buildout because of superior power availability.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.arkansasedc.com/news-events/newsroom/detail/2025/10/02/google-locating-new-data-center-in-west-memphis--arkansas-with-multi-billion-dollar-investment
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/openai-oracle-and-related-digital-announce-stargate-data-center-site-in-michigan-302600302.html
        https://about.fb.com/news/2025/10/metas-new-ai-optimized-data-center-el-paso/

############################################################
# 61. Tell me about advances in physical AI.
#    (id: physical_ai_advances · 23 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. Google DeepMind announced Gemini Robotics 1.5 in September 2025 as an updated vision-language-action system for robot control.
     -> TRUE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/gemini-robotics-15-brings-ai-agents-into-the-physical-world/
  2. Google DeepMind’s September 2025 Gemini Robotics update included an embodied-reasoning model called Gemini Robotics-ER 1.5.
     -> TRUE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/gemini-robotics-15-brings-ai-agents-into-the-physical-world/
        https://developers.googleblog.com/building-the-next-generation-of-physical-agents-with-gemini-robotics-er-15/
  3. Gemini Robotics 1.5 was presented as supporting multi-step physical tasks rather than only single-step robot commands.
     -> TRUE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/gemini-robotics-15-brings-ai-agents-into-the-physical-world/
        https://www.theverge.com/news/785193/google-deepmind-gemini-ai-robotics-web-search
  4. Google DeepMind announced SIMA 2 in November 2025 as a Gemini-powered agent for acting in 3D virtual environments.
     -> TRUE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/13/googles-sima-2-agent-uses-gemini-to-reason-and-act-in-virtual-worlds/
  5. SIMA 2 was announced as a system for controlling real-world humanoid robots in homes.
     -> FALSE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/
        https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/11/13/1127921/google-deepmind-is-using-gemini-to-train-agents-inside-goat-simulator-3/
  6. Figure AI unveiled its Figure 03 humanoid robot in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.figure.ai/news/introducing-figure-03?utm=
        https://time.com/7324233/figure-03-robot-humanoid-reveal/
  7. Figure 03 was presented as a redesign aimed at home use and scalable manufacturing rather than only as a factory pilot robot.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.figure.ai/news/introducing-figure-03?utm=
        https://www.humanoidsdaily.com/news/figure-unveils-figure-03-a-humanoid-robot-designed-for-mass-production-and-the-home
        https://www.digitaltrends.com/computing/watch-figures-new-robot-help-around-the-home/
  8. Figure AI had begun general consumer deliveries of Figure 03 by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://me.pcmag.com/en/ai/32802/figure-ais-new-humanoid-robot-can-fold-your-clothes-do-the-dishes
        https://time.com/7324233/figure-03-robot-humanoid-reveal/
  9. 1X opened orders for its NEO home humanoid robot in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251027434628/en/1X-Launches-NEO-The-Robot-Redefining-Life-at-Home
        https://www.therobotreport.com/1x-announces-pre-order-launch-neo-humanoid-robot/
  10. 1X said initial NEO deployments would rely on remote human assistance for some tasks rather than being fully autonomous at launch.
     -> TRUE
        https://www-1x.tech/neo/
        https://www.humanoidsdaily.com/news/1x-details-neo-human-in-the-loop-strategy-and-hardware-as-pre-orders-go-live
  11. 1X advertised NEO as available through both purchase and subscription-style pricing.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251027434628/en/1X-Launches-NEO-The-Robot-Redefining-Life-at-Home
        https://www.1x.tech/order
  12. XPeng unveiled a new IRON humanoid robot at its November 2025 AI Day.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.xpeng.com/news/019a56f54fe99a2a0a8d8a0282e402b7
        https://cnevpost.com/2025/11/05/xpeng-unveils-next-gen-iron-humanoid-robot/
  13. XPeng described the November 2025 IRON humanoid as intended first for commercial settings such as factories and retail spaces.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.cgtn.com/news/2025-11-06/Chinese-EV-maker-XPENG-unveils-Next-Gen-IRON-humanoid-1I5gaZuUKTS/index.html
        https://autonews.gasgoo.com/articles/news/xpeng-unveils-next-generation-humanoid-robot-iron-to-begin-mass-production-by-end-of-2026-70039692
  14. XPeng said in November 2025 that IRON was already being delivered as a mass-market home robot.
     -> FALSE
        https://cnevpost.com/2025/11/05/xpeng-unveils-next-gen-iron-humanoid-robot/
        https://news.cgtn.com/news/2025-11-06/Chinese-EV-maker-XPENG-unveils-Next-Gen-IRON-humanoid-1I5gaZuUKTS/index.html
  15. Zoox opened public driverless robotaxi rides in Las Vegas in September 2025 using its purpose-built autonomous vehicle.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/10/zoox-opens-its-las-vegas-robotaxi-service-to-the-public/
        https://www.theverge.com/news/774748/zoox-amazon-robotaxi-las-vegas-public
  16. Zoox’s initial Las Vegas public robotaxi rides in September 2025 were broadly reported as free rather than paid commercial rides.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/10/zoox-opens-its-las-vegas-robotaxi-service-to-the-public/
        https://www.theverge.com/news/774748/zoox-amazon-robotaxi-las-vegas-public
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/10/amazons-zoox-jumps-into-us-robotaxi-race-with-las-vegas-launch-.html
  17. Zoox’s September 2025 Las Vegas public robotaxi service used conventional retrofitted cars with human safety drivers behind steering wheels.
     -> FALSE
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/10/zoox-opens-its-las-vegas-robotaxi-service-to-the-public/
        https://www.reviewjournal.com/local/traffic/zoox-launches-its-las-vegas-robotaxi-service-3440012/
  18. Amazon announced the Blue Jay robotic system in October 2025 for warehouse operations.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/operations/new-robots-amazon-fulfillment-agentic-ai
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/22/amazon-debuts-blue-jay-robot-that-performs-multiple-tasks-at-once.html
  19. Amazon described Blue Jay as combining multiple warehouse-handling steps at a single robotic workstation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/operations/new-robots-amazon-fulfillment-agentic-ai
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/operations/amazon-delivering-future-2025-online-shopping-speed-delivery
  20. Amazon announced Project Eluna in October 2025 as an agentic AI system intended to help coordinate warehouse operations.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/operations/new-robots-amazon-fulfillment-agentic-ai
        https://www.supplychaindive.com/news/amazon-delivery-glasses-fulfillment-robots-ai-model/803748/
  21. World Labs released or unveiled Marble in late 2025 as a generative system for creating interactive 3D worlds.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.worldlabs.ai/blog/marble-world-model
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/12/fei-fei-lis-world-labs-speeds-up-the-world-model-race-with-marble-its-first-commercial-product/
        https://www.worldlabs.ai/blog/bigger-better-worlds
  22. World Labs’ Marble was a robot-control policy trained to directly operate humanoid robots.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.worldlabs.ai/blog/marble-world-model
        https://www.worldlabs.ai/case-studies/1-robotics
  23. OpenAI publicly released a general-purpose physical robot action model between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE

#############################################################
# 62. What are California's most urgent water issues?
#    (id: california_water_issues · 16 evaluation statements)
#############################################################

  1. California did not declare a new statewide drought emergency between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://on.car.org/4bitSTq
        https://waterboards.ca.gov/waterrights/water_issues/programs/drought/drought_orders_proclamations.html
  2. Statewide California reservoir storage was above its historical average for the date at the start of Water Year 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://californiawaterblog.com/2025/09/28/happy-new-water-year-2026-following-2025s-normal-and-extreme-hydrology/
        https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2025/Sep-25/California-Prepares-for-Extreme-Weather-Swings-as-New-Water-Year-Begins
        https://www.usbr.gov/mp/cvo/vungvari/dayrpt09_2025.pdf
  3. At least part of California was classified as abnormally dry or worse by the U.S. Drought Monitor in late November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://goldrushcam.com/sierrasuntimes/index.php/news/local-news/73196-california-and-national-drought-summary-for-november-25-2025-10-day-weather-outlook-and-california-drought-statistics-7-of-state-in-moderate-drought-declines-8-week-over-week
        https://californiatoday.com/news/climate/only-579-100-californians-live-in-drought-conditions-after-historic-november-rains-down-96-from-13-3-million-in-just-two-weeks/
  4. California’s State Water Project did not have a 100 percent initial 2026 allocation announced by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://goldrushcam.com/sierrasuntimes/index.php/news/local-news/73320-with-the-wettest-months-yet-to-come-california-department-of-water-resources-dwr-announces-initial-state-water-project-allocation-for-2026
        https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article313297599.html
  5. The end of Water Year 2025 did not eliminate chronic groundwater overdraft as an urgent issue in the San Joaquin Valley.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.kvpr.org/environment/2025-02-25/even-in-wet-years-wells-are-still-dry-why-replenishing-californias-groundwater-is-painfully-slow
        https://water.ca.gov/News/Blog/2025/May-25/Study-Finds-That-Subsidence-Groundwater-Over-Pumping-Could-Limit-Future-Water-Deliveries
        https://gvwire.com/2025/09/18/showdown-state-says-its-time-for-water-interests-to-show-their-cards-on-subsidence/
  6. At least one California groundwater basin was under State Water Resources Control Board probation under the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://water.waterboards.ca.gov/sgma/groundwater_basins/
        https://www.waterboards.ca.gov/board_decisions/adopted_orders/resolutions/2024/rs2024-0012.pdf
        https://gvwire.com/2025/07/28/state-zeroes-in-on-the-sinking-san-joaquin-valley/
  7. The seven Colorado River Basin states failed to submit a single consensus proposal for post-2026 river operations by the Bureau of Reclamation’s November 2025 deadline.
     -> TRUE
        https://aspenjournalism.org/no-deal-on-colorado-river/
        https://www.coloradopolitics.com/2025/11/12/colorado-river-crisis-deepens-as-7-states-miss-deadline-for-water-management-plan/
        https://www.kunc.org/news/2025-11-14/no-deal-on-colorado-river-as-western-states-fail-to-reach-agreement-by-feds-nov-11-deadline
  8. The federal government had not issued final post-2026 Colorado River operating guidelines by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.usbr.gov/ColoradoRiverBasin/post2026/index.html
        https://www.usbr.gov/ColoradoRiverBasin/post2026/draft-eis/index.html
        https://aspenjournalism.org/no-deal-on-colorado-river/
  9. California’s 4.4 million acre-foot annual Colorado River apportionment had not been permanently reduced by a post-August 2025 interstate agreement by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ppic.org/publication/the-colorado-river/
        https://aspenjournalism.org/no-deal-on-colorado-river/
        https://www.western-water.com/2025/11/12/colorado-river-deadline-passes-without-a-deal/
  10. The Delta Conveyance Project had not received all permits required for construction by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://waterboards.ca.gov/bay_delta/delta_conveyance.html
        https://www.gov.ca.gov/2025/10/23/icymi-governor-advances-delta-conveyance-project-through-two-key-milestones/
        https://mailchi.mp/ed71f823b23c/delta-conveyance-project-planning-looking-back-at-progress-made-and-ahead-to-whats-next
  11. The Delta Conveyance Project was not delivering water to State Water Project contractors by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.deltaconveyanceproject.com/about-the-delta-conveyance-project/dwr-updates-delta-conveyance-project-schedule-charts-permitting-pathway
        https://www.waterboards.ca.gov/bay_delta/delta_conveyance.html
        https://wildlife.ca.gov/Conservation/Watersheds/Delta-Conveyance
  12. A fully implemented new Sacramento–San Joaquin Bay-Delta flow regime was not in effect by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        http://waterboards.ca.gov/waterrights/water_issues/programs/bay_delta/comp_review.html
        https://www.waterboards.ca.gov/press_room/press_releases/2025/pr20250724-proposed-updates-sac-delta.pdf
        https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5163
  13. No major new California surface reservoir began delivering water to customers between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://resources.ca.gov/cwchome/Water-Storage/WSIP-Project-Review-Portal/All-Projects/Sites-Project
        https://cwc.ca.gov/-/media/CWC-Website/Files/Projects/Sites-Project/Quarterly-Reports/Sites_QR_01292025.pdf
        https://www.usbr.gov/mp/cvo/rpt_25.html
  14. The State Water Resources Control Board’s SAFER program still listed failing public water systems in California on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        http://waterboards.ca.gov/drinking_water/certlic/drinkingwater/saferdashboard.html
        https://www.waterboards.ca.gov/safer/safer_data.html
        https://water.waterboards.ca.gov/drinking_water/certlic/drinkingwater/needs.html
  15. The federal PFAS drinking-water maximum contaminant levels were not rescinded between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/epa-announces-it-will-keep-maximum-contaminant-levels-pfoa-pfos
        https://www.crowell.com/en/insights/client-alerts/epa-seeks-vacatur-of-majority-of-biden-era-pfas-regulations-under-the-safe-drinking-water-act-a-sign-of-more-to-come
        https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/26183114/20250911-doc-2134523-epa-mot-for-partial-vacatur.pdf
  16. Salton Sea restoration and dust-suppression work had not eliminated exposed-lakebed air-quality risks by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://inewsource.org/2025/08/16/salton-sea-dust-air-study-data/
        https://www.kqed.org/news/12058200/dust-storms-an-increasing-problem-around-the-salton-sea
        https://publichealth.uci.edu/2025/10/14/study-links-wind-blown-dust-from-receding-salton-sea-to-reduced-lung-function-in-area-children/
        https://saltonsea.ca.gov/projects/

################################################################################
# 63. What are some of the most innovative approaches being taken to elder care?
#    (id: elder_care_innovation · 14 evaluation statements)
################################################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, the U.S. Medicare Acute Hospital Care at Home waiver had been temporarily extended only through January 30, 2026, rather than made permanent.
     -> TRUE
        https://natlawreview.com/article/telehealth-and-hospital-home-rules-reinstated-after-october-lapse-dea-signals
        https://www.bakerdonelson.com/medicare-telehealth-waivers-extended-through-january-2026
        https://homehealthcarenews.com/2025/12/house-passes-bill-that-would-extend-hospital-at-home-waiver-through-2030/
        https://www.aha.org/system/files/media/file/2024/07/Fact-Sheet-Extending-the-Hospital-at-Home-Program-20240719.pdf
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the temporary Medicare telehealth flexibilities used for remote care of many older adults had been extended only through January 30, 2026, rather than permanently codified.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.healthcareitnews.com/news/medicare-telehealth-flexibilities-extended-federal-government-reopening
        https://telehealth.org/news/shutdown-ends-medicare-telehealth-flexibilities-extended-through-january-30-2026/
        https://www.quarles.com/newsroom/publications/countdown-to-2026-new-year-changes-in-telehealth-impacting-medicare-providers
        https://documentationwizard.com/medicare-telehealth-rules-november-2025-update/
  3. Australia’s new Aged Care Act 2024 commenced on November 1, 2025, creating a rights-based regulatory framework for aged care.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.health.gov.au/our-work/aged-care-act/about
        https://www.aacqa.gov.au/understanding-new-aged-care-act
        https://www.health.gov.au/ministers/the-hon-sam-rae-mp/media/a-new-era-for-aged-care-in-australia
        https://www.legislation.gov.au/C2024A00104/2025-11-01/2025-11-01/text/original/pdf
  4. Australia’s Support at Home program began on November 1, 2025, replacing Home Care Packages and Short-Term Restorative Care for relevant participants.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.myagedcare.gov.au/supportathome
        https://www.health.gov.au/news/new-support-at-home-fact-sheets-now-available
        https://www.agedcarequality.gov.au/providers/transition-support-home
        https://ttha.org.au/articles/support-at-home-explained-what-the-new-aged-care-program-means-for-you
  5. Australia’s Commonwealth Home Support Programme was not fully folded into Support at Home on November 1, 2025; its transition was scheduled for a later date.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.health.gov.au/our-work/support-at-home/about/intent-of-the-support-at-home-program
        https://www.health.gov.au/our-work/support-at-home/delivering-services-for-support-at-home/how-support-at-home-interacts-with-other-aged-care-programs?language=en
        https://www.agedcarequality.gov.au/providers/transition-support-home
        https://holdsworth.org.au/support-at-home-understanding-the-new-home-priority-system/
  6. By December 1, 2025, Australia’s late-2025 aged-care reforms had made ageing-in-place and home-based support a more central policy priority than institutional residential care expansion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.health.gov.au/news/a-new-era-in-aged-care
        https://www.health.gov.au/ministers/the-hon-sam-rae-mp/media/press-conference-with-minister-rae-melbourne-1-november-2025?language=en
        https://www.health.gov.au/our-work/support-at-home/about/intent-of-the-support-at-home-program
        https://communitycarereview.com.au/2025/12/01/assessment-backlog-remains-a-concern-says-symondson/
  7. In September 2025, Apple introduced FDA-cleared hypertension notifications for Apple Watch, expanding passive cardiovascular monitoring relevant to older adults.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/cdrh_docs/pdf25/K250507.pdf
        https://www.mobihealthnews.com/news/apple-receives-fda-nod-hypertension-notification-feature
        https://www.macrumors.com/2025/09/15/apple-watch-hypertension-notifications-now-live/
        https://9to5mac.com/2025/09/11/apple-watch-hypertension-alerts-feature-receives-fda-clearance/
  8. Apple’s 2025 hypertension-notification feature for Apple Watch was not a cuffless blood-pressure measurement tool and was not intended to diagnose hypertension by itself.
     -> TRUE
        https://time.com/7316725/apple-watch-hypertension-feature/
        https://appleinsider.com/articles/25/09/18/how-apple-watch-looks-for-hypertension-and-what-do-if-you-get-an-alert
        https://theconversation.com/could-an-apple-watch-really-tell-you-if-you-have-high-blood-pressure-264987
        https://tech.yahoo.com/wearables/articles/apples-hypertension-notifications-everything-know-133210009.html
  9. As of December 1, 2025, Apple had not commercially launched a non-invasive glucose-monitoring Apple Watch feature for older adults or diabetes care.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.macrumors.com/2025/03/31/apple-watch-glucose-monitoring-feature/
        https://md-pilot.com/can-smartwatches-measure-blood-sugar-whats-real-in-2025/
        https://biggo.com/news/202506170752_Apple_Watch_Blood_Glucose_Monitoring_2027
  10. As of December 1, 2025, commercially available humanoid home robots such as 1X’s NEO were still preorder or early-access products and had not become routine deployed elder-care infrastructure.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.1x.tech/neo
        https://www.therobotreport.com/1x-announces-pre-order-launch-neo-humanoid-robot/
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251027434628/en/1X-Launches-NEO-The-Robot-Redefining-Life-at-Home
        https://interestingengineering.com/innovation/1x-neo-humanoid-robot-home-assistant
  11. As of December 1, 2025, Tesla Optimus had not become a clinically validated or routinely deployed elder-care robot in nursing homes or private homes.
     -> TRUE
        https://interestingengineering.com/culture/can-optimus-make-america-win
        https://techplayforge.com/tesla-optimus-humanoid-robot-2025/
        https://www.ainvest.com/news/tesla-optimus-pioneering-future-ai-driven-surgical-robotics-healthcare-automation-2510/
  12. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no major high-income country replaced human elder-care workers at scale with fully autonomous robots.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9wdzyyglq5o
        https://on.cfr.org/4511a6K
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Service_Robots.pdf
        https://www.thailand-business-news.com/japan/244416-when-machines-care-who-cares-the-human-cost-of-japans-robot-revolution
  13. As of December 1, 2025, generative-AI voice agents and companion technologies were being piloted or marketed for care navigation, loneliness reduction, medication reminders, and follow-up, but they had not eliminated the need for human clinical supervision in elder care.
     -> TRUE
        https://aging.jmir.org/2025/1/e76653
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/electronic-caregiver-launches-addison-care-151900273.html
        https://www.jmir.org/2025/1/e65776
        https://www.riverdalepress.com/stories/riverspring-living-uses-ai-companion-meela-to-combat-senior-isolation,192251
        https://www.intelligence360.news/meela-launches-personalized-ai-companion-to-combat-loneliness-epidemic-among-seniors/
        https://www-pi.aarp.org/health/conditions-treatments/ai-companion-bots-fight-loneliness-improve-health/
  14. As of December 1, 2025, the most credible innovative elder-care approaches still emphasized hybrid models combining home-based care, remote monitoring, assistive technology, caregiver support, and human care teams rather than a single fully automated solution.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ageinplacetech.com/files/aip/Future%20of%20AI%20in%20Home%20Care%20-%20Final-2025.pdf
        https://www.ageinplacetech.com/blog/making-case-hybrid-care-home
        https://bmcgeriatr.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12877-025-05829-5
        https://engage.axxess.com/rs/437-WGW-363/images/2025_Trends_Report__Final-Web.pdf?version=0

#########################################################################
# 64. What are some up and coming aerospace companies I should look into?
#    (id: up_and_coming_aerospace · 22 evaluation statements)
#########################################################################

  1. Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket completed its second orbital launch in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-launches-nasa-escapade-lands-fully-reusable-booster
        https://spacenews.com/new-glenn-launches-nasas-escapade-mars-mission-lands-booster/
  2. Blue Origin's November 2025 New Glenn launch carried NASA's ESCAPADE Mars mission.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-blue-origin-launch-two-spacecraft-to-study-mars-solar-wind/
        https://spacenews.com/new-glenn-launches-nasas-escapade-mars-mission-lands-booster/
  3. Blue Origin successfully recovered a New Glenn first-stage booster for the first time during the November 2025 ESCAPADE launch.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blueorigin.com/news/new-glenn-launches-nasa-escapade-lands-fully-reusable-booster
        https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/blue-origin-lands-huge-new-glenn-rocket-booster-for-1st-time-after-acing-mars-escapade-launch-for-nasa
  4. Rocket Lab had not launched its Neutron rocket by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/rocket-lab-delays-first-neutron-launch-to-2026/
        https://spaceflightnow.com/2025/11/11/rocket-lab-delays-debut-of-neutron-rocket-to-2026/
  5. Rocket Lab had shifted the public target for Neutron's first launch into 2026 by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/rocket-lab-delays-first-neutron-launch-to-2026/
        https://spaceflightnow.com/2025/11/11/rocket-lab-delays-debut-of-neutron-rocket-to-2026/
  6. BETA Technologies completed an initial public offering after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1784570/000119312525269718/d60712d8k.htm
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/04/amazon-backed-evtol-beta-opens-on-new-york-stock-exchange-after-ipo.html
  7. BETA Technologies' shares began trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker BETA after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.beta.team/news-events/press-releases/detail/89/beta-technologies-inc-prices-upsized-initial-public-offering
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/04/amazon-backed-evtol-beta-opens-on-new-york-stock-exchange-after-ipo.html
  8. BETA Technologies had received FAA type certification for its ALIA aircraft by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ttnews.com/articles/beta-wall-street-support
        https://aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org/beta-bets-on-simplicity-of-its-aircraft-design-in-public-stock-offering/
  9. Joby Aviation had received FAA type certification for its passenger eVTOL aircraft by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.jobyaviation.com/news/joby-plans-to-jumpstart-us-operations-through-white-house-evtol-integration-program
        https://ir.jobyaviation.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/176/jobys-first-faa-conforming-aircraft-takes-flight
  10. Archer Aviation had received FAA type certification for its Midnight passenger eVTOL aircraft by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://investors.archer.com/news/news-details/2025/Archer-Receives-FAA-Certification-To-Launch-Its-Pilot-Training-Academy/default.aspx
        https://investors.archer.com/news/news-details/2026/Archer-Announces-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2025-Results-US-and-UAE-Air-Taxi-Pilot-Programs-On-Track-for-2026/default.aspx
  11. Sierra Space's Dream Chaser Tenacity had flown to orbit by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://spacenews.com/dream-chaser-completes-key-tests-ahead-of-first-flight/
        https://www.nasa.gov/missions/station/nasa-sierra-space-modify-commercial-resupply-services-contract/
  12. NASA and Sierra Space changed the first Dream Chaser Tenacity flight plan after August 31, 2025 so that the first flight would not be an ISS cargo delivery.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasa.gov/missions/station/nasa-sierra-space-modify-commercial-resupply-services-contract/
        https://spacenews.com/nasa-modifies-dream-chaser-iss-cargo-contract-as-sierra-space-shifts-to-defense-work/
  13. Impulse Space announced a $300 million Series C financing round after August 31, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        http://impulsespace.com/updates/impulse-space-secures-300-million-dollar-series-c-to-accelerate-the-future-of-in-space-mobility
        https://spacenews.com/impulse-space-raises-300-million-for-expansion-and-new-technology-development/
  14. Apex Space announced a financing round after August 31, 2025 that valued the company at more than $1 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/apex-reaches-billion-dollar-valuation-with-series-d-funding-round/
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apex-raises-200-million-series-140000914.html
  15. Muon Space announced a major Series B financing round after August 31, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://spacenews.com/muon-space-raises-90-million-to-scale-satellite-production-and-acquire-propulsion-startup/
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/muon-space-completes-146-million-110000866.html
  16. Anduril's YFQ-44A Collaborative Combat Aircraft prototype had made its first flight by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.defensenews.com/air/2025/10/31/andurils-drone-wingman-begins-flight-tests/
        https://defensescoop.com/2025/10/31/anduril-cca-air-force-first-flight/
  17. Stoke Space had not attempted an orbital launch of its Nova rocket by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.geekwire.com/2025/stoke-space-reportedly-raising-funding-nova-rocket/
        https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/11/for-stoke-space-nothing-else-matters-but-full-and-rapid-rocket-reuse/
        https://www.spacelaunchschedule.com/launch/nova-demo-flight/
  18. Relativity Space had not attempted an orbital launch of Terran R by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2025/06/relativity-update-061925/
        https://www.relativityspace.com/press-release/2023/4/12/terran-r
  19. Isar Aerospace had not completed a successful orbital launch of Spectrum by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/isar-aerospaces-first-spectrum-launch-fails/
        https://spacenews.com/isar-aerospace-prepares-for-second-spectrum-launch/
  20. Gilmour Space had not completed a successful orbital launch of Eris by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://spacenews.com/first-eris-launch-fails-to-reach-orbit/
        https://spacenews.com/gilmour-space-plans-return-to-flight-next-year/
  21. Vast's Haven-1 commercial space station module had launched by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2025/11/vast-haven-1-update/
        https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/11/a-commercial-space-station-startup-now-has-a-foothold-in-space/
  22. Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost Mission 2 had launched by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://spaceflightnow.com/2025/03/18/firefly-aerospaces-blue-ghost-mission-1-concludes-successful-14-day-mission-on-the-moon/
        https://investors.fireflyspace.com/news-releases/news-release-details/firefly-aerospace-adds-voltas-wireless-power-receiver-blue-ghost

############################################################
# 65. What are the best tools for modeling protein folding?
#    (id: protein_folding_tools · 24 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, DeepMind released a new major public version of AlphaFold after AlphaFold 3.
     -> FALSE
        https://github.com/google-deepmind/alphafold3/releases
        https://deepmind.google/science/alphafold/
  2. As of December 1, 2025, AlphaFold 3 remains available for practical public use primarily through the AlphaFold Server and DeepMind’s released research code/weights rather than as a fully permissive open-source commercial package.
     -> TRUE
        https://google-deepmind-alphafold3.mintlify.app/resources/faq
        https://github.com/google-deepmind/alphafold3/blob/main/WEIGHTS_TERMS_OF_USE.md
        https://www.ebi.ac.uk/training/online/courses/alphafold/alphafold-3-and-alphafold-server/introducing-alphafold-3/should-i-use-alphafold-2-or-alphafold-3/
        https://github.com/google-deepmind/alphafold3/tree/v3.0.1
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, DeepMind materially expanded the AlphaFold Server’s supported modeling scope for proteins, nucleic acids, ligands, ions, or post-translational modifications.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.ebi.ac.uk/training/online/courses/alphafold/alphafold-3-and-alphafold-server/introducing-alphafold-3/
        https://github.com/google-deepmind/alphafold/blob/main/server/README.md
        https://github.com/google-deepmind/alphafold/tree/main/server
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a new peer-reviewed benchmark or community assessment changed the consensus ranking of AlphaFold 3 versus leading alternatives for general biomolecular complex structure prediction.
     -> FALSE
        https://bishtref.com/articles/10.1093/bib/bbaf616
        https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41345395/?fc=None&ff=20251212215754&v=2.18.0.post22+67771e2
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a new CASP or CASP-style result was released that materially affected which protein-folding tools are considered state of the art.
     -> TRUE
        https://utsouthwestern.elsevierpure.com/en/publications/assessment-of-protein-complex-predictions-in-casp16-are-we-making/
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12157625/
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12703882/
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the maintainers of ColabFold released a major update that substantially changed its best-use recommendation for fast AlphaFold-style protein-structure prediction.
     -> FALSE
        https://github.com/sokrypton/ColabFold/issues/792
        https://github.com/sokrypton/ColabFold/blob/1c29f36007121314de01238a95fdab9086dafa32/README.md
        https://github.com/sokrypton/ColabFold/releases
  7. As of December 1, 2025, ColabFold remains one of the main practical tools for high-throughput or notebook-based AlphaFold2-style protein structure prediction.
     -> TRUE
        https://github.com/sokrypton/ColabFold/blob/main/README.md
        https://www.nature.com/articles/s41592-022-01488-1
        https://github.com/sokrypton/ColabFold?tab=readme-ov-file
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, OpenFold released a major new model or version that materially improved its competitiveness with AlphaFold-family tools.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.github.com/aqlaboratory/openfold-3
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251028507233/en/OpenFold-Consortium-Releases-Preview-of-OpenFold3-An-Open-Source-Foundation-Model-for-Structure-Prediction-of-Proteins-Nucleic-Acids-and-Drugs
        https://github.com/aqlaboratory/openfold-3/releases/tag/0.3.1
        https://portal.openfold.omsf.io/reports/of3p2_technical_report.pdf
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Boltz released a new major version after Boltz-2 that materially changed recommendations for open biomolecular structure or binding-affinity modeling.
     -> FALSE
        https://github.com/jwohlwend/boltz/releases/tag/v2.2.1
        https://pypi.org/project/boltz/
        https://github.com/jwohlwend/boltz/
  10. As of December 1, 2025, Boltz-2 is still regarded as a leading open model for joint biomolecular structure prediction and binding-affinity estimation.
     -> TRUE
        https://github.com/jwohlwend/boltz/
        https://pypi.org/project/boltz/
        https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40667369/
        https://jclinic.mit.edu/boltz-2-towards-accurate-and-efficient-binding-affinity-prediction/
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Chai Discovery released a new major public version after Chai-2 that materially changed recommendations for protein-folding or biomolecular-complex modeling.
     -> FALSE
        http://github.com/chaidiscovery/chai-lab
        https://github.com/chaidiscovery/chai-lab/releases/tag/v0.6.1
        https://www.biopharmatrend.com/news/chai-discovery-releases-foundation-model-for-zero-shot-antibody-design-with-1620-hit-rates-1309/
  12. As of December 1, 2025, Chai-1 or Chai-2 remains a prominent alternative to AlphaFold 3 for biomolecular complex prediction.
     -> TRUE
        http://github.com/chaidiscovery/chai-lab
        https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.10.615955v2
        https://www.tamarind.bio/tools/chai-1
        https://bio.rodeo/models/chai-1
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, RoseTTAFold All-Atom or its successors received a major update that materially changed their ranking among tools for protein complexes with small molecules or nucleic acids.
     -> TRUE
        https://techcommunity.microsoft.com/blog/azure-ai-foundry-blog/rosettafold3-model-at-ignite-2025-extending-frontier-of-biomolecular-modeling-in/4470504
  14. As of December 1, 2025, RoseTTAFold All-Atom remains an important non-DeepMind option for modeling biomolecular assemblies beyond single proteins.
     -> TRUE
        https://github.com/baker-laboratory/RoseTTAFold-All-Atom
        https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adl2528
        https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38452047/
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Meta released a new ESMFold successor that materially changed the best-tool recommendation for fast single-sequence protein structure prediction.
     -> FALSE
        https://github.com/facebookresearch/esm/blob/main/README.md
        https://ai.meta.com/blog/protein-folding-esmfold-metagenomics/
  16. As of December 1, 2025, ESMFold remains mainly valued for speed and single-sequence inference rather than best-in-class accuracy on difficult protein-folding targets.
     -> TRUE
        https://ai.meta.com/blog/protein-folding-esmfold-metagenomics/
        https://docs.clore.ai/guides/science-and-research/esmfold.md
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12809598/
        https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/genetics/articles/10.3389/fgene.2025.1715037/pdf
  17. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a newly released tool became widely accepted as superior to AlphaFold 3 for general protein-ligand complex structure prediction.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.genesis.ml/news/introducing-pearl
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/genesis-molecular-ai-unveils-pearl-183000287.html
        https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/11/24/1128322/whats-next-for-alphafold-a-conversation-with-a-google-deepmind-nobel-laureate/
        https://bio.rodeo/models/pearl
  18. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a newly released tool became widely accepted as superior to AlphaFold 3 for general protein-protein complex structure prediction.
     -> FALSE
        https://utsouthwestern.elsevierpure.com/en/publications/assessment-of-protein-complex-predictions-in-casp16-are-we-making/
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12703882/
        https://preview-www.nature.com/articles/s41592-025-02821-0
  19. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a newly released tool became widely accepted as superior to AlphaFold 3 for RNA-protein or nucleic-acid-containing complex prediction.
     -> FALSE
        https://bishtref.com/articles/10.1093/bib/bbaf616
        https://github.com/JulseJiang/RPcontact
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11291176/
  20. As of December 1, 2025, molecular dynamics packages such as GROMACS, AMBER, NAMD, and OpenMM are still not considered replacements for AlphaFold-style predictors for de novo static structure prediction.
     -> TRUE
        https://tensorbiodynamics.com/foldx.html
        https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11888466/
        https://dasher.wustl.edu/tinker/downloads/tinker-guide.pdf
  21. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a major update to a molecular dynamics package materially changed recommendations for simulating folding pathways or conformational dynamics after structure prediction.
     -> FALSE
        https://github.com/gromacs/gromacs/blob/665ea4ca/docs/release-notes/2025/2025.4.rst
  22. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a major new benchmark highlighted that confidence calibration, disorder, alternate conformations, or induced-fit effects remain important limitations of current protein-folding models.
     -> TRUE
        https://openreview.net/forum?id=GClrNUTqly
        https://openreview.net/forum?id=bX0i4s8AwD
        https://www.nature.com/articles/s42003-025-08783-5
        https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.10.18.680935v1
  23. As of December 1, 2025, selecting the best protein-folding tool still depends strongly on the task, including whether the user needs monomer prediction, multimer prediction, ligand/nucleic-acid complexes, antibody modeling, binding affinity, dynamics, throughput, or commercial licensing.
     -> TRUE
        https://bioai-agents.com/en/blog/best-ai-tools-for-protein-structure-prediction-2025-comparison/
        https://www.ebi.ac.uk/training/online/courses/alphafold/alphafold-3-and-alphafold-server/introducing-alphafold-3/should-i-use-alphafold-2-or-alphafold-3/
        https://github.com/sokrypton/ColabFold/blob/main/README.md
        https://github.com/jwohlwend/boltz/
        https://docs.clore.ai/guides/science-and-research/esmfold.md
  24. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, licensing or terms-of-use changes for any leading protein-folding tool materially affected whether it should be recommended for commercial users.
     -> FALSE
        https://github.com/google-deepmind/alphafold3/blob/5fbae81a9e33b59a6355498b0dfc41f9bf1deff0/WEIGHTS_TERMS_OF_USE.md
        https://github.com/google-deepmind/alphafold3/blob/5fbae81a9e33b59a6355498b0dfc41f9bf1deff0/OUTPUT_TERMS_OF_USE.md
        https://github.com/google-deepmind/alphafold3/releases
        https://github.com/google-deepmind/alphafold3/blob/v3.0.0/LICENSE

####################################################################################
# 66. What are the biggest narratives currently shaping the private credit industry?
#    (id: private_credit_narratives · 22 evaluation statements)
####################################################################################

  1. First Brands Group's late-September 2025 bankruptcy became a central private-credit narrative about opaque borrower leverage.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mckoolsmith.com/assets/htmldocuments/2025%2010%2010%20First%20Brands%20Bankruptcy%20Underlines%20Scope%20of%20Private%20Credit%20Exposures.pdf
        https://www.investmentnews.com/alternatives/is-first-brands-implosion-a-new-subprime-crisis/262505
        https://www.ft.com/content/fa10cd1f-6b4a-4e21-b258-6340c767a3fb
  2. First Brands Group's collapse focused market attention on receivables financing and other asset-based lending structures used outside traditional syndicated loan disclosure channels.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.pymnts.com/news/b2b-payments/2025/first-brands-collapse-puts-spotlight-on-rogue-receivables-supplier-financing/
        https://www.thewealthadvisor.com/article/both-jefferies-financial-group-and-ubs-have-disclosed-exposure-auto-parts-supplier-filed
        https://www.sfnet.com/home/industry-data-publications/the-secured-lender/tsl-express-daily-articles-news/tsl-express-article-detail/receivables-purchase-and-asset-based-lending-insights-from-first-brands
        https://tradetreasurypayments.com/articles/did-supply-chain-finance-contribute-to-the-collapse-of-first-brands
  3. Tricolor Holdings' September 2025 collapse became a prominent private-credit narrative about fraud risk in specialty finance and subprime auto lending.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.americanbanker.com/news/after-fifth-third-takes-credit-hit-borrower-goes-bankrupt
        https://asreport.americanbanker.com/news/tricolors-bankruptcy-raises-questions-about-underwriting-and-recovery
        https://content.clearygottlieb.com/corporate/global-restructuring-insights/tricolor-the-road-to-ruin/
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/securitization-structured-finance/1688258/tricolors-impact-on-subprime-auto-trust-but-verify
  4. The Tricolor Holdings and First Brands Group failures materially increased investor concern about valuation transparency in private credit after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.addleshawgoddard.com/en/insights/insights-briefings/2025/financial-services/lessons-from-tricolor-and-first-brands/
        https://www.divergentcapitalam.com/post/the-first-brands-tricolor-bankruptcies-and-their-implications-for-private-credit-investing
        https://www.proskauer.com/insights/get-pdf/29767
        https://www.morningstar.com/funds/ignoring-reality-or-overreacting-semiliquid-funds-versus-bdcs
  5. Jamie Dimon's October 2025 warning that seeing one credit 'cockroach' may imply more became a widely cited shorthand for late-2025 private-credit anxiety.
     -> TRUE
        https://fortune.com/2025/10/15/jamie-dimon-issues-private-credit-warning-when-you-see-one-cockroach-there-are-probably-more/
        https://www.straitstimes.com/business/banking/when-you-see-one-cockroach-there-are-probably-more-jamie-dimon-issues-private-credit-warning
        https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/jamie-dimon-warns-cockroaches-us-economy-credit-concerns-grow
        https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/cockroaches-in-the-coal-mine
  6. By December 1, 2025, the Tricolor Holdings and First Brands Group episodes had not caused a broad freeze in private-credit fundraising or lending activity.
     -> TRUE
        https://duke.fm/2025/10/14/first-brands-tricolor-collapses-invite-more-scrutiny-but-wall-street-sees-robust-credit-quality/
        https://icapital.com/insights/investment-market-strategy/icapital-market-pulse-behind-the-recent-private-credit-noise/
        https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/ares-management-corporation-reports-third-quarter-2025-results-2025-11-03
  7. Late-2025 commentary generally treated the Tricolor Holdings and First Brands Group cases as idiosyncratic stress events rather than proof of an already systemic private-credit crisis.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cambridgeassociates.com/insight/do-the-recent-bankruptcies-of-first-brands-and-tricolor-suggest-trouble-ahead-in-private-credit/
        https://www.icgam.com/2025/10/24/recent-us-credit-market-dislocation-systemic-or-idiosyncratic/
        https://www.lgtwm-us.com/en/insights/market-views/navigating-credit-markets-316272
        https://duke.fm/2025/10/14/first-brands-tricolor-collapses-invite-more-scrutiny-but-wall-street-sees-robust-credit-quality/
  8. After August 31, 2025, revived syndicated loan and high-yield markets intensified competition for private-credit lenders.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.chronograph.pe/how-direct-lending-competition-is-impacting-private-credit-deal-terms/
        https://portagepointpartners.com/company-news/insights/2025-q3-credit-market-update/
        https://www.legal500.com/guides/hot-topic/us-recent-trends-in-private-credit-and-syndicated-loan-markets/?export-pdf=
  9. After August 31, 2025, borrowers' ability to refinance private loans in cheaper public or broadly syndicated markets became a major pressure on direct-lending spreads.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.chronograph.pe/how-direct-lending-competition-is-impacting-private-credit-deal-terms/
        https://octus.com/resources/articles/strong-levfin-conditions-attract-issuers-to-tap-bsl-market-to-refinance-private-credit-debt/
        https://portagepointpartners.com/company-news/insights/2025-q3-credit-market-update/
  10. Federal Reserve rate cuts in September and October 2025 strengthened the narrative that private credit's floating-rate income tailwind was fading.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.wellington.com/en/insights/how-rate-cuts-impact-clo-equity
        https://corporatefinance.kpmg.com/kpmg-us/content/dam/kpmg/corporatefinance/pdfs/2025/credit-markets-update-q3-2025.pdf
        https://www.guggenheiminvestments.com/perspectives/sector-views/high-yield-and-bank-loan-outlook-november-2025
  11. Lower policy-rate expectations in late 2025 supported the narrative that borrower debt-service stress in private credit could ease.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.apollo.com/content/dam/apolloaem/documents/insights/aopllo-global-2025-credit-outlook.pdf
        https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/insights/q4-2025-credit-research-outlook
        https://www.guggenheiminvestments.com/perspectives/sector-views/high-yield-and-bank-loan-outlook-november-2025
  12. Spread compression in late 2025 became a major concern for private-credit investors evaluating forward returns.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.morningstar.com/alternative-investments/is-private-credit-drowning-capital-these-are-strategic-implications-investors
        https://portagepointpartners.com/company-news/insights/2025-q3-credit-market-update/
        https://am.gs.com/en-be/institutions/insights/article/investment-outlook/private-markets-alternatives-2026
  13. Late-2025 private-credit commentary increasingly emphasized covenant quality and documentation discipline as competitive pressure rose.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.pennantpark.com/auto-parts-giant-first-brands-implodes/
        https://www.divergentcapitalam.com/post/the-first-brands-tricolor-bankruptcies-and-their-implications-for-private-credit-investing
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/insolvencybankruptcy/1696144/seeing-red-flags-in-tricolor-a-colorful-lesson-on-collateral-interests
        https://www.chicagoatlantic.com/private-credit-markets-q3-2025-update/
  14. Regulators and financial-stability bodies increased public scrutiny of private credit's opacity and nonbank interconnections after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr/issues/2025/10/14/global-financial-stability-report-october-2025
        https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2025/10/14/growth-of-nonbanks-is-revealing-new-financial-stability-risks
        https://content.clearygottlieb.com/corporate/global-restructuring-insights/tricolor-the-road-to-ruin/
        https://www.pymnts.com/news/b2b-payments/2025/first-brands-collapse-puts-spotlight-on-rogue-receivables-supplier-financing/
  15. The IMF's October 2025 financial-stability commentary highlighted private-credit growth and opacity as a source of potential financial-system vulnerability.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr/issues/2025/10/14/global-financial-stability-report-october-2025
        https://clubgestionriesgos.org/wp-content/uploads/execsum-12.pdf
        https://www.globalcapital.com/globalmarkets/article/2fgwsfqc0fst7b66j1ipt/emerging-markets/non-bank-lenders-raise-spectre-of-risk-to-stability-warns-imf
        https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2025/10/14/growth-of-nonbanks-is-revealing-new-financial-stability-risks
  16. Bank exposures to private-credit-adjacent lending became a bigger late-2025 narrative after fraud-related credit losses and regional-bank stock volatility.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/17/ndfi-loan-exposure-bank-stocks.html
        https://www.sfnet.com/home/industry-data-publications/the-secured-lender/tsl-express-daily-articles-news/tsl-express-daily-articles-news/2025/10/21/rapid-us-non-bank-loan-growth-raises-risk-of-wider-losses-for-banks
        https://www.capitaladvisors.com/research/are-regional-banks-sitting-on-a-private-credit-time-bomb/
        https://www.americanbanker.com/news/after-fifth-third-takes-credit-hit-borrower-goes-bankrupt
  17. Asset-based finance remained one of the industry's strongest growth narratives in late 2025 despite the reputational damage from First Brands and Tricolor.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/ares-management-corporation-nyseares-q3-2025-earnings-call-transcript-1639887/
        https://insuranceaum.com/q3-2025-private-credit-quarterly-review-and-outlook
        https://www.brookfield.com/views-news/insights/private-credit-beyond-direct-lending
        https://www.northleafcapital.com/news/private-credit-market-update-q4-2025
  18. Insurance-company demand for private credit remained a major industry growth narrative in late 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blackrock.com/institutions/en-global/institutional-insights/thought-leadership/private-credit-growth-through-an-insurance-lens
        https://www.pinebridge.com/en/insights/2025-us-insurance-investment-outlook
        https://d1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net/production/uploaded-files/Sector_In-Depth-Life-Insurance-US-Life-17Jun2025-PBC_1442118-13e5e8a3-b692-4b9c-88d2-d9ed4ece1b4e.pdf
        https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2025/jan/private-credit-emerging-role-economic-growth.html
  19. Retail and wealth-channel access to private credit remained a major distribution narrative in late 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://alternativecreditinvestor.com/2025/10/10/special-report-winning-over-the-wealth-market/
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/fund-management-reits/1694892/trends-in-private-credit-fund-structuring-2025
        https://www.lpgpconnect.com/insights/private-credit-meets-private-wealth-the-next-frontier-of-alternative-allocation
        https://www.aima.org/compass/insights/private-credit/financing-the-economy-2025.html
  20. Liquidity mismatch in semi-liquid private-credit vehicles remained a major investor-protection concern in late 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.morningstar.com/alternative-investments/publicprivate-fund-liquidity-what-you-need-know
        https://marketing.morningstar.com/content/cs-assets/v3/assets/blt9415ea4cc4157833/bltcf5a9d2acb058df7/6859a49dcdeea4605d1904b7/The_State_of_Semiliquid_Funds_2025.pdf
        https://www.morningstar.com/funds/ignoring-reality-or-overreacting-semiliquid-funds-versus-bdcs
        https://www.sterlingassetgroup.com/insights/funded-but-fragile-the-liquidity-mirage-in-private-lending
  21. Large alternative-asset managers' third-quarter 2025 results generally reinforced the narrative that private credit was still attracting capital despite higher scrutiny.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/ares-management-corporation-reports-third-quarter-2025-results-2025-11-03
        https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/ares-management-corporation-nyseares-q3-2025-earnings-call-transcript-1639887/
        https://www.apollo.com/insights-news/pressreleases/2025/11/apollo-reports-third-quarter-2025-results-3180081
        https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/blue-owl-capital-inc-nyseowl-q3-2025-earnings-call-transcript-1638775/
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1880661/000188066125000073/tpg3q25earningsreleasefi.htm
  22. Late-2025 private-credit narratives placed greater emphasis on manager dispersion and underwriting quality than on simple asset-class growth.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blackrock.com/gls-download/literature/market-commentary/global-credit-outlook-q4-2025.pdf
        https://www.cambridgeassociates.com/insight/do-the-recent-bankruptcies-of-first-brands-and-tricolor-suggest-trouble-ahead-in-private-credit/
        https://www.lgtwm-us.com/en/insights/market-views/navigating-credit-markets-316272
        https://www.morningstar.com/alternative-investments/is-private-credit-drowning-capital-these-are-strategic-implications-investors

##################################################################
# 67. What are the main priorities for the US Forest Service?
#    (id: us_forest_service_priorities · 16 evaluation statements)
##################################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, USDA did not issue a new agency-wide Forest Service strategic plan that replaced the Forest Service’s existing strategic priority framework.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/strategicplan
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/inside-fs/leadership/focus-fundamentals-fy26-agency-priorities
        https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/national-active-forest-management-strategy.pdf
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the Forest Service had not withdrawn or rescinded its Wildfire Crisis Strategy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/managing-land/wildfire-crisis
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/managing-land/wildfire-crisis/landscapes
  3. As of December 1, 2025, reducing catastrophic wildfire risk remained a central stated priority for the Forest Service.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/inside-fs/leadership/wildfire-letter-intent-2025
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/inside-fs/leadership/focus-fundamentals-fy26-agency-priorities
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/managing-land/wildfire-crisis
  4. As of December 1, 2025, increasing active forest management and timber production remained a stated USDA priority for the Forest Service.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/about-agency/priorities
        https://www.usda.gov/about-usda/news/press-releases/2025/05/29/usda-invests-200m-expand-timber-production-strengthen-rural-economies-secure-american-industry
        https://www.usda.gov/about-usda/news/press-releases/2025/04/04/secretary-rollins-announces-sweeping-reforms-protect-national-forests-and-boost-domestic-timber
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/inside-fs/leadership/introducing-national-active-management-strategy
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, USDA did not revoke its 2025 emergency direction intended to accelerate Forest Service timber production and forest management projects.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.usda.gov/about-usda/news/press-releases/2025/04/04/secretary-rollins-announces-sweeping-reforms-protect-national-forests-and-boost-domestic-timber
        https://www.opb.org/article/2025/10/10/logging-national-forests-oregon-government-shutdown/
        https://news.bloomberglaw.com/environment-and-energy/trump-logging-plans-stretch-emergency-definition-suits-claim
  6. The public comment period for USDA’s proposed rescission of the 2001 Roadless Area Conservation Rule closed after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/08/29/2025-16581/special-areas-roadless-area-conservation-national-forest-system-lands?eId=eea29128-5ce2-4c7f-9817-c162d938346c&eType=EmailBlastContent
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/about-agency/newsroom/releases/usda-opens-next-step-roadless-rule-rescission
        https://www.usda.gov/about-usda/news/press-releases/2025/08/27/secretary-rollins-opens-next-step-roadless-rule-rescission
  7. As of December 1, 2025, USDA had not finalized a rule rescinding the 2001 Roadless Area Conservation Rule.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/08/29/2025-16581/special-areas-roadless-area-conservation-national-forest-system-lands?eId=eea29128-5ce2-4c7f-9817-c162d938346c&eType=EmailBlastContent
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/managing-land/planning/roadless
        https://downloads.regulations.gov/FS-2025-0001-0001/content.html
  8. As of December 1, 2025, it was inaccurate to describe repeal of the Roadless Area Conservation Rule as an already implemented Forest Service policy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/08/29/2025-16581/special-areas-roadless-area-conservation-national-forest-system-lands?eId=eea29128-5ce2-4c7f-9817-c162d938346c&eType=EmailBlastContent
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/managing-land/planning/roadless
        https://www.npr.org/2025/09/19/nx-s1-5543498/the-white-house-wants-to-fast-track-its-rescission-of-some-national-forest-rules
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Congress did not enact the Fix Our Forests Act into law.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/471/text
        https://www.americanforests.org/article/american-forests-applauds-bipartisan-senate-committee-advancement-of-the-fix-our-forests-act/
        https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/119/hr471
  10. As of December 1, 2025, Congress had not enacted a full-year FY2026 appropriations law covering all Forest Service accounts.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48765
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48726
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/BILLS-119hr5371enr/html/BILLS-119hr5371enr.htm
  11. The federal government shutdown that began on October 1, 2025 affected Forest Service operations before ending in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48765
        https://www.hcn.org/articles/shutdown-causes-confusion-across-the-forest-service/
        https://paddleandportage.com/2025/11/13/ranger-stations-across-superior-national-forest-reopen-as-government-shutdown-ends/
  12. During the October-November 2025 federal funding lapse, Forest Service wildfire suppression and other life-and-property protection functions were treated as excepted activities.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hcn.org/articles/shutdown-causes-confusion-across-the-forest-service/
        https://wildfiretoday.com/how-the-us-government-shutdown-will-affect-wildland-firefighters/
        https://thewesternnews.com/news/2025/oct/03/federal-govt-shutdown-will-impact-forest-projects-libby-dam-unaffected/
  13. During the October-November 2025 federal funding lapse, some non-emergency Forest Service recreation, permitting, administrative, and grant functions were delayed or curtailed.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hcn.org/articles/shutdown-causes-confusion-across-the-forest-service/
        https://www.ems1.com/disaster-management/what-the-government-shutdown-means-for-wildfire-disaster-response
        https://www.vaildaily.com/news/government-shutdown-nonprofits-chaos-forest-service/
        https://protectnps.org/2025/11/21/government-shutdown-sends-ripples-through-science/
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the Forest Service did not announce that it would stop offering timber sales on National Forest System lands.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.opb.org/article/2025/10/10/logging-national-forests-oregon-government-shutdown/
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/managing-land/forest-management/products/ptsar
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/about-agency/priorities
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no new law converted the Forest Service from a multiple-use land management agency into a single-purpose wildfire suppression agency.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/inside-fs/leadership/introducing-national-active-management-strategy
        https://www.cpr.org/2025/09/16/new-wildland-fire-service/
        https://www.doi.gov/pressreleases/departments-interior-and-agriculture-announce-wildland-fire-service-plan-modernize
        https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/471/text
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no new Forest Service chief replaced Tom Schultz.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.energy.senate.gov/2025/9/ranking-members-heinrich-merkley-klobuchar-murray-demand-answers-from-forest-service-chief-on-how-taxpayer-dollars-are-being-used-to-fund-workforce-reduction-programs
        https://forestpolicypub.com/2025/09/29/some-chiefs-thoughts-from-retirees-reunion/
        https://www.fs.usda.gov/inside-fs/delivering-mission/excel/chiefs-media-tour

#################################################################################
# 68. What are the most important tools to learn for cybersecurity in the AI era?
#    (id: cybersecurity_ai_era_tools · 20 evaluation statements)
#################################################################################

  1. OpenAI announced Aardvark, a GPT-5-powered autonomous security research agent, after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-aardvark/
        https://www.axios.com/2025/10/30/openai-security-agent-code-threats
  2. OpenAI described Aardvark as a system that scans source-code repositories for security vulnerabilities.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-aardvark/
        https://openai.com/form/aardvark-beta-signup/
        https://www.theregister.com/special-features/2025/10/31/openai-unleashes-aardvark-security-agent-in-private-beta/1483941
  3. Aardvark was generally available to all ChatGPT users by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-aardvark/
        https://openai.com/form/aardvark-beta-signup/
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/10/30/openai-unveils-aardvark-autonomous-gpt-5-agent-built-hunt-software-vulnerabilities/
        https://www.tech-channels.com/breaking-news/openais-aardvark-a-gpt-5-agent-that-thinks-like-a-hacker-works-like-a-dev
  4. Google DeepMind announced CodeMender after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/introducing-codemender-an-ai-agent-for-code-security/
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/safety-security/ai-security-frontier-strategy-tools/
  5. Google DeepMind described CodeMender as an AI agent for generating security patches for software vulnerabilities.
     -> TRUE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/introducing-codemender-an-ai-agent-for-code-security/
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/safety-security/ai-security-frontier-strategy-tools/
  6. CodeMender was released as a generally available commercial SIEM replacement by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://deepmind.google/blog/introducing-codemender-an-ai-agent-for-code-security/
        https://www.gadgets360.com/ai/news/google-deepmind-codemender-ai-agent-automate-code-security-fixes-introduced-9410168
        https://www.csoonline.com/article/4068774/google-deepmind-launches-an-ai-agent-to-fix-code-vulnerabilities-automatically.html
  7. OpenAI released GPT-5-Codex after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-system-card-addendum-gpt-5-codex/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/15/openai-upgrades-codex-with-a-new-version-of-gpt-5/
  8. OpenAI positioned GPT-5-Codex as a model for agentic software-engineering workflows.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-system-card-addendum-gpt-5-codex/
        https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/gpt-5-codex
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/15/openai-upgrades-codex-with-a-new-version-of-gpt-5/
  9. OpenAI launched AgentKit after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-agentkit/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/06/openai-launches-agentkit-to-help-developers-build-and-ship-ai-agents/
  10. AgentKit included tooling for evaluating AI-agent behavior.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-agentkit/
        https://www.vktr.com/ai-news/openai-launches-agentkit-to-streamline-ai-agent-development/
        https://routine.co/blog/posts/openai-simplify-agentkit
  11. AgentKit was marketed primarily as an endpoint detection and response product.
     -> FALSE
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-agentkit/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/06/openai-launches-agentkit-to-help-developers-build-and-ship-ai-agents/
  12. Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 4.5 after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/09/anthropic-says-its-new-ai-model-maintained-focus-for-30-hours-on-multistep-tasks/
  13. Anthropic positioned Claude Sonnet 4.5 as a leading model for coding-agent use cases.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet?e45d281a_page=1
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/787524/anthropic-releases-claude-sonnet-4-5-in-latest-bid-for-ai-agents-and-coding-supremacy
  14. Anthropic released Claude Haiku 4.5 after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        http://anthropic.com/news/claude-haiku-4-5
        https://www.anthropic.com/claude/haiku
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/15/anthropic-claude-haiku-4-5-ai.html
  15. GitHub announced Agent HQ after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://github.blog/news-insights/company-news/welcome-home-agents/
        https://www.techtarget.com/searchsoftwarequality/news/366633584/GitHub-Agent-HQ-opens-platform-to-third-party-coding-agents
  16. GitHub Agent HQ was intended to let developers orchestrate multiple coding agents inside GitHub workflows.
     -> TRUE
        https://github.blog/news-insights/company-news/welcome-home-agents/
        https://www.infoworld.com/article/4080888/github-launches-agent-hq-to-bring-order-to-ai-powered-coding.html
        https://tech.yahoo.com/ai/copilot/articles/githubs-agent-hq-gives-devs-163600284.html
  17. Microsoft announced Agent 365 after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-365/blog/2025/11/18/microsoft-agent-365-the-control-plane-for-ai-agents/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/18/microsoft-unveils-agent-365-to-help-companies-control-track-ai-agents.html
  18. Microsoft presented Agent 365 as an enterprise control plane for governing AI agents.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-365/blog/2025/11/18/microsoft-agent-365-the-control-plane-for-ai-agents/
        https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-agent-365
        https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-agent-365/overview
  19. The official Model Context Protocol Registry entered public preview after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.modelcontextprotocol.io/posts/2025-09-08-mcp-registry-preview/
        https://modelcontextprotocol.info/tools/registry/
        https://github.com/modelcontextprotocol/registry/releases/tag/v0.0.1
  20. By December 1, 2025, autonomous AI security agents had made traditional cybersecurity tools such as SIEMs, EDR platforms, and vulnerability scanners obsolete.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.miniorange.com/blog/agentic-ai-in-cybersecurity/
        https://47518862.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na1.net/hubfs/47518862/eBooks/The%20Agentic%20Security%20Revolution.pdf
        https://openai.com/index/introducing-aardvark/
        https://deepmind.google/blog/introducing-codemender-an-ai-agent-for-code-security/

###################################################################
# 69. What are the most practical techniques for satellite warfare?
#    (id: satellite_warfare_techniques · 15 evaluation statements)
###################################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no country publicly conducted a destructive direct-ascent anti-satellite test that created long-lived orbital debris.
     -> TRUE
        https://swfound.org/counterspace
        https://orbitalradar.com/anti-satellite-weapons
        https://nationalinterest.org/blog/techland/the-enduring-dangers-of-anti-satellite-weapons-and-space-debris
  2. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no publicly confirmed wartime attack physically destroyed an operational satellite in orbit.
     -> TRUE
        https://swfound.org/counterspace
        https://press.armywarcollege.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1967&context=monographs
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, open-source conflict reporting continued to identify GNSS jamming or spoofing as a recurring technique in the Russia-Ukraine theater.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.kratosspace.com/constellations/articles/threat-briefing-year-in-review-2025-space-threat-assessment
        https://www.nbcnews.com/world/europe/gps-jamming-von-der-leyen-plane-russia-hybrid-warfare-europe-ukraine-rcna228479
        https://spire.com/blog/space-reconnaissance/gnss-interference-report-crimea-and-the-black-sea-region/
  4. On September 1, 2025, the European Commission said that GPS interference affected Ursula von der Leyen’s aircraft during a visit to Bulgaria.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9d07z1439zo
        https://www.politico.eu/article/ursula-von-der-leyen-plane-hit-by-gps-jamming-russia/
        https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/09/01/russia-accused-of-jamming-gps-of-ursula-von-der-leyens-plane-during-bulgaria-trip
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, public reporting identified jamming of satellite communications links to commercial low-Earth-orbit user terminals as continuing in Ukraine.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/army-news/2025/analysis-starlink-disruption-exposes-limits-of-ukrainian-battlefield-reliance-on-u-s-private-company
        https://africa.businessinsider.com/military-and-defense/ukraines-front-line-regains-starlink-internet-after-a-brief-global-outage-that-paused/jfm0kyy
        https://www.csis.org/analysis/chapter-8-extending-battlespace-space
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no publicly verified cyberattack permanently disabled a satellite bus in orbit.
     -> TRUE
        https://css.ethz.ch/content/dam/ethz/special-interest/gess/cis/center-for-securities-studies/pdfs/breaking-the-final-frontier-cyberdefense-report.pdf
        https://www.thesign.media/blog/css-cyberdefense-report-breaking-the-final-frontier-cyber-operations-against-the-space-sector
        https://www.viasat.com/perspectives/corporate/2022/ka-sat-network-cyber-attack-overview/
  7. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no publicly confirmed rendezvous-and-proximity operation disabled another satellite.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.swfound.org/publications-and-reports/u-s-military-and-intelligence-rendezvous-and-proximity-operations-fact-sheet
        https://spacenews.com/u-s-uk-space-commands-execute-first-joint-satellite-maneuvers/
        https://spacenews.com/chinese-spacecraft-begin-rendezvous-and-proximity-operations-in-geostationary-orbit/
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no government publicly confirmed that one of its satellites had been permanently disabled by a ground-based laser attack.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gov.uk/government/news/critical-uk-satellites-to-be-defended-from-laser-threats
        https://spacenews.com/nro-confirms-chinese-laser-test-illuminated-us-spacecraft/
        http://wiki.globalsecurity.org/space/library/news/1997/t10231997_t1023asd.html
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no public evidence showed that Russia had deployed an operational nuclear weapon in orbit.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.swfound.org/publications-and-reports/insight----faq-what-we-know-about-russias-alleged-nuclear-anti-satellite-weapon
        https://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publication/russian-nuclear-weapons-in-space
        https://lieber.westpoint.edu/russias-nuclear-anti-satellite-weapon-international-law/
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no binding international treaty banning direct-ascent anti-satellite weapons entered into force.
     -> TRUE
        https://orbitalradar.com/anti-satellite-weapons
        https://spacenews.com/united-nations-general-assembly-approves-asat-test-ban-resolution/
        https://www.unoosa.org/oosa/en/ourwork/spacelaw/treaties/status/
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, public reporting continued to treat electronic warfare against positioning, navigation, timing, and satellite communications as more frequently used in current conflicts than kinetic satellite destruction.
     -> TRUE
        https://swfound.org/counterspace
        https://unidir.org/files/publication/pdfs/electronic-and-cyber-warfare-in-outer-space-en-784.pdf
        https://www.airandspaceforces.com/gps-jamming-extends-to-leo/
  12. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no publicly confirmed combat use of a space-based weapon caused physical damage to another satellite.
     -> TRUE
        https://swfound.org/counterspace
        https://press.armywarcollege.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1967&context=monographs
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, proliferated low-Earth-orbit commercial communications constellations remained operationally relevant to battlefield communications despite reported attempts at jamming.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.csis.org/analysis/chapter-8-extending-battlespace-space
        https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA3139-1.html
        https://www.space.com/space-exploration/satellites/spacex-starlink-internet-isnt-fast-enough-for-ukraines-combat-robots
        https://africa.businessinsider.com/military-and-defense/ukraines-front-line-regains-starlink-internet-after-a-brief-global-outage-that-paused/jfm0kyy
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no publicly confirmed anti-satellite operation created a debris cloud comparable to Russia’s 2021 destruction of Cosmos 1408.
     -> TRUE
        https://orbitalradar.com/events/kosmos-1408-2021
        https://cset.georgetown.edu/publication/mapping-space-debris/
        https://www.sdo.esoc.esa.int/environment_report/Space_Environment_Report_latest.pdf
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, public counterspace discussions continued to distinguish reversible attacks such as jamming and dazzling from irreversible attacks such as kinetic intercepts.
     -> TRUE
        https://warwingsdaily.com/the-duality-of-asat-weapons-kinetic-or-directed-energy-what-are-the-differences/
        https://theconversation.com/the-uk-military-says-russia-targets-its-satellites-on-a-weekly-basis-what-can-be-done-about-it-267232
        https://unidir.org/files/publication/pdfs/electronic-and-cyber-warfare-in-outer-space-en-784.pdf

#############################################################
# 70. What are the research priorities at the NIH?
#    (id: nih_research_priorities · 20 evaluation statements)
#############################################################

  1. NIH released a final NIH-Wide Strategic Plan covering fiscal years 2026 through 2030 between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nih.gov/about-nih/nih-wide-strategic-plan
        https://report.nih.gov/reports/strategic-plans/nih-wide
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the NIH-Wide Strategic Plan for fiscal years 2021 through 2025 remained the most recent final NIH-wide strategic plan.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nih.gov/about-nih/nih-wide-strategic-plan
        https://report.nih.gov/reports/strategic-plans/nih-wide
  3. Congress enacted a full-year fiscal year 2026 appropriation for NIH before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48616
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48765
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Congress enacted a statutory reorganization of NIH institutes and centers.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48765
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R43341
        https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/119/s664/text
  5. As of December 1, 2025, the Trump administration’s proposed fiscal year 2026 NIH restructuring into fewer institutes had not been enacted into law.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.science.org/content/article/trump-proposes-massive-nih-budget-cut-and-reorganization
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48765
        https://www.aip.org/fyi/fy2026-national-institutes-health
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, HHS or NIH identified chronic disease prevention as a central biomedical-research priority under the Make America Healthy Again agenda.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/maha-commission-report-childhood-disease-strategy.html
        https://grants.nih.gov/funding/find-a-fit-for-your-research/highlighted-topics/78
        https://akaprod-www.hhs.gov/about/priorities/index.html
  7. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, HHS or NIH elevated autism research as a near-term NIH priority.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/hhs-trump-kennedy-autism-initiatives-leucovorin-tylenol-research-2025.html
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/autism-announcement-fact-sheet.html
        https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/nih-launches-fifty-million-autism-data-science-initiative-unlock-causes-improve-outcomes
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, HHS or NIH announced new NIH work focused on environmental contributors to childhood chronic disease.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/maha-commission-report-childhood-disease-strategy.html
        https://ptfcehs.niehs.nih.gov/featured-activities/make-our-children-healthy-again-strategy
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/autism-announcement-fact-sheet.html
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, HHS or NIH announced new NIH work focused on nutrition and metabolic health.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/maha-commission-report-childhood-disease-strategy.html
        https://grants.nih.gov/funding/find-a-fit-for-your-research/highlighted-topics/78
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, HHS or NIH announced that vaccine-safety research would be a higher-priority NIH topic.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/maha-commission-report-childhood-disease-strategy.html
        https://www.newsnationnow.com/health/rfk-jr-maha-report-children-health/
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NIH removed cancer research from its stated agency-wide research priorities.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nih.gov/about-nih/nih-director/statements/advancing-nihs-mission-through-unified-strategy
        https://api.politifact.com/factchecks/2025/sep/29/hakeem-jeffries/trump-medical-research-cuts-nih/
        https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/hhs-doubles-ai-backed-childhood-cancer-research-funding
  12. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NIH removed Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias from its stated agency-wide research priorities.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nia.nih.gov/about/2025-nih-dementia-research-progress-report
        https://www.nia.nih.gov/about/naca/september-2025-directors-status-report
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NIH removed women’s health research from its stated agency-wide research priorities.
     -> FALSE
        https://report.nih.gov/reports/strategic-plans/nih-wide
        https://bcvoices.org/birth-and-impact-of-the-womens-health-initiative/
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NIH announced a new agency-wide priority to expand the use of artificial intelligence in biomedical research.
     -> FALSE
        https://grants.nih.gov/grants/guide/notice-files/NOT-OD-25-117.html
        https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/ai-and-machine-learning/nih-seeks-comment-creation-first-ai-strategic-plan-adds-tranche-ai-support
        https://www.nih.gov/about-nih/nih-director/statements/advancing-nihs-mission-through-unified-strategy
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NIH announced a new agency-wide priority to strengthen reproducibility and rigor in NIH-funded science.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nih.gov/about-nih/nih-director/statements/nih-publishes-plan-drive-gold-standard-science
        https://www.nih.gov/about-nih/nih-director/statements/advancing-nihs-mission-through-unified-strategy
        https://www.nih.gov/replicationandreproducibility
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NIH announced a new agency-wide priority to accelerate clinical translation of basic biomedical discoveries.
     -> FALSE
        https://ncats.nih.gov/sites/default/files/2025-07/NCATS-2025-Strategic-Plan-508.pdf
        https://grants.nih.gov/news-events/nih-extramural-nexus-news/2025/11/implementing-a-unified-nih-funding-strategy-to-guide-consistent-and-clearer-award-decisions
  17. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NIH announced a new agency-wide priority to reduce administrative burden for NIH-funded researchers.
     -> FALSE
        https://grants.nih.gov/grants/guide/notice-files/NOT-OD-26-019.html
        https://grants.nih.gov/policy-and-compliance/implementation-of-new-initiatives-and-policies/updates-to-finding-nih-funding-opportunities-and-information
  18. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NIH terminated the RECOVER initiative for Long COVID research.
     -> FALSE
        https://recovercovid.org/news/recover-research-update-december-2025
        https://recovercovid.org/news/recovers-mid-year-milestones-look-2025-progress
        https://www.healthrising.org/blog/2025/10/10/recover-tlc-long-covid-promise-limitations/
  19. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, NIH announced that pandemic preparedness and infectious-disease research were no longer NIH priorities.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/bioterrorism/niaid-staffers-ordered-remove-biodefense-pandemic-preparedness-language-website
        https://cen.acs.org/pharmaceuticals/drug-discovery/making-drugs-next-pandemic-feds/103/web/2025/09
        https://www.nih.gov/about-nih/nih-director/statements/advancing-nihs-mission-through-unified-strategy
  20. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, ARPA-H remained organizationally separate from NIH despite being within HHS.
     -> TRUE
        https://arpa-h.gov/about/timeline
        https://origin.arpa-h.gov/about/faqs
        https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?path=/prelim@title42/chapter6A/subchapter3/partJ&edition=prelim

#################################################################
# 71. What are the Trump administration's regulatory priorities?
#    (id: trump_regulatory_priorities · 20 evaluation statements)
#################################################################

  1. OMB/OIRA released the Spring 2025 Unified Agenda after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/IN12605.html
        https://regulatorystudies.columbian.gwu.edu/trumps-spring-2025-unified-agenda
        https://www.crefc.org/cre/content/News/Items/advocacy-items/Office_of_Information_and_Regulatory_Affairs_Spring_2025_Unified_Agenda.aspx
  2. The Spring 2025 Unified Agenda described implementation of President Trump's deregulatory agenda as a government-wide priority.
     -> TRUE
        https://regulatorystudies.columbian.gwu.edu/trumps-spring-2025-unified-agenda
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/IN12605.html
        https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/the-trump-administrations-spring-2025-unified-agenda-of-regulatory-and-deregulatory-actions/
  3. The Spring 2025 Unified Agenda treated Executive Order 14192's ten-for-one deregulation framework as an operative constraint on agency rulemaking.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/the-trump-administrations-spring-2025-unified-agenda-of-regulatory-and-deregulatory-actions/
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/IN12605.html
        https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/full_text/html/2025/02/06/2025-02345.html
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/M-25-20-Guidance-Implementing-Section-3-of-Executive-Order-14192-Titled-Unleashing-Prosperity-Through-Deregulation.pdf
  4. OMB/OIRA released the Fall 2025 Unified Agenda before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAgendaMain?wpisrc=nl_climate202
        https://federalnewsnetwork.com/agency-oversight/2025/10/the-trump-administrations-first-unified-agenda-is-already-reshaping-federal-regulation/
  5. The Trump administration issued a post-August 31, 2025 executive order that superseded Executive Order 14192's ten-for-one deregulation policy.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAgendaEO14192
        https://federalnewsnetwork.com/agency-oversight/2025/10/the-trump-administrations-first-unified-agenda-is-already-reshaping-federal-regulation/
        https://www.rocis.gov/rocis/downloadResourceDocument.do?uuid=4c1b28b2-c4fa-421a-a53c-76d54f850975
  6. As of December 1, 2025, EPA had not finalized its proposed rescission of the greenhouse-gas endangerment finding.
     -> TRUE
        https://eelp.law.harvard.edu/tracker/greenhouse-gas-endangerment-finding/
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-08-01/html/2025-14572.htm
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2026-02-18/pdf/2026-03157.pdf
  7. As of December 1, 2025, EPA had not finalized repeal of the Biden-era greenhouse-gas standards for fossil-fuel power plants.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.epa.gov/stationary-sources-air-pollution/greenhouse-gas-standards-and-guidelines-fossil-fuel-fired-power
        https://downloads.regulations.gov/EPA-HQ-OAR-2025-0124-0001/content.html
        https://decarbonfuse.com/posts/epa-sends-final-rule-to-repeal-power-plant-greenhouse-gas-standards-to-white-house-for-review
  8. As of December 1, 2025, EPA had not finalized a replacement for the Biden-era light-duty vehicle greenhouse-gas emissions standards.
     -> TRUE
        https://eelp.law.harvard.edu/tracker/greenhouse-gas-endangerment-finding/
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-08-01/html/2025-14572.htm
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2026-02-18/pdf/2026-03157.pdf
  9. The Spring 2025 Unified Agenda identified energy permitting reform as an administration regulatory priority.
     -> TRUE
        https://environmentalhealthsafetybrief.sidley.com/2025/09/12/trump-epa-releases-first-regulatory-agenda-of-second-term-key-takeaways-and-timelines/
        https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/us-administration-s-unified-agenda-3577449/
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/04/permitting-technology/
  10. The Spring 2025 Unified Agenda included DOE actions to reconsider or roll back appliance energy-efficiency standards.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/09/22/2025-18327/spring-2025-unified-agenda-of-federal-regulatory-and-deregulatory-actions
        https://www.energy.gov/articles/energy-department-slashes-47-burdensome-and-costly-regulations-delivering-first-milestone
        https://advocacy.sba.gov/2025/05/29/doe-proposes-rescission-of-conservation-standards-for-several-covered-products/
  11. After August 31, 2025, the FTC dropped its appeals defending the Biden-era nationwide noncompete-clause rule.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2025/09/federal-trade-commission-files-accede-vacatur-non-compete-clause-rule
        https://www.npr.org/2025/09/05/nx-s1-5528937/ftc-noncompete-ban-trump
        https://www.gibsondunn.com/trump-ftc-pursues-non-compete-enforcement/
  12. The SEC's post-August 2025 regulatory agenda included crypto-asset rulemaking as a near-term priority.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-statements/atkins-2025-regulatory-agenda-090425
        https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/09/04/u-s-sec-s-atkins-posts-agency-s-near-term-agenda-jammed-with-crypto-efforts
        https://marketedge.dlapiper.com/2025/09/sec-rulemaking-agenda-focuses-on-crypto-regulation-facilitating-capital-formation-and-easing-public-company-reporting-burdens/
  13. The SEC's post-August 2025 regulatory agenda included implementation of the 2024 climate-disclosure rule as a near-term priority.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-statements/atkins-2025-regulatory-agenda-090425
        https://natlawreview.com/article/eighth-circuit-orders-sec-either-defend-climate-disclosure-regulation-or-write-new
        https://www.arnoldporter.com/en/perspectives/advisories/2025/02/sec-halts-defense-of-the-climate-related-disclosures-rule
  14. After August 31, 2025, federal banking regulators advanced a rollback or replacement of the 2023 Community Reinvestment Act modernization rule.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20250716a.htm
        https://www.occ.gov/news-issuances/bulletins/2025/bulletin-2025-18.html
        https://www.fdic.gov/news/financial-institution-letters/2025/fdic-approves-notice-proposed-rulemaking-rescind-2023
  15. After August 31, 2025, HHS and FDA made enforcement against misleading direct-to-consumer prescription-drug advertising a stated regulatory priority.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/hhs-fda-drug-ad-transparency.html
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/09/memorandum-for-the-secretary-of-health-and-human-services-the-commissioner-of-food-and-drugs/
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/hhs-fda-drug-ad-transparency-fact-sheet.html
  16. DOL's post-August 2025 regulatory agenda included a rulemaking on employee-versus-independent-contractor classification.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dol.gov/newsroom/releases/osec/osec20250904
        https://www.fisherphillips.com/en/insights/insights/employer-guide-to-key-dol-proposals-on-latest-regulatory-agenda
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/employee-benefits-compensation/1681400/dol-announces-spring-2025-regulatory-agenda
  17. As of December 1, 2025, DHS had not finalized its proposed fixed-admission-period rule for F, J, and I nonimmigrants.
     -> TRUE
        https://downloads.regulations.gov/ICEB-2025-0001-0001/content.html
        https://isss.brown.edu/news/2025-08-28/duration-status-elimination
        https://studyinthestates.dhs.gov/2025/08/dhs-posts-notice-of-proposed-rulemaking-establishing-a-fixed-time-period-of-admission-and
  18. DOT's post-August 2025 regulatory agenda included reconsideration of federal fuel-economy standards.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/09/22/2025-18337/department-regulatory-and-deregulatory-agenda-semiannual-summary
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-06-11/html/2025-10586.htm
        https://reason.org/commentary/first-look-at-the-trump-administrations-transportation-regulatory-agenda/
  19. The administration's post-August 2025 regulatory materials prioritized new climate-disclosure mandates for publicly traded companies.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-statements/atkins-2025-regulatory-agenda-090425
        https://natlawreview.com/article/eighth-circuit-orders-sec-either-defend-climate-disclosure-regulation-or-write-new
        https://fwcook.com/secs-spring-2025-regulatory-flex-agenda-signals-a-strategic-pivot/
  20. The administration's post-August 2025 regulatory materials prioritized deregulation of oil, gas, and electricity markets.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/epa-issues-final-rule-extend-unrealistic-biden-era-compliance-deadlines-oil-and-gas
        https://natlawreview.com/article/ferc-sunset-regulations-pursuant-executive-order
        https://www.akingump.com/en/insights/blogs/speaking-energy/ferc-issues-new-final-direct-rule-implementing-executive-order-on-regulatory-sunsetting
        https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/us-administration-s-unified-agenda-3577449/

##################################################################################
# 72. What is the current climate change narrative amongst conservative Americans?
#    (id: conservative_climate_narrative · 20 evaluation statements)
##################################################################################

  1. President Trump described climate change as “the greatest con job ever perpetrated on the world” in his September 2025 United Nations General Assembly address.
     -> TRUE
        https://millercenter.org/the-presidency/presidential-speeches/september-23-2025-address-80th-united-nations-general-assembly
        https://www.factcheck.org/2025/09/trump-misleads-on-climate-change-and-renewables-at-u-n/
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/trump-called-climate-change-a-con-job-at-the-united-nations-here-are-the-facts-and-context
  2. President Trump characterized wind and solar energy as economically destructive in his September 2025 United Nations General Assembly address.
     -> TRUE
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/fact-checking-trump-climate-change-general-assembly/story?id=125855451
        https://www.climatechangenews.com/2025/09/24/fact-checked-trumps-un-tirade-against-renewables-climate-deals-and-environmentalists/
        https://www.unitedstatesnews.net/news/278596399/trump-slams-climate-science-at-unga-calls-it-greatest-con-job-ever-attacks-renewable-energy-migration-policies
  3. Trump-aligned conservative climate rhetoric in fall 2025 continued to use the phrase “climate hoax.”
     -> TRUE
        https://news.meaww.com/trump-wins-war-on-climate-change-hoax-after-bill-gates-admits-he-was-completely-wrong
        https://thedailybs.com/2025/10/29/trump-grateful-for-bill-gates-pivot-declares-victory-over-climate-change-hoax/
        https://legalinsurrection.com/2025/10/president-trump-declares-victory-in-battle-against-climate-crisis-hoax/
  4. Bill Gates’s October 2025 climate memo argued that climate change would not cause humanity’s demise.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/bill-gates-climate-change/
        https://www.nbcnews.com/science/climate-change/bill-gates-climate-change-memo-rcna240225
        https://indianexpress.com/article/world/bill-gates-says-climate-change-will-not-lead-to-humanitys-demise-10332182/
  5. President Trump responded to Bill Gates’s October 2025 climate memo by claiming victory in the “War on the Climate Change Hoax.”
     -> TRUE
        https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/trump-declares-victory-against-climate-hoax-after-bill-gates-comments/article70219553.ece
        https://www.cp24.com/news/world/2025/10/29/trump-declares-victory-against-climate-hoax-after-bill-gates-comments/
        https://www.straitstimes.com/world/united-states/trump-declares-victory-against-climate-hoax-after-bill-gates-comments
  6. Bill Gates’s October 2025 climate memo caused Trump-aligned conservatives to abandon climate-hoax rhetoric by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mediamatters.org/fox-news/ahead-cop30-right-wing-media-misrepresented-bill-gates-memo-declare-climate-change-over
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/commentary/bill-gates-climate-change-hoax-sceptic-science-cop30-5453221
        https://legalinsurrection.com/2025/10/president-trump-declares-victory-in-battle-against-climate-crisis-hoax/
        https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/11/07/nation/energy-secretary-trump-un-climate-conference/
  7. The Trump administration sent no senior federal delegation to the COP30 climate summit in Belém in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://abcnews.com/US/trump-administration-send-delegation-cop30-us-maintaining-presence/story?id=127524096
        https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20251101-white-house-will-not-send-any-high-level-us-officials-to-cop30
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-skips-cop30-climate-summit-newsom-criticism-tariffs/
  8. The COP30 final outcome adopted a binding global timetable for phasing out fossil fuels.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.climatechangenews.com/2025/11/22/cop30-brazil-deal-fossil-fuel-transition-fails-triples-finance-climate-adaptation-what-happened/
        https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cgqlqyepwylt
        https://www-s1.npr.org/2025/11/22/nx-s1-5615207/u-n-climate-talks-end-cop30-brazil
        https://www.climateimpactstracker.com/cop30-outcomes/
  9. The United States’ 2025 withdrawal from the Paris Agreement had legally taken effect by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/CN/2025/CN.71.2025-Eng.pdf
        https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/R/PDF/R48504/R48504.2.pdf
        https://en.ce.cn/main/latest/202501/29/t20250129_39280567.shtml
  10. The EPA’s proposed repeal of the 2009 greenhouse-gas endangerment finding remained unfinalized on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.epa.gov/regulations-emissions-vehicles-and-engines/proposed-rule-reconsideration-2009-endangerment-finding
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-08-01/html/2025-14572.htm
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2026-02-18/pdf/2026-03157.pdf
  11. The Trump EPA proposed rolling back most Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program requirements after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/epa-releases-proposal-end-burdensome-costly-greenhouse-gas-reporting-program-saving-24
        https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2025-09/proposed-ghgrp-reconsideration-preamble-prepublication.pdf
        https://www.hklaw.com/en/insights/publications/2025/09/epa-seeks-public-comments-on-reconsideration-of-greenhouse-gas
  12. Federal tax credits for new and used electric vehicles expired at the end of September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.irs.gov/clean-vehicle-tax-credits
        https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/credits-for-new-clean-vehicles-purchased-in-2023-or-after?intcmp=NoOff_irs_blog_body-blog-post_ext
        https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/used-clean-vehicle-credit?mf_ct_campaign=yahoo-synd-feed
        https://afdc.energy.gov/laws/409
  13. Leading Republican messaging after the September 2025 EV-credit expiration framed EV subsidies as a failed green-policy intervention.
     -> TRUE
        https://hanfordsentinel.com/business/ev-and-renewable-companies-brace-for-end-of-tax-credits/article_3eefa61f-a007-4230-9326-55d93c879970.html
        https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/restoring-america/faith-freedom-self-reliance/3844049/congress-courts-trump-electric-vehicle-mandate/
        https://www.powerthefuture.com/the-free-ride-is-over-ev-credits-officially-expire/
        https://conservativedailynews.com/2025/10/major-auto-companies-reportedly-race-to-save-sunsetting-tax-credit-for-green-boondoggles/
  14. National Republican climate messaging in fall 2025 emphasized energy affordability more than emissions-reduction targets.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/3876180/republicans-reckon-energy-price-backlash-election-losses/
        https://energycommerce.house.gov/posts/chairman-guthrie-op-ed-democrats-are-trying-and-failing-to-blame-republicans-for-rising-energy-prices
        https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5484941-power-bills-trump-gop-electricity-cost-inflation/
  15. Post-August 2025 polling continued to show conservative Republicans as far less likely than Democrats to prioritize federal climate action.
     -> TRUE
        https://epic.uchicago.edu/insights/2025-poll-americans-views-on-climate-and-energy-policy/
        https://epic.uchicago.edu/news/2025-poll-americans-views-on-climate-change-and-policy-in-15-charts/
        https://epic.uchicago.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2025/10/EPIC-AP-NORC-Poll_Climate-and-Energy-Policy_2025_Fact-Sheet.pdf
  16. No major fall-2025 Republican pivot occurred toward endorsing a federal carbon tax.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mediamatters.org/new-york-times/no-republican-party-has-not-pivoted-climate-change
        https://www.deseret.com/opinion/2025/08/18/bipartisan-action-climate-change-carbon-tax/
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/22052025/inside-clean-energy-republican-ira-repeal/
  17. A National Academies review released in fall 2025 criticized the Trump Department of Energy climate report that conservatives had cited in support of climate-skeptical claims.
     -> TRUE
        https://cen.acs.org/environment/greenhouse-gases/National-Academies-climate-report-supports/103/web/2025/09
        https://arstechnica.com/science/2025/09/despite-congressional-threat-national-academies-releases-new-climate-report/
        https://www.eenews.net/articles/national-academies-backstops-endangerment-finding-risking-feud-with-trump/
        https://www.aip.org/fyi/national-academies-report-affirms-greenhouse-gas-endangerment-finding
  18. Hurricane Melissa made climate-change attribution a central affirmative theme in national Republican climate messaging in fall 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://townhall.com/columnists/calvinbeisner/2025/10/31/climate-change-and-hurricane-melissa-n2665756
        https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/11/07/nation/energy-secretary-trump-un-climate-conference/
        https://www.factcheck.org/2025/10/trump-project-2025-and-climate-change-fossil-fuels/
  19. Conservative energy arguments in fall 2025 linked AI data-center electricity demand to calls for more fossil-fuel and nuclear generation.
     -> TRUE
        https://energycommerce.house.gov/posts/chairman-guthrie-op-ed-democrats-are-trying-and-failing-to-blame-republicans-for-rising-energy-prices
        https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/white-house/3854296/maga-nonsense-experts-bristle-trump-fix-ai-electricity-price-spikes/
        https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2025/sep/29/ai-needs-power-nuclear-energy-delivers/
        https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/restoring-america/faith-freedom-self-reliance/3853178/ai-data-centers-energy-consumption-rising-consumer-costs/
  20. A visible “EcoRight” minority continued in fall 2025 to argue for conservative clean-energy innovation without endorsing progressive climate mandates.
     -> TRUE
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/01102025/heather-reams-conservative-climate-action/
        https://acc.eco/blog/2025/09/02/public-comment-climate/
        https://thevitalcenter.com/current-issue/conservatives-must-redefine-environmental-stewardship
        https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2025/09/29/all_of_the_above_energy_or_best_of_the_above_conservatives_way_forward_1137846.html
        https://republicen.org/blog/summer-poll-2025

##################################################################
# 73. What is the US doing to combat drug traffickers?
#    (id: us_drug_trafficking_response · 20 evaluation statements)
##################################################################

  1. After August 31, 2025, the United States began publicly acknowledged lethal military strikes against suspected drug-smuggling vessels in international waters.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.usni.org/2025/09/02/u-s-military-makes-precision-strike-against-suspected-drug-vessel-as-warships-gather-in-the-caribbean
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CDOC-119hdoc92/html/CDOC-119hdoc92.htm
  2. The first publicly announced U.S. lethal strike in the fall 2025 maritime campaign occurred on September 2, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.usni.org/2025/09/02/u-s-military-makes-precision-strike-against-suspected-drug-vessel-as-warships-gather-in-the-caribbean
        https://www.nbcnews.com/world/venezuela/trump-says-us-strike-vessel-caribbean-targeted-venezuelas-tren-de-arag-rcna228709
  3. The Trump administration said the September 2, 2025 strike targeted a vessel linked to Tren de Aragua.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.usni.org/2025/09/02/u-s-military-makes-precision-strike-against-suspected-drug-vessel-as-warships-gather-in-the-caribbean
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpwywjgynyxo
  4. By December 1, 2025, the U.S. lethal maritime campaign had expanded from the Caribbean to the eastern Pacific.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/hegseth-says-u-s-carried-out-3-strikes-on-alleged-drug-running-boats-in-eastern-pacific-killing-14
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/12/nx-s1-5604895/trump-venezuela-drug-boat-strikes
  5. By December 1, 2025, known U.S. strikes on suspected drug-trafficking vessels had killed more than 80 people.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.npr.org/2025/12/01/nx-s1-5626913/did-the-u-s-commit-a-war-crime-in-the-caribbean
        https://www.kaine.senate.gov/press-releases/kaine-colleagues-demand-trump-administration-declassify-and-release-doj-legal-memo-on-lethal-caribbean_pacific-strikes
  6. By December 1, 2025, the United States had conducted more than 20 known lethal strikes on suspected drug-trafficking vessels.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.kaine.senate.gov/press-releases/kaine-colleagues-demand-trump-administration-declassify-and-release-doj-legal-memo-on-lethal-caribbean_pacific-strikes
        https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/01/trump-us-military-boat-strikes-venezuela-caribbean-hegseth-war-crimes/
  7. U.S. officials described the fall 2025 boat-strike targets as narco-terrorists rather than ordinary criminal suspects.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/us-conducts-fourth-strike-boat-claims-was-trafficking-drugs-venezuela-rcna235517
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-strike-alleged-drug-boat-caribbean-kills-3-death-toll-70/
  8. The Trump administration asserted that the fall 2025 maritime strikes were part of an armed-conflict framework against drug-trafficking groups.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-tells-congress-armed-conflict-drug-cartels-venezuela-boat-strikes/
        https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/50-usc-1543-notice-to-congress-durg-cartels.pdf
  9. The United States deployed major naval and air assets to the Caribbean region in fall 2025 as part of the counter-drug campaign.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.stripes.com/theaters/americas/2025-11-20/what-ships-does-us-have-caribbean-19831948.html
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/10/25/what-military-force-has-the-us-positioned-off-venezuelas-coast
  10. The USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group was ordered into the Caribbean region in fall 2025 as part of the U.S. military buildup tied to counter-narcotics operations.
     -> TRUE
        https://taskandpurpose.com/news/uss-gerald-ford-caribbean/
        https://www.southcom.mil/MEDIA/NEWS-ARTICLES/Article/4329595/gerald-r-ford-carrier-strike-group-enters-us-fourth-fleet/
  11. The Pentagon announced Operation Southern Spear in November 2025 as a military operation aimed at drug-trafficking threats in the Western Hemisphere.
     -> TRUE
        https://thehill.com/policy/defense/5605091-joint-task-force-southern-spear/
        https://www.dw.com/en/us-announces-military-operation-against-narco-terrorists/a-74737957
  12. At least one fall 2025 U.S. strike on a suspected drug vessel left survivors.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/us-strikes-cartel-boat-are-survivors-rcna238104
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn97vl7vy7xo
  13. The United States repatriated surviving crew members from at least one October 2025 strike rather than prosecuting them in U.S. court.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn97vl7vy7xo
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/military-strikes-boat-caribbean-survivors/
  14. As of December 1, 2025, the U.S. government had not publicly released detailed evidence for most of the individuals killed in the maritime strikes.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/12/nx-s1-5604895/trump-venezuela-drug-boat-strikes
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/hegseth-says-u-s-carried-out-3-strikes-on-alleged-drug-running-boats-in-eastern-pacific-killing-14
        https://www.kaine.senate.gov/press-releases/kaine-colleagues-demand-trump-administration-declassify-and-release-doj-legal-memo-on-lethal-caribbean_pacific-strikes
  15. As of December 1, 2025, Congress had not enacted a new authorization for use of military force specifically approving the fall 2025 boat-strike campaign.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.npr.org/2025/10/24/nx-s1-5584173/trump-drug-boats-venezuela-maduro
        https://www.justsecurity.org/123717/war-powers-resolution-60-drug-cartels/
  16. In October 2025, President Trump publicly confirmed that he had authorized CIA operations in Venezuela.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-confirms-authorized-cia-action-venezuela-rcna237880
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/trump-confirms-authorized-cia-operations-venezuela-land-strikes/story?id=126563281
  17. In November 2025, the United States designated Cartel de los Soles as a foreign terrorist organization.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2025/11/terrorist-designations-of-cartel-de-los-soles/
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/venezuela-cartel-de-los-soles-us-designation-terrorist-organization-what-is-it/
  18. In September 2025, President Trump determined that Colombia had failed demonstrably to meet its international counternarcotics obligations.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/IN/PDF/IN12610/IN12610.2.pdf
        https://www.nbcnews.com/world/south-america/us-designates-colombia-cooperate-drug-war-first-time-nearly-30-years-rcna231538
  19. As of December 1, 2025, the United States had publicly acknowledged lethal land strikes against drug-trafficking targets inside Venezuela.
     -> FALSE
        https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/01/trump-us-military-boat-strikes-venezuela-caribbean-hegseth-war-crimes/
        https://www.dw.com/en/operation-southern-spear-what-is-the-us-doing-off-venezuelas-coast/a-74760152
  20. As of December 1, 2025, all publicly known U.S. lethal strikes on suspected drug-trafficking vessels had occurred only in the Caribbean Sea.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/hegseth-says-u-s-carried-out-3-strikes-on-alleged-drug-running-boats-in-eastern-pacific-killing-14
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-s-strikes-8th-drug-vessel-pacific-side/

##########################################################################
# 74. What parts of the New York real estate market are currently hottest?
#    (id: nyc_real_estate_hottest · 20 evaluation statements)
##########################################################################

  1. After August 31, 2025, New York City residential asking rents remained near record highs rather than materially cooling back toward pre-pandemic norms.
     -> TRUE
        https://inhabit.corcoran.com/nyc-residential-rental-market-report-october-2025/
        https://www.brickunderground.com/rent/nyc-manhattan-brooklyn-queens-rental-market-report-october-2025
        https://www.realtor.com/research/nyc-q3-2025/
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the New York City rental market was hotter than the New York City for-sale market by affordability-adjusted demand and vacancy tightness.
     -> TRUE
        https://inhabit.corcoran.com/nyc-residential-rental-market-report-october-2025/
        https://streeteasy.com/blog/nyc-sees-strongest-start-to-fall-market-since-2021/
        https://urbanlab.nyu.edu/fall-2025-in-nyc-real-estate-hope-for-the-best-plan-for-the-meh/
  3. In fall 2025, Manhattan remained one of the tightest and most expensive rental submarkets in New York City.
     -> TRUE
        https://inhabit.corcoran.com/nyc-residential-rental-market-report-september-2025/
        https://inhabit.corcoran.com/nyc-residential-rental-market-report-october-2025/
        https://mediaroom.realtor.com/2025-10-16-NYC-Rents-Up-5-4-Enough-for-the-Typical-Renter-to-Buy-a-Home-in-Yonkers,-Philly-or-Orlando
  4. In fall 2025, Brooklyn remained one of New York City’s hottest residential rental submarkets, with high competition for quality apartments.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.brownstoner.com/real-estate-market/brooklyn-rents-rise-october-2025-rental-report/
        https://www.elegran.com/blog/Howard-Hanna-NYC-Brooklyn-Market-Update--November-2025
        https://rsinclair.substack.com/p/meat-and-potatoes-of-brooklyn-rents
  5. In fall 2025, Queens rental demand strengthened notably in relatively more affordable transit-accessible neighborhoods compared with Manhattan alternatives.
     -> TRUE
        https://qns.com/2025/11/median-rent-rose-nw-queens-oct-2025-new-leases-up/
        https://www.skybriz.com/insights/brooklyn-vs-queens-where-to-invest/
        https://mediaroom.realtor.com/2025-10-16-NYC-Rents-Up-5-4-Enough-for-the-Typical-Renter-to-Buy-a-Home-in-Yonkers,-Philly-or-Orlando
  6. By December 1, 2025, New York City’s strongest residential sales momentum was concentrated more in Manhattan and Brooklyn than in the Bronx or Staten Island.
     -> TRUE
        https://streeteasy.com/blog/nyc-sees-strongest-start-to-fall-market-since-2021/
        https://inhabit.corcoran.com/manhattan-real-estate-market-report-3q-2025/
        https://www.brownstoner.com/real-estate-market/brooklyn-real-estate-third-quarter-2025-report-home-prices-record/
        https://www.elikarealestate.com/market-reports-nyc/
  7. In fall 2025, Brooklyn’s for-sale housing market remained supply-constrained and competitive in prime brownstone and northwest Brooklyn neighborhoods.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.brownstoner.com/real-estate-market/brooklyn-real-estate-third-quarter-2025-report-home-prices-record/
        https://lesliegarfield.com/reports/brooklyn-2025-third-quarter-townhouse-report
        https://inhabit.corcoran.com/brooklyn-real-estate-market-report-3q-2025/
  8. In fall 2025, Manhattan’s luxury residential market saw stronger contract activity than would have been implied by a broadly weak New York sales market narrative.
     -> TRUE
        https://inhabit.corcoran.com/manhattan-condo-co-op-sales-october-2025/
        https://therealdeal.com/new-york/2025/11/10/manhattans-luxury-deals-thrive-after-nyc-mayoral-election/
        https://inhabit.corcoran.com/manhattan-real-estate-market-report-3q-2025/
  9. By December 1, 2025, ultra-luxury Manhattan condos and co-ops were not the weakest part of the New York residential sales market.
     -> TRUE
        https://therealdeal.com/new-york/2025/12/01/manhattans-luxury-market-beat-thanksgiving-week-average/
        https://inhabit.corcoran.com/manhattan-condo-co-op-sales-october-2025/
        https://thebolandteamnyc.com/blog/manhattan-real-estate-market-update-or-q3-2025
  10. In fall 2025, lower-priced and relatively affordable homes in New York City generally attracted broader buyer demand than comparably located high-carry-cost properties.
     -> TRUE
        https://streeteasy.com/blog/nyc-buyers-see-more-options-as-sellers-adjust-pricing/
        https://www.propertyshark.com/Real-Estate-Reports/2025/07/30/nyc-homebuyer-types-2025/
        https://www.defalcorealty.com/blog/buying-in-manhattan-under-2m-opportunity/
  11. By December 1, 2025, high mortgage rates and elevated ownership costs were still restraining parts of the New York for-sale market despite pockets of strength.
     -> TRUE
        https://urbanlab.nyu.edu/fall-2025-in-nyc-real-estate-hope-for-the-best-plan-for-the-meh/
        https://streeteasy.com/blog/nyc-sees-strongest-start-to-fall-market-since-2021/
        https://www.havenlifestyles.com/new-york-city-real-estate-in-focus-pricing-rates-and-buyer-trends/
  12. In fall 2025, New York City office leasing strength was concentrated in top-quality Class A or trophy buildings rather than being evenly distributed across all office stock.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/united-states/news/2025/10/manhattan-office-market-maintains-strong-momentum-with-robust-class-a-leasing
        https://www.avisonyoung.us/documents/d/new-york/manhattan-office-report-4q-2025
        https://arielpa.nyc/insights/251031-suits-are-back-nyc-office-leasing-hits-23-year-high-fueling-sales
  13. As of December 1, 2025, Midtown Manhattan office properties around prime transit and trophy corridors were among the stronger parts of the New York commercial real estate market.
     -> TRUE
        https://nmrk.imgix.net/uploads/fields/pdf-market-reports/3Q25-NYC-Office-Market-Report_2025-10-10-144030_orjw.pdf
        https://sch.cushmanwakefield.com/api/public/content/ac476a90261f4f93b1b85a8ccd543a3d?v=e6537122
        https://richardplehn.com/midtown-market-report-manhattan-commercial-office-q3-2025/
  14. By December 1, 2025, older Class B and Class C Manhattan office buildings had not become the hottest segment of the New York office market.
     -> TRUE
        https://arielpa.nyc/insights/251031-suits-are-back-nyc-office-leasing-hits-23-year-high-fueling-sales
        https://www.avisonyoung.us/documents/d/new-york/manhattan-office-report-4q-2025
        https://www.symcrg.com/research/nyc-office-market-outlook-2025
  15. In fall 2025, New York office tenants continued to show a flight-to-quality preference when signing or renewing leases.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/united-states/news/2025/10/manhattan-office-market-maintains-strong-momentum-with-robust-class-a-leasing
        https://nomadgroup.io/resource/market-report-q3-2025/
        https://www.cresa.com/-/media/Cresa/Files/PDF-Market-Reports/New_York/2025_Reports/Manhattan-Office-Market-Report-Q4-2025.pdf
  16. By December 1, 2025, New York retail real estate strength was concentrated in prime corridors and high-foot-traffic neighborhoods rather than uniformly across the city.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.matthews.com/insights/new-york-retail-market-report-q3-2025
        https://commercialobserver.com/2025/08/manhattan-retail-report-rebny/
        https://www.marcusmillichap.com/research/market-report/new-york-city/new-york-city-2026-investment-forecast-retail-market-report
  17. In fall 2025, prime Manhattan retail corridors such as Fifth Avenue, SoHo, and other tourist or luxury-oriented districts were among the stronger retail submarkets.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.matthews.com/insights/new-york-retail-market-report-q3-2025
        https://sohobroadway.org/soho-broadway-retail-occupancy-nov-2025/
        https://www.rebny.com/press-release/h1-2025-manhattan-retail-report-sustained-market-fundamentals-even-as/
  18. By December 1, 2025, New York industrial and logistics real estate was not clearly the single hottest major real estate segment in the city.
     -> TRUE
        https://reoptimizer.ai/inside-new-yorks-split-market-office-resurgence-meets-industrial-reset/
        https://www.matthews.com/insights/new-york-ny-industrial-market-report-q3-2025
        https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/real-estate-market-pulse-december-2025-3182366/
  19. In fall 2025, free-market multifamily rental assets were generally viewed more favorably than heavily rent-stabilized assets with limited rent-growth potential.
     -> TRUE
        https://rsinclair.substack.com/p/perspective-on-multifamily-transactions
        https://www.trepp.com/trepptalk/rent-policy-debates-gain-momentum-as-multifamily-fundamentals-diverge
        https://arielpa.nyc/podcast/2025-10-28-episode116-nyc-multifamily-q3-2025-market-update-free-market-rent-stabilized-and-affordable-housing-trends-featuring-victor-sozio-ben-schlegel
  20. By December 1, 2025, a well-calibrated answer about the hottest parts of New York real estate needed to distinguish residential rentals, residential sales, office, retail, and industrial rather than treating the market as a single uniform category.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/real-estate-market-pulse-december-2025-3182366/
        https://reoptimizer.ai/inside-new-yorks-split-market-office-resurgence-meets-industrial-reset/
        https://www.matthews.com/insights/new-york-retail-market-report-q3-2025
        https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/united-states/news/2025/10/manhattan-office-market-maintains-strong-momentum-with-robust-class-a-leasing

#####################################################################
# 75. What parts of the US economy are seeing the slowest job growth?
#    (id: slowest_job_growth_sectors · 18 evaluation statements)
#####################################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, the BLS Employment Situation report for November 2025 had not yet been released.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_12162025.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2025/12_sched_list.htm
  2. The BLS preliminary benchmark revision released in September 2025 reduced estimated March 2025 total nonfarm payroll employment by more than 800,000 jobs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/prebmk.htm
  3. The September 2025 BLS preliminary benchmark revision implied that payroll growth in the year through March 2025 was stronger than previously estimated.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/prebmk.htm
        https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/us-employment-growth-march-revised-140630243.html
        https://archive.ph/H50Kl
  4. Health care and social assistance added more payroll jobs than manufacturing between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  5. Private education and health services was the slowest-growing major private supersector between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  6. Manufacturing payroll employment grew more slowly than total nonfarm payroll employment between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES3000000001?_nhids=AlNVcxMG&_nlid=uAsF5mrQ7B&output_view=net_1mth
  7. Manufacturing payroll employment grew faster than health care and social assistance payroll employment between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  8. Mining and logging payroll employment grew more slowly than total private employment between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  9. Federal government payroll employment grew more slowly than state and local government payroll employment between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  10. Federal government payroll employment was one of the strongest contributors to government-sector job growth in the post-August 2025 CES data available by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  11. Professional and business services payroll growth lagged health care and social assistance payroll growth between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  12. Temporary help services payroll employment was lower in the latest available CES month than in August 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
        https://fred.stlouisfed.org/data/TEMPHELPS
  13. Administrative and support services payroll growth outperformed health care and social assistance payroll growth between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  14. Information-sector payroll growth lagged total nonfarm payroll growth between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://data.bls.gov/dataViewer/view/timeseries/CES5000000001
  15. Wholesale trade payroll growth lagged health care and social assistance payroll growth between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  16. Retail trade became the fastest-growing major industry sector in the post-August 2025 CES data available by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  17. Leisure and hospitality payroll growth lagged health care and social assistance payroll growth between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm
  18. Transportation and warehousing payroll growth lagged health care and social assistance payroll growth between August 2025 and the latest available CES month as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/summarytable_202511.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ces/data/employment-and-earnings/2025/table1a_202512.htm

############################################################
# 76. What promising cancer drugs are being released soon?
#    (id: promising_cancer_drugs · 18 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. The FDA approved imlunestrant (Inluriyo) for ESR1-mutated ER-positive/HER2-negative advanced or metastatic breast cancer between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-imlunestrant-er-positive-her2-negative-esr1-mutated-advanced-or-metastatic-breast
  2. The FDA approved lurbinectedin plus atezolizumab as first-line maintenance treatment for extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-lurbinectedin-combination-atezolizumab-or-atezolizumab-and-hyaluronidase-tqjs-extensive
  3. The FDA approved pembrolizumab as perioperative therapy for resectable locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-neoadjuvant-and-adjuvant-pembrolizumab-resectable-locally-advanced-head-and-neck
  4. The FDA approved cemiplimab as adjuvant therapy for high-risk cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-cemiplimab-rwlc-adjuvant-treatment-cutaneous-squamous-cell-carcinoma
  5. The FDA expanded revumenib (Revuforj) to relapsed or refractory NPM1-mutated acute myeloid leukemia between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-revumenib-relapsed-or-refractory-acute-myeloid-leukemia-susceptible-npm1-mutation
  6. The FDA approved ziftomenib for relapsed or refractory NPM1-mutated acute myeloid leukemia by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-ziftomenib-relapsed-or-refractory-acute-myeloid-leukemia-npm1-mutation
        https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/nda/2025/220305Orig1s000Approv.pdf
  7. The FDA had approved ziftomenib for newly diagnosed frontline acute myeloid leukemia by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-ziftomenib-relapsed-or-refractory-acute-myeloid-leukemia-npm1-mutation
        https://ir.kuraoncology.com/news-releases/news-release-details/kura-oncology-and-kyowa-kirin-announce-positive-ziftomenib
  8. Vepdegestrant had not received FDA approval for breast cancer by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://ir.arvinas.com/news-releases/news-release-details/arvinas-announces-fda-acceptance-new-drug-application
        https://www.drugs.com/history/veppanu.html
  9. The FDA accepted a vepdegestrant application for ESR1-mutated ER-positive/HER2-negative advanced breast cancer after August 31, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://ir.arvinas.com/news-releases/news-release-details/arvinas-announces-fda-acceptance-new-drug-application
        https://www.cancernetwork.com/view/fda-accepts-nda-for-vepdegestrant-in-esr1-mutant-er-her2-breast-cancer
  10. Ivonescimab had not received FDA approval for non-small cell lung cancer by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/summit-therapeutics-announces-submission-biologics-license-application-bla-us-fda
        https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07405190
  11. The FDA approved ivonescimab for first-line PD-L1-positive non-small cell lung cancer between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/summit-therapeutics-announces-submission-biologics-license-application-bla-us-fda
        https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07405190
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ivonescimab-receives-nmpa-approval-for-first-line-treatment-of-pd-l1-positive-nsclc-based-on-breakthrough-head-to-head-phase-iii-trial-demonstrating-superior-efficacy-over-pembrolizumab-302438600.html
  12. Cretostimogene grenadenorepvec had not received FDA approval for non-muscle invasive bladder cancer by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.targetedonc.com/view/eap-enhances-access-to-cretostimogene-grenadenorepvec
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231204622445/en/CG-Oncology-Receives-Both-FDA-Fast-Track-and-Breakthrough-Therapy-Designation-for-Cretostimogene-Grenadenorepvec-in-High-Risk-BCG-Unresponsive-Non-Muscle-Invasive-Bladder-Cancer
        https://ascopost.com/news/december-2025/intravesical-cretostimogene-grenadenorepvec-shows-strong-high-grade-recurrence-free-survival-in-bcg-unresponsive-papillary-only-non-muscle-invasive-bladder-cancer/
  13. The FDA accepted a cretostimogene grenadenorepvec biologics license application for BCG-unresponsive non-muscle invasive bladder cancer after August 31, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://ascopost.com/news/december-2025/intravesical-cretostimogene-grenadenorepvec-shows-strong-high-grade-recurrence-free-survival-in-bcg-unresponsive-papillary-only-non-muscle-invasive-bladder-cancer/
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231204622445/en/CG-Oncology-Receives-Both-FDA-Fast-Track-and-Breakthrough-Therapy-Designation-for-Cretostimogene-Grenadenorepvec-in-High-Risk-BCG-Unresponsive-Non-Muscle-Invasive-Bladder-Cancer
  14. Imlunestrant plus abemaciclib had not received FDA approval as a breast cancer combination regimen by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-imlunestrant-er-positive-her2-negative-esr1-mutated-advanced-or-metastatic-breast
        https://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/eli-lilly-oral-serd-inluriyo-passes-muster-fda-breast-cancer
  15. Datopotamab deruxtecan received no new FDA oncology approval between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-datopotamab-deruxtecan-dlnk-unresectable-or-metastatic-hr-positive-her2-negative-breast
        https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/nda/2025/761464Orig1s000MultidisciplineR.pdf
  16. Sacituzumab tirumotecan had not received FDA approval for any cancer indication by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://pryzm.ozmosi.com/product/21502
        https://www.biospace.com/press-releases/fda-grants-breakthrough-therapy-designation-to-sacituzumab-tirumotecan-sac-tmt-for-the-treatment-of-certain-patients-with-previously-treated-advanced-or-metastatic-nonsquamous-non-small-cell-lung-cancer-with-egfr-mutations
  17. Belantamab mafodotin was available again in the United States for relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-belantamab-mafodotin-blmf-relapsed-or-refractory-multiple-myeloma
        https://www.gsk.com/en-gb/media/press-releases/blenrep-approved-by-us-fda-for-use-in-treatment-of-relapsedrefractory-multiple-myeloma/
  18. No new FDA oncology drug approvals occurred between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-imlunestrant-er-positive-her2-negative-esr1-mutated-advanced-or-metastatic-breast
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-lurbinectedin-combination-atezolizumab-or-atezolizumab-and-hyaluronidase-tqjs-extensive
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/resources-information-approved-drugs/fda-approves-cemiplimab-rwlc-adjuvant-treatment-cutaneous-squamous-cell-carcinoma

##################################################################
# 77. What role has the UAE played in the conflict in South Sudan?
#    (id: uae_south_sudan · 12 evaluation statements)
##################################################################

  1. In September 2025, South Sudanese authorities formally charged First Vice President Riek Machar with treason in connection with violence in Nasir County.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c07vkln2ezro
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/9/11/south-sudan-charges-vp-machar-with-treason-murder-over-military-attack
        https://www.crisisgroup.org/alr/africa/south-sudan/criminal-charges-against-south-sudans-vice-president-threaten-new-twist-conflict
  2. The September 2025 escalation around Riek Machar’s treason case was publicly attributed by major UN reporting to direct UAE military involvement in South Sudan.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.africanews.com/2025/09/18/un-calls-out-south-sudans-reckless-charges-against-machar/
        https://www.crisisgroup.org/qna/africa/south-sudan/trial-south-sudans-frail-peace
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the UAE was publicly reported to have deployed combat troops or combat aircraft inside South Sudan.
     -> FALSE
        https://eastleighvoice.co.ke/regional/206330/uganda-defends-troop-deployment-to-south-sudan
        https://www.africaintelligence.com/eastern-africa-and-the-horn/2025/09/16/kampala-extends-military-influence-in-south-sudan,110522460-eve
        https://www.eyeradio.org/analyst-suggests-review-of-updf-presence-in-south-sudan/
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the UN Security Council imposed sanctions on UAE officials or UAE-based entities for violating the South Sudan arms embargo.
     -> FALSE
        https://main.un.org/securitycouncil/en/content/sres2781-2025
        https://main.un.org/securitycouncil/en/sanctions/2206
        https://www.uu.se/en/department/peace-and-conflict-research/research/spits/the-spits-sanctions-list/south-sudan
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a UN body publicly found that the UAE had newly supplied weapons to Riek Machar’s SPLA-IO forces.
     -> FALSE
        https://main.un.org/securitycouncil/en/sanctions/2206
        https://www.sudannews.net/news/278780981/security-council-sanctions-committee-concerning-south-sudan-draws-attention-to-panel-of-experts-recommendations-on-implementation-of-peace-agreement-arms-embargo
        https://nordicmonitor.com/2025/09/un-report-identifies-turkish-made-weapons-in-south-sudan-conflict-despite-arms-embargo/
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a UN body publicly found that the UAE had newly supplied weapons to South Sudanese government forces in violation of the UN arms embargo.
     -> FALSE
        https://main.un.org/securitycouncil/en/sanctions/2206
        https://www.sudannews.net/news/278780981/security-council-sanctions-committee-concerning-south-sudan-draws-attention-to-panel-of-experts-recommendations-on-implementation-of-peace-agreement-arms-embargo
        https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/whatsinblue/2025/05/south-sudan-sanctions-vote-on-a-draft-resolution-2.php
  7. As of December 1, 2025, the UAE had not become an official guarantor or signatory of South Sudan’s 2018 Revitalized Peace Agreement.
     -> TRUE
        https://igad.int/report-of-the-executive-secretary-of-the-intergovernmental-authority-on-development-igad-to-the-43rd-extraordinary-summit-of-igad-heads-of-state-and-government-on-the-situation-in-the-republic-of-so/
        https://peaceau.org/en/article/communique-from-the-1283rd-meeting-of-the-peace-and-security-council-held-on-12-june-2025-on-updated-briefing-on-the-situation-in-south-sudan
        https://www.jmecsouthsudan.com/index.php/arcss-2015/agreement-summary
        https://www.jmecsouthsudan.org/index.php/reports/rjmec-quarterly-reports/270-rjmec-quarterly-report-on-the-status-of-implementation-of-the-r-arcss-from-1st-july-to-30th-september-2025/file
  8. As of December 1, 2025, the UAE had not displaced IGAD, RJMEC, the African Union, or the United Nations as the main formal peace-process actors for South Sudan.
     -> TRUE
        https://peacekeeping.un.org/en/aumiss-igad-unmiss-and-rjmec-quartet-call-south-sudans-leaders-to-cease-hostilities-and-urgently
        https://igad.int/report-of-the-executive-secretary-of-the-intergovernmental-authority-on-development-igad-to-the-43rd-extraordinary-summit-of-igad-heads-of-state-and-government-on-the-situation-in-the-republic-of-so/
        https://peaceau.org/en/article/communique-from-the-1283rd-meeting-of-the-peace-and-security-council-held-on-12-june-2025-on-updated-briefing-on-the-situation-in-south-sudan
        https://www.jmecsouthsudan.org/index.php/reports/rjmec-quarterly-reports/270-rjmec-quarterly-report-on-the-status-of-implementation-of-the-r-arcss-from-1st-july-to-30th-september-2025/file
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, credible public reporting continued to treat Uganda, not the UAE, as the most visible foreign state militarily supporting the Kiir government in South Sudan’s 2025 security crisis.
     -> TRUE
        https://eastleighvoice.co.ke/regional/206330/uganda-defends-troop-deployment-to-south-sudan
        https://www.africaintelligence.com/eastern-africa-and-the-horn/2025/09/16/kampala-extends-military-influence-in-south-sudan,110522460-eve
        https://www.eyeradio.org/analyst-suggests-review-of-updf-presence-in-south-sudan/
        https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/1/what-has-triggered-deadly-clashes-at-ugandas-border-with-south-sudan
        https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/whatsinblue/2025/05/south-sudan-sanctions-vote-on-a-draft-resolution-2.php
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no major public evidence established that UAE personnel commanded South Sudanese government or opposition forces.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/04/south-sudans-shaky-peace-risk-collapse-can-it-be-saved
        https://bisi.org.uk/reports/south-sudan-heading-towards-a-renewed-civil-war
        https://eastleighvoice.co.ke/regional/206330/uganda-defends-troop-deployment-to-south-sudan
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no major public evidence established that the UAE was a direct belligerent in South Sudan’s renewed internal conflict.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/04/south-sudans-shaky-peace-risk-collapse-can-it-be-saved
        https://bisi.org.uk/reports/south-sudan-heading-towards-a-renewed-civil-war
        https://eastleighvoice.co.ke/regional/206330/uganda-defends-troop-deployment-to-south-sudan
  12. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, public discussion of UAE influence in South Sudan remained focused more on finance, oil-linked economic ties, arms-risk allegations, and regional diplomacy than on acknowledged UAE combat operations.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/04/south-sudans-shaky-peace-risk-collapse-can-it-be-saved
        https://bisi.org.uk/reports/south-sudan-heading-towards-a-renewed-civil-war
        https://www.radiotamazuj.org/en/news/article/invesetigation-south-sudan-circumventing-un-arms-embargo
        https://blnews.net/2025/02/growing-uae-interest-in-south-sudan-oil-and-beyond/
        https://www.kenyanhour.com/hidden-oil-cartel-drains-south-sudans-lifeline-how-ghost-companies-and-political-fixers-engineered-a-multimillion-dollar-heist/

##############################################################
# 78. What should I plan around for my Europe trip next month?
#    (id: europe_trip_next_month · 17 evaluation statements)
##############################################################

  1. The EU Entry/Exit System began a phased launch on October 12, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/news/new-entryexit-system-went-live-12-october-2025-10-13_en
        https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/news/commission-set-launch-date-entryexit-system-12-october-2025-2025-07-30_en
  2. As of December 1, 2025, the EU Entry/Exit System was fully deployed at every participating external border crossing.
     -> FALSE
        https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/news/new-entryexit-system-went-live-12-october-2025-10-13_en
        https://www.government.nl/latest/news/2025/10/14/the-netherlands-starts-implementing-european-entry-and-exit-system-ees
  3. The EU Entry/Exit System applies to short-stay non-EU travelers entering or exiting participating European countries.
     -> TRUE
        https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/policies/schengen/smart-borders/entry-exit-system_en
        https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2017/2226/oj
        https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=LEGISSUM:4326388
  4. The EU Entry/Exit System rollout can require first-time biometric registration at participating external borders.
     -> TRUE
        https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/news/new-entryexit-system-went-live-12-october-2025-10-13_en
        https://www.gov.uk/guidance/eu-entryexit-system
  5. ETIAS travel authorization was required for visa-exempt visitors to enter the Schengen area as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.eeas.europa.eu/delegations/bosnia-and-herzegovina/new-entry-exit-system-will-lead-more-secure-faster-and-smoother-border-crossings-schengen-area_en
        https://www.sem.admin.ch/content/sem/en/home/overview-einreise.html
  6. Multiple Schengen states had temporary internal border controls in force as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.thelocal.se/20250614/which-european-countries-have-reintroduced-schengen-border-checks
        https://www.tweedekamer.nl/downloads/document?id=2025D19334
        https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/document/download/821dcdfc-2cea-4d21-a70a-ff66f1e3f240_en
  7. Some Schengen temporary internal border controls notified by December 1, 2025 extended into January 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/document/download/821dcdfc-2cea-4d21-a70a-ff66f1e3f240_en
  8. A traveler crossing internal Schengen borders by train or road in January 2026 could assume there would be no identity checks anywhere inside Schengen.
     -> FALSE
        https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/document/download/821dcdfc-2cea-4d21-a70a-ff66f1e3f240_en
        https://polisen.se/en/laws-and-regulations/travel-to-and-stay-in-sweden/border-control/eu--and-ees-citizens/
  9. Ryanair implemented its digital boarding pass policy in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://help.ryanair.com/hc/en-us/sections/38654948938641-Digital-Boarding-Pass
        https://corporate.ryanair.com/news/day-one-of-digital-boarding-passes-huge-success/
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2nkwlge8lo
  10. Ryanair’s November 2025 boarding-pass change eliminated all paper boarding-pass exceptions at every airport.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2nkwlge8lo
        https://corporate.ryanair.com/news/day-one-of-digital-boarding-passes-huge-success/
        https://simpleflying.com/paper-to-pixels-ryanair-digital-boarding-pass/
  11. The 100 ml cabin-liquids rule remained in force at many European airport security checkpoints as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://europeannewsroom.com/the-end-of-liquid-restrictions-at-eu-airports-and-extra-luggage-fees-not-so-fast/
        https://www.dw.com/en/europes-airports-prepare-to-ease-unpopular-liquid-rules/a-73496159
        https://www.thelocal.com/20250801/when-will-german-airports-scrap-the-100ml-liquid-limit-for-hand-baggage
        https://www.thelocal.es/20250826/when-will-airports-in-spain-scrap-the-100ml-liquids-rule
  12. The European Union had abolished the 100 ml cabin-liquids rule at all EU airport security checkpoints by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://europeannewsroom.com/the-end-of-liquid-restrictions-at-eu-airports-and-extra-luggage-fees-not-so-fast/
        https://www.dw.com/en/europes-airports-prepare-to-ease-unpopular-liquid-rules/a-73496159
        https://www.thelocal.es/20250826/when-will-airports-in-spain-scrap-the-100ml-liquids-rule
  13. Drone sightings temporarily disrupted operations at Copenhagen Airport in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4lj1yvgvgo
        https://theprint.in/world/drone-sightings-halt-traffic-at-denmarks-copenhagen-airport-police-say/2748900/
  14. Drone sightings temporarily disrupted operations at Munich Airport in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpw1e7j5ew9o
        https://www.munich-airport.com/press-drone-sighting-at-munich-airport-35709068
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cge2v4r4gr1o
  15. Copenhagen Airport and Munich Airport remained closed because of the autumn 2025 drone incidents as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4lj1yvgvgo
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpw1e7j5ew9o
        https://www.munich-airport.com/press-drone-sighting-at-munich-airport-35709068
  16. Portugal airport ground-handling strike action was scheduled to include January 1-2, 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://adept.travel/news/2025-11-10-portugal-ground-handling-strikes-intermittent-delays
        https://portugaltours.org/portugal-airport-strikes-extended-till-2026/
        https://adept.travel/news/2025-09-03-portugal-airport-strike-returns-76-days-jan-2
  17. A continent-wide airline strike was scheduled to halt flights across Europe in January 2026 as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE

########################################################################################################
# 79. What types of geoengineering solutions to climate change have received the most interest recently?
#    (id: geoengineering_interest · 15 evaluation statements)
########################################################################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, carbon dioxide removal received more visible commercial and policy attention than solar radiation modification as a climate-geoengineering category.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.climefi.com/blog-posts/cdr-market-review-trends-and-transactions-that-shaped-q3-2025
        https://www.cdr.fyi/blog/2025-q3-durable-cdr-market-update-tacking-into-the-wind
        https://www.cdr.fyi/blog/cdr-monthly-recap-october-2025
        https://royalsociety.org/news/2025/11/solar-radiation-modification/
  2. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, direct air capture remained one of the carbon dioxide removal approaches most often highlighted by companies and governments.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cdr.fyi/blog/direct-air-capture-market-snapshot-2025
        https://removals-offsets.ccarbon.info/post/carbon-dioxide-removal-series-direct-air-capture-market-compass-2025
        https://www.cdr.fyi/blog/cdr-monthly-recap-september-2025
        https://decarbonfuse.com/posts/north-america-s-carbon-removal-year-in-review-the-deals-policies-and-milestones-that-shaped-2025
  3. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, biochar remained one of the more mature carbon dioxide removal approaches attracting voluntary carbon-market purchases.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cdr.fyi/blog/biochar-carbon-removal-market-snapshot-2025
        https://puro.earth/insights/post/346-biochars-market-leadership-in-carbon-removal/
        https://carbonherald.com/biochar-market-heats-up-as-2025-credits-nearly-sold-out-supercritical-warns/
        https://blog.sintef.com/energy/biochar-is-the-unsung-market-driver-of-carbon-dioxide-removal-cdr/
  4. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, enhanced rock weathering continued to draw startup, corporate-purchaser, and pilot-project interest as a carbon dioxide removal pathway.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.esgdive.com/news/barclays-turns-to-enhanced-rock-weathering-for-first-carbon-removal-deal-undo/802500/
        https://impact-investor.com/impact-investors-back-greenlandic-climate-and-agri-tech-venture/
        https://carbonherald.com/rock-flour-company-raises-7m-to-pioneer-glacial-rock-dust-as-a-new-cdr-tech/
        https://www.cdr.fyi/blog/cdr-monthly-recap-october-2025
        https://removals-offsets.ccarbon.info/post/carbon-dioxide-removal-series-enhanced-weathering-and-mineralization-market-compass-2025
  5. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, ocean alkalinity enhancement was more prominent in ocean-based carbon dioxide removal discussions than large-scale ocean iron fertilization.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.submarine.earth/news/state-of-mcdr
        https://blog.alliedoffsets.com/marine-cdr-market-landscape-momentum-and-challenges
        https://www.naturetechcollective.org/stories/the-ocean-as-a-climate-superhero-scaling-carbon-removal-with-alkalinity-enhancement
        https://frontiersin.org/journals/environmental-engineering/articles/10.3389/fenve.2025.1641277/full
  6. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, ocean iron fertilization became the leading mainstream geoengineering proposal in government climate policy.
     -> FALSE
        https://blog.alliedoffsets.com/marine-cdr-market-landscape-momentum-and-challenges
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R47172
        https://www.submarine.earth/news/state-of-mcdr
  7. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, solar radiation modification interest remained concentrated on research, modeling, and governance rather than operational deployment.
     -> TRUE
        https://royalsociety.org/news/2025/11/solar-radiation-modification/
        https://climateandsecurity.org/2025/09/a-dose-of-realism-geopolitical-and-security-dimensions-of-solar-radiation-modification/
        https://groups.google.com/g/geoengineering/c/T2_xpiRJ34w
        https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlehtml/2025/ea/d5ea00008d
  8. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no state began a national program to inject aerosols into the stratosphere for climate cooling.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.epa.gov/geoengineering/frequent-questions
        https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/ad4f5c/meta
        https://climateandsecurity.org/2025/09/a-dose-of-realism-geopolitical-and-security-dimensions-of-solar-radiation-modification/
  9. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, stratospheric aerosol injection remained the best-known solar geoengineering proposal in public and scientific discussion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.annualreviews.org/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-environ-112321-081911?crawler=true
        https://royalsociety.org/news/2025/11/solar-radiation-modification/
        https://www.geoengineeringmonitor.org/geoengineering-the-stratosphere
  10. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, marine cloud brightening continued to receive attention as a possible sunlight-reflection research area.
     -> TRUE
        https://royalsociety.org/news/2025/11/solar-radiation-modification/
        https://www.eco-business.com/news/explainer-could-making-ocean-clouds-shinier-cool-the-planet/
        https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2025/ea/d5ea00073d
        https://www.tudelft.nl/en/2025/university-fund/two-and-a-half-years-of-fruitful-collaboration-tu-delft-and-cambridge-advance-climate-repair-research
  11. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no binding global treaty banning solar radiation modification was adopted.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/european-journal-of-risk-regulation/article/solar-geoengineering-governance-a-fragmented-institutional-landscape-covering-multidimensional-impacts/C822429F56FA80D0ACDB5538075AB179
        https://prism.sustainability-directory.com/scenario/international-law-and-solar-radiation-management-oversight-2/
        https://www.solargeoeng.org/african-ministers-call-for-a-non-use-agreement-on-solar-geoengineering/
  12. COP30 in November 2025 produced a formal UNFCCC decision endorsing stratospheric aerosol injection as a climate mitigation tool.
     -> FALSE
        https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/cp2025_12_adv.pdf
        https://unfccc.int/documents/655276
        https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166433
        http://unfccc.int/cop30
  13. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, space-based reflectors became the dominant geoengineering solution discussed by climate-policy institutions.
     -> FALSE
        https://royalsociety.org/news/2025/11/solar-radiation-modification/
        https://www.annualreviews.org/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-environ-112321-081911?crawler=true
        https://www.geoengineeringmonitor.org/geoengineering-from-space-the-final-frontier-for-planetary-scale-climate-manipulation
  14. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, methane removal attracted more speculative research interest than commercial deployment interest.
     -> TRUE
        https://superpollute.substack.com/p/methane-removal-current-state-and
        https://fas.org/publication/early-stage-research-in-methane-removal/
        https://iffs.earth/articles/perspectives-on-removal-of-atmospheric-methane/
        https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ada813
  15. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, policy discussion of solar geoengineering continued to emphasize governance and justice concerns.
     -> TRUE
        https://insideclimatenews.org/news/15092025/un-solar-geoengineering-climate-change/
        https://preview-www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02420-z
        https://chesapeakeclimate.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/CCAN-DSG-EDF-Workshop-Outcomes-Report.pdf
        https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlehtml/2025/ea/d5ea00008d
        https://degrees.ngo/african-scientists-lead-srm/

########################################################################
# 80. What types of plastics are currently considered most eco-friendly?
#    (id: eco_friendly_plastics · 12 evaluation statements)
########################################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a finalized legally binding United Nations global plastics treaty was adopted that ranks specific polymer types as the most eco-friendly plastics.
     -> FALSE
        https://news.sustainability-directory.com/policy/global-plastics-treaty-negotiations-fail-to-cap-production-delaying-binding-action/
        https://www.fiberjournal.com/the-un-plastics-treaty-negotiations-what-geneva-means-for-nonwovens/
        https://phys.org/news/2025-08-plastic-pollution-treaty-disagreement-deadlock.html
  2. As of December 1, 2025, no post-August 2025 international agreement had displaced life-cycle assessment, recycled content, toxicity, leakage risk, and local end-of-life infrastructure as the main criteria for judging whether a plastic is eco-friendly.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.sustainability-directory.com/policy/global-plastics-treaty-negotiations-fail-to-cap-production-delaying-binding-action/
        https://www.europen-packaging.eu/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/PPWR-Final-Text.pdf
        https://prism.sustainability-directory.com/learn/how-can-global-treaties-enforce-lifecycle-assessment-standards-for-all-plastic-products/
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, major regulators or standards bodies newly recognized oxo-degradable plastics as an eco-friendly plastic category.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.epa.ie/publications/compliance--enforcement/waste/2025-09-10---EPA-Position---Oxo-degradable-Plastics---Final.pdf
        https://www.packaginginsights.com/news/soil-health-warning-oxo-degradable-plastic.html
  4. As of December 1, 2025, post-August 2025 developments had not established compostable plastics such as PLA as universally more eco-friendly than mechanically recycled PET, HDPE, or PP across all applications.
     -> TRUE
        https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10965-025-04561-3
        https://carbonlimitingtechnologies.com/insights/biodegradable-biobased-plastics-alternatives/
        https://cedelft.eu/publications/climate-impact-of-circular-plastics/
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no major scientific or regulatory consensus emerged that bio-based drop-in plastics such as bio-PE or bio-PET are automatically eco-friendly solely because their carbon feedstock is renewable.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aalto.fi/en/news/environmental-impact-of-bio-based-plastics-may-exceed-fossil-based-alternatives-study-finds
        https://cedelft.eu/publications/climate-impact-of-circular-plastics/
        https://carbonlimitingtechnologies.com/insights/biodegradable-biobased-plastics-alternatives/
        https://www.packaginginsights.com/news/bioplastics-debate-greenwashing-regulation.html
  6. As of December 1, 2025, the eco-friendly status of compostable plastics still depended on their meeting recognized compostability standards and having access to appropriate composting or organic-waste infrastructure.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/publications/biodegradable-and-compostable-plastics-challenges-and-opportunities
        https://carbonlimitingtechnologies.com/insights/biodegradable-biobased-plastics-alternatives/
        https://www.packaginginsights.com/news/bioplastics-debate-greenwashing-regulation.html
  7. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no major post-cutoff development overturned the view that high-quality mechanically recycled conventional plastics are often among the lower-impact plastic options when they displace virgin resin in suitable applications.
     -> TRUE
        https://cedelft.eu/publications/climate-impact-of-circular-plastics/
        https://pubs.rsc.org/se/content/articlehtml/2026/gc/d5gc02751a?page=search
        https://epd.guide/epd-impact-categories-summarized/raise-recycled-plastics-drop-gwp-no-reformulation
  8. As of December 1, 2025, post-August 2025 developments had not made chemical recycling universally accepted as an eco-friendly end-of-life route for plastics regardless of energy use, yields, emissions, or accounting method.
     -> TRUE
        https://cedelft.eu/publications/climate-impact-of-circular-plastics/
        https://americanrecycler.com/plastics-recycling/the-plastic-chemical-recycling-conundrum/
        https://www.muratechnology.com/app/uploads/2025/08/EU-JRC-Environmental-and-Economic-Assessment-of-Plastic-Waste-Recycling.pdf
        https://www.wastetrade.com/uk/resources/plastics/europes-chemical-recycling-dreams-vs-reality-a-fiveyear-audit-wastetrade-com/
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, regulators broadly reclassified PVC as one of the most eco-friendly plastic types for general consumer applications.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/16/7508
        https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/12/4891
        https://www.vinylplus.eu/news/recycled-pvc-in-pipes-delivers-up-to-90-co2-savings/
  10. As of December 1, 2025, post-August 2025 developments had not changed the conclusion that PHA and other truly biodegradable polymers are most plausibly eco-friendly only in specific use cases where biodegradation provides a real end-of-life or leakage benefit.
     -> TRUE
        https://cen.acs.org/materials/polymers/biodegradable-polymers-make-microplastics/102/i37?sc=230901_cenymal_eng_slot2_cen
        https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1944/18/18/4247
        https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10532-025-10164-y
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, a new global consensus emerged that all biodegradable plastics safely biodegrade in marine environments within short timeframes.
     -> FALSE
        https://prism.sustainability-directory.com/learn/what-is-the-scientific-consensus-on-the-maximum-acceptable-degradation-time-for-a-bioplastic-to-be-certified-as-marine-biodegradable/
        https://envirotecmagazine.com/2025/11/20/are-biodegradable-plastics-the-answer-to-microplastics/
        https://interestingengineering.com/innovation/plastics-biodegradable-pla-lahb-degradation
  12. As of December 1, 2025, there had been no post-August 2025 development making landfill biodegradability alone a sufficient reason to call a plastic eco-friendly.
     -> TRUE
        https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10163-025-02442-x
        https://pubs.acs.org/doi/full/10.1021/acs.est.5c18919
        https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s43621-025-01062-7

################################################################
# 81. What's causing the private debt crisis?
#    (id: private_debt_crisis_causes · 20 evaluation statements)
################################################################

  1. First Brands Group filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://restructuring.ra.kroll.com/firstbrands/Home-Index
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250928297847/en/First-Brands-Group-Initiates-Voluntary-U.S.-Chapter-11-Cases-to-Stabilize-Financial-Position-and-Facilitate-Value-Maximizing-Transaction
        https://www.pacermonitor.com/public/case/60361014/First_Brands_Group,_LLC_and_WEM_US_Co
  2. First Brands Group's bankruptcy disclosures made receivables financing a central focus of investor concern.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sfnet.com/home/industry-data-publications/the-secured-lender/tsl-express-daily-articles-news/tsl-express-article-detail/receivables-purchase-and-asset-based-lending-insights-from-first-brands
        https://www.pymnts.com/news/b2b-payments/2025/first-brands-collapse-puts-spotlight-on-rogue-receivables-supplier-financing/
        https://www.gtreview.com/news/americas/first-brands-supply-chain-finance-debt-tops-us866mn/
        https://www.marketscreener.com/news/mapping-the-scale-of-beleaguered-first-brands-debts-and-its-creditors-ce7d5adcd988f726
  3. First Brands Group's collapse was caused by a September 2025 Federal Reserve rate increase.
     -> FALSE
        https://cdn.pacermonitor.com/pdfserver/MO6D6SQ/216490610/First_Brands_Group_LLC__txsbke-25-90399__0049.0.pdf
        https://ionanalytics.com/insights/debtwire/first-brands-financial-tune-up-raised-red-flags-that-wall-street-overlooked/
        https://www.lincolninternational.com/publications/research-indices/q3-2025-lincoln-senior-debt-index/
  4. Tricolor Holdings filed for bankruptcy protection in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.pacermonitor.com/public/filings/DEOMKFWQ/Tricolor_Holdings_LLC__txnbke-25-33487__0003.0.pdf
        https://www.dallasnews.com/business/autos/2025/09/11/d-fw-auto-lender-dealer-files-for-bankruptcy-amid-fraud-allegations-from-major-bank/
        https://www.bankruptcyobserver.com/bankruptcy-case/tricolor-holdings
  5. Tricolor Holdings' collapse generated allegations that auto-loan collateral had been pledged more than once.
     -> TRUE
        https://businesslawtoday.org/2025/10/seeing-red-flags-tricolor-colorful-lesson-collateral-interests/
        https://news.bloomberglaw.com/bankruptcy-law/auto-bankruptcies-show-astounding-lapses-in-loan-paper-trail
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/securitization-structured-finance/1693510/double-trouble-in-tricolor-risks-in-collateral-misrepresentation
        https://content.clearygottlieb.com/corporate/global-restructuring-insights/tricolor-the-road-to-ruin/
  6. Tricolor Holdings' collapse led some bank lenders to disclose credit losses after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.americanbanker.com/news/after-fifth-third-takes-credit-hit-borrower-goes-bankrupt
        https://www.americanbanker.com/news/dimon-on-auto-lender-tricolor-collapse-not-our-finest-moment
        https://news.bloomberglaw.com/bankruptcy-law/jpmorgan-barclays-others-owed-613-million-under-tricolor-loan
  7. Jefferies faced market pressure in October 2025 because of exposure to First Brands-related debt.
     -> TRUE
        https://ae.marketscreener.com/news/jefferies-discloses-715-million-fund-exposure-to-first-brands-bankruptcy-ce7d5bd2d18cff20
        https://www.investmentnews.com/fixed-income/jefferies-addresses-fallout-from-first-brands-bankruptcy-says-losses-are-readily-absorbable/262522
        https://www.bankingdive.com/news/jefferies-exposure-first-brands-auto-investor-day-smbc-handler-friedman/802744/
  8. Zions Bancorporation disclosed a third-quarter 2025 charge-off tied to alleged borrower fraud.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/zions-bancorporation-national-association-reports-third-quarter-financial-results-302589238.html
        https://www.stocktitan.net/sec-filings/ZION/8-k-zions-bancorporation-national-association-ut-zion-zionp-cik-00001-7ed26b02695a.html
        https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-regional-bank-stocks-hit-182549583.html
  9. Western Alliance disclosed an alleged borrower-fraud matter in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001212545/d3d524c2-d2f2-464a-90ff-6b08ca844706.html
        https://www.thebankslate.com/2025/10/western-alliance-in-phoenix-files-lawsuit-claiming-fraud-tied-to-cre-loans/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/22/western-alliance-ceo-alleged-loan-fraud-isolated.html
  10. Jamie Dimon used a “cockroach” analogy in October 2025 while warning about emerging credit problems.
     -> TRUE
        https://fortune.com/2025/10/15/jamie-dimon-issues-private-credit-warning-when-you-see-one-cockroach-there-are-probably-more/
        https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/jamie-dimon-warns-cockroaches-us-economy-credit-concerns-grow
        https://www.straitstimes.com/business/banking/when-you-see-one-cockroach-there-are-probably-more-jamie-dimon-issues-private-credit-warning
  11. The October 2025 credit scares shifted market attention toward hidden leverage in private-market lending.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.npr.org/2025/10/30/nx-s1-5587806/proliferation-of-private-credit-raises-fears-of-looming-financial-crisis
        https://www.financial-planning.com/opinion/banks-should-be-worried-about-their-exposure-to-private-lending
        https://www.thewealthadvisor.com/article/wall-street-boss-warns-cockroaches-3tn-debt-market
  12. The October 2025 credit scares shifted market attention toward weak disclosure in private-market lending.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.marketscreener.com/news/mapping-the-scale-of-beleaguered-first-brands-debts-and-its-creditors-ce7d5adcd988f726
        https://www.financial-planning.com/opinion/banks-should-be-worried-about-their-exposure-to-private-lending
        https://www.npr.org/2025/10/30/nx-s1-5587806/proliferation-of-private-credit-raises-fears-of-looming-financial-crisis
  13. The IMF’s October 2025 Global Financial Stability Report identified private credit as a financial-stability vulnerability.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr/issues/2025/10/14/global-financial-stability-report-october-2025
        https://clubgestionriesgos.org/wp-content/uploads/execsum-12.pdf
        https://www.globalcapital.com/globalmarkets/article/2fgwsfqc0fst7b66j1ipt/emerging-markets/non-bank-lenders-raise-spectre-of-risk-to-stability-warns-imf
  14. The Federal Reserve’s November 2025 Financial Stability Report discussed private credit as a potential channel of financial risk.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/november-2025-financial-stability-report-near-term-risks-to-the-financial-system.htm
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/financial-stability-report-20251107.pdf
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/november-2025-financial-stability-report-overview.htm
  15. Publicly traded business development companies came under market pressure after the September 2025 private-credit blowups.
     -> TRUE
        https://icapital.com/insights/investment-market-strategy/icapital-market-pulse-behind-the-recent-private-credit-noise/
        https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/do-recent-defaults-signal-a-coming-credit-crisis
        https://accelerateshares.com/research/accelerate-liquid-private-credit-monitor-separating-the-signal-from-the-noise/
  16. The post-August 2025 stress made asset-backed receivables finance a focus of concern among private-credit investors.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.pymnts.com/news/b2b-payments/2025/first-brands-collapse-puts-spotlight-on-rogue-receivables-supplier-financing/
        https://www.gtreview.com/news/americas/jefferies-trade-finance-fund-has-a-quarter-of-its-assets-linked-to-first-brands/
        https://icapital.com/insights/investment-market-strategy/icapital-market-pulse-behind-the-recent-private-credit-noise/
        https://econbrowser.com/archives/2025/11/private-credit-ai-and-financial-stability
  17. No systemically important US bank failed because of private-credit losses between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fdic.gov/quarterly-banking-profile/quarterly-banking-profile-third-quarter-2025-pdf.pdf
        https://www.fdic.gov/quarterly-banking-profile/quarterly-banking-profile-fourth-quarter-2025.pdf
        https://www.icgam.com/2025/10/24/recent-us-credit-market-dislocation-systemic-or-idiosyncratic/
  18. No emergency Federal Reserve facility for private-credit funds existed by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/13-3-report-20260211.pdf
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_lendingother.htm
        https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2020/december/fed-emergency-lending-programs
  19. Daily mark-to-market transparency was a central feature of the assets at the heart of the First Brands controversy.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.pymnts.com/news/b2b-payments/2025/first-brands-collapse-puts-spotlight-on-rogue-receivables-supplier-financing/
        https://www.financial-planning.com/opinion/banks-should-be-worried-about-their-exposure-to-private-lending
        https://www.funderintel.com/post/the-2-3-billion-vanishing-act-first-brands-and-the-factoring-fraud-that-shocked-wall-street
  20. The post-August 2025 private-debt turmoil was limited to a broad increase in benchmark interest rates.
     -> FALSE
        https://cressetcapital.com/articles/market-update/10-23-25-navigating-current-challenges-in-the-private-credit-market/
        https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/do-recent-defaults-signal-a-coming-credit-crisis
        https://www.pymnts.com/news/b2b-payments/2025/first-brands-collapse-puts-spotlight-on-rogue-receivables-supplier-financing/
        https://www.lincolninternational.com/publications/research-indices/q3-2025-lincoln-senior-debt-index/

####################################################################################
# 82. What's going to happen to B2B SaaS companies over the next six months and why?
#    (id: b2b_saas_outlook_six_months · 28 evaluation statements)
####################################################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered its target federal funds rate at least once.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20251029a.htm
        https://www.investopedia.com/fed-cuts-key-interest-rate-again-to-aid-faltering-job-market-11839259
  2. As of December 1, 2025, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields were lower than they were on August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?field_tdr_date_value=202512&type=daily_treasury_yield_curve
        https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_10year_government_bond_interest_rate
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the market-implied path for U.S. interest rates shifted in a way that made lower discount rates more supportive of long-duration software valuations.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20250917.htm
        https://www.optimacapitalmgt.com/insights/markets-digest-the-path-of-interest-rates-the-next-phase-of-the-ai-cycle
        https://sparkco.ai/blog/fed-rate-cuts-impact-on-growth-stocks-valuation
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, public cloud and SaaS earnings reports generally showed that enterprise software budgets were improving rather than deteriorating sharply.
     -> TRUE
        https://research.isg-one.com/analyst-perspectives/the-financial-health-of-the-software-economy-q3-and-2025
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/microsoft-cloud-and-ai-strength-drives-first-quarter-results-302598900.html
        https://www.sap.com/docs/download/investors/2025/sap-2025-q3-statement.pdf
        https://last10k.com/sec-filings/mdb/0001628280-25-054425.htm
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, multiple large B2B SaaS vendors reported that AI-related products were contributing to bookings, consumption, or revenue growth.
     -> TRUE
        https://transcripts.platformaeronaut.com/transcripts/NOW-3Q25-transcript
        https://investor.salesforce.com/news/news-details/2025/Salesforce-Delivers-Record-Third-Quarter-Fiscal-2026-Results-Driven-by-Agentforce--Data-360/default.aspx
        https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2025/11/27/five9-fivn-q3-2025-earnings-call-transcript/
        https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-snowflake-q3-2025-earnings-beat-estimates-stock-rises-93CH-4389743
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, public SaaS companies continued to emphasize operating discipline and profitability rather than returning broadly to a growth-at-all-costs strategy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mcfcorpfin.com/sv/news/software-valuations-insights-q3-2025/
        https://frejaeid.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/redeye-saas-q3-2025-cost-cuts-coming-through-2025-12-02.pdf
        https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/private-saas-company-survey-reveals-ai-driven-transformation-and-sustained
  7. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the public market rewarded SaaS companies more for durable revenue growth combined with free-cash-flow generation than for revenue growth alone.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mcfcorpfin.com/sv/news/software-valuations-insights-q3-2025/
        https://windsordrake.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/SaaS-Valuation-Report_.pdf
        https://www.maxio.com/blog/saas-valuations-retention-growth-story
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, there was evidence that traditional per-seat SaaS pricing was coming under pressure from AI-driven automation and usage-based pricing models.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bain.com/insights/per-seat-software-pricing-isnt-dead-but-new-models-are-gaining-steam/
        https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/technology-media-and-telecommunications/our-insights/upgrading-software-business-models-to-thrive-in-the-ai-era
        https://tiatra.com/vendor-pricing-experiments-leave-cios-ai-costs-in-flux/
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, agentic AI products were increasingly positioned by software vendors as substitutes for some human workflow seats rather than merely as add-on features.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cio.com/article/4098664/agents-as-a-service-are-poised-to-rewire-the-software-industry-and-corporate-structures.html
        https://arpu.hedder.com/software-ai-narrative/
        https://monday.com/p/press-release/monday-com-expands-ai-powered-agents-crm-suite-and-enterprise-grade-capabilities/
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, major horizontal SaaS vendors expanded or relaunched AI-agent products aimed at enterprise workflows.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.salesforce.com/news/press-releases/2025/10/13/agentic-enterprise-announcement/
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250930593151/en/ServiceNow-Unveils-AI-Experience-the-UI-for-Enterprise-AI
        https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-365/blog/2025/09/18/microsoft-365-copilot-enabling-human-agent-teams/
        https://news.adobe.com/news/2025/09/adobe-announces-general-availability-ai-agents
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, enterprise buyers continued to scrutinize AI-software spending for measurable ROI rather than adopting AI tools without budget controls.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.westmonroe.com/insights/state-enterprise-ai-spend
        https://www.deloitte.com/cbc/en/issues/generative-ai/ai-roi-the-paradox-of-rising-investment-and-elusive-returns.html
        https://www.pymnts.com/artificial-intelligence-2/2025/cfos-shift-ai-budgets-to-agents-in-2026/
        https://research.etr.ai/etr-data-drop/tech-budgets-tighten-what-2025-tells-us-about-2026
  12. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, cloud infrastructure providers reported continued strong AI-driven demand that supported the growth outlook for software and data-platform vendors.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.srgresearch.com/articles/cloud-market-growth-rate-rises-again-in-q3-biggest-ever-sequential-increase
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251009750413/en/AI-Drives-Tech-Services-Software-Spending-to-New-High-in-Q3-ISG-Index
        https://www.crn.com/news/cloud/2025/microsoft-vs-aws-vs-google-cloud-q3-2025-earnings-face-off
        https://fastforward.boldstart.vc/cloud-infrastructure-market-notches-first-100b-quarter-driven-by-ai/
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, concerns about AI infrastructure capacity, GPU availability, or cloud gross margins remained relevant to the outlook for AI-enabled SaaS companies.
     -> TRUE
        https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-103125-cloud-giants
        https://blog.imseankim.com/ai-chip-shortage-september-2025-nvidia-blackwell-supply-update/
        https://markets.financialcontent.com/wral/article/marketminute-2025-10-7-oracles-ai-cloud-margins-squeezed-by-nvidia-chips-sparking-investor-jitters
        https://www.cast.ai/press-release/cast-ai-data-shows-gpu-pricing-will-see-a-foundational-shift-in-2026/
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, security, data governance, and compliance remained major barriers to rapid enterprise deployment of AI agents in B2B software.
     -> TRUE
        https://kpmg.com/us/en/media/news/q3-ai-pulse.html
        https://digitalitnews.com/state-of-ai-in-2025-avepoint-sees-12-month-delays-75-hit-by-security-breaches/
        https://242774090.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242774090/Downloadable%20assets%20for%20website/State_of_Enterprise_AI_Agents_2025.pdf
        https://www.zapier.com/blog/ai-resistance-survey/
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, software companies with large proprietary datasets or privileged workflow distribution were generally viewed as better positioned in AI than thin application-layer wrappers.
     -> TRUE
        https://icapital.com/insights/investment-market-strategy/icapital-market-pulse-as-ai-disrupts-not-all-software-is-created-equal/
        https://www.vamsitalkstech.com/agentic-ai/agentic-ai-value-chain-why-enterprise-software-not-hyperscale-compute-drives-durable-returns/
        https://a16z.com/oil-wells-vs-pipelines-two-strategies-for-building-ai-companies/
        https://fazm.ai/blog/anthropic-wiped-out-startups-platform-feature-risk
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, venture funding conditions for private B2B SaaS companies improved more for AI-native startups than for conventional SaaS startups.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/venture-trends-q3-2025/
        https://www.fenwick.com/insights/publications/q3-2025-venture-beacon-key-vc-market-trends
        https://www.saastr.com/the-great-rotation-how-ai-ml-crushed-traditional-saas-in-seed-investing-during-1h-2025-per-angellist/
        https://www.sganalytics.com/blog/enterprise-saas-vc-2025-market-split/
  17. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, private SaaS companies continued to face pressure to demonstrate efficient growth and a credible path to profitability.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/private-saas-company-survey-reveals-ai-driven-transformation-and-sustained
        https://www.lightercapital.com/blog/2025-b2b-saas-startup-benchmarks
        https://www.floatfinance.com/blog-post/saas-efficiency-vs-growth-why-now-is-different
        https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/2025-saas-benchmarks-report
  18. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the IPO window for venture-backed technology companies was more open than it had been during the weakest part of the 2022–2023 downturn.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.ey.com/content/dam/ey-unified-site/ey-com/en-us/insights/ipo/documents/ey-q3-2025-ipo.pdf
        https://www.renaissancecapital.com/review/3Q25USReview_Press.pdf?inf_contact_key=efd01d08e8bfc5a9461b11a17860618cf651f238aa2edbb9c8b7cff03e0b16a0
        https://kpmg.com/us/en/articles/2025/ipo-insights-q3-2025.html
        https://fidelmanco.com/ipos-and-vc-liquidity-what-q3-2025-tells-us-about-the-market-ahead/
  19. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, late-stage private SaaS valuations remained more selective and bifurcated than during the 2020–2021 boom.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fenwick.com/insights/publications/q3-2025-venture-beacon-key-vc-market-trends
        https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/venture-trends-q3-2025/
        http://glca.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/GLC-Advisors-Q325-Software-Capital-Markets-vF.pdf
        https://www.cambriaprivatecapital.com/blog-details/saas-2025
  20. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, M&A activity in enterprise software remained an important exit path because many private SaaS companies still could not rely on near-term IPOs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.forvismazars.us/getmedia/3f75ab3c-73fb-472a-acd5-e6d566f48e5e/H1-2025-State-of-Saas.pdf
        https://www.saastr.com/who-will-buy-the-saas-companies/
        https://developmentcorporate.com/startups/the-post-bubble-playbook-what-enterprise-saas-funding-2025-data-reveals-about-strategic-positioning/
        https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/tech-exits-h1-2025/
  21. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, large enterprise software incumbents continued to use acquisitions or partnerships to fill AI, data, security, or workflow-automation gaps.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.crowdstrike.com/en-us/press-releases/crowdstrike-to-acquire-pangea-to-secure-every-layer-of-enterprise-ai
        https://www.crn.com/news/storage/2025/veeam-s-1-72b-acquisition-of-securiti-takes-aim-at-90-percent-ai-project-failure-rate-ceo-anand-eswaran
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1003935/000117891325003270/exhibit_99-1.htm
        https://newsroom.accenture.com/news/2025/openai-and-accenture-accelerate-enterprise-reinvention-with-advanced-ai
  22. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, customer consolidation of software vendors remained a headwind for point-solution B2B SaaS companies.
     -> TRUE
        https://saasintelligence.substack.com/p/cyber-ipos-raise-the-bar
        https://startupspells.com/p/saas-rebundling-ai-kills-point-solutions
        https://zylo.com/blog/saas-consolidation/
        https://a5corp.com/the-platform-play-why-enterprise-software-consolidation-beats-best-of-breed-in-2025/
  23. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, net revenue retention for many mature SaaS companies remained below the peak levels seen during the 2020–2021 software boom.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.blossomstreetventures.com/post/q4-2025-ndr-at-saas-companies-was-strong
        https://www.blossomstreetventures.com/post/saas-growth-and-ndr-showing-real-stability
        https://sbigrowth.com/insights/is-your-nrr-falling-youre-not-alone
        https://chartmogul.com/reports/saas-retention-the-new-normal/saas-retention-the-new-normal.pdf
  24. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, public SaaS earnings commentary showed that sales cycles for large enterprise deals had not universally returned to the unusually fast pace seen in 2020–2021.
     -> TRUE
        https://research.isg-one.com/analyst-perspectives/the-financial-health-of-the-software-economy-q3-and-2025
        https://www.floatfinance.com/blog-post/saas-efficiency-vs-growth-why-now-is-different
        https://research.etr.ai/etr-data-drop/tech-budgets-tighten-what-2025-tells-us-about-2026
  25. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, cybersecurity software remained one of the more resilient categories within B2B SaaS demand.
     -> TRUE
        https://research.etr.ai/etr-data-drop/saas-growth-slows-as-ai-spend-rises-signal-or-head-fake
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/security/1707796/us-cybersecurity-sector-report-q3-2025
        https://www.briefbites.com/p/the-ai-trend-that-s-unlocking-frozen-security-budgets
        https://pinpointsearchgroup.com/cyber-security-vendor-funding-report-q3-2025/
  26. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, AI coding assistants and software-development agents continued to pressure developer-tool vendors to justify pricing and differentiation.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.theregister.com/software/2025/10/15/augment-hikes-price-for-ai-code-editor-users-protest/1062060
        https://venturebeat.com/technology/github-leads-the-enterprise-claude-leads-the-pack-cursors-speed-cant-close
        https://www.infoworld.com/article/4048198/the-era-of-cheap-ai-coding-assistants-may-be-over.html
        https://zporigin.leaddev.com/ai/breaking-down-jetbrains-complex-ai-agent-strategy
  27. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the competitive threat from hyperscalers and foundation-model providers to application-layer SaaS companies increased rather than disappeared.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.financialcontent.com/article/marketminute-2025-10-1-openais-application-blitz-rocks-saas-market-hubspot-nyse-hubs-takes-a-hit
        https://foundationcapital.com/ideas/when-model-providers-eat-everything-a-survival-guide-for-service-as-software-startups
        https://www.deepstarstrategic.com/insights/why-your-ai-strategy-is-under-attack
        https://icapital.com/insights/investment-market-strategy/icapital-market-pulse-as-ai-disrupts-not-all-software-is-created-equal/
  28. As of December 1, 2025, an accurate six-month outlook for B2B SaaS required distinguishing between AI beneficiaries with monetization traction and companies merely adding AI features without clear customer willingness to pay.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.optimacapitalmgt.com/insights/markets-digest-the-path-of-interest-rates-the-next-phase-of-the-ai-cycle
        https://arpu.hedder.com/software-ai-narrative/
        https://www.sganalytics.com/blog/enterprise-saas-vc-2025-market-split/
        https://kae-capital.com/india-vc-2025-review-2026-outlook/

###############################################################
# 83. What's the most in-demand software engineering specialty?
#    (id: in_demand_swe_specialty · 16 evaluation statements)
###############################################################

  1. The BLS 2024–2034 occupational projections released in September 2025 projected data scientists to have a faster employment-growth rate than software developers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/OOH/math/data-scientists.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/fastest-growing-occupations.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/top-skills-for-fastest-growing-occupations.htm
  2. The BLS 2024–2034 occupational projections released in September 2025 projected information security analysts to have a faster employment-growth rate than software developers.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/information-security-analysts.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/fastest-growing-occupations.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/top-skills-for-fastest-growing-occupations.htm
  3. The BLS 2024–2034 occupational projections released in September 2025 projected software developers to have more annual job openings than information security analysts.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/top-skills-for-fastest-growing-occupations.htm
  4. The BLS 2024–2034 occupational projections released in September 2025 treated “AI engineer” as a distinct occupational category.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/data/occupational-data.htm
        https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/
        https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ecopro.tn.htm
  5. CompTIA’s monthly tech-jobs reports released after August 31, 2025 continued to show software developer/software engineer postings among the largest U.S. tech occupational posting categories.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/latest-employment-data-confirms-an-uneven-tech-hiring-landscape-comptia-analysis-finds-302547911.html
        https://www.comptia.org/en/resources/research/tech-jobs-report/
  6. CompTIA’s monthly tech-jobs reports released after August 31, 2025 showed AI-engineer postings exceeding software-developer/software-engineer postings in absolute volume.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/latest-employment-data-confirms-an-uneven-tech-hiring-landscape-comptia-analysis-finds-302547911.html
        https://nationalcioreview.com/articles-insights/extra-bytes/u-s-tech-job-market-cools-but-ai-hiring-heats-up/
  7. CompTIA’s autumn 2025 tech-jobs reporting indicated that employer demand for AI skills was spread across multiple tech roles rather than confined to a single “AI engineer” job title.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/latest-employment-data-confirms-an-uneven-tech-hiring-landscape-comptia-analysis-finds-302547911.html
        https://www.technologyforyou.org/latest-employment-data-confirms-an-uneven-tech-hiring-landscape-comptia-analysis-finds/
        https://www.technologyforyou.org/tech-hiring-intent-unexpectedly-increases-in-october-according-to-comptia-analysis-of-job-posting-data/
  8. U.S. tech labor-market reports published in autumn 2025 generally supported the conclusion that AI/ML engineering was one of the fastest-growing software-related specialties.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.computerworld.com/article/4052385/tech-employment-is-a-mixed-bag-selective-hiring-marks-a-shift.html
        https://newsletter.pragmaticengineer.com/p/state-of-the-tech-market-in-2025-hiring-managers
        https://www.roberthalf.com/us/en/insights/salary-hiring-trends/demand-for-skilled-talent/tech-it
        https://coderscreen.com/blog/state-of-ai-engineer-hiring-2025
        https://www.jobtarget.com/blog/q3-2025-technology-recruitment-report-selective-hiring-trends
  9. U.S. tech labor-market reports published in autumn 2025 generally supported the conclusion that blockchain engineering was the fastest-growing mainstream software-engineering specialty.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.roberthalf.com/us/en/insights/salary-hiring-trends/demand-for-skilled-talent/tech-it
        https://bluesignal.com/2025/09/10/2025-tech-hiring-trends-ai-cybersecurity-big-data-fintech/
        https://www.computerworld.com/article/4052385/tech-employment-is-a-mixed-bag-selective-hiring-marks-a-shift.html
  10. Autumn 2025 hiring-market reporting generally distinguished cybersecurity demand from software-engineering demand rather than treating cybersecurity analyst roles as a software-engineering specialty.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/latest-employment-data-confirms-an-uneven-tech-hiring-landscape-comptia-analysis-finds-302547911.html
        https://www.roberthalf.com/us/en/insights/salary-hiring-trends/demand-for-skilled-talent/tech-it
        https://www.isc2.org/Insights/2025/09/cybersecurity-hiring-trends-skills-deep-dive
  11. Robert Half’s 2026 technology salary and hiring guidance, released for the 2026 hiring cycle, highlighted AI, machine learning, cloud, cybersecurity, and data skills as high-demand technology areas.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.roberthalf.com/us/en/insights/salary-hiring-trends/demand-for-skilled-talent/tech-it
        https://aem-qs4.np.roberthalf.com/us/en/insights/salary-guide/technology
        https://press.roberthalf.com/2025-09-29-Robert-Half-Releases-2026-Salary-Guide-Highlighting-Key-Compensation-Trends-Amid-a-Complex-Job-Market
  12. Robert Half’s 2026 technology salary and hiring guidance identified prompt engineering as the single dominant software-engineering specialty by employer demand.
     -> FALSE
        https://aem-qs4.np.roberthalf.com/us/en/insights/salary-guide/technology
        https://www.roberthalf.com/us/en/insights/salary-hiring-trends/demand-for-skilled-talent/tech-it
  13. Indeed Hiring Lab reporting available in autumn 2025 showed that generative-AI-related postings were still a small minority of overall job postings.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hiringlab.org/2025/10/28/how-employers-are-talking-about-ai-in-job-postings/
        https://www.hiringlab.org/2025/01/15/global-jobs-and-hiring-trends-report/
  14. Autumn 2025 job-market evidence indicated that production AI roles commonly required conventional software-engineering skills such as backend development, cloud infrastructure, data engineering, or MLOps.
     -> TRUE
        https://intuitionlabs.ai/articles/ai-engineer-job-market-2025
        https://www.eu.vc/p/on-the-pulse-ai-engineer-hiring-5e34
        https://joincloudpros.com/blog/why-ai-companies-hire-devops
        https://interviewnode.com/post/mlops-vs-ml-engineering-what-interviewers-expect-you-to-know-in-2025
        https://interviewnode.com/post/the-rise-of-ml-infrastructure-roles-what-they-are-and-how-to-prepare
  15. Autumn 2025 job-market evidence showed that mobile-app development displaced AI/ML, cloud, data, and cybersecurity as the clearly dominant software-engineering specialty in U.S. demand.
     -> FALSE
        https://ringsidetalent.com/blog/tech-jobs-that-are-booming-and-busting-in-the-ai-era/
        https://www.hiringlab.org/2025/07/30/the-us-tech-hiring-freeze-continues/
        https://www.roberthalf.com/us/en/insights/salary-hiring-trends/demand-for-skilled-talent/tech-it
        https://www.technologyforyou.org/tech-hiring-intent-unexpectedly-increases-in-october-according-to-comptia-analysis-of-job-posting-data/
  16. Autumn 2025 hiring data supported a distinction between the specialty with the highest growth rate, such as AI/ML or data science, and the specialty or role family with the highest absolute number of postings, such as general software engineering or full-stack/backend development.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/top-skills-for-fastest-growing-occupations.htm
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/latest-employment-data-confirms-an-uneven-tech-hiring-landscape-comptia-analysis-finds-302547911.html
        https://www.computerworld.com/article/4052385/tech-employment-is-a-mixed-bag-selective-hiring-marks-a-shift.html
        https://www.chmura.com/blog/the-startup-job-market-in-2025-more-healthcare-more-ai-and-more-open-jobs
        https://blog.getaura.ai/software-hiring-up-us-job-growth-weakens

###################################################################
# 84. What's the regulatory landscape for prediction markets?
#    (id: prediction_markets_regulation · 20 evaluation statements)
###################################################################

  1. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the CFTC did not finalize a categorical federal ban on political-election prediction markets.
     -> TRUE
        https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/outgoing-cftc-commissioner-too-few-guardrails-prediction-markets
        https://www.yogonet.com/international/news/2025/09/08/115212-outgoing-cftc-commissioner-warns-of-prediction-markets-risks-criticizes-regulatory-gaps
        https://www.willkie.com/-/media/files/publications/2026/03/prediction-markets-cftc-issues-new-advisory-and-advance-notice-of-proposed-rulemaking.pdf
  2. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the CFTC did not finalize a categorical federal ban on sports-event prediction markets.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/financial-services/1687972/cftcs-advisory-on-exchange-listed-sports-event-contracts
        https://www.cftc.gov/csl/25-36/download
        https://www.willkie.com/-/media/files/publications/2026/03/prediction-markets-cftc-issues-new-advisory-and-advance-notice-of-proposed-rulemaking.pdf
  3. In September 2025, CFTC staff issued no-action relief to QCX LLC and QC Clearing LLC, the CFTC-licensed entities acquired by Polymarket.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9113-25
        https://www.cftc.gov/csl/25-28/download
        https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/09/03/u-s-cftc-gives-go-ahead-for-polymarket-s-new-exchange-qcx
  4. The September 2025 CFTC staff relief for QCX LLC and QC Clearing LLC was a staff no-action position rather than a new CFTC rulemaking.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9113-25
        https://www.cftc.gov/csl/25-28/download
        https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/09/03/u-s-cftc-gives-go-ahead-for-polymarket-s-new-exchange-qcx
        https://charltonsquantum.com/us-cftc-no-action-relief-qcx-event-contracts/
  5. As of December 1, 2025, Polymarket’s contemplated U.S. re-entry depended on CFTC-registered infrastructure rather than on the original offshore Polymarket venue being treated as lawful for U.S. retail users.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.investopedia.com/polymarket-just-got-cftc-sign-off-prediction-markets-are-on-the-march-kalshi-sports-betting-11857212
        https://predictionnews.com/news/polymarket-tops-sports-app-charts-as-us-launch-hype-builds/
        https://www.covers.com/industry/cftc-amended-order-gets-polymarket-one-step-closer-to-us-return-nov-25-2025
        https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/09/03/u-s-cftc-gives-go-ahead-for-polymarket-s-new-exchange-qcx
  6. After August 31, 2025, the Trump administration withdrew Brian Quintenz’s nomination to chair the CFTC.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/09/30/white-house-withdraws-brian-quintenz-s-name-from-cftc-chair-nomination
        https://cointelegraph.com/news/white-house-pulls-brian-quintenz-cftc-nominee
        https://www.notus.org/trump-white-house/brian-quintenz-white-house-cftc-nominee-winklevoss-twins
  7. After August 31, 2025, the Trump administration nominated Michael Selig to chair the CFTC.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/10/nominations-and-withdrawal-sent-to-the-senate/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/25/trump-cftc-michael-selig-crypto.html
        https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/10/25/frame-trump-names-sec-crypto-task-force-head-selig-as-next-nominee-to-run-u-s-cftc
  8. As of December 1, 2025, the Senate had not confirmed a permanent CFTC chair to replace Acting Chair Caroline Pham.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/nomination/119th-congress/624/2
        https://thehill.com/policy/technology/5616050-cftc-chair-nominee-senate/
        https://www.cftc.gov/About/Commissioners/MichaelSelig/index.htm
  9. As of December 1, 2025, the CFTC’s leadership situation remained unusually thin because the agency lacked a full slate of commissioners.
     -> TRUE
        https://thehill.com/policy/technology/5616050-cftc-chair-nominee-senate/
        https://www.paulhastings.com/insights/crypto-policy-tracker/cftc-nomination-hearing-highlights-market-structure-legislation-occ-issues-interpretive-letter-1186-and-congress-introduces-bitcoin-for-america-act
        https://www.cftc.gov/media/13101/oigmgmtcha120325/download
  10. In September 2025, Massachusetts brought a legal action against Kalshi challenging Kalshi’s sports-event contracts as unlawful sports wagering under state law.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mass.gov/news/ag-campbell-sues-online-prediction-market-for-illegal-and-unsafe-sports-wagering-operations
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/12/massachusetts-sues-kalshi-sports-gambling.html
        https://www.mass.gov/doc/kalshi-final-filed-complaint/download
  11. After August 31, 2025, state gambling regulators continued to argue that sports-event prediction contracts offered through CFTC-regulated platforms could violate state sports-betting laws.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mass.gov/news/ag-campbell-sues-online-prediction-market-for-illegal-and-unsafe-sports-wagering-operations
        https://www.bhfs.com/insight/nevada-gaming-control-board-issues-guidance-concerning-sports-event-contracts/
        https://www.ingame.com/ngcb-letter-sports-event-contracts-not-legal/
        https://www.cftc.gov/csl/25-36/download
  12. As of December 1, 2025, no federal appellate court had issued a merits decision definitively resolving whether the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling-law enforcement against CFTC-registered sports-event prediction markets.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.willkie.com/-/media/files/publications/2025/11/betting-on-uncertainty-in-the-regulation-of-event-contracts.pdf
        https://www.beneschlaw.com/insight/cashing-in-on-preemption-kalshi-lawsuits-preview-the-future-of-gambling-regulations/
        https://static.cahill.com/docs/CGR%20Alert%20-%20Disagreement%20Deepens%20Among%20Federal%20Courts%20Over%20Whether%20Sports%20Event%20Contracts%20Are%20Subject%20to%20State%20Regulation.pdf
        https://www.hklaw.com/-/media/files/insights/publications/2026/05/law360_wherethepreemptionfightoverpredictionmarketsstands.pdf
  13. As of December 1, 2025, the state-versus-federal preemption dispute over sports-event prediction markets remained unresolved on a nationwide basis.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.willkie.com/-/media/files/publications/2025/11/betting-on-uncertainty-in-the-regulation-of-event-contracts.pdf
        https://www.beneschlaw.com/insight/cashing-in-on-preemption-kalshi-lawsuits-preview-the-future-of-gambling-regulations/
        https://static.cahill.com/docs/CGR%20Alert%20-%20Disagreement%20Deepens%20Among%20Federal%20Courts%20Over%20Whether%20Sports%20Event%20Contracts%20Are%20Subject%20to%20State%20Regulation.pdf
        https://natlawreview.com/article/how-courts-and-regulators-are-redefining-us-prediction-markets
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the CFTC did not bring a public enforcement action shutting down Kalshi’s sports-event contracts.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cftc.gov/csl/25-36/download
        https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/where-things-stand-for-prediction-markets-legally
        https://casinobeats.com/2025/11/25/cftc-sports-event-contracts-senate-letter-courts/
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the CFTC did not bring a public enforcement action shutting down Polymarket’s planned regulated U.S. return through QCX.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9113-25
        https://www.cftc.gov/csl/25-28/download
        https://www.covers.com/industry/cftc-amended-order-gets-polymarket-one-step-closer-to-us-return-nov-25-2025
        https://www.investopedia.com/polymarket-just-got-cftc-sign-off-prediction-markets-are-on-the-march-kalshi-sports-betting-11857212
  16. As of December 1, 2025, U.S. prediction-market regulation remained centered on the distinction between CFTC-regulated event contracts and state-regulated gambling or sports betting.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cftc.gov/csl/25-36/download
        https://www.mass.gov/news/ag-campbell-sues-online-prediction-market-for-illegal-and-unsafe-sports-wagering-operations
        https://www.beneschlaw.com/insight/cashing-in-on-preemption-kalshi-lawsuits-preview-the-future-of-gambling-regulations/
        https://www.gamingeminence.com/post/prediction-markets-vs-operators-federal-rails-state-books-and-the-new-economics-of-u-s-betting
  17. As of December 1, 2025, no new federal statute enacted after August 31, 2025 had created a comprehensive bespoke regulatory regime for prediction markets.
     -> TRUE
        https://digital-stage.thehill.com/policy/technology/5541343-key-crypto-agency-on-uncertain-footing-after-white-house-pulls-nominee/
        https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/2026-04-21_IF13207_c62961cbc22e16064e553e075d2c5cbd5a1f4ac1.pdf
  18. As of December 1, 2025, CFTC staff no-action relief did not bind state gambling regulators or eliminate state-law litigation risk for sports-event prediction markets.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cftc.gov/csl/25-36/download
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/financial-services/1687972/cftcs-advisory-on-exchange-listed-sports-event-contracts
        https://charltonsquantum.com/us-cftc-no-action-relief-qcx-event-contracts/
        https://www.mass.gov/news/ag-campbell-sues-online-prediction-market-for-illegal-and-unsafe-sports-wagering-operations
  19. By December 1, 2025, prediction-market operators had gained more practical federal regulatory runway than they had before September 2025, but state-level challenges to sports markets had not disappeared.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9113-25
        https://www.covers.com/industry/cftc-amended-order-gets-polymarket-one-step-closer-to-us-return-nov-25-2025
        https://www.mass.gov/news/ag-campbell-sues-online-prediction-market-for-illegal-and-unsafe-sports-wagering-operations
        https://www.bhfs.com/insight/nevada-gaming-control-board-issues-guidance-concerning-sports-event-contracts/
        https://www.cftc.gov/csl/25-36/download
  20. As of December 1, 2025, the regulatory posture for political-event contracts was materially more permissive at the federal level than the CFTC’s pre-2024 litigation position against Kalshi’s congressional-control contracts.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.covers.com/industry/kalshi-cftc-lawsuit-appeal-election-betting-contracts-drop-may-2025
        https://www.bhfs.com/insight/kalshi-v-cftc-challenges-contracts-on-political-events/
        https://www.clearygottlieb.com/news-and-insights/publication-listing/elections-betting-pays-off-for-now-implications-for-future-event-contracts
        https://www.markwetjen.com/blog/rbj0vuyn4ilpxa63fpl71h4rx8udy8

#######################################################################
# 85. When might continual learning become practical for frontier LLMs?
#    (id: continual_learning_llms · 16 evaluation statements)
#######################################################################

  1. From September 1 through December 1, 2025, no major frontier-model provider publicly announced that its flagship LLM continuously updates its neural weights from live user interactions.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3/
  2. From September 1 through December 1, 2025, major frontier LLMs continued to be released to users as named model snapshots rather than as continuously self-modifying base models.
     -> TRUE
        https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/gpt-5.1
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/developers-tools/gemini-3-developers/
  3. OpenAI's ChatGPT Pulse feature was described by OpenAI as updating GPT-5's neural weights from each user's recent conversations.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nk6IjAnCCqw
        https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/09/chatgpt-pulse-delivers-morning-updates-based-on-your-chat-history/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/25/openai-launches-chatgpt-pulse-to-proactively-write-you-morning-briefs/
  4. OpenAI's ChatGPT Pulse feature used ChatGPT memory or connected-app context to personalize proactive outputs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nk6IjAnCCqw
        https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/09/chatgpt-pulse-delivers-morning-updates-based-on-your-chat-history/
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/25/openai-launches-chatgpt-pulse-to-proactively-write-you-morning-briefs/
  5. OpenAI's November 2025 GPT-5.1 release was presented as a discrete model update rather than as a continuously learning deployment mode.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-system-card-addendum-gpt-5-1/
        https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/gpt-5.1
  6. Anthropic's Claude Sonnet 4.5 release in September 2025 was marketed as an automatically self-updating LLM that learns new capabilities into its weights during customer use.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/09/anthropic-says-its-new-ai-model-maintained-focus-for-30-hours-on-multistep-tasks/
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/context-management?=
  7. Google's Gemini 3 launch in November 2025 was marketed as a frontier LLM with continuous online weight updates from user interactions.
     -> FALSE
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3/
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/developers-tools/gemini-3-developers/
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3-gemini-app/
  8. From September 1 through December 1, 2025, no public frontier-lab technical report demonstrated continual weight learning at frontier scale without meaningful catastrophic forgetting.
     -> TRUE
        https://arxiv.org/html/2510.15103
        https://bengio.abracadoudou.com/cv/publications/pdf/li_2025_arxiv.pdf
        https://openreview.net/attachment?id=BlDEHKSGy9&name=pdf
  9. From September 1 through December 1, 2025, no public benchmark result established that an online-updated frontier LLM reliably outperformed static frontier snapshots across broad general-capability evaluations.
     -> TRUE
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3/
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://openreview.net/attachment?id=BlDEHKSGy9&name=pdf
  10. As of December 1, 2025, commercial assistant memory features from major labs still relied on stored user information outside the base model weights.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/memory-and-new-controls-for-chatgpt/
        https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/aws/introducing-claude-sonnet-4-5-in-amazon-bedrock-anthropics-most-intelligent-model-best-for-coding-and-complex-agents/
        https://jovanipink.com/posts/adk-agent-memory-is-an-operating-boundary
  11. As of December 1, 2025, API customers of major frontier-model providers still selected explicit model identifiers for frontier LLMs.
     -> TRUE
        https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/gpt-5.1
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/developers-tools/gemini-3-developers/
        https://langwatch.ai/docs/ai-gateway/model-naming
  12. By December 1, 2025, no major frontier-model provider had made per-user fine-tuning of its flagship model's base weights the default consumer interaction mode.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/memory-and-new-controls-for-chatgpt/
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nk6IjAnCCqw
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/context-management?=
  13. Post-August 2025 frontier-model announcements emphasized inference-time reasoning, tool use, agents, long context, or memory more than continual neural-weight learning.
     -> TRUE
        https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3/
        https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/gemini/gemini-3-gemini-app/
  14. From September 1 through December 1, 2025, no major provider publicly offered real-time gradient-update training of its flagship frontier model after every API call.
     -> TRUE
        https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/gpt-5.1
        https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5?s=05
        https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/aws/announcing-amazon-nova-customization-in-amazon-sagemaker-ai/
        https://www.marktechpost.com/2025/10/02/thinking-machines-launches-tinker-a-low-level-training-api-that-abstracts-distributed-llm-fine-tuning-without-hiding-the-knobs/
  15. By December 1, 2025, public fine-tuning and customization products for frontier-model customers were still asynchronous customization workflows rather than continuous learning during every inference.
     -> TRUE
        https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/aws/announcing-amazon-nova-customization-in-amazon-sagemaker-ai/
        https://docs.aws.amazon.com/sagemaker/latest/dg/customize-model.html
        https://www.marktechpost.com/2025/10/02/thinking-machines-launches-tinker-a-low-level-training-api-that-abstracts-distributed-llm-fine-tuning-without-hiding-the-knobs/
        https://techcommunity.microsoft.com/blog/azure-ai-foundry-blog/fine-tuning-at-ignite-2025-new-models-new-tools-new-experience/4476642
  16. From September 1 through December 1, 2025, no public cost breakthrough made daily full retraining of frontier-scale LLMs a routine commercial deployment practice.
     -> TRUE
        https://epoch.ai/publications/how-much-does-it-cost-to-train-frontier-ai-models
        https://www.transformernews.ai/p/where-have-the-really-big-ai-models-scaling-pretraining-inference-gpt-compute
        https://www.tobyord.com/writing/inefficiency-of-reinforcement-learning

############################################################
# 86. When might the microtransit company Lime IPO?
#    (id: lime_ipo_timing · 18 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. Lime had not completed an IPO as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.renaissancecapital.com/Profile/LIME/Lime/IPO
        https://www.iposcoop.com/ipo/neutron-holdings-lime/
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/neutronholdingsinc-sx1.htm
  2. Lime remained a privately held company as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://notice.co/c/li-me
        https://forgeglobal.com/lime_ipo/
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/neutronholdingsinc-sx1.htm
  3. No public S-1 registration statement for Lime or Neutron Holdings was available on SEC EDGAR as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/0001628280-26-032523-index.htm
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/neutronholdingsinc-sx1.htm
        https://www.iposcoop.com/ipo/neutron-holdings-lime/
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Lime did not publicly announce a firm IPO date.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.marketscreener.com/news/lime-s-stock-market-plans-are-also-accelerating-voi-s-listing-according-to-vnv-s-ceo-di-ce7d5bdfdb8ff02c
        https://forgeglobal.com/lime_ipo/
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/neutronholdingsinc-sx1.htm
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Lime did not publicly announce final IPO pricing terms.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/neutronholdingsinc-sx1.htm
        https://www.iposcoop.com/ipo/neutron-holdings-lime/
        https://www.renaissancecapital.com/Profile/LIME/Lime/IPO
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Lime did not publicly announce a stock-exchange listing venue or ticker for an IPO.
     -> TRUE
        https://notice.co/c/li-me
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/neutronholdingsinc-sx1.htm
        https://www.iposcoop.com/ipo/neutron-holdings-lime/
  7. Post-August 2025 press coverage described 2026 as the earliest plausible window under discussion for a Lime IPO.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.marketscreener.com/news/lime-s-stock-market-plans-are-also-accelerating-voi-s-listing-according-to-vnv-s-ceo-di-ce7d5bdfdb8ff02c
  8. Post-August 2025 press coverage established that Lime was targeting a completed IPO before the end of 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.marketscreener.com/news/lime-s-stock-market-plans-are-also-accelerating-voi-s-listing-according-to-vnv-s-ceo-di-ce7d5bdfdb8ff02c
        https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/UBER-TECHNOLOGIES-INC-57860975/news/Exclusive-Uber-backed-electric-bike-startup-Lime-hires-banks-for-US-IPO-sources-say-50320817/
  9. As of December 1, 2025, Lime had not announced that it was abandoning IPO preparations in favor of a sale, SPAC merger, or other liquidity transaction.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/UBER-TECHNOLOGIES-INC-57860975/news/Exclusive-Uber-backed-electric-bike-startup-Lime-hires-banks-for-US-IPO-sources-say-50320817/
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/neutronholdingsinc-sx1.htm
  10. As of December 1, 2025, Lime had not announced a merger or acquisition that would make a standalone IPO impossible.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/neutronholdingsinc-sx1.htm
        https://www.cbinsights.com/company/limebike/financials
  11. Via Transportation completed a U.S. IPO in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.ridewithvia.com/news/news-details/2025/Via-Announces-Pricing-of-Initial-Public-Offering/default.aspx
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1603015/000160301525000042/R8.htm
        https://www.renaissancecapital.com/Profile/VIA/Via-Transportation/IPO
  12. Klarna completed a U.S. IPO in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.klarna.com/News--Events/news/news-details/2025/Klarna-Completes-Initial-Public-Offering/default.aspx
        https://investors.klarna.com/News--Events/news/news-details/2025/Klarna-lists-on-the-New-York-Stock-Exchange-2025-hTU1dSZE3k/default.aspx
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/10/klarna-klar-stock-soars-after-us-ipo.html
  13. Netskope completed a U.S. IPO in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.netskope.com/news-releases/news-release-details/netskope-announces-closing-initial-public-offering-and-full
        https://www.netskope.com/press-releases/netskope-announces-closing-of-initial-public-offering-and-full-exercise-of-over-allotment-option
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/18/netskope-ipo-stock-nasdaq-ntsk.html
  14. StubHub completed a U.S. IPO in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1337634/000119312525207371/d83793d8k.htm
        https://investors.stubhub.com/news/news-details/2025/StubHub-Announces-Pricing-of-Initial-Public-Offering/default.aspx
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1337634/000119312525206300/d225849d424b4.htm
  15. StubHub’s shares closed below their IPO price on their first day of trading in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/17/stubhub-stub-stock-starts-trading-on-nyse-opens-at-25point35.html
        https://www.investopedia.com/stubhub-stock-ends-first-trading-session-below-ipo-price-11811671
        https://www.billboard.com/pro/stubhub-ipo-stock-falls-below-price-first-day-trading/
  16. The U.S. federal government shutdown that began in October 2025 reduced the SEC’s ability to review IPO registration statements during the shutdown.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cfodive.com/news/us-ipo-reviews-expected-freeze-government-shutdown-sec/801863/
        https://news.bloomberglaw.com/securities-law/secs-make-ipos-great-again-plan-hits-shutdown-stumbling-block
        https://www.sullcrom.com/insights/memo/2025/October/Implications-Government-Shutdown-SEC-Registered-Securities-Transactions
        https://www.mcguirewoods.com/client-resources/alerts/2025/10/sec-operations-during-the-government-shutdown-key-takeaways/
  17. The U.S. federal government shutdown had ended before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c891nvwvg2zo
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/how-the-longest-government-shutdown-in-history-came-to-an-end/
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/trump-signs-government-funding-bill-ending-record-43-day-shutdown
        https://www-s1.npr.org/2025/11/12/g-s1-97607/house-vote-shutdown-end
  18. The October-November 2025 U.S. federal government shutdown forced Lime to withdraw a public IPO filing.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/neutronholdingsinc-sx1.htm
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1699963/000162828026032523/0001628280-26-032523-index.htm
        https://www.cfodive.com/news/us-ipo-reviews-expected-freeze-government-shutdown-sec/801863/

##############################################################################################
# 87. Where should I look to source precision manufactured steel for a Texas industrial plant?
#    (id: precision_steel_texas_sourcing · 18 evaluation statements)
##############################################################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, the U.S. Section 232 tariff rate on most imported steel mill products remained 50 percent.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/06/adjusting-imports-of-aluminum-and-steel-into-the-united-states/
        https://www.dwt.com/insights/2025/11/current-status-of-trump-section-232-tariffs
        https://greatlakescustomslaw.com/section-232-steel-and-aluminum-tariffs-2025/
  2. As of December 1, 2025, Mexican-origin steel did not have a blanket exemption from U.S. Section 232 steel tariffs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bis.gov/section-232-steel-aluminum
        https://www.whitecase.com/insight-alert/president-trump-expands-steel-and-aluminum-tariffs-all-countries-effective-march-12
        https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/international-trade-investment/1587988/president-trumps-proclamation-on-steel-tariffs
  3. As of December 1, 2025, Canadian-origin steel did not have a blanket exemption from U.S. Section 232 steel tariffs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bis.gov/section-232-steel-aluminum
        https://www.international.gc.ca/trade-commerce/trade-agreements-accords-commerciaux/agr-acc/cusma-aceum/aluminum-import-importation-aluminium.aspx?lang=eng
        https://www.mccarthy.ca/en/insights/blogs/terms-trade/us-steel-and-aluminum-tariffs-and-new-canadian-retaliatory-measures-now-force-what-businesses-need-know
  4. As of December 1, 2025, USMCA compliance alone did not exempt steel imports from U.S. Section 232 steel tariffs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mccarthy.ca/en/insights/blogs/terms-trade/us-steel-and-aluminum-tariffs-and-new-canadian-retaliatory-measures-now-force-what-businesses-need-know
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IN12519
        https://blogs.tradlinx.com/usmca-review-starts-july-1-here-is-what-is-already-changing-for-cross-border-supply-chains/
  5. In September 2025, the U.S. Commerce Department accepted requests under its Section 232 process for adding more steel derivative products to the tariff list.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.thompsonhinesmartrade.com/2025/09/bis-now-accepting-requests-to-add-products-to-section-232-steel-and-aluminum-tariffs/
        https://kpmg.com/us/en/taxnewsflash/news/2025/09/us-bis-opens-inclusions-window-section-232-steel-aluminum-tariff-inclusions.html
        https://www.strtrade.com/trade-news-resources/str-trade-report/trade-report/september/section-232-tariffs-could-be-expanded-to-more-steel-and-aluminum-goods
  6. As of December 1, 2025, many imported downstream steel derivative products were subject to Section 232 duties on their steel content.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-08-19/html/2025-15819.htm
        https://www.bis.gov/press-release/department-commerce-adds-407-product-categories-steel-aluminum-tariffs
        https://www.dwt.com/insights/2025/11/current-status-of-trump-section-232-tariffs
  7. As of December 1, 2025, no U.S. Supreme Court decision had removed the Section 232 steel tariffs.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dwt.com/insights/2025/11/current-status-of-trump-section-232-tariffs
        https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/R/HTML/R48549.html
        https://fedcircuitblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/PrimeSource-Opinion-Below.pdf
  8. In fall 2025, USTR opened the public-comment process for the 2026 USMCA joint review.
     -> TRUE
        https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2025/september/ustr-seeks-public-comment-joint-review-usmca
        https://www.cov.com/en/news-and-insights/insights/2025/09/the-united-states-mexico-and-canada-launch-domestic-consultation-processes-on-upcoming-usmca-review
        https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=d37551ad-a3bd-4ebc-9856-3313a25f127f
  9. As of December 1, 2025, the United States had not withdrawn from USMCA.
     -> TRUE
        https://ustr.gov/trade-agreements/free-trade-agreements/united-states-mexico-canada-agreement
        https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2025/september/ustr-seeks-public-comment-joint-review-usmca
        https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2025/december/public-hearing-first-joint-review-usmca
  10. By December 1, 2025, final U.S. trade-remedy duties covered corrosion-resistant flat-rolled steel products from Mexico.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-12-19/pdf/2025-23431.pdf
        https://trade-remedies.wto.org/en/countervailing/investigations/measures/usa-c-201-864
        https://www.usitc.gov/press_room/news_release/2025/er0925_67620.htm
  11. By December 1, 2025, final U.S. trade-remedy duties covered corrosion-resistant flat-rolled steel products from Canada.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-12-19/pdf/2025-23431.pdf
        https://www.usitc.gov/press_room/news_release/2025/er0925_67620.htm
  12. By December 1, 2025, final U.S. trade-remedy duties covered corrosion-resistant flat-rolled steel products from Vietnam.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-12-19/pdf/2025-23431.pdf
        https://trade-remedies.wto.org/en/countervailing/investigations/measures/usa-c-552-844
        https://www.usitc.gov/press_room/news_release/2025/er0925_67620.htm
  13. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no new greenfield steel mill began commercial production in Texas.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/data-tools/new-steel-mill-capacity/
        https://thermalprocessing.com/news/tenovas-first-green-city-mill-flex-platform-planned-for-vinton-steel/
        https://texasborderbusiness.com/bnd-tours-forza-steels-85m-650000-square-foot-port-facility-at-the-port-of-brownsville/
  14. As of December 1, 2025, Steel Dynamics' Sinton, Texas flat-roll mill remained an operating domestic source for flat-rolled steel.
     -> TRUE
        https://sinton.steeldynamics.com/
        https://sinton.steeldynamics.com/flat-roll/
        https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/2025/01/23/sdi-bullish-on-sinton-as-capacity-utilization-passes-80-threshold/
        https://www.recyclingtoday.com/news/steel-dynamics-shipments-recycling-margins-q1-2025-guidance-aluminum/
  15. As of December 1, 2025, JSW Steel USA's Baytown, Texas operation remained an operating domestic source for plate and pipe products.
     -> TRUE
        https://jswsteel.us/baytown/
        https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/2025/01/30/jsw-steel-usa-earnings-fall-in-quarter-ended-dec-31/
        https://jswsteel.us/dsaw-pipe/
        https://jswsteel.us/carbon-steel-plate/
  16. As of December 1, 2025, Commercial Metals Company's Seguin, Texas mill remained an operating domestic source for long steel products.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.gem.wiki/CMC_Steel_Texas_plant
        https://www.experienceguadalupevalley.com/who-we-serve/p/item/11197/cmc-steel-texas
  17. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no named tropical cyclone caused a long-term shutdown of the Port of Houston.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fox26houston.com/weather/texas-2025-hurricane-season-recap
        https://prod-01-alb-www-noaa.woc.noaa.gov/news-release/2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-marked-by-striking-contrasts
        https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atlThere&season=2025
  18. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, no Gulf Coast port labor strike shut down steel import handling at Houston.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.giftsanddec.com/industry-news/east-coast-port-strike-called-off-as-agreement-is-reached/
        https://www.freightwaves.com/news/houston-gains-as-other-new-orleans-corpus-christi-slip-in-august
        https://www.projectcargojournal.com/ports-and-terminals/2025/10/01/port-houstons-general-cargo-lifts-tonnage-growth-through-august/

############################################################################################
# 88. Which blue collar job is currently most exposed to automation via industrial robotics?
#    (id: blue_collar_robotics_automation · 18 evaluation statements)
############################################################################################

  1. After August 31, 2025, the International Federation of Robotics released its World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics covering 2024 installations.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.therobotreport.com/ifr-industrial-robot-deployments-have-doubled-in-10-years/
        https://ifr.org/news/global-robot-demand-in-factories-doubles-over-10-years/1
  2. The World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics reported that global annual industrial robot installations remained above 500,000 units in 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Industrial_Robots.pdf
        https://www.presseportal.de/en/pm/115415/6125403
  3. The World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics reported that the worldwide operational stock of industrial robots exceeded 4 million units in 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.therobotreport.com/ifr-industrial-robot-deployments-have-doubled-in-10-years/
        https://www.presseportal.de/en/pm/115415/6125403
  4. In the World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics, handling operations were the largest application category for newly installed industrial robots in 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Industrial_Robots.pdf
        https://ifr.org/wr-industrial-robots
  5. In the World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics, welding and soldering were the largest application category for newly installed industrial robots in 2024.
     -> FALSE
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Industrial_Robots.pdf
        https://ifr.org/wr-industrial-robots
  6. In the World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics, welding and soldering remained one of the two largest application categories for newly installed industrial robots in 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Industrial_Robots.pdf
        https://ifr.org/wr-industrial-robots
  7. In the World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics, assembly and disassembly accounted for more newly installed industrial robots than handling operations in 2024.
     -> FALSE
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Industrial_Robots.pdf
        https://ifr.org/wr-industrial-robots
  8. The World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics treated machine tending as part of the broader handling-operations application category.
     -> TRUE
        https://ifr.org/wr-industrial-robots
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Industrial_Robots.pdf
  9. The World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics showed that the automotive and electrical/electronics industries remained among the largest end-user industries for newly installed industrial robots in 2024.
     -> TRUE
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Industrial_Robots.pdf
  10. The World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics showed that construction was the largest end-user industry for newly installed industrial robots in 2024.
     -> FALSE
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Industrial_Robots.pdf
  11. The World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics showed that agriculture was the largest end-user industry for newly installed industrial robots in 2024.
     -> FALSE
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Industrial_Robots.pdf
  12. The World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics reported that China installed more industrial robots in 2024 than any other country.
     -> TRUE
        https://ifr.org/downloads/press_docs/2025-09-25-IFR_press_release_China_in_English.pdf
        https://english.news.cn/20250926/0e0d8b4348b64c36951cc1c000498d38/c.html
        https://www.americanmachinist.com/automation-and-robotics/news/55319343/china-dominates-industrial-robot-installation-international-federation-of-robotics
  13. The World Robotics 2025 industrial robot statistics reported that the United States installed more industrial robots in 2024 than China.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.presseportal.de/en/pm/115415/6125399
        https://www.controldesign.com/industry-news/news/55319216/ifr-world-robotics-2025-report-reveals-us-is-lagging-behind-china
        https://ifr.org/news/global-robot-demand-in-factories-doubles-over-10-years/1
  14. Post-August 2025 industrial-robotics data continued to show factory applications, rather than field construction or farm work, as the dominant setting for installed industrial robots.
     -> TRUE
        https://ifr.org/news/global-robot-demand-in-factories-doubles-over-10-years/1
        https://www.presseportal.de/en/pm/115415/6125403
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Service_Robots.pdf
  15. By December 1, 2025, general-purpose humanoid robots had not reached deployment volumes comparable to conventional industrial robot arms in factories.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.therobotreport.com/ifr-industrial-robot-deployments-have-doubled-in-10-years/
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/15/is-the-humanoid-robot-industry-ready-for-its-chat-gpt-moment.html
        https://www.bain.com/insights/humanoid-robots-from-demos-to-deployment-technology-report-2025/
        https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/industrials/our-insights/humanoid-robots-crossing-the-chasm-from-concept-to-commercial-reality
  16. By December 1, 2025, post-August 2025 evidence had not shown humanoid factory robots overtaking conventional industrial robot arms as the main source of blue-collar automation exposure.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.therobotreport.com/ifr-industrial-robot-deployments-have-doubled-in-10-years/
        https://www.bain.com/insights/humanoid-robots-from-demos-to-deployment-technology-report-2025/
        https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/industrials/our-insights/humanoid-robots-crossing-the-chasm-from-concept-to-commercial-reality
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/15/is-the-humanoid-robot-industry-ready-for-its-chat-gpt-moment.html
  17. IFR’s post-August 2025 robotics reporting continued to distinguish industrial robots from many warehouse autonomous mobile robots that are usually counted under service or logistics robots.
     -> TRUE
        https://ifr.org/downloads/press_docs/PressConference2025_presentation.pdf
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Service_Robots.pdf
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/WR_Service_Robots_2023_Sources_and_Methods.pdf
  18. Post-August 2025 robotics reporting provided stronger evidence of automation exposure for repetitive factory handling, machine-tending, welding, and assembly jobs than for most outdoor construction trades.
     -> TRUE
        https://ifr.org/news/global-robot-demand-in-factories-doubles-over-10-years/1
        https://ifr.org/img/worldrobotics/Executive_Summary_WR_2025_Industrial_Robots.pdf
        https://www.imeche.org/news/news-article/humanoid-robot-trialled-on-uk-building-site-but-regulatory-barriers-may-limit-wider-adoption
        https://machinetoolnews.ai/humanoid-robots-in-manufacturing-2025/

#############################################################
# 89. Which Boston biotech firms are most prestigious?
#    (id: boston_biotech_prestige · 14 evaluation statements)
#############################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, Vertex Pharmaceuticals had the largest market capitalization of any independent Boston-area biotechnology company.
     -> TRUE
        https://wewillcure.com/insights/company-profiles/biggest-biotech-companies-in-boston
        https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask?q=what%27s+the+market+cap+of+alnylam+pharmaceuticals
        https://www.companieshistory.com/moderna/
  2. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no Boston-area biotechnology company overtook Vertex Pharmaceuticals as the region's highest-valued independent biotech.
     -> TRUE
        https://wewillcure.com/insights/company-profiles/biggest-biotech-companies-in-boston
        https://wallstreetnumbers.com/stocks/alny/market-cap
        https://mondovisione.com/media-and-resources/news/top-20-global-biopharmaceutical-companies-report-4-market-capitalization-growth-20251031/
  3. As of December 1, 2025, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals had a higher market capitalization than both Biogen and Moderna.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask?q=what%27s+the+market+cap+of+alnylam+pharmaceuticals
        https://www.trefis.com/data/companies/ALNY
        https://gevestor.com/articles/biogen-2025-new-therapies-chmp-nod-and-alcyone-buy-drive-growth/
        https://www.companieshistory.com/moderna/
  4. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals remained an independent Cambridge-based public biotechnology company.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251030005751/en/Alnylam-Pharmaceuticals-Reports-Third-Quarter-2025-Financial-Results-and-Highlights-Recent-Period-Progress
        https://investors.alnylam.com/press-release?id=29446
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Biogen did not receive FDA approval for a wholly new molecular entity.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.biospace.com/press-releases/fda-approves-leqembi-iqlik-lecanemab-irmb-subcutaneous-injection-for-maintenance-dosing-for-the-treatment-of-early-alzheimers-disease
        https://investors.biogen.com/static-files/17569182-fae2-4340-9985-cfebbe73db61
        https://www.fda.gov/drugs/novel-drug-approvals-fda/novel-drug-approvals-2025
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Biogen remained an independent Cambridge-based public biotechnology company.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.biogen.com/news-releases/news-release-details/biogen-announces-plans-new-global-headquarters-and-innovation
        https://companiesmarketcap.com/biogen/sec-reports-10q/0000875045-25-000049/
  7. As of December 1, 2025, Moderna was no longer one of the two largest independent Boston-area biotechnology companies by market capitalization.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask?q=what%27s+the+market+cap+of+alnylam+pharmaceuticals
        https://gevestor.com/articles/biogen-2025-new-therapies-chmp-nod-and-alcyone-buy-drive-growth/
        https://www.companieshistory.com/moderna/
        https://wewillcure.com/insights/company-profiles/biggest-biotech-companies-in-boston
  8. In September 2025, U.S. CDC/ACIP recommendations for 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccination did not restore a universal COVID-19 vaccine recommendation for all U.S. adults.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hhs.gov/press-room/acip-recommends-covid19-vaccination-individual-decision-making.html
        https://abcnews.com/Health/cdc-hepatitis-bvaccine-vote-delayed-parents/story?id=125731004
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly080jx480o
  9. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the FDA did not rescind U.S. approval of Sarepta Therapeutics' Elevidys.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/tissue-tissue-products/elevidys
        https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-approves-new-safety-warning-and-revised-indication-limits-use-elevidys-following-reports-fatal
        https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/safety-availability-biologics/fda-takes-action-new-boxed-warning-acute-serious-liver-injury-and-acute-liver-failure-following
  10. As of December 1, 2025, Elevidys labeling still contained prominent safety warnings related to serious liver injury or acute liver failure.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-approves-new-safety-warning-and-revised-indication-limits-use-elevidys-following-reports-fatal
        https://dailymed.nlm.nih.gov/dailymed/drugInfo.cfm?setid=3525abcd-fbd2-46c5-9706-cffdf2e8a361
        https://www.elevidyshcp.com/treatment-process/infusing-elevidys
  11. As of December 1, 2025, Sarepta Therapeutics was not one of the five largest independent Boston-area biotechnology companies by market capitalization.
     -> TRUE
        https://wewillcure.com/insights/company-profiles/biggest-biotech-companies-in-boston
        https://companiesmarketcap.com/sarepta-therapeutics/sec-reports-10k/0001193125-26-084144/
        https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask?q=what%27s+the+market+cap+of+alnylam+pharmaceuticals
        https://gevestor.com/articles/biogen-2025-new-therapies-chmp-nod-and-alcyone-buy-drive-growth/
        https://www.companieshistory.com/moderna/
  12. Scholar Rock received FDA approval for apitegromab for spinal muscular atrophy after August 31, 2025 and before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://investors.scholarrock.com/news-releases/news-release-details/fda-issues-complete-response-letter-crl-apitegromab-treatment
        https://smanewstoday.com/news/scholar-rock-fda-meeting-sets-path-resubmission-sma-therapy-apitegromab/
        https://www.curesma.org/scholar-rock-shares-sma-community-update-letter-on-apitegromab/
  13. Bristol Myers Squibb announced an acquisition of Cambridge-based Orbital Therapeutics after August 31, 2025 and before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.bms.com/news/corporate-financial/2025/Bristol-Myers-Squibb-Strengthens-and-Diversifies-Cell-Therapy-Portfolio-with-Acquisition-of-Orbital-Therapeutics/default.aspx
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251009968216/en/Bristol-Myers-Squibb-Strengthens-and-Diversifies-Cell-Therapy-Portfolio-with-Acquisition-of-Orbital-Therapeutics
        https://www.orbitaltx.com/bristol-myers-squibb-strengthens-and-diversifies-cell-therapy-portfolio-with-acquisition-of-orbital-therapeutics/
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Vertex Pharmaceuticals announced that it was moving its corporate headquarters out of Boston.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.vrtx.com/our-company/our-locations/
        https://rebusinessonline.com/joint-venture-receives-1b-refinancing-for-vertex-pharmaceuticals-headquarters-facility-in-boston/
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250807469984/en/The-RMR-Group-Announces-%241.0-Billion-Refinancing-of-Vertex-Pharmaceuticals-Headquarters-in-Boston-Seaport-District

############################################################
# 90. Which cabinet members does Trump trust the most?
#    (id: trump_cabinet_trust · 28 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, Marco Rubio was still serving as secretary of state.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2025/12/secretary-rubios-meeting-with-kenyan-president-ruto-and-prime-cabinet-secretary-and-cabinet-secretary-for-foreign-and-diaspora-affairs-mudavadi/
        https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2025/12/secretary-of-state-marco-rubio-remarks-to-the-press-5/
  2. As of December 1, 2025, Marco Rubio was still serving as acting national security adviser.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article312260467.html
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-n-ambassador-mike-waltz-trump-cabinet/
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump named a permanent replacement for Marco Rubio as national security adviser.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-n-ambassador-mike-waltz-trump-cabinet/
        https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025/12/the-small-team-running-trumps-foreign-policy-00679802
  4. As of December 1, 2025, Susie Wiles remained White House chief of staff.
     -> TRUE
        https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2025/12/01/is-there-a-major-senior-staff-shakeup-could-be-coming-at-the-trump-white-house-n2666967
        https://althouse.blogspot.com/2025/12/over-course-of-11-interviews-ms-wiles.html
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, major reporting portrayed Susie Wiles as retaining unusually strong access to Trump.
     -> TRUE
        https://text.npr.org/nx-s1-5645884
        https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025/12/the-small-team-running-trumps-foreign-policy-00679802
        https://www.thedailybeast.com/maga-sharpens-knives-for-donald-trumps-ice-maiden-susie-wiles-after-presidents-miserable-week/
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, major reporting indicated that Trump had become estranged from Susie Wiles.
     -> FALSE
        https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2025/12/01/is-there-a-major-senior-staff-shakeup-could-be-coming-at-the-trump-white-house-n2666967
        https://www.thedailybeast.com/maga-sharpens-knives-for-donald-trumps-ice-maiden-susie-wiles-after-presidents-miserable-week/
        https://www.thedailybeast.com/white-house-tries-to-shut-down-magas-ice-maiden-boycott/
  7. No Senate-confirmed head of an executive department in Trump’s Cabinet resigned or was fired between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://ballotpedia.org/Confirmation_process_for_Donald_Trump%27s_Cabinet_nominees,_2025-2026
        https://ballotpedia.org/How_senators_voted_on_Trump_Cabinet_nominees,_2025
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump publicly defended Robert F. Kennedy Jr. during controversies over federal vaccine policy.
     -> TRUE
        https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/5490947-trump-kennedy-vaccine-debate/
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/rfk-jr-set-testify-senate-finance-committee-amid/story?id=125222389
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4l7p771m4o
  9. As of December 1, 2025, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remained secretary of health and human services.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hhs.gov/about/leadership/robert-kennedy.html
        https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/national-international/2025-us-health-policy-rfk-jr/3869506/
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump publicly suggested that Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s job was in danger.
     -> FALSE
        https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/5490947-trump-kennedy-vaccine-debate/
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/rfk-jr-set-testify-senate-finance-committee-amid/story?id=125222389
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/world/trump-backs-kennedy-health-secretary-risks-5336321
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump publicly defended Pam Bondi during renewed Epstein-files criticism.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mediaite.com/politics/trump/trump-posts-rant-complaining-radical-left-democrats-are-bringing-back-dying-epstein-case/
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/15/g-s1-97958/bondi-investigate-epstein-ties-to-political-foes
  12. As of December 1, 2025, Pam Bondi remained attorney general.
     -> TRUE
        https://lawandcrime.com/high-profile/should-raise-a-red-flag-ag-pam-bondis-legal-gymnastics-to-keep-alina-habba-in-power-failed-all-over-again-setting-up-supreme-clash/
        https://www.justice.gov/ag/staff-profile/meet-attorney-general
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump fired Pam Bondi over the Epstein-files controversy.
     -> FALSE
        https://lawandcrime.com/high-profile/should-raise-a-red-flag-ag-pam-bondis-legal-gymnastics-to-keep-alina-habba-in-power-failed-all-over-again-setting-up-supreme-clash/
        https://ballotpedia.org/Pam_Bondi
        https://millercenter.org/pamela-bondi-2025-2026
  14. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump continued to publicly praise Pete Hegseth’s leadership of the Defense Department.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-says-he-believes-hegseth-100-venezuelan-drug-boat-strike-denial-amid-allegations
        https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-defends-hegseth-boat-strikes-report_n_692d807fe4b0c8c3c7ce5548
  15. As of December 1, 2025, Pete Hegseth remained secretary of defense.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-says-he-believes-hegseth-100-venezuelan-drug-boat-strike-denial-amid-allegations
        https://thehill.com/homenews/5628447-defense-secretary-authorizes-drug-boat-strike/
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump publicly signaled that Pete Hegseth’s position as defense secretary was in jeopardy.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-says-he-believes-hegseth-100-venezuelan-drug-boat-strike-denial-amid-allegations
        https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-defends-hegseth-boat-strikes-report_n_692d807fe4b0c8c3c7ce5548
  17. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump relied publicly on Kristi Noem as a leading face of his immigration-enforcement agenda.
     -> TRUE
        https://uk.news.yahoo.com/noem-warns-more-immigration-raids-145420133.html
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/kristi-noem-homeland-security-secretary-face-the-nation-08-31-2025/
        https://www.salon.com/2025/10/17/how-kristi-noem-became-the-face-of-donald-trumps-police-state/
  18. As of December 1, 2025, Kristi Noem remained secretary of homeland security.
     -> TRUE
        https://rss.newsmax.com/newsmax-tv/kristi-noem-immigrants-vetting/2025/12/01/id/1236659/
        https://2paragraphs.com/2025/12/kristi-noem-mocked-by-homeland-security-democrats-using-doctored-obama-photo/
  19. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump publicly rebuked Kristi Noem over her management of the Department of Homeland Security.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.notus.org/congress/kristi-noem-frustration-republicans-dhs-fema
        https://www.thedailybeast.com/republican-rage-over-ice-barbie-kristi-noems-chaos-hits-fever-pitch/
  20. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Scott Bessent remained a leading public messenger for Trump’s economic policy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.semafor.com/article/09/01/2025/scott-bessent-previews-trump-administrations-latest-tariff-defense
        https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2025/09/07/bessent_on_jobs_report_were_not_going_to_do_economic_policy_based_on_one_number.html
        https://www.foxbusiness.com/video/6384792368112
        https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-stimulus-check-update-given-by-scott-bessent-11020206
  21. As of December 1, 2025, Scott Bessent remained treasury secretary.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/scott-bessent-treasury-secretary-face-the-nation-transcript-12-07-2025/
        https://home.treasury.gov/news/featured-stories/scott-bessent-sworn-in-as-79th-secretary-of-the-department-of-treasury
  22. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump publicly floated replacing Scott Bessent as treasury secretary.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/19/steve-bannon-floats-idea-of-bessent-running-both-treasury-and-the-fed.html
        https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/global-trends/us-treasurys-bessent-says-interviewing-11-fed-chair-candidates/articleshow/124053550.cms
        https://fortune.com/2025/11/20/trump-scott-bessent-federal-reserve-chair-treasury-secretary/
  23. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Howard Lutnick remained a prominent public defender of Trump’s tariff policy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.axios.com/2025/09/12/trump-tariffs-scotus-howard-lutnick
        https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/lutnick-expects-supreme-court-side-trump-tariffs-opening-door-2000-payouts
        https://www.mediaite.com/media/howard-lutnick-predicts-trump-is-gonna-win-this-case-after-administrations-rough-day-at-the-supreme-court/
  24. As of December 1, 2025, Howard Lutnick remained commerce secretary.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.commerce.gov/about/leadership/howard-lutnick
        https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/lutnick-expects-supreme-court-side-trump-tariffs-opening-door-2000-payouts
  25. In September 2025, the Senate confirmed Mike Waltz as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/senate-confirms-former-trump-national-security-adviser-ambassador-un-rcna232480
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/senate-confirms-mike-waltz-trump-un-ambassador/
        https://news.ballotpedia.org/2025/09/22/michael-waltz-confirmed-as-u-s-ambassador-to-the-united-nations/
  26. As of December 1, 2025, Mike Waltz held Cabinet rank as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-n-ambassador-mike-waltz-trump-cabinet/
        https://capitalisminstitute.org/trump-excludes-u-n-ambassador-from-cabinet-status/
  27. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Trump restored Mike Waltz to a White House national-security role.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/senate-confirms-former-trump-national-security-adviser-ambassador-un-rcna232480
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-n-ambassador-mike-waltz-trump-cabinet/
        https://web.archive.org/web/20260106072006/https:/usun.usmission.gov/ambassador-michael-waltz/
  28. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, public reporting portrayed lower-profile secretaries such as Brooke Rollins, Scott Turner, Doug Collins, Lori Chavez-DeRemer, or Linda McMahon as closer Trump confidants than Rubio, Wiles, Bondi, Hegseth, Noem, Bessent, or Lutnick.
     -> FALSE
        https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025/12/the-small-team-running-trumps-foreign-policy-00679802
        https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-advisers-reveal-which-cabinet-secretaries-are-in-the-hot-seat/
        https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/linda-mcmahon-chief-of-staff-jd-vance-b2850908.html

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# 91. Which countries are investing most heavily in technical education for their citizens?
#    (id: technical_education_investment · 20 evaluation statements)
###########################################################################################

  1. China's October 2025 Communist Party plenum adopted recommendations for the 2026-2030 Fifteenth Five-Year Plan.
     -> TRUE
        https://english.www.gov.cn/news/202510/23/content_WS68f9f337c6d00ca5f9a06fb2.html
        https://english.www.gov.cn/news/202510/28/content_WS6900adb9c6d00ca5f9a07216.html
  2. The October 2025 Chinese Fifteenth Five-Year Plan recommendations kept education, science and technology, and talent development as national strategic priorities.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mfa.gov.cn/eng/zy/jj/dstzgzz/dszs/202511/t20251103_11745957.html
        https://english.cctv.com/2025/10/26/ARTIPhe5lEsN6q5zC43VshWY251026.shtml
  3. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, China announced the cancellation of its national vocational-education modernization agenda.
     -> FALSE
        http://en.moe.gov.cn/news/press_releases/202511/t20251124_1421414.html
        https://en.people.cn/n3/2025/0923/c90000-20369820.html
  4. The United Arab Emirates began the 2025-2026 school year with an artificial-intelligence curriculum in government schools.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.khaleejtimes.com/uae/education/over-1000-teachers-ai-curriculum-new-academic-year
        https://gulfnews.com/uae/education/uae-schools-to-introduce-ai-curriculum-in-new-academic-year-1.500242831
  5. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the United Arab Emirates cancelled its national plan to teach artificial intelligence in schools.
     -> FALSE
        https://techwireasia.com/2025/09/how-uaes-new-ai-curriculum-compares-to-education-initiatives-worldwide/
        https://www.ednas.academy/news-and-blog/uaes-first-fully-resourced-ai-curriculum-brings-ai-learning-to-every-classroom
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Singapore cancelled the SkillsFuture Level-Up programme.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.moe.gov.sg/news/parliamentary-replies/20250925-career-impact-of-skillsfuture-credits-mid-career-training-allowance-and-level-up-programme
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/skillsfuture-training-allowance-postgraduate-courses-jobs-qualifications-janil-puthucheary-5368121
  7. As of December 1, 2025, Singapore's SkillsFuture system remained an active national adult-skills investment programme.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.skillsfuture.gov.sg//
        https://www.moe.gov.sg/news/parliamentary-replies/20251105-future-plans-towards-education-and-training-initiatives-based-on-skillsfutures-success-and-effectiveness
  8. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the United States enacted a nationwide universal free-community-college law.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/119/hr3543
        https://openfloorusa.com/bill/us/house/119/hr/5532/v/ih
  9. As of December 1, 2025, the United States had not created a new federal technical-education programme large enough to clearly overtake China in total national technical-education investment.
     -> TRUE
        https://careertech.org/blog/congress-returns-to-d-c-focused-on-appropriations/
        https://www.thehindu.com/education/heres-how-china-is-doing-skilling-and-what-india-should-learn-from-its-successes-and-failures/article70220772.ece
  10. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the United States eliminated all federal funding for Perkins career-and-technical-education grants.
     -> FALSE
        https://careertech.org/blog/house-advances-fy26-funding-proposal-as-courts-hit-pause-on-prwora-interpretation/
        https://www.edweek.org/policy-politics/trump-shifted-cte-to-the-labor-dept-what-has-that-meant-for-schools/2025/11
  11. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Germany abolished its dual vocational-training system.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cedefop.europa.eu/en/news/germany-modernisation-vocational-training-aligns-apprenticeship-labour-market-needs
        https://www.bibb.de/en/147679.php
  12. As of December 1, 2025, Germany continued to operate its dual vocational-training system as a core part of national technical education.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cedefop.europa.eu/en/news/germany-modernisation-vocational-training-aligns-apprenticeship-labour-market-needs
        https://www.bibb.de/en/147679.php
  13. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, India shut down the Ministry of Skill Development and Entrepreneurship.
     -> FALSE
        https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/skill-india-scheme-gets-dedicated-data-strategy-unit/articleshow/124130300.cms
        https://www.entrepreneurindia.com/blog/en/news/msde-abcf-and-bits-pilani-launch-innovation-and-start-up-challenge-for-nsti-students.57717
  14. As of December 1, 2025, India's national skills agenda still included large-scale central-government skilling programmes rather than only local pilot projects.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/cabinet-approves-continuation-and-restructuring-of-skill-india-programme/?comment=disable
        https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/union-cabinet-approves-8800-cr-for-skill-india-programme/article69193408.ece
  15. South Korea's late-2025 budget process included public funding for artificial-intelligence or digital-talent development.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.koreaherald.com/article/10608680
        https://www.asiae.co.kr/en/article/2025110410491361638
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Japan announced a new national technical-education package larger than China's entire vocational and higher-technical-education system.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.thehindu.com/education/heres-how-china-is-doing-skilling-and-what-india-should-learn-from-its-successes-and-failures/article70220772.ece
        https://worldjpn.net/documents/texts/pm/20251024.SWE.html
  17. As of December 1, 2025, Saudi Arabia's Human Capability Development Program remained an active Vision 2030 programme.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.vision2030.gov.sa/en/explore/programs/human-capability-development-program
        https://www.hrsd.gov.sa/en/media-center/news/%D9%85%D8%B9%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%8A-%D9%88%D8%B2%D9%8A%D8%B1-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D9%88%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AF-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A8%D8%B4%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AA%D9%86%D9%85%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%AC%D8%AA%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%B9%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D9%8A%D9%8F%D8%B7%D9%84%D9%82-%E2%80%9C%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D9%86%D8%B5%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%88%D8%B7%D9%86%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D9%84%D9%84%D9%85%D9%87%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D9%81%D9%8A-%D9%85%D8%A4%D8%AA%D9%85%D8%B1-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%82%D8%AF%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AA
  18. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Saudi Arabia announced that it was ending Vision 2030 education-and-skills investment.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.vision2030.gov.sa/en/explore/programs/human-capability-development-program
        https://theedit.edtpartners.com/education-as-the-engine-of-saudi-vision-2030/
  19. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the United Kingdom launched a technical-education funding package that clearly exceeded the total national technical-education investment of China or India.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.gov.uk/government/news/major-skills-boost-at-the-heart-of-transformative-new-defence-industrial-strategy
        https://www.gov.uk/government/news/40000-people-to-get-skills-in-new-technical-excellence-colleges
        https://www.thehindu.com/education/heres-how-china-is-doing-skilling-and-what-india-should-learn-from-its-successes-and-failures/article70220772.ece
        https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/cabinet-approves-continuation-and-restructuring-of-skill-india-programme/?comment=disable
  20. As of December 1, 2025, no post-August 2025 announcement had made a small country the clear global leader in absolute technical-education spending over China, India, or the United States.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.thehindu.com/education/heres-how-china-is-doing-skilling-and-what-india-should-learn-from-its-successes-and-failures/article70220772.ece
        https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/cabinet-approves-continuation-and-restructuring-of-skill-india-programme/?comment=disable
        https://careertech.org/blog/congress-returns-to-d-c-focused-on-appropriations/
        https://www.gov.uk/government/news/major-skills-boost-at-the-heart-of-transformative-new-defence-industrial-strategy

##########################################################################
# 92. Which Hollywood directors are likely to be most discussed this year?
#    (id: hollywood_directors_2025 · 25 evaluation statements)
##########################################################################

  1. Chloé Zhao's Hamnet won the 2025 Toronto International Film Festival People's Choice Award.
     -> TRUE
        https://tiff.net/press/news/tiff-50-announces-its-2025-award-winners
        https://deadline.com/2025/09/hamnet-toronto-film-festival-peoples-choice-award-1236530932/
  2. Guillermo del Toro's Frankenstein was named a runner-up for the 2025 Toronto International Film Festival People's Choice Award.
     -> TRUE
        https://tiff.net/press/news/tiff-50-announces-its-2025-award-winners
        https://deadline.com/2025/09/hamnet-toronto-film-festival-peoples-choice-award-1236530932/
  3. Rian Johnson's Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery was named a runner-up for the 2025 Toronto International Film Festival People's Choice Award.
     -> TRUE
        https://tiff.net/press/news/tiff-50-announces-its-2025-award-winners
        https://deadline.com/2025/09/hamnet-toronto-film-festival-peoples-choice-award-1236530932/
  4. Benny Safdie won the Silver Lion for Best Director at the 2025 Venice Film Festival for The Smashing Machine.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.labiennale.org/en/news/official-awards-82nd-venice-international-film-festival
        https://variety.com/2025/film/festivals/venice-film-festival-awards-winners-list-golden-lion-1236507924/
  5. Jim Jarmusch's Father Mother Sister Brother won the Golden Lion at the 2025 Venice Film Festival.
     -> TRUE
        https://variety.com/2025/film/festivals/venice-film-festival-awards-winners-list-golden-lion-1236507924/
        https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/venice-film-festival-2025-golden-lion-award-winners-1236363133/
  6. Kathryn Bigelow's A House of Dynamite premiered at the 2025 Venice Film Festival after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/kathryn-bigelow-house-of-dynamite-netflix-cast-premiere-1236358846/
        https://www.labiennale.org/en/cinema/2025/program-cinema-2025-pass-holders/house-dynamite-2025-09-02-08-30
  7. Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another was released in U.S. theaters in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.moviefone.com/movie/untitled-ck-pta-studio-feature-film/v5LFHnAkFrOnjfi1aaL9n4/main/
        https://www.joblo.com/paul-thomas-anderson-one-battle-after-another/
  8. Benny Safdie's The Smashing Machine was released in U.S. theaters before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2453307393/?sort=grossToDate
        https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_smashing_machine_2025
  9. Guillermo del Toro's Frankenstein was released on Netflix before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.newsweek.com/entertainment/movies/when-is-frankenstein-on-netflix-streaming-guide-11008331
        https://www.netflix.com/title/81507921
  10. Kathryn Bigelow's A House of Dynamite was released on Netflix before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.netflix.com/tudum/articles/a-house-of-dynamite-kathryn-bigelow-release-date-cast-news
        https://www.newsweek.com/entertainment/movies/a-house-of-dynamite-how-to-watch-10933326
  11. Yorgos Lanthimos's Bugonia was released in U.S. theaters before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://variety.com/2025/film/news/yorgos-lanthimos-emma-stone-bugonia-new-fall-release-date-1236384269/
        https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2053799937/?sort=rank&sortDir=asc
  12. Luca Guadagnino's After the Hunt was released in U.S. theaters before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://variety.com/2025/film/news/julia-roberts-luca-guadagnino-after-the-hunt-release-date-1236307166/
        https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4247683073/?sort=date
  13. Luca Guadagnino's After the Hunt was the opening-night selection of the 2025 New York Film Festival.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.filmlinc.org/nyff2025/daily/luca-guadagninos-after-the-hunt-will-open-the-63rd-new-york-film-festival/
        https://variety.com/2025/film/markets-festivals/after-the-hunt-new-york-film-festival-opening-night-1236467201/
  14. Josh Safdie's Marty Supreme was the centerpiece selection of the 2025 New York Film Festival.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.filmlinc.org/nyff2025/daily/jim-jarmuschs-father-mother-sister-brother-is-the-centerpiece-selection-of-63rd-new-york-film-festival/
        https://www.filmlinc.org/nyff2025/daily/marty-supreme-world-premieres-at-nyff-with-josh-safdie-timothee-chalamet-gwyneth-paltrow-more/
  15. Bradley Cooper's Is This Thing On? was the closing-night selection of the 2025 New York Film Festival.
     -> TRUE
        https://variety.com/2025/film/news/bradley-cooper-is-this-thing-on-first-look-new-york-film-festival-premiere-1236473783/
        https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/2025-nyff-closing-night-bradley-cooper-is-this-thing-on-1236333509/
  16. Rian Johnson's Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery had its world premiere at the 2025 Toronto International Film Festival.
     -> TRUE
        https://2025.tiffr.com/shows/wake-up-dead-man-a-knives-out-mystery
        https://variety.com/2025/film/news/wake-up-dead-man-rian-johnson-daniel-craig-knives-out-tiff-1236510479/
  17. Rian Johnson's Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery began a U.S. theatrical run before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://variety.com/2025/film/news/wake-up-dead-man-knives-out-theatrical-release-netflix-1236504241/
        https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/wake_up_dead_man_a_knives_out_mystery
  18. Jon M. Chu's Wicked: For Good was released in U.S. theaters before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.newsweek.com/entertainment/how-when-to-stream-wicked-wicked-for-good-11081609
        https://moviesanywhere.com/movie/wicked-for-good-2025
  19. James Cameron's Avatar: Fire and Ash had not been released in U.S. theaters by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.avatar.com/news/listen-to-dream-as-one-from-avatar-fire-and-ash-by-miley-cyrus
        https://www.syfy.com/syfy-wire/james-cameron-will-wrap-up-avatar-saga-with-a-book-if-fire-and-ash-flops-at-box-office
  20. James Cameron's Avatar: Fire and Ash remained scheduled for a December 2025 U.S. theatrical release as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://filmmusicreporter.com/2025/12/01/avatar-3-fire-and-ash-soundtrack-album-details/
        https://www.syfy.com/syfy-wire/james-cameron-will-wrap-up-avatar-saga-with-a-book-if-fire-and-ash-flops-at-box-office
  21. Dan Trachtenberg's Predator: Badlands was released in U.S. theaters before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.20thcenturystudios.com/movies/predator-badlands
        https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2417000449/
  22. Edgar Wright's The Running Man was released in U.S. theaters before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_running_man_2025
        https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2165080065/?sort=date
  23. Joachim Rønning's Tron: Ares was released in U.S. theaters before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://movies.disney.com/tron-ares
        https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/tron_ares
  24. Michael Chaves's The Conjuring: Last Rites was released in U.S. theaters in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_conjuring_last_rites
        https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl987791361/?sort=numTheaters
  25. Christopher Nolan did not release a new feature film in U.S. theaters between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christopher_Nolan_filmography
        https://faroutmagazine.co.uk/why-did-christopher-nolan-leave-warner-bros/

############################################################################
# 93. Which large privately held companies are most likely to IPO this year?
#    (id: likely_ipos_this_year · 21 evaluation statements)
############################################################################

  1. Klarna completed a NYSE IPO in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.klarna.com/News--Events/news/news-details/2025/Klarna-Completes-Initial-Public-Offering/default.aspx
        https://investors.klarna.com/News--Events/news/news-details/2025/Klarna-lists-on-the-New-York-Stock-Exchange-2025-hTU1dSZE3k/default.aspx
  2. StubHub completed a NYSE IPO in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1337634/000119312525207371/d83793d8k.htm
        https://investors.stubhub.com/news/news-details/2025/StubHub-Announces-Pricing-of-Initial-Public-Offering/default.aspx
  3. Netskope completed a Nasdaq IPO in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.netskope.com/news-releases/news-release-details/netskope-announces-closing-initial-public-offering-and-full
        https://www.netskope.com/press-releases/netskope-announces-closing-of-initial-public-offering-and-full-exercise-of-over-allotment-option
  4. Figure Technology Solutions completed a Nasdaq IPO in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2064124/000162828026008198/R25.htm
        https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250910400753/en/Figure-Technology-Solutions-Inc.-Announces-Pricing-of-Initial-Public-Offering
  5. Gemini Space Station completed a Nasdaq IPO in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2055592/000110465925090073/tm255912d37_8k.htm
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/gemini-announces-closing-of-initial-public-offering-and-full-exercise-of-underwriters-option-to-purchase-additional-shares-302556791.html
  6. Via Transportation completed a U.S. IPO in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.ridewithvia.com/news/news-details/2025/Via-Announces-Pricing-of-Initial-Public-Offering/default.aspx
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1603015/000160301525000042/R8.htm
  7. Navan publicly filed for a U.S. IPO after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.navan.com/news-releases/news-release-details/navan-files-registration-statement-proposed-initial-public
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/10/navan-sets-price-range-for-ipo-expects-market-cap-up-to-6point5-billion.html
  8. Navan completed its U.S. IPO before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://investors.navan.com/news-releases/news-release-details/navan-announces-closing-initial-public-offering
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/30/travel-tech-navan-ipo-nasdaq-stock-price.html
  9. Databricks announced a private financing round in September 2025 valuing it above $100 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.databricks.com/company/newsroom/press-releases/databricks-surpasses-4b-revenue-run-rate-exceeding-1b-ai-revenue
        https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/08/databricks-confirms-new-100b-valuation-on-4b-arr/
  10. Anthropic announced a private financing round in September 2025 valuing it above $180 billion.
     -> TRUE
        http://anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raises-series-f-at-usd183b-post-money-valuation
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/02/anthropic-raises-13-billion-at-18-billion-valuation.html
  11. OpenAI completed a secondary share sale in October 2025 valuing it around $500 billion.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/openai-share-sale-500-billion-valuation.html
        https://news.crunchbase.com/ai/openai-valuation-secondary-share-sale-biggest-unicorn-spacex/
  12. Shein had not completed an IPO by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://intellectia.ai/blog/shein-stock
        https://pitchbook.com/profiles/company/110675-62
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/08/shein-files-for-hong-kong-ipo-in-hopes-of-salvaging-london-listing-ft-report.html
  13. Shein's late-2025 listing effort was focused on Hong Kong.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/shein-hong-kong-ipo-file-confidentially-5207551
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/08/shein-files-for-hong-kong-ipo-in-hopes-of-salvaging-london-listing-ft-report.html
        https://www.businessoffashion.com/news/retail/shein-hong-kong-ipo-capital-pool/
  14. Stripe had not publicly filed for an IPO by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/07/28/is-stripe-the-most-anticipated-ipo-since-coinbase/
        https://www.tradingcalendar.com/post/stripe-ipo
        https://coffee.link/stripe-ipo-analysis/
  15. SpaceX had not publicly filed for an IPO by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://forgeglobal.com/insights/spacex-upcoming-ipo-news/
        https://www.clrn.org/is-spacex-a-publicly-traded-company/
        https://capital.com/en-int/learn/ipo/spacex-ipo
  16. Canva had not publicly filed for an IPO by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://forgeglobal.com/canva_ipo/
        https://www.capitalbrief.com/newsletter/canva-ready-for-2026-ipo-blackbird-tells-lps-98afee39-26d0-40de-ad53-7ef193d2d3c3/
        https://www.cmcmarkets.com/en-gb/ipo-trading/canva-ipo
  17. Revolut had not publicly filed for an IPO by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://accessipos.com/revolut-stock-ipo/
        https://techfundingnews.com/revolut-eyes-75b-dual-listing-in-london-and-new-york/
        https://tickervision.com/ipos/REVOLUT
  18. Discord had not publicly filed for an IPO by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/gaming-communication-company-discord-files-ipo
        https://www.ebc.com/forex/discord-ipo-when-where-and-what-to-expect
        https://forgeglobal.com/discord_ipo/
  19. Cerebras Systems had not completed an IPO by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/03/cerebras-withdraws-ipo-ai.html
        https://siliconangle.com/2025/10/03/wafer-scale-chip-startup-cerebras-withdraws-ipo-filing-1-1b-round/
        https://www.renaissancecapital.com/Profile/CBRS.XX/Cerebras-Systems/IPO
  20. Medline Industries had not completed an IPO by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2046386/000119312525253020/d932091ds1.htm
        https://ir.medline.com/news-releases/news-release-details/medline-announces-closing-upsized-initial-public-offering-and
        https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2046386/000204638626000009/R9.htm
  21. Genesys had not completed an IPO by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cxtoday.com/contact-center/genesys-stalls-its-ipo-bid-cites-stock-market-volatility/
        https://accessipos.com/genesys-ipo-stock/
        https://notice.co/c/genesys
        https://www.genesys.com/company/newsroom/announcements/genesys-announces-1-5-billion-investment-by-salesforce-and-servicenow

############################################################
# 94. Which leaders have the most sway in the EU?
#    (id: eu_influential_leaders · 20 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. The European Parliament rejected no-confidence motions against Ursula von der Leyen's Commission in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.politico.eu/article/ursula-von-der-leyen-wins-no-confidence-vote/
        https://www.dw.com/en/eu-ursula-von-der-leyen-survives-latest-no-confidence-votes/a-74289009
        https://agenceurope.eu/en/bulletin/article/13727/1/meps-maintain-their-confidence-in-von-der-leyen-ii-commission-once-again
  2. Ursula von der Leyen was forced to resign as European Commission president between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.politico.eu/article/ursula-von-der-leyen-wins-no-confidence-vote/
        https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-frozen-assets-europe-us-peace-talks-ukraine/33609999.html
  3. François Bayrou lost a confidence vote in the French National Assembly in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2dnxxekyezo
        https://www.vie-publique.fr/en-bref/300056-lassemblee-nationale-ne-vote-pas-la-confiance-au-gouvernement-bayrou
        https://www.euronews.com/2025/09/08/french-pm-francois-bayrou-faces-government-collapse-as-confidence-vote-looms
  4. Emmanuel Macron appointed Sébastien Lecornu as French prime minister in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crmenp1k0mjo
        https://www.vie-publique.fr/discours/300108-presidence-de-la-republique-09092025-premier-ministre
        https://www.politico.eu/article/macron-france-chooses-sebastien-lecornu-as-new-french-pm/
  5. Emmanuel Macron resigned as president of France before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0kn04453z8o
        https://www.wionews.com/world/game-over-for-emmanuel-macron-president-is-down-but-not-out-yet-how-the-french-system-will-protect-him-1759996274528
  6. Sébastien Lecornu remained France's prime minister on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy4j9zz54ypo
        https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cp8y7e59d8gt
        https://www.lexpress.fr/politique/sebastien-lecornu-lhistoire-cachee-de-sa-renomination-fausses-fuites-et-vrais-coups-de-fil-R2LRTN3T4VECRGB4YJKRNMPCOE/
  7. Germany changed chancellors between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.deutschland.de/en/news/friedrich-merz-federal-chancellor-of-germany
        https://www.bundeskanzler.de/bk-en/chancellorship-olaf-scholz-2344810
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvgp22zlrgko
  8. Giorgia Meloni remained Italy's prime minister on December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.governo.it/en/president
        https://www.governo.it/en/articolo/meeting-prime-minister-republic-bulgaria/30462
        https://www.governo.it/en/articolo/president-meloni-s-telephone-conversation-president-zelensky-and-european-leaders-peace
  9. Andrej Babiš's ANO won the October 2025 Czech parliamentary election.
     -> TRUE
        https://english.radio.cz/babiss-ano-wins-czech-parliamentary-elections-eight-parties-enter-parliament-8864795
        https://pspen.psp.cz/news/results-of-the-2025-parliamentary-election/
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62qezmr92lo
  10. Petr Fiala remained the clear winner of the October 2025 Czech parliamentary election.
     -> FALSE
        https://english.radio.cz/babiss-ano-wins-czech-parliamentary-elections-eight-parties-enter-parliament-8864795
        https://english.radio.cz/ano-party-andrej-babis-election-winner-8864798
        https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20251004-trumpist-billionaire-andrej-babis-wins-czech-parliamentary-election
  11. Andrej Babiš had been sworn in as Czech prime minister by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.hrad.cz/cs/pro-media/tiskove-zpravy/aktualni-tiskove-zpravy/prezident-republiky-jmenuje-predsedu-vlady-18968
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/czech-republic-s-andrej-babis-appointed-prime-minister-for-3rd-time/3766045
  12. ANO's post-election governing negotiations in Czechia involved Freedom and Direct Democracy.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62qezmr92lo
        https://rmx.news/article/babis-confirms-advanced-coalition-talks-with-spd-and-motorists-for-new-czech-government/
        https://english.radio.cz/ano-spd-and-motorists-party-sign-coalition-agreement-8867725
  13. Rob Jetten's D66 won the most votes in the October 2025 Dutch general election.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dutchnews.nl/2025/11/electoral-council-confirms-results-d66-wins-by-almost-30000/
        https://nltimes.nl/2025/11/07/official-election-results-confirm-26-seats-d66-pvv-change-final-exit-polls
        https://www.politico.eu/article/rob-jetten-geert-wilders-centrist-d66-wins-dutch-election/
  14. Geert Wilders's PVV formed a new Dutch government before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.dutchnews.nl/2025/11/electoral-council-confirms-results-d66-wins-by-almost-30000/
        https://www.dutchnews.nl/2025/12/d66-and-cda-hoping-to-sign-up-more-coalition-partners-this-week/
        https://nltimes.nl/2025/06/09/vvd-leader-says-party-will-longer-form-coalition-pvvs-geert-wilders
  15. A new Dutch cabinet had not been installed by December 1, 2025 after the October 2025 general election.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dutchnews.nl/2025/12/d66-and-cda-hoping-to-sign-up-more-coalition-partners-this-week/
        https://nos.nl/liveblog/2592743-veel-gebeld-tussen-vijf-partijen-dit-weekend-minderheidskabinet-besproken-optie
        https://nltimes.nl/2025/11/12/cabinet-formation-advice-d66-cda-start-negotiating-vvd-sidelined-now
  16. Mette Frederiksen's Denmark held the rotating presidency of the Council of the European Union in the second half of 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://danish-presidency.consilium.europa.eu/en/presidency/
        https://danish-presidency.consilium.europa.eu/en/news/the-danish-eu-presidency-begins-with-great-ambitions-for-delivering-on-security-and-competitiveness/
        https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/council-eu/presidency-council-eu/
  17. The European Council reached final agreement before December 1, 2025 on a Ukraine reparations loan backed by immobilized Russian sovereign assets.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-plan-b-europe-ukraine-kyiv-war-effort-summit-loans/
        https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-frozen-assets-europe-us-peace-talks-ukraine/33609999.html
        https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/10/24/belgian-resistance-holds-up-140-billion-loan-for-ukraine-at-eu-summit
  18. Belgian prime minister Bart De Wever demanded additional risk-sharing guarantees before backing the EU plan to use immobilized Russian sovereign assets for Ukraine financing.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/10/02/can-we-eat-the-chicken-belgian-pm-demands-answers-on-russian-frozen-assets
        https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/10/24/belgian-resistance-holds-up-140-billion-loan-for-ukraine-at-eu-summit
        https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-vladimir-putin-assets-belgium-bart-de-wever-dials-up-opposition/
  19. Hungary was still blocking the formal opening of EU accession negotiation clusters with Ukraine as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/1124850.html
        https://www.politico.eu/article/hungary-viktor-orban-ukraine-eu-accession/
        https://neweasterneurope.eu/2025/10/06/ukraine-and-moldova-trapped-by-the-hungarian-veto/
  20. The European Commission advanced the EU-Mercosur trade agreement toward ratification in September 2025 despite continuing French objections.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/09/03/commission-launches-mercosur-deal-ratification-amid-political-tensions-in-france
        https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-latin-america-trade-deal-france-win-reassurance/
        https://www.rfi.fr/en/international/20250903-eu-commission-endorses-mercosur-deal-despite-french-reservations
        https://agenceurope.eu/en/bulletin/article/13701/1/european-commission-sends-eu-mercosur-agreement-to-eu-council-for-ratification

############################################################
# 95. Which US colleges are on the rise and why?
#    (id: rising_us_colleges · 24 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. The 2026 U.S. News Best Colleges rankings were released in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/us-news-announces-2026-best-colleges-rankings-302563669.html
        https://empowerly.com/applications/best-college-rankings-2026/
  2. The 2026 Wall Street Journal/College Pulse Best Colleges rankings were released in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/30/best-value-colleges-wall-street-journal.html
        https://poetsandquants.com/2025/09/30/ranking-stanford-tops-wall-street-journals-2025-best-colleges-in-america/
  3. The 2026 Wall Street Journal/College Pulse ranking used student outcomes as its largest scoring component.
     -> TRUE
        https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/universityrank/7599993.html
        https://www.southwestern.edu/live/news/17149-southwestern-university-returns-to-the-wall-street
  4. The 2026 U.S. News National Universities ranking included social mobility as a ranking factor.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/us-news-announces-2026-best-colleges-rankings-302563669.html
        https://empowerly.com/applications/best-college-rankings-2026/
        https://www.insidehighered.com/admissions/article/2018/09/10/us-news-says-it-has-shifted-rankings-focus-social-mobility-has-it
  5. Princeton University held the No. 1 National Universities position in the 2026 U.S. News rankings.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/09/23/metro/best-colleges-2026-new-england/
        https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/us-news-announces-2026-best-colleges-rankings-302563669.html
  6. UCLA was ranked the No. 1 public national university by U.S. News for 2026.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/university-of-california-best-public-university-2026-us-news-best-colleges-rankings
        https://news.berkeley.edu/2025/09/22/uc-berkeley-named-top-public-school-in-the-country-by-us-news/
        https://www.ucla.edu/about/rankings
  7. UC Berkeley was ranked among the top two public national universities by U.S. News for 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/university-of-california-best-public-university-2026-us-news-best-colleges-rankings
        https://news.berkeley.edu/2025/09/22/uc-berkeley-named-top-public-school-in-the-country-by-us-news/
  8. Arizona State University was ranked No. 1 for innovation by U.S. News for 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.asu.edu/20250922-university-news-asu-no-1-innovation-11th-straight-year
        https://www.azbio.org/asu-is-no-1-in-innovation-for-11th-straight-year
  9. UC Merced was ranked among the top 100 National Universities by U.S. News for 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.ucmerced.edu/news/2025/uc-merced-named-top-25-public-university-us-news-world-report
        https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/university-of-california-best-public-university-2026-us-news-best-colleges-rankings
  10. UC Riverside was ranked among the top 100 National Universities by U.S. News for 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/university-of-california-best-public-university-2026-us-news-best-colleges-rankings
  11. Florida International University was ranked among the top 100 National Universities by U.S. News for 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.fiu.edu/about/rankings-facts/
        https://www.miaminewtimes.com/news/where-florida-universities-ranked-in-new-best-u-s-college-list-40490433/
        https://news.fiu.edu/2025/u.s-news-ranks-fiu-among-top-50-public-universities-again
  12. UC Merced was ranked among the top 10 National Universities for social mobility by U.S. News for 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mercedsunstar.com/news/local/education/article312231628.html
        https://news.ucmerced.edu/news/2025/uc-merced-named-top-25-public-university-us-news-world-report
  13. Florida International University was ranked among the top 10 National Universities for social mobility by U.S. News for 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mercedsunstar.com/news/local/education/article312231628.html
        https://news.fiu.edu/2025/u.s-news-ranks-fiu-among-top-50-public-universities-again
        https://floridapolitics.com/archives/757442-fiu-leaps-in-national-rankings-again-tops-public-universities-for-social-mobility/
  14. Babson College was ranked among the top five overall colleges in the 2026 Wall Street Journal/College Pulse ranking.
     -> TRUE
        https://poetsandquants.com/2025/09/30/ranking-stanford-tops-wall-street-journals-2025-best-colleges-in-america/
        https://entrepreneurship.babson.edu/wall-street-journal-2026/
        https://www.nbcboston.com/boston-business-journal/babson-is-the-second-best-college-in-the-country-in-wsjs-2026-list/3817349/
  15. New Jersey Institute of Technology was ranked among the top 25 overall colleges in the 2026 Wall Street Journal/College Pulse ranking.
     -> FALSE
        https://njithighlanders.com/news/2025/10/16/general-njit-ranked-1-public-university-in-nj-for-value-salary-in-wsjs-2026-best-colleges.aspx
        https://poetsandquants.com/2025/09/30/ranking-stanford-tops-wall-street-journals-2025-best-colleges-in-america/
  16. Spelman College held the No. 1 HBCU position in the 2026 U.S. News rankings.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.spelman.edu/news/2025/09/u.s-news-world-report-ranks-spelman-college-no-1-hbcu-for-the-19th-consecutive-year.html
        https://www.spelman.edu/about/spelman-college-rankings.html
        https://clutchpoints.com/hbcu/spelman-college-howard-university-lead-2026-u-s-news-world-report-top-hbcus-list
  17. UTSA’s legal integration with UT Health San Antonio took effect on September 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.utsa.edu/2025/06/sacscoc-approves-merger-of-utsa-and-ut-health-san-antonio/
        https://www.tpr.org/education/2025-09-01/ut-san-antonio-is-now-the-name-of-the-merged-utsa-ut-health-institution
        https://news.uthscsa.edu/utsa-and-ut-health-san-antonio-complete-merger-to-become-the-university-of-texas-at-san-antonio/
  18. No U.S. university was newly admitted to the Association of American Universities between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.aau.edu/who-we-are/our-members/aau-member-universities-year-entry
        https://www.aau.edu/newsroom/press-releases
  19. No new Carnegie R1 designations were announced between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://carnegieclassifications.acenet.edu/news/carnegie-classifications-release-2025-research-activity-designations-debut-updated-methodology/
        http://carnegieclassifications.acenet.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/RAD-fact-sheet.pdf
        https://carnegieclassifications.acenet.edu/carnegie-classification/classification-methodology/2025-research-activity-designations/research-designations-faqs/
  20. The University of Alabama announced record total enrollment for fall 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.ua.edu/2025/09/uas-record-enrollment-growth-reinforces-in-state-investment-academic-excellence/
        https://whnt.com/news/university-of-alabama-announces-record-enrollment/
        https://oira.ua.edu/factbooklegacy/reports/student-enrollment/historical/total-student-enrollment-1831-to-present/
  21. The University of Tennessee, Knoxville announced a record first-year class for fall 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.utk.edu/2025/09/05/ut-celebrates-historic-success-in-retention-and-enrollment/
        https://knoxnews.com/story/news/education/2025/09/05/university-of-tennessee-enrollment-breaks-record-40421-students/85829733007/
  22. Purdue University announced record total enrollment for fall 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.jconline.com/story/news/education/2025/09/16/purdue-reports-lower-student-enrollment-for-fall-amid-record-applications/86180097007/
        https://www.purdueexponent.org/campus/general_news/purdue-admissions-breakdown/article_4631e923-c420-4cb3-92cd-3712515b49db.html
  23. The 2026–27 FAFSA opened on October 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://fsapartners.ed.gov/fsa-print/publication/1006606
        https://www.nasfaa.org/news-item/37319/ED_Officially_Launches_2026-27_FAFSA_Ahead_of_October_1_Deadline
        https://www.news.vcu.edu/article/2025/10/the-2026-27-fafsa-is-open--heres-what-you-need-to-know
  24. Common App first-year application volume for the 2025–26 cycle was higher in November 2025 than at the comparable point in the 2024–25 cycle.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-takes/2025/11/14/underrepresented-applicants-grow-foreign-applicants-drop
        https://www.collegematchpoint.com/early-data-confirms-a-new-wave-of-college-application-inflation-what-parents-should-pay-attention-to
        https://theanswerclass.com/what-this-years-common-app-numbers-mean-for-your-student/

############################################################
# 96. Which US state(s) are suffering from drought?
#    (id: us_drought_states · 51 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. The latest U.S. Drought Monitor state-level data available on December 1, 2025 was the map valid for late November 2025, not a December 2025 map.
     -> TRUE
        https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/?os=io
        https://www.waterdatafortexas.org/drought/data/twdb-drought-reports/twdb_drought_report_2025-12-01.pdf
        https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Summary.aspx
  2. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Alabama had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/alabama
        https://www.weather.gov/media/tae/DGT/DGT_TAE_12042025.txt
  3. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Alaska had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/alaska
  4. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Arizona had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.weather.gov/media/psr/DGT/DGT_PSR_12052025.txt
        https://hpj.com/2025/12/01/meaningful-rain-fell-in-parts-of-the-high-plains/
  5. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Arkansas had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/arkansas
        https://hpj.com/2025/12/01/meaningful-rain-fell-in-parts-of-the-high-plains/
  6. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, California had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://californiatoday.com/news/climate/only-579-100-californians-live-in-drought-conditions-after-historic-november-rains-down-96-from-13-3-million-in-just-two-weeks/
        https://hpj.com/2025/12/01/meaningful-rain-fell-in-parts-of-the-high-plains/
  7. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Colorado had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx
        https://www.weather.gov/media/gjt/DGT/DGT_GJT_12312025.txt
  8. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Connecticut had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx
        https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates/drought-status-update-northeast-2025-11-20
  9. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Delaware had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/delaware
        https://www.dgs.udel.edu/sites/default/files/wcr/drought_guidelines/Northern%20Delaware%20Drought%20Advisory%20Guidelines%20Status-nov2025.pdf
  10. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Florida had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.tcpalm.com/story/weather/2025/12/01/florida-weather-forecast-drought-tornado-threats-cold-front-winds/87547345007/?taid=692dc99bb289ed0001375c6a
        https://site.extension.uga.edu/climate/2025/12/drought-improved-in-some-areas-but-got-worse-in-more-of-the-region/
  11. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Georgia had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/georgia
        https://www.weather.gov/media/tae/DGT/DGT_TAE_12042025.txt
  12. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Hawaii had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.weather.gov/media/hfo/DGT/DGT_HFO_11132025.txt
        https://www.weather.gov/media/hfo/DGT/DGT_HFO_09122025.pdf
  13. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Idaho had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/idaho
        https://hpj.com/2025/12/01/meaningful-rain-fell-in-parts-of-the-high-plains/
  14. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Illinois had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.weather.gov/media/ilx/DGT/DGT_ILX_12042025.txt
        https://www.mrcc.purdue.edu/climatesummaries/1712
  15. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Indiana had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.weather.gov/media/iwx/DGT/DGT_IWX_12192025.txt
        https://indianaagconnection.com/news/drought-conditions-shift-across-indiana-in-fall-2025
  16. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Iowa had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.iowadnr.gov/media/9067/download?inline=
        https://www.iowadnr.gov/media/9140/download?inline=
  17. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Kansas had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://hpj.com/2025/12/01/meaningful-rain-fell-in-parts-of-the-high-plains/
        https://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx
  18. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Kentucky had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.mrcc.purdue.edu/climatesummaries/1712
        https://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx
  19. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Louisiana had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://data.clarionledger.com/drought/
        https://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx
  20. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Maine had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/maine
        https://www.weather.gov/car/December2025MonthlyNarrativeforNorthernandEasternMaine
        https://www.weather.gov/media/gyx/DGT/DGT_GYX_11202025.txt
  21. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Maryland had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/maryland
        https://data.usatoday.com/drought/maryland/24/
  22. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Massachusetts had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/massachusetts
        https://data.elpasotimes.com/drought/massachusetts/25/
  23. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Michigan had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.weather.gov/media/iwx/DGT/DGT_IWX_12192025.txt
        https://www.mrcc.purdue.edu/climatesummaries/1712
  24. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Minnesota had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/hydroclim/hydroclim-minnesota-early-january-2026.html
        https://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx
  25. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Mississippi had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.weather.gov/media/mob/DGT/DGT_MOB_12182025.txt
        https://www.weather.gov/media/jan/DGT/DGT_JAN_02092026.txt
  26. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Missouri had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://dnr.mo.gov/water/alerts-hazards/drought
        https://mrcc.purdue.edu/climatesummaries/1703
  27. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Montana had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.weather.gov/media/tfx/DGT/DGT_TFX_01052026.txt
        https://hpj.com/2025/12/01/meaningful-rain-fell-in-parts-of-the-high-plains/
  28. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Nebraska had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://nsco.unl.edu/news/drought-worsens-nebraska-0/
        https://hpj.com/2025/12/01/meaningful-rain-fell-in-parts-of-the-high-plains/
  29. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Nevada had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/nevada
        https://hpj.com/2025/12/01/meaningful-rain-fell-in-parts-of-the-high-plains/
  30. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, New Hampshire had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/new-hampshire
        https://www.weather.gov/media/gyx/DGT/DGT_GYX_11202025.txt
  31. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, New Jersey had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://climate.rutgers.edu/stateclim/?+target=nov25&section=menu
        https://www.drought.gov/states/new-jersey
  32. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, New Mexico had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.weather.gov/media/epz/DGT/DGT_EPZ_12042025.txt
        https://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx
  33. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, New York had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/new-york
        https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates/drought-status-update-northeast-2025-11-20
  34. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, North Carolina had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.deq.nc.gov/news/press-releases/2025/11/20/dry-conditions-widespread-north-carolina
  35. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, North Dakota had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx
  36. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Ohio had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://data.dispatch.com/drought/
        https://kx-make.cfaes.ohio-state.edu/index.php/node/1537
  37. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Oklahoma had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://mesonet.org/news/warm-and-dry-november-drives-drought-expansion
        https://www.drought.gov/states/oklahoma
  38. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Oregon had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.tvid.org/files/8e4ca3133/December+1%2C+2025+Update.pdf
  39. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Pennsylvania had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/pennsylvania
        https://data.the-leader.com/drought/pennsylvania/42/
  40. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Rhode Island had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates/drought-status-update-northeast-2025-11-20
        https://wrb.ri.gov/work_programs_drought_past.html
  41. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, South Carolina had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.southcarolinapublicradio.org/sc-news/2025-10-24/how-does-the-south-carolina-drought-compare-to-historical-events
        https://site.extension.uga.edu/climate/2025/12/drought-improved-in-some-areas-but-got-worse-in-more-of-the-region/
  42. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, South Dakota had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://hpj.com/2025/12/01/meaningful-rain-fell-in-parts-of-the-high-plains/
        https://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx
  43. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Tennessee had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://site.extension.uga.edu/climate/2025/12/rain-improves-drought-over-a-lot-of-the-region-but-some-areas-got-worse/
        https://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx
  44. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Texas had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.waterdatafortexas.org/drought/data/twdb-drought-reports/twdb_drought_report_2025-12-01.pdf
        https://www.weather.gov/media/maf/DGT/DGT_MAF_12022025.txt
  45. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Utah had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/utah
        https://hpj.com/2025/12/01/meaningful-rain-fell-in-parts-of-the-high-plains/
  46. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Vermont had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://agriculture.vermont.gov/agency-agriculture-food-markets-releases-2025-agricultural-drought-survey-report-dashboard
        https://www.drought.gov/states/vermont/data
  47. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Virginia had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/virginia
        https://data.knoxnews.com/drought/virginia/51/
  48. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Washington had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.weather.gov/media/sew/DGT/DGT_SEW_11202025.txt
        https://mynorthwest.com/pacific-northwest-weather/meteorological-winter/4166689
  49. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, West Virginia had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.drought.gov/states/west-virginia
        https://data.goupstate.com/drought/west-virginia/54/
  50. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Wisconsin had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://cropsandsoils.extension.wisc.edu/files/2025/11/WI_Outlook_110325.pdf
        https://dnr.wi.gov/topic/WaterUse/DroughtStatus.html
  51. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map available on December 1, 2025, Wyoming had at least some land area classified in D1–D4 drought.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.weather.gov/media/riw/DGT/DGT_RIW_12052025.txt
        https://www.weather.gov/media/cys/DGT/DGT_CYS_12302025.pdf

############################################################
# 97. Who are the United States’ closest allies?
#    (id: us_closest_allies · 21 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. President Donald Trump made a state visit to the United Kingdom in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.royal.uk/news-and-activity/2025-09-17/state-visit-by-the-president-and-first-lady-of-the-united-states
        https://www.nbcnews.com/world/united-kingdom/trump-meets-starmer-uk-state-visit-royal-windsor-charles-chequers-rcna232066
  2. During President Trump’s September 2025 state visit to the United Kingdom, the United States and the United Kingdom announced a Technology Prosperity Deal.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2025/09/president-trump-signs-technology-prosperity-deal-with-united-kingdom/
        https://www.gov.uk/government/news/us-uk-pact-will-boost-advances-in-drug-discovery-create-tens-of-thousands-of-jobs-and-transform-lives
        https://uk.usembassy.gov/the-u-s-state-visit-to-the-uk-securing-the-tech-prosperity-deal/
  3. As of December 1, 2025, the AUKUS security partnership had not been cancelled by Australia, the United Kingdom, or the United States.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2025/12/secretary-of-state-marco-rubio-and-secretary-of-war-pete-hegseth-australian-deputy-prime-minister-and-defense-minister-richard-marles-and-australian-foreign-minister-penny-wong-before-the-australia/
        https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-21/trump-aukus-albanese-firm-support-pact/105915668
  4. President Trump hosted Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese at the White House in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/remarks-prior-working-lunch-with-prime-minister-anthony-albanese-australia-and-exchange
        https://www.nbcnews.com/world/asia/trump-albanese-australia-critical-minerals-aukus-submarine-china-rcna238595
        https://www.pm.gov.au/media/visit-united-states
  5. The United States and Australia signed a critical minerals framework in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/10/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-closes-billion-dollar-deals-with-australia/
        https://www.industry.gov.au/publications/united-states-australia-framework-securing-supply-mining-and-processing-critical-minerals-and-rare-earths
        https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/joint-statement-president-trump-and-prime-minister-anthony-albanese-australia-the-united
  6. Sanae Takaichi became prime minister of Japan after August 31, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://japan.kantei.go.jp/104/actions/202510/21shimei.html
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c751z23n3n7o
  7. President Trump met Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi in Tokyo in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://japan.kantei.go.jp/104/diplomatic/202510/28usa.html
        https://presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/remarks-prior-meeting-with-prime-minister-sanae-takaichi-japan-tokyo-japan
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8drem8518do
  8. The United States and Japan signed a critical minerals and rare earths agreement in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/10/united-states-japan-framework-for-securing-the-supply-of-critical-minerals-and-rare-earths-through-mining-and-processing/
        https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/joint-statement-president-trump-and-prime-minister-sanae-takaichi-japan-the-united-states
        https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-28/trump-japan-takaichi-trade-rare-earths-defense-meeting/105942246
  9. President Trump met South Korean President Lee Jae Myung in South Korea in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.koreaherald.com/article/10604253
        https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/remarks-prior-working-lunch-with-president-lee-jae-myung-south-korea-gyeongju-south-korea
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/11/joint-fact-sheet-on-president-donald-j-trumps-meeting-with-president-lee-jae-myung/
  10. President Trump stated in October 2025 that he had approved South Korea’s request to build nuclear-powered submarines.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.npr.org/2025/10/29/nx-s1-5590230/trump-nuclear-submarine-south-korea
        https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20251030000952315
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-south-korea-build-nuclear-powered-submarine-philadelphia/
  11. As of December 1, 2025, the United States had not terminated its mutual defense treaty with South Korea.
     -> TRUE
        https://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/kor001.asp
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48877
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/11/joint-fact-sheet-on-president-donald-j-trumps-meeting-with-president-lee-jae-myung/
  12. The United States helped broker an Israel-Hamas ceasefire and hostage-release deal in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/israel-hamas-ceasefire-deal-came-together-rcna236789
        https://www.timesofisrael.com/from-doha-strike-to-sharm-el-sheikh-breakthrough-how-us-brokered-elusive-gaza-deal/
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c740jx07vz0o
  13. As of December 1, 2025, Israel remained designated as a Major Non-NATO Ally of the United States.
     -> TRUE
        https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=%28title%3A22+section%3A2321k+edition%3Aprelim
        https://www.aa.com.tr/en/world/explainer-major-non-nato-allies-who-are-they-and-what-does-the-status-mean/3749370
        https://samm.dsca.mil/policy-memoranda/dsca-23-59
  14. As of December 1, 2025, the United States remained a member of NATO.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/LSB11256
        https://www.statista.com/statistics/1293471/nato-members-timeline/
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Member_state_of_the_North_Atlantic_Treaty_Organization
  15. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no country joined NATO.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.statista.com/statistics/1293471/nato-members-timeline/
        https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9813/
        https://timepath.org/enlargement-of-nato
  16. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, no country ceased being a party to the North Atlantic Treaty.
     -> TRUE
        https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9813/
        https://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/nato.asp
        https://www.statista.com/statistics/1293471/nato-members-timeline/
  17. As of December 1, 2025, Ukraine was not a NATO member.
     -> TRUE
        https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9819/
        https://netvaluator.com/en/how-many-countries-are-in-nato-full-membership-list-2025/
        https://www.nato.int/en/news-and-events/events/media-advisories/2025/12/01/nato-secretary-general-to-meet-the-minister-of-defence-of-ukraine
  18. As of December 1, 2025, the Five Eyes intelligence partnership still included New Zealand.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/556286/us-security-blunder-prompts-questions-for-nz-on-intel-sharing-and-five-eyes
        https://waateanews.com/2025/07/31/what-is-the-five-eyes-what-is-nzs-role/
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Five_Eyes?wprov=sfla1
  19. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, the United States did not announce India as a formal treaty ally.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF12903
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5y0qz701xeo
        https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/india-usa-ink-10-year-defence-framework-pact/article70224347.ece
  20. President Trump announced in October 2025 that the United States was terminating trade negotiations with Canada.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/trump-ends-trade-negotiations-with-canada-in-a-social-media-post-after-tv-ads-with-ronald-reagan
        https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/trump-canada-trade-ronald-reagan-rcna239508
        https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/trump-trade-negotiations-tariffs-ontario-ad-9.6951469
  21. As of December 1, 2025, Canada remained a NATO member.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.canada.ca/en/global-affairs/news/2025/12/minister-anand-to-advance-canada-european-union-cooperation-and-participate-in-meeting-of-nato-ministers-of-foreign-affairs.html
        https://www.canada.ca/en/department-national-defence/services/operations/allies-partners/nato.html
        https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/news-releases/2025/12/01/prime-minister-carney-secures-canadas-participation-european-unions

############################################################
# 98. Who is likely to do well at the Cannes film festival?
#    (id: cannes_film_festival · 18 evaluation statements)
############################################################

  1. As of December 1, 2025, the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Official Selection had not been publicly announced.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/2025/submission-for-films-for-the-2026-official-selection-is-now-open/
        https://www.francenews.net/news/278903247/cannes-2026-official-selection-announcement-date-revealed-ahead-of-may-festival
        https://web.archive.org/web/20260513041046/https:/www.screendaily.com/news/cannes-unveils-2026-official-selection/5215494.article
  2. As of December 1, 2025, no film had been publicly named as a 2026 Cannes main Competition selection.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.francenews.net/news/278903247/cannes-2026-official-selection-announcement-date-revealed-ahead-of-may-festival
        https://web.archive.org/web/20260513041046/https:/www.screendaily.com/news/cannes-unveils-2026-official-selection/5215494.article
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/79th_Cannes_Film_Festival
  3. As of December 1, 2025, the full 2026 Cannes main Competition jury had not been publicly announced.
     -> TRUE
        https://cannes-exhibitions.com/en/cannes-film-festival-2026-early-buzz-rumored-films/
        https://www.cannesguide.com/the-festival/juries/
  4. The 79th Cannes Film Festival is scheduled for May 12 through May 23, 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/2025/submission-for-films-for-the-2026-official-selection-is-now-open/
        https://www.upi.com/Entertainment_News/Movies/2025/06/11/france-Cannes-Fim-Festival-2026-dates/3151749669710/
        https://english.mathrubhumi.com/movies-music/news/79th-cannes-film-festival-confirms-dates-know-details-here-mzna79lb
  5. The feature-film submission deadline for the 2026 Cannes Film Festival had already passed by December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/2025/submission-for-films-for-the-2026-official-selection-is-now-open/
        https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/take-part/submit-a-film/feature-films-in-official-selection/
        https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/take-part/submit-a-film/
  6. Between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025, Cannes did not announce a rule change abolishing the normal premiere-status requirement for main Competition features.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/take-part/submit-a-film/feature-films-in-official-selection/
        https://stephenfollows.com/p/how-many-film-festivals-reject-films
  7. Jim Jarmusch’s Father Mother Sister Brother won the Golden Lion at the 2025 Venice Film Festival.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.npr.org/2025/09/06/g-s1-87503/venice-film-festival-winners-jarmusch-rajab
        https://www.screendaily.com/news/father-mother-sister-brother-wins-golden-lion-at-venice-film-festival/5208639.article
        https://www.france24.com/en/culture/20250906-us-independent-director-jim-jarmusch-wins-golden-lion-at-venice-festival
  8. Jim Jarmusch’s Father Mother Sister Brother remained an unpremiered Cannes 2026 prospect as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.indiewire.com/news/festivals/nyff-2025-jim-jarmusch-father-mother-sister-brother-1235140631/
        https://www.npr.org/2025/09/06/g-s1-87503/venice-film-festival-winners-jarmusch-rajab
        https://deadline.com/2025/08/mubi-jim-jarmusch-father-mother-sister-brother-release-date-1236501210/
  9. Kaouther Ben Hania’s The Voice of Hind Rajab won the Silver Lion Grand Jury Prize at the 2025 Venice Film Festival.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.labiennale.org/en/news/official-awards-82nd-venice-international-film-festival
        https://uk.lapresse.it/entertainment-en/2025/09/06/venice-82-the-voice-of-hind-rajab-wins-the-silver-lion-grand-jury-prize/
        https://www.thenationalnews.com/arts-culture/film-tv/2025/09/07/the-voice-of-hind-rajab-wins-silver-lion-at-venice-film-festival/
  10. Kaouther Ben Hania’s The Voice of Hind Rajab remained an unpremiered Cannes 2026 prospect as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://variety.com/2025/film/festivals/voice-of-hind-rajab-director-brad-pitt-producing-gaza-drama-1236502793/
        https://www.screendaily.com/news/the-voice-of-hind-rajab-sets-us-distributor-release-date/5210310.article
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Voice_of_Hind_Rajab
  11. Chloé Zhao’s Hamnet won the 2025 Toronto International Film Festival People’s Choice Award.
     -> TRUE
        https://tiff.net/press/news/tiff-50-announces-its-2025-award-winners
        https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/toronto-chloe-zhao-hamnet-audience-award-1236370291/
        https://deadline.com/2025/09/hamnet-toronto-film-festival-peoples-choice-award-1236530932/
  12. Chloé Zhao’s Hamnet remained eligible as a Cannes 2026 world premiere as of December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://deadline.com/2025/09/hamnet-toronto-film-festival-peoples-choice-award-1236530932/
        https://www.focusfeatures.com/article/hamnet-wins-the-toronto-international-film-festival-s-people-s-choice-award
        https://wikipedia.com/wiki/Hamnet_(film)
  13. Kathryn Bigelow’s A House of Dynamite had already premiered at the Venice Film Festival by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/kathryn-bigelow-house-of-dynamite-netflix-cast-premiere-1236358846/
        https://web.archive.org/web/20250919084438/https:/www.netflix.com/tudum/articles/a-house-of-dynamite-kathryn-bigelow-release-date-cast-news
        https://variety.com/2025/film/news/kathryn-bigelow-house-of-dynamite-venice-film-festival-press-conference-1236502789/
  14. Guillermo del Toro’s Frankenstein had already premiered at the Venice Film Festival by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/frankenstein-movie-guillermo-del-toro-netflix-venice-festival-1236357615/
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2x3pye5mjo
        https://variety.com/2025/film/festivals/frankenstein-venice-premiere-jacob-elordi-oscar-isaac-ovation-1236495703/
  15. France selected Jafar Panahi’s It Was Just an Accident as its submission for the 2026 Academy Award for International Feature Film.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/france-picks-jafar-panahi-film-for-oscars-1236373631/
        https://variety.com/2025/film/news/france-sends-jafar-panahi-it-was-just-an-accident-oscars-1236522088/
        https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/press/press-releases/un-simple-accident-de-jafar-panahi-representera-la-france-aux-oscars/
        https://www.cnc.fr/professionnels/communiques-de-presse/un-simple-accident--de-jafar-panahi-representera-la-france-a-loscar-du-meilleur-film-international_2463081
  16. Norway selected Joachim Trier’s Sentimental Value as its submission for the 2026 Academy Award for International Feature Film.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nfi.no/en/news/sentimental-value-is-norways-oscar-candidate
        https://variety.com/2025/film/global/norway-joachim-trier-sentimental-value-international-oscar-1236498529/
        https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/norway-sentimental-value-oscar-international-feature-film-1236353577/
  17. No 2026 Cannes Palme d’Or winner had been determined by December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.upi.com/Entertainment_News/Movies/2025/06/11/france-Cannes-Fim-Festival-2026-dates/3151749669710/
        https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/2025/submission-for-films-for-the-2026-official-selection-is-now-open/
        https://www.screendaily.com/news/cannes-2026-unveils-competition-jury/5216231.article
  18. Fall 2025 festival prizes at Venice or Toronto made those winning films newly eligible for the Cannes 2026 main Competition.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/take-part/submit-a-film/feature-films-in-official-selection/
        https://stephenfollows.com/p/how-many-film-festivals-reject-films
        https://www.labiennale.org/en/news/official-awards-82nd-venice-international-film-festival
        https://tiff.net/press/news/tiff-50-announces-its-2025-award-winners

##################################################################################
# 99. Who seems best-positioned to take over the MAGA movement after Trump's exit?
#    (id: maga_succession · 26 evaluation statements)
##################################################################################

  1. Between September 1 and December 1, 2025, J.D. Vance remained the leading figure in public 2028 Republican presidential primary polling among non-Trump MAGA-aligned politicians.
     -> TRUE
        https://yougov.com/en-us/articles/52959-who-do-democrats-and-republicans-want-as-their-2028-presidential-nominees
        https://www.thecentersquare.com/national/article_1588cfa9-23b2-4b55-830b-a88003cd18cd.html
        https://overtoninsights.com/poll/november-2025/
        https://www.themirror.com/news/us-news/donald-trump-jr-jd-vance-1537043
  2. Public 2028 Republican primary polls released after August 31, 2025 showed J.D. Vance ahead of Ron DeSantis nationally.
     -> TRUE
        https://yougov.com/en-us/articles/52959-who-do-democrats-and-republicans-want-as-their-2028-presidential-nominees
        https://www.thecentersquare.com/national/article_1588cfa9-23b2-4b55-830b-a88003cd18cd.html
        https://overtoninsights.com/poll/november-2025/
        https://www.miamitimesonline.com/news/world_national/ron-desantis-marco-rubio-far-behind-jd-vance-in-another-presidential-poll/article_bfc61010-3a13-4f7a-8f83-0796ce6a389f.html
  3. Donald Trump did not formally endorse J.D. Vance for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2028-election/trump-helps-pad-jd-vances-political-fund-questions-2028-loom-rcna229402
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-60-minutes-interview-highlights/
  4. In a post-August 31, 2025 CBS 60 Minutes interview, Donald Trump said he was not allowed to run for a third presidential term.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-60-minutes-interview-highlights/
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/read-full-transcript-norah-odonnell-60-minutes-interview-with-president-trump/
  5. In a post-August 31, 2025 CBS 60 Minutes interview, Donald Trump mentioned J.D. Vance as a possible future Republican standard-bearer.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-60-minutes-interview-highlights/
        https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/trump-reveals-whether-he-ll-seek-third-term-1762151722.html
  6. In a post-August 31, 2025 CBS 60 Minutes interview, Donald Trump mentioned Marco Rubio as a possible future Republican standard-bearer.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-60-minutes-interview-highlights/
        https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/trump-reveals-whether-he-ll-seek-third-term-1762151722.html
  7. Marco Rubio remained a major Trump administration figure through December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2025/12/secretary-of-state-marco-rubio-remarks-to-the-press-5/
        https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/foreign-policy/3902240/rubio-hails-ukraine-peace-talks-miami/
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/marco-rubio-swift-rise-trump-orbit-rcna204243
        https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article312260467.html
  8. Ron DeSantis did not launch a 2028 presidential campaign between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://floridapolitics.com/archives/766309-not-thinking-about-anything-ron-desantis-talks-2028-plans/
        https://www.theyeshivaworld.com/news/liveblogs/live-blog/2474835/desantis-undecided-on-2028-presidential-run.html
  9. Donald Trump Jr. did not launch a 2028 presidential campaign between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/donald-trump-jr-future-maga-032755731.html
        https://www.foxnews.com/politics/donald-trump-jr-has-zero-interest-2028-run-isnt-ruling-out-possibility-political-future
        https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/donald-trump-jr-presidential-run-vance-b2874488.html
  10. Tucker Carlson did not launch a 2028 presidential campaign between September 1 and December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://probsee.com/predictions/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027
        https://blockcircle.com/market/69a711121884075e19a4c824
        https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/tucker-carlson-ted-cruz-2028-presidential-race-b2866771.html
  11. Charlie Kirk was assassinated in September 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy04p4x21e5o
        https://www.npr.org/2025/09/10/nx-s1-5537068/charlie-kirk-shot-utah-university-campus
        https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-09-11/charlie-kirk-shot-utah-university-event/105418226
  12. Turning Point USA named Erika Kirk as its new chief executive after Charlie Kirk’s death.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/erika-kirk-charlie-kirk-widow-turning-point-usa-ceo/
        https://www.foxnews.com/politics/turning-point-usa-elects-erika-kirk-new-ceo-chair-board-following-charlie-kirks-assassination
        https://www.newsweek.com/erika-kirk-turning-point-usa-new-ceo-wife-charlie-death-2132060
  13. J.D. Vance played a prominent public role in the mourning and memorialization of Charlie Kirk after Kirk’s September 2025 assassination.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/jd-vance-host-the-charlie-kirk-show-assassination/
        https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2025/09/vp-vance-administration-leaders-honor-charlie-kirks-enduring-legacy/
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/jd-vance/charlie-kirk-jd-vance-path-vice-presidency-rcna230625
        https://singjupost.com/transcript-vice-president-j-d-vance-remarks-at-charlie-kirk-memorial/
  14. Tucker Carlson released an interview with Nick Fuentes in October 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efBB0D4tf1Y
        https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/tucker-carlson-interviews-nick-fuentes/id1719657632?i=1000733788477
        https://podscan.fm/podcasts/the-tucker-carlson-show/episodes/tucker-carlson-interviews-nick-fuentes
  15. Tucker Carlson’s October 2025 Nick Fuentes interview triggered a major public backlash inside the conservative movement.
     -> TRUE
        https://thehill.com/homenews/media/5592049-tucker-carlson-conservative-civil-war/
        https://www.thewrap.com/tucker-carlson-right-wing-media-nick-fuentes-interview/
        https://text.npr.org/2025/11/09/nx-s1-5599975/nick-fuentes-comments-on-the-tucker-carlson-show-sparks-backlash-from-conservatives
        https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2025/10/tucker-carlsons-nick-fuentes-groypers-heritage-foundation-republicans-far-right.html
  16. Heritage Foundation president Kevin Roberts publicly defended Tucker Carlson after Carlson’s Nick Fuentes interview.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.jta.org/2025/10/30/united-states/heritage-foundation-president-stands-by-tucker-carlson-after-host-platforms-antisemitism
        https://www.wjtv.com/hill-politics/heritage-president-defends-tucker-carlsons-interview-with-white-nationalist-nick-fuentes/
        https://www.jpost.com/diaspora/antisemitism/article-872280
  17. Kevin Roberts later apologized for his initial response to the Tucker Carlson and Nick Fuentes controversy.
     -> TRUE
        https://thehill.com/policy/5592407-heritage-foundation-carlson-controversy/
        https://www.jta.org/2025/11/05/united-states/heritage-foundation-staff-confront-president-over-antisemitism-defense-of-tucker-carlson
        https://www.thewrap.com/heritage-foundation-president-apology-tucker-carlson-nick-fuentes-interview/
        https://www.timesofisrael.com/heritage-foundation-head-apologizes-amid-antisemitism-turmoil-after-defending-tucker-carlson/
  18. In November 2025, Donald Trump publicly withdrew his support for Marjorie Taylor Greene.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-withdraws-support-rep-marjorie-taylor-greene-rcna244065
        https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-withdrawing-support-marjorie-taylor-greene/
        https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2025/11/15/Trump-withdraws-suppot-Marjorie-Taylor-Greene-calls-her-wacky/7161763225082/
  19. In November 2025, Marjorie Taylor Greene announced that she would resign from Congress effective January 2026.
     -> TRUE
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/rep-marjorie-taylor-greene-resign-congress-january/story?id=127771912
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/rep-marjorie-taylor-greene-resign-january-rcna245278
        https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/rep-marjorie-taylor-greene-says-she-is-resigning-from-congress-in-january
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/21/nx-s1-5617227/marjorie-taylor-greene-resignation-trump
  20. The November 2025 Epstein files fight produced a visible public split between Donald Trump and some MAGA-aligned Republicans.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz7p4gez742o
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/18/nx-s1-5611107/epstein-files-mtg-trump-maga-gop
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9wv4dx05q5o
        https://www.independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/massie-greene-epstein-trump-republicans-b2866347.html
  21. Donald Trump signed an Epstein files disclosure bill in November 2025 after congressional pressure from both parties.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/trump-signs-bill-release-justice-department-jeffrey-epstein-files-rcna244793
        https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ38/PLAW-119publ38.htm
        https://www.axios.com/2025/11/20/trump-epstein-files-bill-signed
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly2y40lj5go
  22. Democrats won the Virginia governor’s race in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/virginia-governor-election-results-spanberger-earle-sears-race-win-rcna238685
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/04/nx-s1-5589144/election-results-virginia-governor-spanberger
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj41l1qpv7ko
  23. Democrats won the New Jersey governor’s race in November 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/new-jersey-governor-winner-election-race-2025-rcna238902
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/04/nx-s1-5590033/election-results-new-jersey-governor-sherrill
        https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/2025/2025-official-general-results-governor.pdf
  24. The November 2025 off-year elections were widely interpreted as a setback for Republicans under Trump’s second-term leadership.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/takeaways-2025-elections-trump-looms-every-race-democrats-win-economy-rcna241698
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/republicans-lessons-election-dominated-democratic-wins-rcna242032
        https://www.newsweek.com/election-2025-results-expose-republicans-post-trump-vulnerabilities-11007479
        https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2025/11/06/a_bad_night_for_republicans_with_no_bright_spots_153494.html
  25. The federal government shutdown that began in October 2025 became the longest shutdown in United States history.
     -> TRUE
        https://abcnews.com/Politics/government-shutdown-longest-history/story?id=127179783
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/35-days-government-shutdown-record-longest-history-election-day-rcna241576
        https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy40qndep8yo
        https://www.npr.org/2025/11/05/nx-s1-5598315/government-shutdown-longest-history
  26. No major MAGA-aligned politician other than J.D. Vance emerged between September 1 and December 1, 2025 as a clearer national successor to Trump in polling, officeholding, and elite signaling.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2028-election/trump-helps-pad-jd-vances-political-fund-questions-2028-loom-rcna229402
        https://yougov.com/en-us/articles/52959-who-do-democrats-and-republicans-want-as-their-2028-presidential-nominees
        https://www.thecentersquare.com/national/article_1588cfa9-23b2-4b55-830b-a88003cd18cd.html
        https://overtoninsights.com/poll/november-2025/
        https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/president-don-jr-trump-eldest-182420252.html
        https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-maga-succession-plan-under-threat-11059619

###################################################################
# 100. Who will likely win political office in Louisiana next year?
#    (id: louisiana_elections_2026 · 18 evaluation statements)
###################################################################

  1. Donald Trump publicly endorsed Bill Cassidy for reelection to the U.S. Senate after August 31, 2025 and before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nola.com/news/politics/national_politics/bill-cassidy-donald-trump-staying-neutral/article_02d74756-3bcd-4450-844f-7634af586f0b.html
        https://punchbowl.news/article/senate/cassidy-trump-endorsement/
  2. Donald Trump publicly endorsed John Fleming in the 2026 Louisiana U.S. Senate race after August 31, 2025 and before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nola.com/news/politics/national_politics/bill-cassidy-donald-trump-staying-neutral/article_02d74756-3bcd-4450-844f-7634af586f0b.html
        https://punchbowl.news/article/senate/cassidy-trump-endorsement/
  3. Bill Cassidy announced between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 that he would not seek reelection to the U.S. Senate in 2026.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.billcassidy.com/post/cassidy-campaign-marks-one-month-since-kick-off-with-strong-momentum-new-video-release
        https://www.nola.com/news/politics/national_politics/bill-cassidy-donald-trump-staying-neutral/article_02d74756-3bcd-4450-844f-7634af586f0b.html
  4. John Fleming remained an active Republican candidate for the 2026 Louisiana U.S. Senate race as of December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.kalb.com/2025/10/22/louisiana-senate-race-heats-up-john-fleming-takes-aim-cassidy-carbon-capture-tax-credits/
        https://www.kalb.com/2025/10/31/la-state-treasurer-fleming-speaks-ccs-snap-government-shutdown/
        https://flemingsenatecampaign.com/fleming-leads-the-pack-in-louisiana-senate-race-powered-by-grassroots-not-special-interests/
  5. Former U.S. Representative Garret Graves entered the 2026 Louisiana U.S. Senate race between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nola.com/news/politics/national_politics/garret-graves-fema-louisiana/article_2b64ee2e-2958-4474-abcd-1c9d027c236f.html
        https://www.wafb.com/2025/10/13/john-bel-edwards-announces-he-wont-run-us-senate-seat/
  6. Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry publicly endorsed a challenger to Bill Cassidy in the 2026 U.S. Senate race between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/sen-bill-cassidys-2026-primary-looms-rep-julia-letlow-considers-runnin-rcna232151
        https://www.ksat.com/news/politics/2025/09/03/gop-sen-cassidy-facing-primary-challengers-proceeds-cautiously-on-cdc-and-robert-f-kennedy-jr/
  7. Former Louisiana Governor John Bel Edwards announced a 2026 U.S. Senate campaign between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nola.com/news/politics/john-bel-edwards-wont-run-for-us-senate-in-louisiana/article_53519e46-47de-4a24-921c-2a73706bdce7.html
        https://www.wafb.com/2025/10/13/john-bel-edwards-announces-he-wont-run-us-senate-seat/
  8. A major Democratic candidate with prior statewide or federal elected experience entered the 2026 Louisiana U.S. Senate race between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.nola.com/news/politics/john-bel-edwards-wont-run-for-us-senate-in-louisiana/article_53519e46-47de-4a24-921c-2a73706bdce7.html
        https://www.wafb.com/2025/10/13/john-bel-edwards-announces-he-wont-run-us-senate-seat/
  9. At least one public poll released between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 showed Bill Cassidy trailing John Fleming among Louisiana Republican primary voters.
     -> TRUE
        https://flemingsenatecampaign.com/fleming-leads-the-pack-in-louisiana-senate-race-powered-by-grassroots-not-special-interests/
  10. At least one public poll released between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 showed Bill Cassidy leading John Fleming among Louisiana Republican primary voters.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.billcassidy.com/post/cassidy-campaign-marks-one-month-since-kick-off-with-strong-momentum-new-video-release
        https://flemingsenatecampaign.com/fleming-leads-the-pack-in-louisiana-senate-race-powered-by-grassroots-not-special-interests/
  11. No court ruling or legislative action between September 1, 2025 and December 1, 2025 reversed Louisiana’s plan to use party primaries for 2026 federal elections.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.sos.la.gov/ElectionsAndVoting/GetElectionInformation/ReviewTypesOfElections/ClosedPartyPrimaryElections/Pages/default.aspx
        https://news.ballotpedia.org/2025/11/03/louisiana-gov-jeff-landry-signs-legislation-changing-the-states-spring-election-dates/
        https://lailluminator.com/2025/10/29/louisiana-election-dates/
  12. The U.S. Supreme Court reheard Louisiana v. Callais after August 31, 2025 and before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.naacpldf.org/press-release/ldf-concludes-supreme-court-oral-reargument-defending-louisiana-congressional-map/
        https://redistrictingonline.org/2025/10/18/the-courts-second-look-inside-the-october-15-argument-in-louisiana-v-callais/
        https://www.scotusblog.com/cases/louisiana-v-callais-2/
  13. The U.S. Supreme Court issued a final merits decision in Louisiana v. Callais before December 1, 2025.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.scotusblog.com/cases/louisiana-v-callais-2/
        https://lailluminator.com/2025/08/13/louisiana-redistricting-3/
  14. As of December 1, 2025, Louisiana’s 2026 congressional map remained uncertain because Louisiana v. Callais had not been finally resolved.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nola.com/news/politics/louisiana-legislature-redistricting-callais/article_a5113863-1724-4c9b-b12d-69bbf533a583.html
        https://www.scotusblog.com/cases/louisiana-v-callais-2/
        https://law.vanderbilt.edu/louisiana-v-callais-and-the-future-of-the-voting-rights-act/
  15. As of December 1, 2025, Cleo Fields was still the incumbent representative from Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.congress.gov/member/cleo-fields/F000110
        https://www.govtrack.us/congress/members/cleo_fields/404067
        https://ballotpedia.org/Cleo_Fields
  16. As of December 1, 2025, no 2026 Louisiana federal-election candidate qualifying deadline had passed.
     -> TRUE
        https://news.ballotpedia.org/2025/11/03/louisiana-gov-jeff-landry-signs-legislation-changing-the-states-spring-election-dates/
        https://lailluminator.com/2025/10/29/louisiana-election-dates/
        https://legis.la.gov/legis/ViewDocument.aspx?d=1431463
  17. Helena Moreno won the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election before December 1, 2025.
     -> TRUE
        https://www.nola.com/news/politics/helena-moreno-mayor/article_279f1d1e-2659-4f20-bc3b-eb5435f4c4cf.html
        https://www.axios.com/local/new-orleans/2025/10/12/election-mayor-results-helena-moreno-wins
        https://lailluminator.com/2025/10/12/moreno-mayor/
  18. Helena Moreno’s 2025 New Orleans mayoral win indicated a Republican breakthrough in New Orleans municipal politics.
     -> FALSE
        https://www.axios.com/local/new-orleans/2025/10/12/election-mayor-results-helena-moreno-wins
        https://www.ksla.com/2025/10/12/helena-moreno-projected-next-mayor-new-orleans/
        https://wtop.com/national/2025/10/new-orleans-is-electing-a-new-mayor-and-a-wide-field-is-pledging-change-after-indictments/